Back to Compendium
Marcus Credit Crisis
57

Marcus Credit Crisis

The Bond Market Vulture

💀 Reversal 📅 0 years old (Born 2026)

"The bond market panics before the stock market. When credit spreads blow out and quality tech is deep below its moving average, you're buying tomorrow's recovery at yesterday's fire-sale price."

A cold-blooded vulture who circles when the bond market is bleeding. Monitors credit spreads like vital signs — when they spike past P75 and quality names are deep below their EMA, this trader descends.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Jan 1, 2026 May 6, 2026 (124d)

📊 Year to Date Performance: Showing Marcus Credit Crisis's performance over the year to date across 9 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$12,330
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $12,442 ($-112)
-0.90%
Year to Date ROI
34.3%
Win Rate
24
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+4.7%
1 Month
-0.9%
3 Months
-0.9%
6 Months
-0.9%
YTD
+7.8%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Year to Date)

Combined P&L across all 9 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Marcus RSI<30 mean reversion, filtered to entries when Credit Spread > P75 AND price is deep below 21-day EMA. 8 quality names including AMZN, META, ISRG, MSFT.

Marcus RSI<30 mean reversion, filtered to entries when Credit Spread > P75 AND price is deep below 21-day EMA. 8 quality names including AMZN, META, ISRG, MSFT.

🎯 Best Suited For

Quality tech reversals during credit stress — AMZN, META, ISRG, CSCO, MSFT

"When bonds scream, buy stocks."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

The bond market panics before the stock market. When credit spreads blow out and quality tech is deep below its moving average, you're buying tomorrow's recovery at yesterday's fire-sale price.

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Marcus Pro Discovery — Credit Crisis archetype. When high-yield credit spreads spike AND quality names are deep below their EMA, it's maximum fear on maximum discount. These trades have the highest average returns in the entire oracle dataset.

Marcus Pro Discovery — Credit Crisis archetype. When high-yield credit spreads spike AND quality names are deep below their EMA, it's maximum fear on maximum discount. These trades have the highest average returns in the entire oracle dataset.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Year to Date: Jan 1, 2026 May 6, 2026 (124 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return YTD Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 AMZN 32 +2.87% $12,522 $12,882 3 33% - +$359 -0.0% 7.7d -
2 CSCO 8 +1.99% $9,998 $10,197 2 50% - +$199 -0.0% 11.8d -
3 DIS 22 +1.68% $11,541 $11,735 2 50% - +$194 -0.0% 9.7d -
4 ISRG 22 +1.52% $11,336 $11,508 2 50% - +$172 -0.0% 8.0d -
5 XLK 4 -0.47% $9,166 $9,123 3 33% - -$43 -0.0% 9.3d -
6 MSFT 51 -0.53% $16,122 $16,036 3 33% - -$85 -0.0% 12.6d -
7 CRWD 53 -3.21% $18,182 $17,598 3 33% - -$584 -0.0% 3.9d -
8 META 27 -4.53% $12,855 $12,273 4 25% - -$582 -0.0% 5.0d -
9 VZ 4 -7.43% $10,254 $9,492 2 0% - -$762 -0.0% 15.3d -

👤 Personality

A cold-blooded vulture who circles when the bond market is bleeding. Monitors credit spreads like vital signs — when they spike past P75 and quality names are deep below their EMA, this trader descends.