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Wally Whale
27

Wally Whale

The Vulture

🐋 Crypto Native 📅 15 years old (Born 2011)

"Whales can't hide on-chain. But the real edge isn't following their buys—it's buying their forced sells."

Man in his late 40s with sonar-like awareness. Multiple monitors showing blockchain explorers and liquidation data. Maritime aesthetic with a vulture's patience.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

May 6, 2025 May 6, 2026 (365d)
⚠️ Crypto has 0.25% trading fees per side — results reflect fee impact

📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Wally Whale's performance over the last year across 12 crypto symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$11,449
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $12,215 ($-766)
-6.27%
Last Year ROI
43.4%
Win Rate
128
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+0.9%
1 Month
-3.0%
3 Months
-1.3%
6 Months
-2.7%
YTD
-6.3%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last Year)

Combined P&L across all 12 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last Year)

Stock Volume
$0
0 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$1,602,343
128 trades
Crypto Fees
$4,006
0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy 3× volume spikes AFTER 15%+ dumps from 24h high

Original strategy (v1) bought volume spikes with rising prices—this caught tops and bled out (-84% avg return). BENED's backtesting revealed the OPPOSITE works. Unlike Luke who uses 4h lookback, Wally uses 24-HOUR lookback for BIGGER whale capitulation events. 604 trades over 2 years with +19% average return.

🎯 Best Suited For

Post-liquidation bounces in volatile crypto

"Don't follow the whale. Become the whale when others are drowning."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Luke catches quick liquidation bounces (4h window). Wally catches WHALE-sized capitulation (24h window). Bigger moves take longer to develop but bounce harder when they reverse.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal (Whale Capitulation Buy)

📈 Entry Signal (Whale Capitulation Buy)

Price down ≥15% from 24-HOUR high AND Volume ≥ 3× 20-period average
→ BUY - Whale capitulation detected, bigger picture dump

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: 12 hours (half-day bounce window)
Risk/Reward: 1.67:1 (5% target / 3% stop)

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

DUMP_THRESHOLD_PCT: 15%
VOLUME_MULTIPLIER: 3
VOLUME_LOOKBACK: 20
LOOKBACK_BARS: 288
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: 3%
MAX_HOLD_HOURS: 12

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Blockchain analysts tracking large wallets and capitulation events

By 2011, analysts realized they could track large wallets. The original "follow the whale" thesis seemed logical—but backtesting 2024-2026 data revealed it was a consistent loser. BENED refined the strategy to buy whale CAPITULATION instead of whale accumulation.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Year: May 6, 2025 May 6, 2026 (365 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 1Y Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 SHIBUSD 29 +18.08% $18,000 $21,255 8 50% $4,365 +$3,254 -31.6% 2.6h -
2 ETHUSD +4.39% $10,527 $10,989 3 67% $869 +$462 -12.7% 3.1h -
3 BTCUSD +1.49% $10,555 $10,712 2 50% $259 +$157 -3.5% 1.2h -
4 DOTUSD 5 +1.22% $8,376 $8,478 12 50% $2,335 +$102 -31.1% 3.2h -
5 SOLUSD 15 -0.90% $12,291 $12,181 8 50% $1,706 -$111 -15.6% 3.4h -
6 PEPEUSD 22 -10.90% $19,430 $17,312 23 48% $23,826 -$2,118 -60.1% 3.5h -
7 LINKUSD 3 -11.81% $10,163 $8,963 11 27% $2,396 -$1,200 -30.8% 3.4h -
8 UNIUSD 12 -13.56% $11,910 $10,295 21 48% $3,507 -$1,615 -42.4% 3.8h -
9 AVAXUSD 4 -14.32% $9,330 $7,994 8 25% $2,674 -$1,336 -45.2% 2.8h -
10 DOGEUSD 16 -14.97% $13,939 $11,852 14 29% $3,168 -$2,087 -32.2% 4.2h -
11 LTCUSD 3 -16.88% $8,063 $6,702 10 40% $1,601 -$1,361 -49.6% 3.3h -
12 XRPUSD 17 -17.08% $13,997 $11,607 8 38% $2,071 -$2,391 -31.3% 2.0h -

👤 Personality

Obsessive researcher. Originally followed whale accumulation, but learned the hard way that buying INTO volume spikes means buying tops. Now waits for capitulation.