Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

Jun 23, 2025 → Jun 23, 2026 (365d)

📊 Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

🎯 Asset: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the last year across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$12,775

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $11,545 (+$1,229)

+10.65%

Last Year ROI

43.8%

Win Rate

6,471

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Last Year)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last Year)

Stock Volume

$66,107,694

4,766 trades

Stock Fees

✓ Commission FREE

Crypto Volume

$7,968,160

1,705 trades

Crypto Fees

$19,920

0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

                        RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))                    

                            RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)                        

                            Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14                        

                            Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14

                    📁 calculateRSI() 
                    @ lines 404-448                

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size

2 Upper wick ≤ body size

3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

                        RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE                    

→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        RSI_PERIOD:
                        14
                    

                        RSI_OVERSOLD:
                        30
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        5%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -10%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        30
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Year: Jun 23, 2025 → Jun 23, 2026 (365 days)

📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns

📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.

75+ Elite 60+ Good 40+ Fair <40 Weak

⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.

75+ Hot 60+ Active 40+ Moderate <40 Quiet

Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.

⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →

Rank	Symbol	Score	Mom	Return	1Y Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	SOXL 🔥 PRO	72	77	+205.72%	$27,989	$85,569	100	54%	-	+$57,580	-36.3%	1.6d	✓	-
2	INTC	21	56🔥	+176.41%	$5,009	$13,846	84	49%	-	+$8,837	-58.2%	3.6d	✓	-
3	SLV	69	2🧊	+160.49%	$12,001	$31,262	61	59%	-	+$19,261	-21.6%	7.3d	✓	-
4	MU	69	57	+153.57%	$21,163	$53,662	88	52%	-	+$32,499	-27.8%	3.5d	✓	-
5	MRNA	5	14	+152.45%	$3,455	$8,723	98	49%	-	+$5,268	-73.8%	2.3d	✓	-
6	AMD	38	31	+137.30%	$10,421	$24,728	80	51%	-	+$14,307	-43.0%	3.3d	✓	-
7	GOOGL	55	—	+122.36%	$11,534	$25,646	38	63%	-	+$14,112	-25.2%	7.9d	✓	-
8	CSCO	71	3🧊	+108.30%	$14,540	$30,286	28	64%	-	+$15,747	-9.1%	15.2d	✓	-
9	NET	54	5🧊	+105.73%	$14,893	$30,639	70	51%	-	+$15,746	-33.4%	4.1d	✓	-
10	C	39	53	+70.21%	$11,426	$19,448	39	54%	-	+$8,022	-29.6%	8.3d	✓	-
11	AAPL	38	—	+63.36%	$11,057	$18,063	28	61%	-	+$7,006	-21.5%	10.1d	✓	-
12	XLK	38	32	+62.20%	$10,980	$17,810	26	62%	-	+$6,830	-25.5%	11.5d	✓	-
13	NVDA	35	3🧊	+61.03%	$12,771	$20,565	50	50%	-	+$7,794	-43.7%	3.8d	✓	-
14	JNJ	36	—	+60.32%	$9,585	$15,367	21	67%	-	+$5,782	-13.8%	16.3d	✓	-
15	OXY	32	3🧊	+58.97%	$10,288	$16,355	46	52%	-	+$6,067	-28.6%	8.2d	✓	-
16	SLB	33	7🧊	+53.58%	$9,921	$15,236	42	50%	-	+$5,316	-22.2%	8.1d	✓	-
17	QQQ	36	—	+49.43%	$10,765	$16,086	18	78%	-	+$5,321	-29.6%	15.7d	✓	-
18	TSLA	28	3🧊	+48.19%	$10,460	$15,501	66	47%	-	+$5,041	-34.1%	2.9d	✓	-
19	PANW	34	12🧊	+47.13%	$12,350	$18,171	47	51%	-	+$5,821	-29.0%	7.1d	✓	-
20	GLD	66	0🧊	+45.65%	$15,606	$22,730	27	63%	-	+$7,124	-6.1%	15.7d	✓	-
21	CRWD	57	3🧊	+42.27%	$20,717	$29,474	57	49%	-	+$8,757	-24.8%	4.4d	✓	-
22	TQQQ	12	27	+38.48%	$7,491	$10,374	76	46%	-	+$2,883	-40.9%	3.1d	✓	-
23	SCHW	50	37	+37.32%	$12,791	$17,564	25	60%	-	+$4,773	-10.8%	11.7d	✓	-
24	MS	25	31	+34.49%	$10,173	$13,681	36	50%	-	+$3,509	-29.2%	9.0d	✓	-
25	CVX	35	1🧊	+31.95%	$11,237	$14,827	29	52%	-	+$3,590	-13.5%	13.2d	✓	-
26	UVXY	18	5	+30.08%	$9,574	$12,454	97	41%	-	+$2,880	-50.0%	1.6d	✓	-
27	ARKK	23	8	+28.68%	$10,284	$13,233	52	46%	-	+$2,949	-26.4%	5.4d	✓	-
28	ARM	38	17🧊	+27.33%	$16,154	$20,569	83	42%	-	+$4,415	-31.3%	2.7d	✓	-
29	VOO	39	—	+27.19%	$11,932	$15,176	15	73%	-	+$3,244	-15.4%	18.9d	✓	-
30	SPY	43	—	+26.46%	$12,314	$15,573	16	69%	-	+$3,258	-12.7%	18.7d	✓	-
31	BAC	30	—	+24.99%	$11,736	$14,669	25	52%	-	+$2,933	-21.4%	9.5d	✓	-
32	VTI	38	—	+24.04%	$11,952	$14,826	15	67%	-	+$2,873	-16.1%	20.8d	✓	-
33	GS	53	5🧊	+20.92%	$17,674	$21,371	38	47%	-	+$3,697	-15.7%	9.6d	✓	-
34	AVGO	26	5🧊	+20.10%	$12,082	$14,511	65	42%	-	+$2,429	-27.0%	3.7d	✓	-
35	DIA	24	—	+19.69%	$9,890	$11,837	15	67%	-	+$1,947	-20.7%	20.9d	✓	-
36	IWM	25	—	+19.27%	$11,894	$14,186	23	52%	-	+$2,292	-23.6%	13.7d	✓	-
37	PLTR	66	6🧊	+16.30%	$36,672	$42,649	77	40%	-	+$5,977	-28.0%	2.8d	✓	-
38	SNOW	28	35	+16.25%	$15,048	$17,493	66	36%	-	+$2,445	-43.4%	4.9d	✓	-
39	AMC	4	73🔥	+15.18%	$4,758	$5,480	85	40%	-	+$722	-59.9%	2.4d	✓	-
40	WMT	39	—	+14.46%	$15,336	$17,554	25	48%	-	+$2,218	-17.6%	14.4d	✓	-
41	GILD	25	0🧊	+14.24%	$11,860	$13,549	35	43%	-	+$1,689	-20.9%	10.3d	✓	-
42	MRK	4	1	+14.09%	$6,762	$7,715	33	45%	-	+$953	-45.0%	9.8d	✓	-
43	JPM	42	27	+13.85%	$16,832	$19,164	27	44%	-	+$2,331	-20.8%	10.9d	✓	-
44	VZ	22	0🧊	+13.79%	$10,703	$12,179	24	42%	-	+$1,476	-14.2%	14.1d	✓	-
45	XOM	20	0	+13.30%	$10,281	$11,648	31	48%	-	+$1,367	-18.5%	11.9d	✓	-
46	COP	16	1	+12.24%	$9,897	$11,109	41	44%	-	+$1,211	-20.6%	9.4d	✓	-
47	BLK	30	—	+11.47%	$12,458	$13,887	29	48%	-	+$1,429	-17.2%	12.3d	✓	-
48	AXP	29	—	+11.11%	$13,457	$14,952	27	44%	-	+$1,495	-27.6%	10.6d	✓	-
49	AMZN	36	3🧊	+10.53%	$14,895	$16,464	43	42%	-	+$1,568	-18.5%	8.3d	✓	-
50	BMY	5	0	+10.24%	$8,054	$8,879	38	42%	-	+$825	-28.4%	7.9d	✓	-
51	SOLUSD ₿	—	—	+9.96%	$10,092	$11,098	27	44%	$1,398	+$1,005	-99.5%	21.3h	1	Feb 6, 2026
52	PEP	4	—	+9.81%	$7,854	$8,625	19	42%	-	+$770	-23.1%	16.8d	✓	-
53	WFC	25	53🔥	+9.52%	$12,088	$13,239	33	45%	-	+$1,151	-25.5%	8.9d	✓	-
54	UNH	6	—	+7.95%	$5,781	$6,240	41	46%	-	+$460	-54.0%	7.3d	✓	-
55	XLF	35	—	+6.79%	$13,137	$14,029	17	53%	-	+$892	-11.5%	17.6d	✓	-
56	BIIB	4	—	+6.10%	$6,025	$6,393	37	43%	-	+$368	-46.7%	7.5d	✓	-
57	MDT	18	—	+4.95%	$10,829	$11,365	24	46%	-	+$536	-12.1%	13.7d	✓	-
58	MCD	15	—	+4.49%	$9,753	$10,191	20	45%	-	+$438	-12.9%	16.0d	✓	-
59	GME	23	6	+4.29%	$13,763	$14,354	46	39%	-	+$590	-32.0%	2.9d	✓	-
60	XLE	5	0	+4.25%	$9,245	$9,638	28	43%	-	+$393	-24.7%	12.5d	✓	-
61	VRTX	18	—	+4.25%	$11,039	$11,508	33	42%	-	+$469	-25.6%	10.7d	✓	-
62	IBM	33	5🧊	+3.86%	$14,794	$15,365	43	44%	-	+$571	-17.7%	10.0d	✓	-
63	ABBV	23	0🧊	+3.84%	$11,767	$12,218	33	42%	-	+$452	-17.7%	11.9d	✓	-
64	LLY	18	6	+2.26%	$11,575	$11,836	44	43%	-	+$262	-36.7%	6.7d	✓	-
65	KO	30	3🧊	+1.99%	$12,889	$13,146	17	47%	-	+$257	-13.1%	18.7d	✓	-
66	BRK-B	26	—	+0.56%	$13,075	$13,148	18	44%	-	+$73	-15.7%	16.3d	✓	-
67	AMGN	4	—	+0.44%	$9,158	$9,198	25	44%	-	+$40	-28.3%	11.3d	✓	-
68	USO	23	3	-0.79%	$12,292	$12,195	56	43%	-	-$97	-18.0%	8.8d	✓	-
69	PFE	5	—	-1.28%	$8,581	$8,472	24	42%	-	-$110	-23.5%	10.8d	✓	-
70	TLT	4	—	-1.40%	$7,228	$7,127	14	50%	-	-$101	-27.7%	20.2d	✓	-
71	SPXU	4	24🔥	-1.66%	$9,145	$8,994	44	41%	-	-$152	-30.0%	5.6d	✓	-
72	MSFT	29	1🧊	-3.14%	$14,581	$14,123	30	40%	-	-$458	-21.2%	13.3d	✓	-
73	NIO	4	3	-3.83%	$6,490	$6,242	81	38%	-	-$249	-51.1%	2.6d	✓	-
74	META	31	18	-5.45%	$16,949	$16,026	41	39%	-	-$924	-26.1%	6.9d	✓	-
75	MA	27	—	-6.64%	$13,288	$12,406	25	36%	-	-$882	-11.3%	13.9d	✓	-
76	RIOT	4	26🔥	-7.78%	$8,974	$8,275	119	40%	-	-$698	-51.3%	1.3d	✓	-
77	TMO	4	—	-8.40%	$8,971	$8,217	26	35%	-	-$754	-28.6%	11.0d	✓	-
78	V	19	—	-8.66%	$13,030	$11,902	20	30%	-	-$1,128	-14.4%	14.2d	✓	-
79	COST	31	0🧊	-9.71%	$16,765	$15,137	23	35%	-	-$1,628	-19.7%	13.0d	✓	-
80	SOFI	27	18	-9.83%	$16,943	$15,278	83	40%	-	-$1,666	-35.6%	2.7d	✓	-
81	PG	4	—	-10.07%	$10,083	$9,068	20	35%	-	-$1,015	-24.4%	16.2d	✓	-
82	DIS	16	0	-10.37%	$12,504	$11,207	25	40%	-	-$1,297	-24.9%	11.6d	✓	-
83	VXX	23	20	-13.35%	$15,805	$13,695	70	37%	-	-$2,110	-32.2%	2.9d	✓	-
84	REGN	5	0	-15.10%	$6,857	$5,821	42	38%	-	-$1,035	-50.1%	7.6d	✓	-
85	RIVN	4	23	-16.15%	$7,130	$5,979	88	39%	-	-$1,151	-51.0%	2.2d	✓	-
86	MARA	4	9	-20.91%	$5,909	$4,673	113	37%	-	-$1,236	-58.2%	1.3d	✓	-
87	ORCL	15	5	-21.14%	$13,685	$10,792	81	35%	-	-$2,893	-51.2%	5.2d	✓	-
88	HD	5	30🔥	-21.73%	$10,748	$8,413	32	31%	-	-$2,336	-19.9%	12.1d	✓	-
89	CRM	5	3	-24.34%	$8,954	$6,775	49	37%	-	-$2,179	-48.1%	7.3d	✓	-
90	LCID	15	9	-24.38%	$14,688	$11,107	101	35%	-	-$3,581	-38.4%	1.9d	✓	-
91	PYPL	6	1	-26.26%	$11,072	$8,165	39	38%	-	-$2,908	-35.9%	7.8d	✓	-
92	DKNG	4	3	-26.82%	$9,352	$6,844	68	35%	-	-$2,508	-50.2%	4.1d	✓	-
93	ISRG	4	1	-28.07%	$12,669	$9,113	36	25%	-	-$3,556	-35.0%	8.4d	✓	-
94	PM	22	0🧊	-31.16%	$17,557	$12,086	32	28%	-	-$5,471	-21.9%	12.3d	✓	-
95	NFLX	37	0🧊	-33.64%	$28,954	$19,214	34	29%	-	-$9,740	-32.4%	9.5d	✓	-
96	SQQQ	3	6	-37.51%	$5,500	$3,437	82	34%	-	-$2,063	-66.3%	2.8d	✓	-
97	CMCSA	5	0	-37.65%	$8,456	$5,273	33	27%	-	-$3,184	-36.1%	11.9d	✓	-
98	DOGEUSD ₿	—	—	-38.34%	$10,100	$6,228	35	29%	$1,312	-$3,872	-99.3%	18.0h	1	Jan 31, 2026
99	ADBE	4	3	-43.13%	$9,126	$5,190	46	26%	-	-$3,936	-42.0%	8.2d	✓	-
100	LINKUSD ₿	—	—	-46.91%	$10,098	$5,361	69	33%	$2,618	-$4,737	-99.3%	19.5h	1	Dec 1, 2025
101	RBLX	17	17	-46.99%	$19,482	$10,327	79	37%	-	-$9,155	-46.8%	3.9d	✓	-
102	ACN	3	3	-47.34%	$6,882	$3,624	43	23%	-	-$3,258	-45.0%	9.3d	✓	-
103	SHIBUSD ₿	—	—	-47.69%	$10,098	$5,282	65	31%	$2,493	-$4,816	-99.5%	19.9h	1	Dec 18, 2025
104	SMCI	4	7	-48.76%	$3,381	$1,733	89	33%	-	-$1,649	-88.9%	1.9d	✓	-
105	COIN	5	6	-50.07%	$12,391	$6,187	103	33%	-	-$6,204	-53.5%	1.8d	✓	-
106	PEPEUSD ₿	—	—	-52.17%	$10,096	$4,829	95	34%	$4,168	-$5,267	-99.9%	10.8h	1	Dec 18, 2025
107	BTCUSD ₿	4	10	-52.78%	$6,450	$3,046	104	35%	$12,916	-$3,404	-78.6%	2.4d	✓	-
108	HOOD	5	5	-54.84%	$17,148	$7,744	92	33%	-	-$9,404	-45.6%	2.2d	✓	-
109	LTCUSD ₿	2	9	-59.85%	$996	$400	207	39%	$10,423	-$596	-95.7%	1.1d	✓	-
110	ETHUSD ₿	2	10	-69.97%	$847	$254	221	37%	$9,951	-$593	-98.0%	1.4d	✓	-
111	UNIUSD ₿	—	—	-79.39%	$10,099	$2,081	187	34%	$5,345	-$8,017	-99.3%	16.8h	1	Sep 25, 2025
112	AVAXUSD ₿	—	—	-81.64%	$10,098	$1,854	231	36%	$8,581	-$8,244	-99.1%	18.6h	1	Jun 22, 2025
113	DOTUSD ₿	—	—	-82.50%	$10,100	$1,767	234	36%	$8,684	-$8,332	-99.1%	21.7h	1	Jun 21, 2025
114	XRPUSD ₿	3	10	-84.64%	$1,633	$251	230	35%	$12,836	-$1,382	-96.4%	1.1d	✓	-

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.

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