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Marcus Reversal
1

Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

📊 View Performance: 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months YTD 1 Year 2 Years
Feb 15, 2025 → Feb 15, 2026 (365 days)
🎯 Asset Class: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All Assets 114

📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the last year across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$12,189
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $11,893 (+$295)
+2.48%
Last Year ROI
42.4%
Win Rate
6,562
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

-2.5%
1 Month
-1.9%
3 Months
+2.1%
6 Months
-1.1%
YTD
+2.5%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last Year)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last Year)

Stock Volume
$60,804,833
4,805 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$8,059,050
1,757 trades
Crypto Fees
$20,148
0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))
RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)
Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14
Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14
📁 calculateRSI() @ lines 404-448

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size
2 Upper wick ≤ body size
3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE
→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

RSI_PERIOD: 14
RSI_OVERSOLD: 30
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -10%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 30

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

SOXL
+183.1%
98 trades
MU
+142.3%
72 trades
SLV
+132.2%
44 trades
UVXY
+92.9%
103 trades
GLD
+86.8%
25 trades
SNOW
+74.8%
57 trades
CSCO
+63.9%
25 trades
JNJ
+52.9%
24 trades
GOOGL
+52.7%
40 trades
SLB
+51.4%
38 trades

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

XRPUSD ₿
-92.1%
289 trades
ETHUSD ₿
-85.6%
262 trades
AVAXUSD ₿
-81.6%
216 trades
DOTUSD ₿
-80.7%
217 trades
UNIUSD ₿
-79.2%
169 trades

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Year: Feb 15, 2025 → Feb 15, 2026 (365 days)
Rank Symbol Return 1Y Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund
1 SOXL +183.11% $23,246 $65,810 98 52% - +$42,565 -36.3% 1.6d ✓ -
2 MU +142.31% $17,890 $43,350 72 51% - +$25,460 -27.8% 3.5d ✓ -
3 SLV +132.21% $11,147 $25,885 44 61% - +$14,738 -21.6% 7.3d ✓ -
4 UVXY +92.93% $7,301 $14,085 103 45% - +$6,784 -50.0% 1.6d ✓ -
5 GLD +86.77% $13,646 $25,486 25 76% - +$11,840 -6.1% 15.7d ✓ -
6 SNOW +74.79% $10,461 $18,284 57 46% - +$7,823 -43.4% 4.9d ✓ -
7 CSCO +63.93% $13,163 $21,579 25 64% - +$8,415 -9.1% 15.2d ✓ -
8 JNJ +52.94% $9,888 $15,122 24 67% - +$5,235 -13.8% 16.3d ✓ -
9 GOOGL +52.72% $13,130 $20,052 40 53% - +$6,922 -25.2% 7.9d ✓ -
10 SLB +51.43% $9,612 $14,556 38 50% - +$4,944 -22.2% 8.1d ✓ -
11 AMD +41.01% $8,785 $12,388 71 45% - +$3,603 -43.0% 3.3d ✓ -
12 OXY +32.79% $10,423 $13,841 45 47% - +$3,418 -28.6% 8.2d ✓ -
13 NVDA +30.98% $12,628 $16,540 55 44% - +$3,912 -43.7% 3.8d ✓ -
14 GS +30.28% $16,626 $21,660 40 50% - +$5,034 -15.7% 9.6d ✓ -
15 MDT +30.17% $10,578 $13,770 25 60% - +$3,192 -12.1% 13.7d ✓ -
16 NET +29.39% $15,970 $20,663 69 43% - +$4,694 -33.4% 4.1d ✓ -
17 SOFI +28.19% $13,157 $16,866 85 42% - +$3,709 -35.6% 2.7d ✓ -
18 CVX +26.94% $11,145 $14,147 24 50% - +$3,002 -13.5% 13.2d ✓ -
19 SCHW +26.19% $12,710 $16,039 29 52% - +$3,329 -10.8% 11.7d ✓ -
20 IBM +26.06% $13,793 $17,388 38 50% - +$3,595 -17.7% 10.0d ✓ -
21 C +24.46% $13,475 $16,771 39 46% - +$3,296 -29.6% 8.3d ✓ -
22 XOM +23.90% $10,184 $12,618 30 53% - +$2,434 -18.5% 11.9d ✓ -
23 GILD +22.11% $12,652 $15,450 35 46% - +$2,797 -20.9% 10.3d ✓ -
24 AAPL +21.42% $12,213 $14,829 34 47% - +$2,616 -21.5% 10.1d ✓ -
25 INTC +20.85% $6,671 $8,062 77 42% - +$1,391 -58.2% 3.6d ✓ -
26 XLK +19.97% $10,651 $12,779 29 48% - +$2,127 -25.5% 11.5d ✓ -
27 MSFT +16.63% $12,902 $15,048 28 46% - +$2,146 -21.2% 13.3d ✓ -
28 XLE +16.52% $9,382 $10,932 25 48% - +$1,550 -24.7% 12.5d ✓ -
29 RIOT +15.66% $7,424 $8,587 121 42% - +$1,163 -51.3% 1.3d ✓ -
30 MARA +15.63% $5,733 $6,629 110 40% - +$896 -58.2% 1.3d ✓ -
31 KO +15.31% $12,036 $13,879 17 53% - +$1,843 -13.1% 18.7d ✓ -
32 MRK +15.09% $7,213 $8,302 40 43% - +$1,089 -45.0% 9.8d ✓ -
33 PLTR +14.80% $38,307 $43,976 85 41% - +$5,669 -28.0% 2.8d ✓ -
34 PEP +14.19% $8,609 $9,830 19 47% - +$1,222 -23.1% 16.8d ✓ -
35 MRNA +13.55% $4,605 $5,229 97 41% - +$624 -73.8% 2.3d ✓ -
36 COP +13.22% $10,197 $11,545 37 43% - +$1,348 -20.6% 9.4d ✓ -
37 BLK +12.88% $12,000 $13,546 31 48% - +$1,546 -17.2% 12.3d ✓ -
38 BIIB +12.23% $6,125 $6,874 43 44% - +$749 -46.7% 7.5d ✓ -
39 VZ +11.93% $10,637 $11,906 27 41% - +$1,269 -14.2% 14.1d ✓ -
40 AMGN +11.75% $9,876 $11,037 31 45% - +$1,160 -28.3% 11.3d ✓ -
41 LLY +11.71% $12,466 $13,926 47 45% - +$1,460 -36.7% 6.7d ✓ -
42 SPY +11.68% $12,397 $13,845 21 52% - +$1,448 -12.7% 18.7d ✓ -
43 ABBV +10.88% $11,386 $12,625 34 44% - +$1,239 -17.7% 11.9d ✓ -
44 VTI +10.55% $12,480 $13,797 20 55% - +$1,317 -16.1% 20.8d ✓ -
45 XLF +9.88% $13,400 $14,724 23 52% - +$1,324 -11.5% 17.6d ✓ -
46 MCD +9.43% $10,427 $11,410 22 45% - +$983 -12.9% 16.0d ✓ -
47 VOO +9.14% $12,411 $13,545 21 52% - +$1,134 -15.4% 18.9d ✓ -
48 BAC +7.78% $12,624 $13,606 33 45% - +$982 -21.4% 9.5d ✓ -
49 USO +7.31% $12,136 $13,023 34 41% - +$887 -18.0% 8.8d ✓ -
50 IWM +7.07% $12,759 $13,661 24 46% - +$902 -23.6% 13.7d ✓ -
51 AVGO +6.96% $12,312 $13,169 65 37% - +$857 -27.0% 3.7d ✓ -
52 SPXU +6.07% $8,220 $8,719 37 43% - +$499 -30.0% 5.6d ✓ -
53 MA +5.39% $12,910 $13,606 28 43% - +$696 -11.3% 13.9d ✓ -
54 VRTX +5.12% $12,318 $12,949 32 47% - +$631 -25.6% 10.7d ✓ -
55 SOLUSD 🚫 PROBATION ₿ +4.38% $10,092 $10,534 8 50% $451 +$442 -99.5% 21.3h 1 Feb 6, 2026
21d left
56 CRWD +4.25% $21,176 $22,076 59 41% - +$900 -24.8% 4.4d ✓ -
57 PM +4.11% $14,396 $14,988 29 45% - +$592 -21.9% 12.3d ✓ -
58 PFE +4.01% $9,173 $9,541 29 45% - +$368 -23.5% 10.8d ✓ -
59 WMT +3.78% $18,609 $19,312 30 43% - +$703 -17.6% 14.4d ✓ -
60 TSLA +3.62% $12,382 $12,830 79 42% - +$448 -34.1% 2.9d ✓ -
61 LCID +2.38% $13,890 $14,221 96 36% - +$331 -38.4% 1.9d ✓ -
62 DIA +1.63% $11,603 $11,792 18 50% - +$189 -20.7% 20.9d ✓ -
63 QQQ +1.12% $12,938 $13,083 22 55% - +$145 -29.6% 15.7d ✓ -
64 BMY -0.23% $9,621 $9,599 40 40% - -$22 -28.4% 7.9d ✓ -
65 BRK-B -0.36% $12,767 $12,721 19 42% - -$46 -15.7% 16.3d ✓ -
66 JPM -2.13% $18,593 $18,197 35 40% - -$396 -20.8% 10.9d ✓ -
67 REGN -2.82% $8,908 $8,657 52 42% - -$251 -50.1% 7.6d ✓ -
68 PG -3.56% $10,210 $9,847 24 42% - -$363 -24.4% 16.2d ✓ -
69 ARM -3.63% $15,164 $14,614 76 39% - -$550 -31.3% 2.7d ✓ -
70 AMZN -3.83% $15,864 $15,256 43 37% - -$608 -18.5% 8.3d ✓ -
71 SQQQ -4.18% $5,951 $5,702 82 39% - -$249 -66.3% 2.8d ✓ -
72 PANW -4.37% $14,141 $13,523 42 38% - -$618 -29.0% 7.1d ✓ -
73 V -4.50% $12,721 $12,148 27 37% - -$572 -14.4% 14.2d ✓ -
74 DIS -4.71% $11,964 $11,401 29 41% - -$564 -24.9% 11.6d ✓ -
75 GME -5.78% $15,372 $14,483 55 38% - -$888 -32.0% 2.9d ✓ -
76 TLT -6.10% $8,066 $7,574 14 43% - -$492 -27.7% 20.2d ✓ -
77 TQQQ -6.19% $10,347 $9,707 70 39% - -$640 -40.9% 3.1d ✓ -
78 CMCSA -7.32% $8,314 $7,705 30 40% - -$609 -36.1% 11.9d ✓ -
79 VXX -7.71% $15,549 $14,350 76 38% - -$1,199 -32.2% 2.9d ✓ -
80 AXP -8.38% $15,527 $14,226 34 38% - -$1,301 -27.6% 10.6d ✓ -
81 META -10.29% $18,604 $16,689 47 36% - -$1,914 -26.1% 6.9d ✓ -
82 RBLX -10.57% $14,453 $12,925 71 41% - -$1,528 -46.8% 3.9d ✓ -
83 NFLX -11.31% $22,777 $20,201 36 39% - -$2,576 -32.4% 9.5d ✓ -
84 MS -11.34% $13,048 $11,568 43 37% - -$1,480 -29.2% 9.0d ✓ -
85 HD -11.98% $12,615 $11,104 29 34% - -$1,511 -19.9% 12.1d ✓ -
86 COST -13.12% $17,762 $15,431 23 35% - -$2,330 -19.7% 13.0d ✓ -
87 ARKK -13.31% $11,088 $9,612 57 37% - -$1,476 -26.4% 5.4d ✓ -
88 TMO -13.70% $10,700 $9,234 31 29% - -$1,466 -28.6% 11.0d ✓ -
89 WFC -18.09% $15,152 $12,411 36 33% - -$2,741 -25.5% 8.9d ✓ -
90 ORCL -20.73% $14,970 $11,867 70 33% - -$3,103 -51.2% 5.2d ✓ -
91 PYPL -21.77% $11,089 $8,675 39 38% - -$2,414 -35.9% 7.8d ✓ -
92 ISRG -26.67% $15,728 $11,533 45 29% - -$4,195 -35.0% 8.4d ✓ -
93 NIO -28.68% $7,979 $5,690 84 35% - -$2,288 -51.1% 2.6d ✓ -
94 AMC -30.00% $6,166 $4,316 77 32% - -$1,850 -59.9% 2.4d ✓ -
95 ADBE -30.81% $10,188 $7,049 36 28% - -$3,139 -42.0% 8.2d ✓ -
96 DOGEUSD 🚫 PROBATION ₿ -31.15% $10,100 $6,954 19 26% $804 -$3,146 -99.3% 18.0h 1 Jan 31, 2026
15d left
97 HOOD -34.03% $16,443 $10,848 95 36% - -$5,596 -45.6% 2.2d ✓ -
98 CRM -35.12% $12,461 $8,085 46 33% - -$4,376 -48.1% 7.3d ✓ -
99 PEPEUSD ₿ -37.63% $10,096 $6,297 72 36% $3,575 -$3,799 -99.9% 10.8h 1 Dec 18, 2025
100 COIN -40.97% $12,354 $7,293 95 34% - -$5,061 -53.5% 1.8d ✓ -
101 DKNG -41.05% $11,595 $6,835 64 31% - -$4,760 -50.2% 4.1d ✓ -
102 SHIBUSD ₿ -43.06% $10,099 $5,750 49 31% $2,072 -$4,349 -99.5% 19.9h 1 Dec 18, 2025
103 RIVN -43.82% $8,797 $4,942 89 34% - -$3,855 -51.0% 2.2d ✓ -
104 ACN -44.56% $9,959 $5,521 42 26% - -$4,438 -45.0% 9.3d ✓ -
105 LINKUSD ₿ -50.05% $10,096 $5,043 55 31% $2,274 -$5,053 -99.3% 19.5h 1 Dec 1, 2025
106 UNH -52.50% $9,788 $4,649 49 39% - -$5,139 -54.0% 7.3d ✓ -
107 BTCUSD ₿ -60.25% $7,917 $3,147 116 36% $12,317 -$4,770 -78.6% 2.4d ✓ -
108 SMCI -71.95% $6,480 $1,818 88 28% - -$4,663 -88.9% 1.9d ✓ -
109 LTCUSD ₿ -78.79% $2,453 $520 285 39% $10,334 -$1,933 -95.7% 1.1d ✓ -
110 UNIUSD ₿ -79.16% $10,099 $2,105 169 33% $5,164 -$7,994 -99.3% 16.8h 1 Sep 25, 2025
111 DOTUSD ₿ -80.69% $10,098 $1,950 217 36% $8,512 -$8,148 -99.1% 21.7h 1 Jun 21, 2025
112 AVAXUSD ₿ -81.62% $10,100 $1,856 216 36% $8,446 -$8,244 -99.1% 18.6h 1 Jun 22, 2025
113 ETHUSD ₿ -85.61% $2,124 $306 262 36% $9,854 -$1,819 -98.0% 1.4d ✓ -
114 XRPUSD ₿ -92.11% $4,656 $367 289 35% $12,753 -$4,288 -96.4% 1.1d ✓ -

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.