Compendium › Surge › DOTUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DOTUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 13 trades in period

-3.76%
Year to Date Return
$10,759.20
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$11,121.73
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:01:57

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.6 oversold
20d Trend
-46.1%
5d Trend
-40.6%
EMA20 Dist
-40.2%
ATR%
14.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
7.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 13.7/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 11.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,180
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,121.73
Current Value
$10,759.20
Period P&L
$-417.80
Max Drawdown
-27.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
5 / 8
Best Trade
+5.66%
Worst Trade
-5.57%
Avg Trade Return
-0.21%
Avg Hold Time
6.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$306,027.25
Estimated Fees
$765.07
Gross P&L
$-417.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,182.87
Gross Return
-3.76%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.64%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOTUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $11,121.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:30am ET $2.04 5,442 $11,121.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 2:35pm ET $2.10 5,442 $11,428.20 $11,428.66 +$306.93
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:25am ET $2.14 5,345 $11,427.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 1:55pm ET $2.12 5,345 $11,308.42 $11,309.47 $-119.19
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:20am ET $2.09 5,421 $11,308.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 11:15am ET $2.14 5,421 $11,592.27 $11,592.99 +$283.52
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:20am ET $2.07 5,592 $11,592.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $2.19 5,592 $12,248.72 $12,249.49 +$656.50
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:50am ET $2.24 5,470 $12,247.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:15am ET $2.30 5,470 $12,553.65 $12,555.81 +$306.32
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:45pm ET $1.99 6,325 $12,555.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 3:25pm ET $1.96 6,325 $12,415.98 $12,416.66 $-139.15
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 11:40am ET $1.95 6,370 $12,415.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 2:25pm ET $1.93 6,370 $12,281.36 $12,282.89 $-133.77
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 10:10am ET $1.89 6,488 $12,281.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:40am ET $1.86 6,488 $12,080.66 $12,081.76 $-201.13
(-1.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET $1.57 7,695 $12,081.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 1:10pm ET $1.55 7,695 $11,950.34 $11,950.94 $-130.82
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $1.54 7,745 $11,950.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET $1.46 7,745 $11,284.47 $11,284.87 $-666.07
(-5.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET $1.36 8,297 $11,283.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:25pm ET $1.40 8,297 $11,582.61 $11,583.56 +$298.69
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $1.33 8,730 $11,582.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:20am ET $1.30 8,730 $11,346.51 $11,347.54 $-236.02
(-2.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:05am ET $1.45 7,824 $11,347.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $1.38 7,824 $10,759.20 $10,759.20 $-643.61
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,759.20
Net Profit/Loss: +$759.20
Total Return: +7.59%
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