Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:30:48

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.4/35
Total Return
10.6/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 26.6/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 25.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
6,807
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
85 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,240.23
Current Value
$11,782.81
Period P&L
$-457.42
Max Drawdown
-9.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+3.02%
Worst Trade
-5.04%
Avg Trade Return
-0.34%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$270,247.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-457.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$-457.42
Gross Return
-3.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 85 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $12,240.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:40pm ET $609.11 20 $12,182.20
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET $627.48 20 $12,549.50 $12,607.53 +$367.30
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:15am ET $626.99 20 $12,539.80
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:30am ET $620.26 20 $12,405.20 $12,472.93 $-134.60
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $617.12 20 $12,342.30
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:35am ET $610.75 20 $12,215.00 $12,345.63 $-127.30
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:35pm ET $622.31 19 $11,823.80
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:05am ET $627.88 19 $11,929.72 $12,451.56 +$105.93
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:20am ET $615.57 20 $12,311.40
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:50am ET $629.66 20 $12,593.20 $12,733.36 +$281.80
(+2.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:00am ET $629.98 20 $12,599.60
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:30am ET $639.58 20 $12,791.60 $12,925.36 +$192.00
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $633.39 20 $12,667.80
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $626.81 20 $12,536.20 $12,793.76 $-131.60
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 11:55am ET $594.55 21 $12,485.55
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:10pm ET $588.54 21 $12,359.34 $12,667.55 $-126.21
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $583.06 21 $12,244.26
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:25pm ET $575.22 21 $12,079.62 $12,502.91 $-164.64
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:45pm ET $546.01 22 $12,012.22
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $541.09 22 $11,903.87 $12,394.56 $-108.35
(-0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $485.74 25 $12,143.50
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:35am ET $461.27 25 $11,531.75 $11,782.81 $-611.75
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
31.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,782.81
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,782.81
Total Return: +17.83%
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