Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

Sep 24, 2025 → Sep 24, 2026 (365d)

📊 Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

🎯 Asset: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the last year across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$12,960

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $12,609 (+$351)

+2.78%

Last Year ROI

42.0%

Win Rate

6,671

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Last Year)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last Year)

Stock Volume

$74,533,499

5,160 trades

Stock Fees

✓ Commission FREE

Crypto Volume

$6,085,885

1,511 trades

Crypto Fees

$15,215

0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

                        RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))                    

                            RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)                        

                            Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14                        

                            Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14

                    📁 calculateRSI() 
                    @ lines 404-448                

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size

2 Upper wick ≤ body size

3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

                        RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE                    

→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        RSI_PERIOD:
                        14
                    

                        RSI_OVERSOLD:
                        30
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        5%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -10%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        30
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Year: Sep 24, 2025 → Sep 24, 2026 (365 days)

📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns

📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.

75+ Elite 60+ Good 40+ Fair <40 Weak

⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.

75+ Hot 60+ Active 40+ Moderate <40 Quiet

Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.

⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →

Rank	Symbol	Score	Mom	Return	1Y Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	AMD	45	55	+158.33%	$11,370	$29,372	87	53%	-	+$18,002	-43.0%	3.3d	✓	-
2	MU	69	63	+128.80%	$24,347	$55,706	101	50%	-	+$31,359	-27.8%	3.5d	✓	-
3	MRNA	13	44🔥	+112.40%	$5,264	$11,182	102	46%	-	+$5,917	-73.8%	2.3d	✓	-
4	NET	67	34🧊	+109.05%	$19,930	$41,663	77	51%	-	+$21,733	-33.4%	4.1d	✓	-
5	INTC	14	34	+107.33%	$5,639	$11,691	93	46%	-	+$6,052	-58.2%	3.6d	✓	-
6	SLV	64	0🧊	+101.51%	$14,424	$29,065	71	52%	-	+$14,642	-21.6%	7.3d	✓	-
7	SOXL	69	12🧊	+89.60%	$41,193	$78,101	120	48%	-	+$36,909	-36.3%	1.6d	✓	-
8	CSCO	68	—	+80.75%	$15,372	$27,786	32	56%	-	+$12,413	-9.1%	15.2d	✓	-
9	GOOGL	59	29🧊	+66.38%	$16,242	$27,024	43	53%	-	+$10,782	-25.2%	7.9d	✓	-
10	OXY	35	5🧊	+56.13%	$11,597	$18,106	52	50%	-	+$6,509	-28.6%	8.2d	✓	-
11	JNJ	41	0🧊	+47.21%	$11,387	$16,763	26	58%	-	+$5,376	-13.8%	16.3d	✓	-
12	SLB	29	5🧊	+40.16%	$10,363	$14,525	47	47%	-	+$4,162	-22.2%	8.1d	✓	-
13	AAPL	40	—	+37.86%	$13,658	$18,829	27	56%	-	+$5,171	-21.5%	10.1d	✓	-
14	GLD	62	—	+37.53%	$17,172	$23,617	27	59%	-	+$6,445	-6.1%	15.7d	✓	-
15	GILD	36	34	+36.95%	$12,429	$17,022	36	50%	-	+$4,593	-20.9%	10.3d	✓	-
16	CVX	43	0🧊	+36.50%	$12,372	$16,887	34	50%	-	+$4,516	-13.5%	13.2d	✓	-
17	SCHW	52	0🧊	+35.89%	$13,164	$17,889	28	57%	-	+$4,725	-10.8%	11.7d	✓	-
18	XLK	35	—	+35.87%	$12,341	$16,768	28	54%	-	+$4,427	-25.5%	11.5d	✓	-
19	NVDA	33	18	+32.68%	$14,047	$18,637	55	45%	-	+$4,590	-43.7%	3.8d	✓	-
20	USO	33	45	+32.19%	$11,878	$15,701	67	49%	-	+$3,823	-18.0%	8.8d	✓	-
21	BMY	14	—	+31.66%	$7,921	$10,429	39	46%	-	+$2,508	-28.4%	7.9d	✓	-
22	PLTR	69	32🧊	+28.98%	$45,043	$58,097	80	43%	-	+$13,054	-28.0%	2.8d	✓	-
23	QQQ	31	—	+28.13%	$11,981	$15,351	20	60%	-	+$3,370	-29.6%	15.7d	✓	-
24	TSLA	28	—	+28.00%	$12,114	$15,507	62	45%	-	+$3,392	-34.1%	2.9d	✓	-
25	AMGN	16	0	+27.52%	$8,847	$11,281	27	52%	-	+$2,435	-28.3%	11.3d	✓	-
26	ARM	37	35	+26.64%	$15,810	$20,022	97	41%	-	+$4,212	-31.3%	2.7d	✓	-
27	MRK	4	—	+25.66%	$6,674	$8,387	32	47%	-	+$1,713	-45.0%	9.8d	✓	-
28	TMO	15	—	+24.76%	$8,874	$11,071	29	48%	-	+$2,197	-28.6%	11.0d	✓	-
29	ARKK	27	—	+24.66%	$11,694	$14,577	52	44%	-	+$2,884	-26.4%	5.4d	✓	-
30	SPXU	4	0	+23.18%	$7,866	$9,689	48	46%	-	+$1,823	-30.0%	5.6d	✓	-
31	VRTX	22	—	+22.59%	$10,523	$12,900	34	44%	-	+$2,377	-25.6%	10.7d	✓	-
32	XLE	18	—	+21.77%	$9,388	$11,432	29	48%	-	+$2,044	-24.7%	12.5d	✓	-
33	COP	24	1🧊	+20.63%	$10,527	$12,699	44	45%	-	+$2,172	-20.6%	9.4d	✓	-
34	LLY	20	0	+19.39%	$10,317	$12,318	48	42%	-	+$2,001	-36.7%	6.7d	✓	-
35	XOM	26	—	+19.32%	$10,827	$12,919	34	47%	-	+$2,092	-18.5%	11.9d	✓	-
36	C	33	0🧊	+18.86%	$14,313	$17,013	40	43%	-	+$2,700	-29.6%	8.3d	✓	-
37	BIIB	5	—	+18.44%	$5,990	$7,094	35	46%	-	+$1,105	-46.7%	7.5d	✓	-
38	VTI	40	—	+17.77%	$13,151	$15,488	15	60%	-	+$2,337	-16.1%	20.8d	✓	-
39	DIA	25	—	+13.84%	$10,678	$12,156	15	67%	-	+$1,478	-20.7%	20.9d	✓	-
40	VOO	35	—	+13.31%	$12,935	$14,657	15	60%	-	+$1,722	-15.4%	18.9d	✓	-
41	SQQQ	3	1	+12.83%	$4,105	$4,632	86	43%	-	+$527	-66.3%	2.8d	✓	-
42	SPY	38	—	+12.58%	$13,355	$15,035	16	56%	-	+$1,680	-12.7%	18.7d	✓	-
43	VZ	25	0🧊	+12.40%	$11,278	$12,677	29	41%	-	+$1,399	-14.2%	14.1d	✓	-
44	KO	31	—	+12.08%	$12,425	$13,926	20	50%	-	+$1,501	-13.1%	18.7d	✓	-
45	BAC	28	1🧊	+10.17%	$12,937	$14,253	24	46%	-	+$1,316	-21.4%	9.5d	✓	-
46	SOLUSD ₿	—	—	+9.96%	$10,092	$11,098	27	44%	$1,398	+$1,005	-99.5%	21.3h	1	Feb 6, 2026
47	MSFT	38	—	+9.89%	$16,806	$18,469	35	40%	-	+$1,662	-21.2%	13.3d	✓	-
48	UNH	5	1	+5.70%	$5,770	$6,099	38	45%	-	+$329	-54.0%	7.3d	✓	-
49	PFE	5	—	+5.44%	$8,792	$9,270	23	43%	-	+$478	-23.5%	10.8d	✓	-
50	XLF	40	—	+5.39%	$13,968	$14,721	18	56%	-	+$753	-11.5%	17.6d	✓	-
51	UVXY	4	2	+5.17%	$8,150	$8,571	97	38%	-	+$421	-50.0%	1.6d	✓	-
52	IWM	27	—	+4.90%	$12,898	$13,530	22	45%	-	+$632	-23.6%	13.7d	✓	-
53	META	37	65🔥	+4.70%	$18,862	$19,748	49	41%	-	+$887	-26.1%	6.9d	✓	-
54	V	27	—	+4.22%	$13,095	$13,648	21	38%	-	+$553	-14.4%	14.2d	✓	-
55	BRK-B	27	—	+3.74%	$12,845	$13,326	18	44%	-	+$480	-15.7%	16.3d	✓	-
56	ABBV	32	—	+3.35%	$14,087	$14,559	38	42%	-	+$472	-17.7%	11.9d	✓	-
57	VXX	18	2	+2.53%	$11,887	$12,188	71	39%	-	+$301	-32.2%	2.9d	✓	-
58	JPM	44	0🧊	+1.55%	$19,564	$19,867	25	36%	-	+$303	-20.8%	10.9d	✓	-
59	MS	20	—	+1.15%	$11,871	$12,007	39	41%	-	+$137	-29.2%	9.0d	✓	-
60	BLK	31	0🧊	+1.13%	$14,121	$14,280	33	42%	-	+$160	-17.2%	12.3d	✓	-
61	GME	25	59🔥	+0.18%	$15,671	$15,699	48	38%	-	+$28	-32.0%	2.9d	✓	-
62	WFC	26	0🧊	-0.88%	$13,599	$13,479	30	43%	-	-$120	-25.5%	8.9d	✓	-
63	WMT	37	—	-1.11%	$17,129	$16,939	29	41%	-	-$190	-17.6%	14.4d	✓	-
64	MA	31	—	-1.27%	$14,087	$13,908	25	36%	-	-$179	-11.3%	13.9d	✓	-
65	PYPL	15	2	-1.96%	$10,931	$10,717	46	43%	-	-$214	-35.9%	7.8d	✓	-
66	PANW	30	6🧊	-2.16%	$15,763	$15,422	58	41%	-	-$340	-29.0%	7.1d	✓	-
67	MDT	21	—	-2.54%	$12,118	$11,810	27	41%	-	-$308	-12.1%	13.7d	✓	-
68	PEP	4	0	-4.16%	$8,474	$8,122	23	39%	-	-$353	-23.1%	16.8d	✓	-
69	MCD	7	0	-4.66%	$10,196	$9,721	23	39%	-	-$475	-12.9%	16.0d	✓	-
70	AMZN	31	—	-5.89%	$16,142	$15,191	46	37%	-	-$951	-18.5%	8.3d	✓	-
71	AMC	4	5	-6.40%	$5,248	$4,912	96	40%	-	-$336	-59.9%	2.4d	✓	-
72	CRM	5	3	-7.35%	$8,414	$7,795	56	41%	-	-$618	-48.1%	7.3d	✓	-
73	ISRG	4	19	-7.73%	$10,271	$9,477	40	35%	-	-$794	-35.0%	8.4d	✓	-
74	REGN	5	1	-7.95%	$7,322	$6,740	41	41%	-	-$582	-50.1%	7.6d	✓	-
75	DIS	13	1	-7.98%	$11,687	$10,755	29	38%	-	-$933	-24.9%	11.6d	✓	-
76	SNOW	24	2🧊	-8.70%	$16,637	$15,189	71	34%	-	-$1,447	-43.4%	4.9d	✓	-
77	PM	27	17	-9.38%	$15,381	$13,938	32	38%	-	-$1,443	-21.9%	12.3d	✓	-
78	IBM	29	—	-9.38%	$14,850	$13,457	50	44%	-	-$1,393	-17.7%	10.0d	✓	-
79	COST	26	—	-11.28%	$15,613	$13,852	26	35%	-	-$1,761	-19.7%	13.0d	✓	-
80	PG	4	—	-14.46%	$9,865	$8,438	21	33%	-	-$1,426	-24.4%	16.2d	✓	-
81	GS	44	0🧊	-14.53%	$21,512	$18,386	43	35%	-	-$3,126	-15.7%	9.6d	✓	-
82	CMCSA	5	1	-14.61%	$7,848	$6,702	38	34%	-	-$1,147	-36.1%	11.9d	✓	-
83	ADBE	4	2	-17.01%	$8,086	$6,711	58	36%	-	-$1,375	-42.0%	8.2d	✓	-
84	TLT	4	—	-17.03%	$7,796	$6,468	14	29%	-	-$1,328	-27.7%	20.2d	✓	-
85	AXP	23	1🧊	-17.04%	$15,471	$12,834	28	32%	-	-$2,636	-27.6%	10.6d	✓	-
86	AVGO	19	1	-25.08%	$15,711	$11,771	68	35%	-	-$3,940	-27.0%	3.7d	✓	-
87	ACN	4	4	-25.53%	$6,053	$4,508	52	35%	-	-$1,545	-45.0%	9.3d	✓	-
88	NFLX	38	0🧊	-30.78%	$29,576	$20,472	39	36%	-	-$9,103	-32.4%	9.5d	✓	-
89	DKNG	4	21	-33.15%	$9,930	$6,638	81	35%	-	-$3,292	-50.2%	4.1d	✓	-
90	SOFI	24	7	-34.87%	$20,606	$13,421	82	34%	-	-$7,185	-35.6%	2.7d	✓	-
91	BTCUSD ₿	5	30🔥	-36.93%	$6,597	$4,161	107	37%	$13,189	-$2,436	-78.6%	2.4d	✓	-
92	HD	5	0	-37.18%	$12,708	$7,983	36	25%	-	-$4,725	-19.9%	12.1d	✓	-
93	DOGEUSD ₿	—	—	-38.34%	$10,100	$6,228	35	29%	$1,312	-$3,872	-99.3%	18.0h	1	Jan 31, 2026
94	RIOT	5	37🔥	-40.28%	$9,996	$5,970	122	34%	-	-$4,026	-51.3%	1.3d	✓	-
95	LTCUSD ₿	3	52🔥	-41.08%	$1,090	$642	194	39%	$10,524	-$448	-95.7%	1.1d	✓	-
96	TQQQ	5	14	-41.38%	$11,245	$6,592	86	35%	-	-$4,653	-40.9%	3.1d	✓	-
97	NIO	4	0	-41.47%	$7,992	$4,677	78	32%	-	-$3,314	-51.1%	2.6d	✓	-
98	RBLX	22	64🔥	-42.53%	$21,467	$12,337	84	36%	-	-$9,130	-46.8%	3.9d	✓	-
99	RIVN	4	6	-43.64%	$7,635	$4,303	93	34%	-	-$3,332	-51.0%	2.2d	✓	-
100	COIN	5	36🔥	-44.52%	$12,781	$7,091	105	33%	-	-$5,690	-53.5%	1.8d	✓	-
101	LINKUSD ₿	—	—	-46.91%	$10,098	$5,361	69	33%	$2,618	-$4,737	-99.3%	19.5h	1	Dec 1, 2025
102	SHIBUSD ₿	—	—	-47.69%	$10,098	$5,282	65	31%	$2,493	-$4,816	-99.5%	19.9h	1	Dec 18, 2025
103	PEPEUSD ₿	—	—	-52.17%	$10,096	$4,829	95	34%	$4,168	-$5,267	-99.9%	10.8h	1	Dec 18, 2025
104	MARA	4	5	-53.89%	$6,750	$3,112	124	33%	-	-$3,637	-58.2%	1.3d	✓	-
105	ORCL	5	29🔥	-56.31%	$20,911	$9,136	91	32%	-	-$11,775	-51.2%	5.2d	✓	-
106	HOOD	5	17	-58.98%	$19,983	$8,197	96	31%	-	-$11,786	-45.6%	2.2d	✓	-
107	SMCI	4	20	-60.36%	$2,911	$1,154	99	28%	-	-$1,757	-88.9%	1.9d	✓	-
108	LCID	4	9	-60.79%	$20,721	$8,125	109	30%	-	-$12,596	-38.4%	1.9d	✓	-
109	CRWD	8	39🔥	-67.75%	$22,710	$7,324	67	45%	-	-$15,386	-24.8%	4.4d	✓	-
110	ETHUSD ₿	3	32🔥	-68.96%	$1,160	$360	201	35%	$9,989	-$800	-98.0%	1.4d	✓	-
111	UNIUSD ₿	—	—	-79.39%	$10,099	$2,081	187	34%	$5,345	-$8,017	-99.3%	16.8h	1	Sep 25, 2025
112	XRPUSD ₿	3	10	-80.37%	$1,492	$293	220	34%	$12,899	-$1,199	-96.4%	1.1d	✓	-
113	AVAXUSD ₿	—	—	-81.64%	$10,098	$1,854	148	29%	$8,581	-$8,244	-99.1%	18.6h	1	Jun 22, 2025
114	DOTUSD ₿	—	—	-82.50%	$10,100	$1,767	163	32%	$8,684	-$8,332	-99.1%	21.7h	1	Jun 21, 2025

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.

Deploy Strategy

Log in to deploy strategies

Agent Deployed!