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Marcus Reversal
1

Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

May 23, 2026 Jun 23, 2026 (31d)

📊 Last Month Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the last month across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$13,138
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $13,349 ($-211)
-1.58%
Last Month ROI
35.8%
Win Rate
532
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

-1.6%
1 Month
+1.4%
3 Months
+0.3%
6 Months
+1.6%
YTD
+10.6%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last Month)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last Month)

Stock Volume
$7,483,881
473 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$55,638
59 trades
Crypto Fees
$139
0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))
RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)
Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14
Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14
📁 calculateRSI() @ lines 404-448

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size
2 Upper wick ≤ body size
3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE
→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

RSI_PERIOD: 14
RSI_OVERSOLD: 30
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -10%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 30

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Month)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Month)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Month: May 23, 2026 Jun 23, 2026 (31 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 1M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 SOXL 🔥 PRO 72 77 +34.52% $63,611 $85,569 10 60% - +$21,958 -36.3% 1.6d -
2 AMC 4 73🔥 +25.95% $4,351 $5,480 9 67% - +$1,129 -59.9% 2.4d -
3 SNOW 28 35 +22.35% $14,297 $17,493 8 38% - +$3,195 -43.4% 4.9d -
4 INTC 21 56🔥 +21.87% $11,361 $13,846 9 56% - +$2,485 -58.2% 3.6d -
5 MU 69 57 +21.64% $44,116 $53,662 10 60% - +$9,547 -27.8% 3.5d -
6 C 39 53 +17.33% $16,575 $19,448 3 100% - +$2,872 -29.6% 8.3d -
7 WFC 25 53🔥 +16.53% $11,361 $13,239 3 100% - +$1,878 -25.5% 8.9d -
8 AMD 38 31 +14.19% $21,655 $24,728 9 56% - +$3,073 -43.0% 3.3d -
9 RIOT 4 26🔥 +12.79% $7,337 $8,275 9 56% - +$938 -51.3% 1.3d -
10 BAC 30 +11.66% $13,137 $14,669 2 100% - +$1,532 -21.4% 9.5d -
11 ETHUSD 2 10 +11.59% $228 $254 18 28% $9,951 +$26 -98.0% 1.4d -
12 SOLUSD +9.96% $10,092 $11,098 NO ENTRY - $1,398 +$1,005 -99.5% 21.3h 1 Feb 6, 2026
13 XLK 38 32 +9.95% $16,198 $17,810 5 60% - +$1,612 -25.5% 11.5d -
14 MARA 4 9 +7.98% $4,328 $4,673 9 44% - +$345 -58.2% 1.3d -
15 PANW 34 12🧊 +7.69% $16,873 $18,171 5 60% - +$1,298 -29.0% 7.1d -
16 MS 25 31 +7.67% $12,707 $13,681 3 67% - +$975 -29.2% 9.0d -
17 SCHW 50 37 +7.49% $16,340 $17,564 4 75% - +$1,224 -10.8% 11.7d -
18 HD 5 30🔥 +7.02% $7,861 $8,413 3 67% - +$552 -19.9% 12.1d -
19 TQQQ 12 27 +7.01% $9,695 $10,374 8 50% - +$680 -40.9% 3.1d -
20 JPM 42 27 +6.56% $17,984 $19,164 3 67% - +$1,180 -20.8% 10.9d -
21 SPXU 4 24🔥 +6.14% $8,473 $8,994 6 50% - +$520 -30.0% 5.6d -
22 BRK-B 26 +5.44% $12,470 $13,148 2 100% - +$678 -15.7% 16.3d -
23 XRPUSD 3 10 +4.42% $248 $259 16 25% $12,834 +$11 -96.4% 1.1d -
24 SOFI 27 18 +4.29% $14,649 $15,278 7 43% - +$628 -35.6% 2.7d -
25 AXP 29 +3.70% $14,418 $14,952 2 50% - +$533 -27.6% 10.6d -
26 META 31 18 +3.58% $15,472 $16,026 6 50% - +$554 -26.1% 6.9d -
27 MDT 18 +3.29% $11,003 $11,365 2 50% - +$362 -12.1% 13.7d -
28 TLT 4 +3.23% $6,904 $7,127 1 100% - +$223 -27.7% 20.2d -
29 XLF 35 +2.78% $13,650 $14,029 1 100% - +$379 -11.5% 17.6d -
30 BLK 30 +2.61% $13,534 $13,887 2 50% - +$353 -17.2% 12.3d -
31 QQQ 36 +2.56% $15,685 $16,086 2 50% - +$402 -29.6% 15.7d -
32 TMO 4 +2.20% $8,040 $8,217 2 50% - +$177 -28.6% 11.0d -
33 VTI 38 +1.97% $14,539 $14,826 2 50% - +$286 -16.1% 20.8d -
34 IWM 25 +1.91% $13,920 $14,186 2 50% - +$266 -23.6% 13.7d -
35 VRTX 18 +1.87% $11,297 $11,508 2 50% - +$211 -25.6% 10.7d -
36 JNJ 36 +1.84% $15,089 $15,367 2 50% - +$278 -13.8% 16.3d -
37 RIVN 4 23 +1.76% $5,875 $5,979 9 44% - +$103 -51.0% 2.2d -
38 WMT 39 +1.71% $17,259 $17,554 2 50% - +$295 -17.6% 14.4d -
39 DIA 24 +1.69% $11,641 $11,837 1 100% - +$197 -20.7% 20.9d -
40 VOO 39 +1.62% $14,935 $15,176 1 100% - +$242 -15.4% 18.9d -
41 SPY 43 +1.62% $15,325 $15,573 1 100% - +$248 -12.7% 18.7d -
42 UNH 6 +1.58% $6,143 $6,240 2 50% - +$97 -54.0% 7.3d -
43 ARKK 23 8 +1.49% $13,039 $13,233 5 40% - +$194 -26.4% 5.4d -
44 GME 23 6 +1.13% $14,193 $14,354 4 25% - +$160 -32.0% 2.9d -
45 LLY 18 6 +0.79% $11,744 $11,836 5 40% - +$93 -36.7% 6.7d -
46 CSCO 71 3🧊 +0.62% $30,100 $30,286 3 33% - +$187 -9.1% 15.2d -
47 VXX 23 20 +0.62% $13,611 $13,695 5 40% - +$84 -32.2% 2.9d -
48 GS 53 5🧊 +0.51% $21,263 $21,371 5 40% - +$108 -15.7% 9.6d -
49 MCD 15 -0.19% $10,211 $10,191 2 50% - -$19 -12.9% 16.0d -
50 PG 4 -0.43% $9,107 $9,068 1 0% - -$39 -24.4% 16.2d -
51 KO 30 3🧊 -0.77% $13,248 $13,146 4 50% - -$102 -13.1% 18.7d -
52 BMY 5 0 -1.06% $8,974 $8,879 3 33% - -$95 -28.4% 7.9d -
53 REGN 5 0 -1.10% $5,886 $5,821 3 33% - -$65 -50.1% 7.6d -
54 VZ 22 0🧊 -1.12% $12,317 $12,179 3 33% - -$138 -14.2% 14.1d -
55 NET 54 5🧊 -1.18% $31,005 $30,639 7 43% - -$366 -33.4% 4.1d -
56 ARM 38 17🧊 -1.20% $20,819 $20,569 10 40% - -$250 -31.3% 2.7d -
57 ABBV 23 0🧊 -1.22% $12,369 $12,218 3 33% - -$151 -17.7% 11.9d -
58 MA 27 -1.23% $12,561 $12,406 3 33% - -$154 -11.3% 13.9d -
59 MRNA 5 14 -1.48% $8,854 $8,723 8 38% - -$131 -73.8% 2.3d -
60 LTCUSD 2 9 -1.49% $406 $400 12 25% $10,423 -$6 -95.7% 1.1d -
61 TSLA 28 3🧊 -1.62% $15,756 $15,501 6 33% - -$255 -34.1% 2.9d -
62 DIS 16 0 -1.62% $11,392 $11,207 3 33% - -$185 -24.9% 11.6d -
63 GILD 25 0🧊 -2.10% $13,840 $13,549 3 33% - -$291 -20.9% 10.3d -
64 SLB 33 7🧊 -2.15% $15,571 $15,236 6 33% - -$335 -22.2% 8.1d -
65 RBLX 17 17 -2.21% $10,561 $10,327 5 40% - -$233 -46.8% 3.9d -
66 V 19 -2.97% $12,266 $11,902 1 0% - -$364 -14.4% 14.2d -
67 NVDA 35 3🧊 -3.07% $21,216 $20,565 6 33% - -$651 -43.7% 3.8d -
68 BIIB 4 -3.08% $6,596 $6,393 1 0% - -$203 -46.7% 7.5d -
69 PEP 4 -3.16% $8,906 $8,625 1 0% - -$281 -23.1% 16.8d -
70 AAPL 38 -3.34% $18,687 $18,063 1 0% - -$624 -21.5% 10.1d -
71 AMGN 4 -3.46% $9,528 $9,198 1 0% - -$330 -28.3% 11.3d -
72 PFE 5 -3.84% $8,810 $8,472 2 0% - -$338 -23.5% 10.8d -
73 PM 22 0🧊 -3.90% $12,576 $12,086 4 25% - -$490 -21.9% 12.3d -
74 SMCI 4 7 -4.46% $1,813 $1,733 9 33% - -$81 -88.9% 1.9d -
75 PYPL 6 1 -4.71% $8,568 $8,165 4 25% - -$404 -35.9% 7.8d -
76 COST 31 0🧊 -4.85% $15,909 $15,137 4 25% - -$772 -19.7% 13.0d -
77 UVXY 18 5 -5.39% $13,163 $12,454 7 29% - -$710 -50.0% 1.6d -
78 COP 16 1 -5.43% $11,747 $11,109 4 25% - -$638 -20.6% 9.4d -
79 HOOD 5 5 -5.60% $8,204 $7,744 8 38% - -$459 -45.6% 2.2d -
80 LINKUSD -5.86% $5,695 $5,361 NO ENTRY - $2,618 -$334 -99.3% 19.5h 1 Dec 1, 2025
81 BTCUSD 4 10 -5.86% $3,235 $3,046 13 23% $12,916 -$190 -78.6% 2.4d -
82 GLD 66 0🧊 -5.92% $24,160 $22,730 4 25% - -$1,430 -6.1% 15.7d -
83 CVX 35 1🧊 -6.68% $15,888 $14,827 4 25% - -$1,061 -13.5% 13.2d -
84 MSFT 29 1🧊 -6.70% $15,138 $14,123 5 20% - -$1,014 -21.2% 13.3d -
85 MRK 4 1 -7.11% $8,306 $7,715 4 25% - -$591 -45.0% 9.8d -
86 AVGO 26 5🧊 -8.47% $15,853 $14,511 7 43% - -$1,343 -27.0% 3.7d -
87 CMCSA 5 0 -9.03% $5,796 $5,273 3 0% - -$523 -36.1% 11.9d -
88 LCID 15 9 -9.05% $12,212 $11,107 10 30% - -$1,105 -38.4% 1.9d -
89 COIN 5 6 -9.10% $6,806 $6,187 8 25% - -$619 -53.5% 1.8d -
90 GOOGL 55 -9.25% $28,260 $25,646 3 0% - -$2,614 -25.2% 7.9d -
91 XLE 5 0 -9.28% $10,623 $9,638 3 0% - -$986 -24.7% 12.5d -
92 ORCL 15 5 -9.79% $11,964 $10,792 8 38% - -$1,171 -51.2% 5.2d -
93 AMZN 36 3🧊 -9.85% $18,262 $16,464 6 17% - -$1,799 -18.5% 8.3d -
94 DKNG 4 3 -9.87% $7,594 $6,844 6 17% - -$749 -50.2% 4.1d -
95 CRWD 57 3🧊 -10.13% $32,797 $29,474 6 33% - -$3,322 -24.8% 4.4d -
96 NIO 4 3 -10.80% $6,998 $6,242 6 17% - -$756 -51.1% 2.6d -
97 ADBE 4 3 -10.95% $5,828 $5,190 6 17% - -$638 -42.0% 8.2d -
98 SLV 69 2🧊 -11.00% $35,125 $31,262 5 20% - -$3,864 -21.6% 7.3d -
99 CRM 5 3 -11.14% $7,624 $6,775 6 17% - -$849 -48.1% 7.3d -
100 XOM 20 0 -12.02% $13,240 $11,648 3 0% - -$1,591 -18.5% 11.9d -
101 USO 23 3 -12.10% $13,874 $12,195 6 17% - -$1,679 -18.0% 8.8d -
102 ISRG 4 1 -12.14% $10,372 $9,113 4 0% - -$1,259 -35.0% 8.4d -
103 OXY 32 3🧊 -12.51% $18,694 $16,355 6 17% - -$2,339 -28.6% 8.2d -
104 NFLX 37 0🧊 -12.67% $22,002 $19,214 4 0% - -$2,788 -32.4% 9.5d -
105 UNIUSD -12.94% $2,391 $2,081 NO ENTRY - $5,345 -$309 -99.3% 16.8h 1 Sep 25, 2025
106 ACN 3 3 -13.67% $4,198 $3,624 7 14% - -$574 -45.0% 9.3d -
107 IBM 33 5🧊 -14.16% $17,899 $15,365 7 14% - -$2,535 -17.7% 10.0d -
108 AVAXUSD -14.19% $2,161 $1,854 NO ENTRY - $8,581 -$307 -99.1% 18.6h 1 Jun 22, 2025
109 SQQQ 3 6 -19.53% $4,271 $3,437 8 13% - -$834 -66.3% 2.8d -
110 PLTR 66 6🧊 -19.76% $53,152 $42,649 9 11% - -$10,503 -28.0% 2.8d -
111 SHIBUSD -24.33% $6,981 $5,282 NO ENTRY - $2,493 -$1,698 -99.5% 19.9h 1 Dec 18, 2025
112 DOTUSD -27.17% $2,427 $1,767 NO ENTRY - $8,684 -$659 -99.1% 21.7h 1 Jun 21, 2025
113 DOGEUSD -31.75% $9,125 $6,228 NO ENTRY - $1,312 -$2,897 -99.3% 18.0h 1 Jan 31, 2026
114 PEPEUSD -34.56% $7,379 $4,829 NO ENTRY - $4,168 -$2,550 -99.9% 10.8h 1 Dec 18, 2025

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.