Back to Compendium
Marcus Credit Crisis
57

Marcus Credit Crisis

The Bond Market Vulture

💀 Reversal 📅 0 years old (Born 2026)

"The bond market panics before the stock market. When credit spreads blow out and quality tech is deep below its moving average, you're buying tomorrow's recovery at yesterday's fire-sale price."

A cold-blooded vulture who circles when the bond market is bleeding. Monitors credit spreads like vital signs — when they spike past P75 and quality names are deep below their EMA, this trader descends.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

May 6, 2025 May 6, 2026 (365d)

📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Marcus Credit Crisis's performance over the last year across 9 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$12,422
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $11,523 (+$899)
+7.80%
Last Year ROI
53.9%
Win Rate
49
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+4.7%
1 Month
-0.9%
3 Months
-0.9%
6 Months
-0.9%
YTD
+7.8%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last Year)

Combined P&L across all 9 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Marcus RSI<30 mean reversion, filtered to entries when Credit Spread > P75 AND price is deep below 21-day EMA. 8 quality names including AMZN, META, ISRG, MSFT.

Marcus RSI<30 mean reversion, filtered to entries when Credit Spread > P75 AND price is deep below 21-day EMA. 8 quality names including AMZN, META, ISRG, MSFT.

🎯 Best Suited For

Quality tech reversals during credit stress — AMZN, META, ISRG, CSCO, MSFT

"When bonds scream, buy stocks."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

The bond market panics before the stock market. When credit spreads blow out and quality tech is deep below its moving average, you're buying tomorrow's recovery at yesterday's fire-sale price.

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Marcus Pro Discovery — Credit Crisis archetype. When high-yield credit spreads spike AND quality names are deep below their EMA, it's maximum fear on maximum discount. These trades have the highest average returns in the entire oracle dataset.

Marcus Pro Discovery — Credit Crisis archetype. When high-yield credit spreads spike AND quality names are deep below their EMA, it's maximum fear on maximum discount. These trades have the highest average returns in the entire oracle dataset.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Year: May 6, 2025 May 6, 2026 (365 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 1Y Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 DIS 22 +25.74% $9,333 $11,735 5 80% - +$2,402 -0.0% 9.7d -
2 AMZN 32 +19.29% $10,799 $12,882 5 60% - +$2,083 -0.0% 7.7d -
3 CSCO 8 +12.49% $9,065 $10,197 4 75% - +$1,132 -0.0% 11.8d -
4 META 27 +11.20% $11,037 $12,273 7 57% - +$1,236 -0.0% 5.0d -
5 MSFT 51 +9.63% $14,628 $16,036 5 60% - +$1,409 -0.0% 12.6d -
6 XLK 4 +6.43% $8,572 $9,123 6 50% - +$551 -0.0% 9.3d -
7 CRWD 53 -1.00% $17,776 $17,598 7 43% - -$178 -0.0% 3.9d -
8 ISRG 22 -5.01% $12,115 $11,508 5 40% - -$607 -0.0% 8.0d -
9 VZ 4 -8.56% $10,380 $9,492 5 20% - -$889 -0.0% 15.3d -

👤 Personality

A cold-blooded vulture who circles when the bond market is bleeding. Monitors credit spreads like vital signs — when they spike past P75 and quality names are deep below their EMA, this trader descends.