Compendium › Surge › GILD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GILD
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 15 trades in period

+9.41%
Year to Date Return
$9,082.52
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$8,301.44
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:47:21

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 4.5/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,015
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
88 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,301.44
Current Value
$9,082.52
Period P&L
$781.08
Max Drawdown
-26.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
8 / 7
Best Trade
+3.90%
Worst Trade
-1.07%
Avg Trade Return
+0.62%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$260,649.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$781.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$781.08
Gross Return
+9.41%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 88 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $8,301.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $121.51 68 $8,262.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:50pm ET $122.99 68 $8,363.32 $8,402.08 +$100.64
(+1.2%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:05am ET $121.62 69 $8,391.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:35am ET $120.59 69 $8,320.71 $8,331.01 $-71.07
(-0.8%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 2:15pm ET $121.75 68 $8,279.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 2:45pm ET $121.81 68 $8,283.08 $8,335.09 +$4.08
(+0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:00pm ET $123.05 67 $8,244.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 12:30pm ET $122.61 67 $8,214.54 $8,305.61 $-29.48
(-0.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET $124.52 66 $8,218.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:55am ET $126.23 66 $8,330.96 $8,418.25 +$112.64
(+1.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:00am ET $126.41 66 $8,342.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:00am ET $131.34 66 $8,668.11 $8,743.63 +$325.38
(+3.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:10am ET $132.18 66 $8,723.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:35pm ET $130.85 66 $8,636.10 $8,656.18 $-87.45
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $135.32 63 $8,525.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 1:00pm ET $137.93 63 $8,689.59 $8,820.61 +$164.43
(+1.9%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:05pm ET $137.82 64 $8,820.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 11:25am ET $141.42 64 $9,050.88 $9,051.33 +$230.72
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 11:30am ET $141.48 63 $8,912.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 12:30pm ET $139.97 63 $8,817.80 $8,956.20 $-95.13
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 11:10am ET $141.50 63 $8,914.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 11:40am ET $141.86 63 $8,937.18 $8,979.20 +$23.00
(+0.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:30am ET $145.78 61 $8,892.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $150.33 61 $9,170.13 $9,256.75 +$277.55
(+3.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:20am ET $151.32 61 $9,230.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:50am ET $150.39 61 $9,173.79 $9,199.72 $-57.03
(-0.6%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET $155.42 59 $9,169.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:40am ET $153.79 59 $9,073.90 $9,103.84 $-95.88
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:05am ET $155.29 58 $9,006.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $154.92 58 $8,985.36 $9,082.52 $-21.32
(-0.2%) 		📅 Sim Ended
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,082.52
Net Profit/Loss: $-917.48
Total Return: -9.17%
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