Compendium › Surge › LCID
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LCID
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 24 trades in period

-23.60%
Year to Date Return
$7,797.68
Current Value
21%
Win Rate
$10,206.66
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:10:28

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 4.8/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,150
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,206.66
Current Value
$7,797.68
Period P&L
$-2,408.98
Max Drawdown
-25.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
5 / 19
Best Trade
+16.46%
Worst Trade
-7.95%
Avg Trade Return
-0.96%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$430,902.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,408.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,408.98
Gross Return
-23.60%
Net Return (after fees)
-23.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,206.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 2:15pm ET $11.10 919 $10,196.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $11.47 919 $10,540.93 $10,551.29 +$344.63
(+3.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:50am ET $11.56 912 $10,542.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $11.43 912 $10,424.16 $10,432.73 $-118.56
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:15am ET $11.27 925 $10,427.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $11.07 925 $10,235.87 $10,241.53 $-191.20
(-1.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 11:35am ET $11.41 897 $10,234.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $11.26 897 $10,100.22 $10,106.98 $-134.55
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 11:45am ET $9.80 1,031 $10,103.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 12:30pm ET $9.67 1,031 $9,969.67 $9,972.95 $-134.03
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 1:50pm ET $11.42 873 $9,969.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:00pm ET $11.26 873 $9,832.95 $9,836.24 $-136.71
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:15am ET $11.90 826 $9,825.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $11.77 826 $9,717.89 $9,728.86 $-107.38
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 11:00am ET $10.88 894 $9,726.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 11:10am ET $10.74 894 $9,597.09 $9,599.23 $-129.63
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:10am ET $11.26 852 $9,593.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:25am ET $11.14 852 $9,491.28 $9,496.99 $-102.24
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:05am ET $10.04 945 $9,487.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:20am ET $10.30 945 $9,733.50 $9,742.69 +$245.70
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:05am ET $10.98 887 $9,739.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:15am ET $11.27 887 $9,992.06 $9,995.49 +$252.80
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:20am ET $11.25 888 $9,990.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $11.12 888 $9,874.56 $9,880.05 $-115.44
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:00am ET $10.21 968 $9,879.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:50am ET $10.08 968 $9,757.44 $9,758.37 $-121.68
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $10.63 918 $9,753.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $10.06 918 $9,235.08 $9,239.70 $-518.67
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $9.24 1,000 $9,237.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $8.77 1,000 $8,770.00 $8,772.00 $-467.70
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $9.72 902 $8,762.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:05am ET $9.17 902 $8,271.34 $8,280.41 $-491.59
(-5.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $7.24 1,144 $8,276.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $6.66 1,144 $7,618.70 $7,622.27 $-658.14
(-8.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
18 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $6.09 1,251 $7,618.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 2:55pm ET $5.78 1,251 $7,230.78 $7,234.46 $-387.81
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $5.45 1,327 $7,232.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $5.14 1,327 $6,814.15 $6,816.46 $-418.00
(-5.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $6.14 1,111 $6,815.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $5.82 1,111 $6,471.57 $6,472.05 $-344.41
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.2d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $5.01 1,291 $6,467.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 2:35pm ET $5.78 1,291 $7,455.53 $7,459.66 +$987.61
(+15.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.1h held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $6.78 1,100 $7,457.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:40am ET $6.43 1,100 $7,078.50 $7,080.27 $-379.39
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 1:25pm ET $6.88 1,029 $7,077.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 1:55pm ET $8.01 1,029 $8,242.29 $8,245.41 +$1,165.14
(+16.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
30m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $7.05 1,169 $8,239.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET $6.66 1,169 $7,791.38 $7,797.68 $-447.73
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,797.68
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,202.32
Total Return: -22.02%
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