Compendium › Surge › PYPL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PYPL
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 13 trades in period

-6.69%
Year to Date Return
$10,611.95
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$11,373.15
Period Start
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Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.9/35
Total Return
7.1/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 14.7/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 13.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,568
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
190 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,373.15
Current Value
$10,611.95
Period P&L
$-761.20
Max Drawdown
-23.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
4 / 9
Best Trade
+15.12%
Worst Trade
-7.81%
Avg Trade Return
-0.40%
Avg Hold Time
6.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$288,539.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-761.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$-761.20
Gross Return
-6.69%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.69%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 190 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $11,373.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:40am ET $59.44 191 $11,353.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 11:10am ET $59.39 191 $11,343.49 $11,363.60 $-9.55
(-0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 3:15pm ET $59.61 190 $11,324.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $58.79 190 $11,169.15 $11,207.80 $-155.80
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $58.64 191 $11,200.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $57.38 191 $10,958.63 $10,966.18 $-241.62
(-2.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:25am ET $57.66 190 $10,955.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET $57.07 190 $10,842.35 $10,853.13 $-113.05
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $56.25 192 $10,800.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $56.98 192 $10,940.16 $10,993.29 +$140.16
(+1.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:50am ET $41.72 263 $10,972.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:15am ET $41.08 263 $10,804.80 $10,825.81 $-167.48
(-1.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $40.74 265 $10,797.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $42.04 265 $11,140.60 $11,168.99 +$343.18
(+3.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:00am ET $42.29 264 $11,165.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:55am ET $41.84 264 $11,045.76 $11,048.87 $-120.12
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 11:50am ET $39.77 277 $11,016.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $40.29 277 $11,161.71 $11,194.29 +$145.42
(+1.3%) 		📅 Sim Ended
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $46.10 242 $11,156.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $43.54 242 $10,536.68 $10,574.77 $-619.52
(-5.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
42d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $47.35 223 $10,559.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:55am ET $54.51 223 $12,155.73 $12,171.45 +$1,596.68
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $57.67 211 $12,167.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $53.16 211 $11,216.76 $11,220.89 $-950.56
(-7.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
31d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:15am ET $54.81 204 $11,182.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:10am ET $51.83 204 $10,573.32 $10,611.95 $-608.94
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,611.95
Net Profit/Loss: +$611.95
Total Return: +6.12%
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