Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

📊 View Performance: 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months YTD 1 Year 2 Years

Jan 14, 2026 → Feb 14, 2026 (31 days)

🎯 Asset Class: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All Assets 114

📊 Last Month Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the last month across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$12,363

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $12,688 ($-325)

-2.56%

Last Month ROI

49.1%

Win Rate

840

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Last Month)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last Month)

Stock Volume

$7,015,752

505 trades

Stock Fees

✓ Commission FREE

Crypto Volume

$1,424,617

335 trades

Crypto Fees

$3,562

0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

                        RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))                    

                            RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)                        

                            Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14                        

                            Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14

                    📁 calculateRSI() 
                    @ lines 404-448                

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size

2 Upper wick ≤ body size

3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

                        RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE                    

→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        RSI_PERIOD:
                        14
                    

                        RSI_OVERSOLD:
                        30
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        5%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -10%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        30
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Month)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Month)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Month: Jan 14, 2026 → Feb 14, 2026 (31 days)

Rank	Symbol	Return	1M Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	UVXY	+32.07%	$10,665	$14,085	10	70%	-	+$3,420	-50.0%	1.6d	✓	-
2	GILD	+25.35%	$12,325	$15,450	5	100%	-	+$3,124	-20.9%	10.3d	✓	-
3	SOXL	+22.02%	$53,934	$65,810	10	50%	-	+$11,876	-36.3%	1.6d	✓	-
4	MRNA	+18.67%	$4,406	$5,229	10	60%	-	+$823	-73.8%	2.3d	✓	-
5	RIOT	+18.31%	$7,258	$8,587	12	58%	-	+$1,329	-51.3%	1.3d	✓	-
6	GLD	+17.65%	$21,662	$25,486	5	80%	-	+$3,823	-6.1%	15.7d	✓	-
7	CSCO	+16.88%	$18,462	$21,579	3	100%	-	+$3,116	-9.1%	15.2d	✓	-
8	NIO	+16.06%	$4,903	$5,690	5	80%	-	+$787	-51.1%	2.6d	✓	-
9	XLE	+15.46%	$9,468	$10,932	3	100%	-	+$1,464	-24.7%	12.5d	✓	-
10	AMGN	+15.43%	$9,561	$11,037	3	100%	-	+$1,475	-28.3%	11.3d	✓	-
11	ARM	+15.11%	$12,695	$14,614	6	67%	-	+$1,918	-31.3%	2.7d	✓	-
12	MU	+12.96%	$38,376	$43,350	8	63%	-	+$4,974	-27.8%	3.5d	✓	-
13	INTC	+12.57%	$7,162	$8,062	8	63%	-	+$900	-58.2%	3.6d	✓	-
14	SLV	+12.32%	$23,046	$25,885	9	56%	-	+$2,839	-21.6%	7.3d	✓	-
15	XOM	+12.13%	$11,253	$12,618	3	100%	-	+$1,365	-18.5%	11.9d	✓	-
16	COP	+12.00%	$10,308	$11,545	5	80%	-	+$1,237	-20.6%	9.4d	✓	-
17	VZ	+11.49%	$10,679	$11,906	3	67%	-	+$1,227	-14.2%	14.1d	✓	-
18	PFE	+10.99%	$8,596	$9,541	3	100%	-	+$945	-23.5%	10.8d	✓	-
19	CMCSA	+10.83%	$6,953	$7,705	4	75%	-	+$753	-36.1%	11.9d	✓	-
20	PG	+10.72%	$8,893	$9,847	3	67%	-	+$953	-24.4%	16.2d	✓	-
21	JNJ	+10.47%	$13,689	$15,122	4	100%	-	+$1,433	-13.8%	16.3d	✓	-
22	PEP	+10.27%	$8,915	$9,830	4	75%	-	+$916	-23.1%	16.8d	✓	-
23	GME	+10.15%	$13,149	$14,483	6	50%	-	+$1,335	-32.0%	2.9d	✓	-
24	CVX	+10.09%	$12,850	$14,147	2	100%	-	+$1,297	-13.5%	13.2d	✓	-
25	MCD	+9.98%	$10,375	$11,410	3	67%	-	+$1,035	-12.9%	16.0d	✓	-
26	KO	+9.62%	$12,661	$13,879	3	67%	-	+$1,218	-13.1%	18.7d	✓	-
27	SLB	+9.40%	$13,305	$14,556	5	80%	-	+$1,251	-22.2%	8.1d	✓	-
28	USO	+8.49%	$12,004	$13,023	5	80%	-	+$1,019	-18.0%	8.8d	✓	-
29	SCHW	+8.45%	$14,789	$16,039	2	100%	-	+$1,250	-10.8%	11.7d	✓	-
30	BAC	+8.45%	$12,546	$13,606	3	67%	-	+$1,060	-21.4%	9.5d	✓	-
31	VXX	+8.24%	$13,258	$14,350	7	57%	-	+$1,092	-32.2%	2.9d	✓	-
32	MRK	+8.05%	$7,683	$8,302	2	50%	-	+$619	-45.0%	9.8d	✓	-
33	SQQQ	+7.94%	$5,283	$5,702	7	57%	-	+$419	-66.3%	2.8d	✓	-
34	META	+7.35%	$15,547	$16,689	6	33%	-	+$1,143	-26.1%	6.9d	✓	-
35	C	+7.10%	$15,660	$16,771	5	40%	-	+$1,112	-29.6%	8.3d	✓	-
36	VRTX	+7.07%	$12,094	$12,949	3	67%	-	+$855	-25.6%	10.7d	✓	-
37	SNOW	+6.98%	$17,091	$18,284	6	50%	-	+$1,193	-43.4%	4.9d	✓	-
38	OXY	+6.34%	$13,016	$13,841	4	75%	-	+$825	-28.6%	8.2d	✓	-
39	AAPL	+6.33%	$13,946	$14,829	4	50%	-	+$883	-21.5%	10.1d	✓	-
40	REGN	+5.93%	$8,173	$8,657	3	67%	-	+$485	-50.1%	7.6d	✓	-
41	BMY	+5.73%	$9,079	$9,599	4	50%	-	+$520	-28.4%	7.9d	✓	-
42	BIIB	+5.54%	$6,513	$6,874	4	75%	-	+$361	-46.7%	7.5d	✓	-
43	MDT	+4.52%	$13,174	$13,770	3	67%	-	+$595	-12.1%	13.7d	✓	-
44	SOLUSD 🚫 PROBATION ₿	+4.38%	$10,092	$10,534	8	50%	$451	+$442	-99.5%	21.3h	1	Feb 6, 2026 22d left
45	WFC	+4.19%	$11,912	$12,411	4	50%	-	+$499	-25.5%	8.9d	✓	-
46	AMC	+4.14%	$4,144	$4,316	10	40%	-	+$172	-59.9%	2.4d	✓	-
47	SPXU	+4.04%	$8,380	$8,719	5	60%	-	+$339	-30.0%	5.6d	✓	-
48	IWM	+3.49%	$13,200	$13,661	3	67%	-	+$461	-23.6%	13.7d	✓	-
49	NET	+3.11%	$20,040	$20,663	7	43%	-	+$623	-33.4%	4.1d	✓	-
50	COST	+2.95%	$14,989	$15,431	3	67%	-	+$442	-19.7%	13.0d	✓	-
51	NVDA	+2.83%	$16,085	$16,540	5	40%	-	+$455	-43.7%	3.8d	✓	-
52	WMT	+2.58%	$18,826	$19,312	3	67%	-	+$486	-17.6%	14.4d	✓	-
53	AMD	+2.12%	$12,131	$12,388	6	67%	-	+$257	-43.0%	3.3d	✓	-
54	HD	+1.75%	$10,913	$11,104	1	100%	-	+$191	-19.9%	12.1d	✓	-
55	DIA	+1.42%	$11,627	$11,792	1	100%	-	+$165	-20.7%	20.9d	✓	-
56	XLK	+1.29%	$12,616	$12,779	2	50%	-	+$163	-25.5%	11.5d	✓	-
57	IBM	+1.26%	$17,171	$17,388	5	40%	-	+$216	-17.7%	10.0d	✓	-
58	QQQ	+0.83%	$12,976	$13,083	3	67%	-	+$108	-29.6%	15.7d	✓	-
59	BLK	+0.60%	$13,465	$13,546	4	50%	-	+$81	-17.2%	12.3d	✓	-
60	BRK-B	+0.41%	$12,669	$12,721	3	33%	-	+$52	-15.7%	16.3d	✓	-
61	VTI	+0.38%	$13,744	$13,797	2	50%	-	+$52	-16.1%	20.8d	✓	-
62	XLF	+0.33%	$14,676	$14,724	1	100%	-	+$48	-11.5%	17.6d	✓	-
63	VOO	+0.30%	$13,504	$13,545	2	50%	-	+$41	-15.4%	18.9d	✓	-
64	SPY	+0.26%	$13,809	$13,845	2	50%	-	+$36	-12.7%	18.7d	✓	-
65	TLT	+0.08%	$7,568	$7,574	1	100%	-	+$6	-27.7%	20.2d	✓	-
66	GOOGL	-0.28%	$20,108	$20,052	3	67%	-	-$56	-25.2%	7.9d	✓	-
67	AXP	-1.23%	$14,403	$14,226	2	50%	-	-$177	-27.6%	10.6d	✓	-
68	MA	-1.39%	$13,797	$13,606	3	33%	-	-$192	-11.3%	13.9d	✓	-
69	GS	-1.43%	$21,974	$21,660	3	33%	-	-$314	-15.7%	9.6d	✓	-
70	PM	-1.45%	$15,209	$14,988	2	50%	-	-$221	-21.9%	12.3d	✓	-
71	JPM	-1.85%	$18,540	$18,197	4	25%	-	-$343	-20.8%	10.9d	✓	-
72	MSFT	-2.73%	$15,470	$15,048	7	29%	-	-$422	-21.2%	13.3d	✓	-
73	ADBE	-3.10%	$7,275	$7,049	7	29%	-	-$226	-42.0%	8.2d	✓	-
74	ABBV	-3.36%	$13,064	$12,625	4	50%	-	-$439	-17.7%	11.9d	✓	-
75	V	-3.48%	$12,586	$12,148	2	0%	-	-$438	-14.4%	14.2d	✓	-
76	DIS	-4.36%	$11,921	$11,401	3	33%	-	-$520	-24.9%	11.6d	✓	-
77	LLY	-4.39%	$14,565	$13,926	5	20%	-	-$639	-36.7%	6.7d	✓	-
78	MS	-5.72%	$12,270	$11,568	4	25%	-	-$702	-29.2%	9.0d	✓	-
79	SMCI	-6.35%	$1,941	$1,818	8	25%	-	-$123	-88.9%	1.9d	✓	-
80	ISRG	-6.36%	$12,317	$11,533	5	20%	-	-$783	-35.0%	8.4d	✓	-
81	PLTR	-7.74%	$47,665	$43,976	8	25%	-	-$3,689	-28.0%	2.8d	✓	-
82	TQQQ	-7.84%	$10,532	$9,707	6	33%	-	-$826	-40.9%	3.1d	✓	-
83	TSLA	-8.69%	$14,051	$12,830	5	20%	-	-$1,221	-34.1%	2.9d	✓	-
84	AVGO	-8.90%	$14,455	$13,169	6	17%	-	-$1,287	-27.0%	3.7d	✓	-
85	MARA	-9.20%	$7,300	$6,629	12	33%	-	-$672	-58.2%	1.3d	✓	-
86	RBLX	-9.92%	$14,348	$12,925	10	30%	-	-$1,423	-46.8%	3.9d	✓	-
87	DKNG	-10.13%	$7,606	$6,835	7	29%	-	-$770	-50.2%	4.1d	✓	-
88	AMZN	-10.18%	$16,985	$15,256	6	17%	-	-$1,729	-18.5%	8.3d	✓	-
89	ACN	-10.62%	$6,178	$5,521	5	20%	-	-$656	-45.0%	9.3d	✓	-
90	CRWD	-11.28%	$24,883	$22,076	5	20%	-	-$2,807	-24.8%	4.4d	✓	-
91	NFLX	-11.96%	$22,945	$20,201	4	25%	-	-$2,744	-32.4%	9.5d	✓	-
92	RIVN	-12.04%	$5,619	$4,942	9	22%	-	-$676	-51.0%	2.2d	✓	-
93	PANW	-12.05%	$15,376	$13,523	4	0%	-	-$1,853	-29.0%	7.1d	✓	-
94	TMO	-12.05%	$10,499	$9,234	4	0%	-	-$1,265	-28.6%	11.0d	✓	-
95	CRM	-12.30%	$9,219	$8,085	7	29%	-	-$1,134	-48.1%	7.3d	✓	-
96	ARKK	-12.48%	$10,982	$9,612	6	17%	-	-$1,371	-26.4%	5.4d	✓	-
97	SOFI	-13.30%	$19,453	$16,866	6	17%	-	-$2,587	-35.6%	2.7d	✓	-
98	LCID	-15.94%	$16,917	$14,221	9	22%	-	-$2,697	-38.4%	1.9d	✓	-
99	UNH	-17.62%	$5,644	$4,649	5	40%	-	-$994	-54.0%	7.3d	✓	-
100	ORCL	-18.83%	$14,619	$11,867	10	10%	-	-$2,753	-51.2%	5.2d	✓	-
101	COIN	-21.83%	$9,329	$7,293	10	20%	-	-$2,037	-53.5%	1.8d	✓	-
102	PYPL	-22.50%	$11,193	$8,675	5	20%	-	-$2,518	-35.9%	7.8d	✓	-
103	HOOD	-22.55%	$14,006	$10,848	8	13%	-	-$3,158	-45.6%	2.2d	✓	-
104	DOGEUSD 🚫 PROBATION ₿	-31.15%	$10,100	$6,954	19	26%	$804	-$3,146	-99.3%	18.0h	1	Jan 31, 2026 16d left
105	BTCUSD ₿	-34.10%	$4,775	$3,147	18	17%	$12,317	-$1,628	-78.6%	2.4d	✓	-
106	LTCUSD ₿	-37.69%	$835	$520	25	28%	$10,334	-$315	-95.7%	1.1d	✓	-
107	SHIBUSD ₿	-43.52%	$10,181	$5,750	32	22%	$2,072	-$4,431	-99.5%	19.9h	1	Dec 18, 2025
108	AVAXUSD ₿	-44.51%	$3,346	$1,856	27	19%	$8,446	-$1,489	-99.1%	18.6h	1	Jun 22, 2025
109	XRPUSD ₿	-46.67%	$689	$367	33	24%	$12,753	-$321	-96.4%	1.1d	✓	-
110	PEPEUSD ₿	-47.35%	$11,960	$6,297	43	26%	$3,575	-$5,663	-99.9%	10.8h	1	Dec 18, 2025
111	ETHUSD ₿	-48.17%	$590	$306	29	17%	$9,854	-$284	-98.0%	1.4d	✓	-
112	UNIUSD ₿	-49.61%	$4,176	$2,105	37	19%	$5,164	-$2,072	-99.3%	16.8h	1	Sep 25, 2025
113	LINKUSD ₿	-50.46%	$10,180	$5,043	29	17%	$2,274	-$5,137	-99.3%	19.5h	1	Dec 1, 2025
114	DOTUSD ₿	-55.18%	$4,351	$1,950	35	20%	$8,512	-$2,401	-99.1%	21.7h	1	Jun 21, 2025

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.