Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:46:41

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 4.3/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,849
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,808.04
Current Value
$8,103.44
Period P&L
$-1,704.60
Max Drawdown
-27.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.72

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
2 / 12
Best Trade
+2.70%
Worst Trade
-5.25%
Avg Trade Return
-1.34%
Avg Hold Time
12h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$264,699.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,704.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,704.60
Gross Return
-17.38%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,808.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:20am ET $35.44 276 $9,780.06
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:05am ET $36.39 276 $10,043.64 $10,071.62 +$263.58
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:10am ET $36.43 276 $10,053.30
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET $36.56 276 $10,090.59 $10,108.91 +$37.29
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:25am ET $35.32 286 $10,101.15
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 11:15am ET $34.96 286 $9,998.56 $10,006.32 $-102.59
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:30am ET $35.08 285 $9,996.38
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 2:55pm ET $34.63 285 $9,869.55 $9,879.49 $-126.83
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:40am ET $34.43 286 $9,847.27
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 2:35pm ET $34.08 286 $9,745.45 $9,777.67 $-101.82
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:50am ET $35.81 273 $9,776.13
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $35.40 273 $9,662.84 $9,664.37 $-113.30
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 11:35am ET $32.75 295 $9,662.70
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 11:40am ET $32.34 295 $9,540.30 $9,541.97 $-122.40
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 12:30pm ET $32.22 296 $9,537.12
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 12:35pm ET $31.74 296 $9,395.04 $9,399.89 $-142.08
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 11:10am ET $30.82 304 $9,369.28
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 1:10pm ET $30.50 304 $9,270.48 $9,301.09 $-98.80
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 10:05am ET $30.92 300 $9,274.50
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:20am ET $30.58 300 $9,174.00 $9,200.59 $-100.50
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:55am ET $27.05 340 $9,197.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $26.75 340 $9,095.00 $9,098.59 $-102.00
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:35am ET $27.28 333 $9,084.24
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:25am ET $26.99 333 $8,987.67 $9,002.02 $-96.57
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $25.24 356 $8,985.44
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $23.98 356 $8,535.10 $8,551.68 $-450.34
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $23.72 360 $8,537.40
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET $22.47 360 $8,089.16 $8,103.44 $-448.24
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,103.44
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,896.56
Total Return: -18.97%
Back to Surge