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Marcus Reversal
1

Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Jun 24, 2026 → Sep 24, 2026 (92d)

📊 Last 3 Months Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the last 3 months across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$13,935
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $13,463 (+$473)
+3.51%
Last 3 Months ROI
41.0%
Win Rate
1,477
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+0.3%
1 Month
+3.5%
3 Months
+2.8%
6 Months
+3.4%
YTD
+2.8%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last 3 Months)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last 3 Months)

Stock Volume
$20,386,335
1,348 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$93,625
129 trades
Crypto Fees
$234
0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))
RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)
Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14
Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14
📁 calculateRSI() @ lines 404-448

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size
2 Upper wick ≤ body size
3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE
→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

RSI_PERIOD: 14
RSI_OVERSOLD: 30
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -10%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 30

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 3 Months: Jun 24, 2026 → Sep 24, 2026 (92 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 3M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 ETHUSD ₿ 3 32🔥 +166.14% $135 $360 25 56% $9,989 +$225 -98.0% 1.4d ✓ -
2 LTCUSD ₿ 3 52🔥 +144.67% $262 $642 41 54% $10,524 +$380 -95.7% 1.1d ✓ -
3 XRPUSD ₿ 3 10 +88.36% $156 $293 47 43% $12,899 +$137 -96.4% 1.1d ✓ -
4 BTCUSD ₿ 5 30🔥 +79.03% $2,324 $4,161 16 63% $13,189 +$1,837 -78.6% 2.4d ✓ -
5 PLTR 69 32🧊 +41.21% $41,142 $58,097 20 60% - +$16,955 -28.0% 2.8d ✓ -
6 USO 33 45 +36.26% $11,523 $15,701 18 61% - +$4,178 -18.0% 8.8d ✓ -
7 MRNA 13 44🔥 +32.59% $8,433 $11,182 30 47% - +$2,748 -73.8% 2.3d ✓ -
8 PYPL 15 2 +31.26% $8,165 $10,717 13 62% - +$2,552 -35.9% 7.8d ✓ -
9 MSFT 38 — +30.77% $14,123 $18,469 10 60% - +$4,346 -21.2% 13.3d ✓ -
10 NET 67 34🧊 +29.47% $32,179 $41,663 23 52% - +$9,483 -33.4% 4.1d ✓ -
11 ADBE 4 2 +29.30% $5,190 $6,711 20 55% - +$1,521 -42.0% 8.2d ✓ -
12 AMC 4 5 +28.23% $3,831 $4,912 26 42% - +$1,081 -59.9% 2.4d ✓ -
13 TMO 15 — +28.22% $8,634 $11,071 9 78% - +$2,437 -28.6% 11.0d ✓ -
14 META 37 65🔥 +27.19% $15,527 $19,748 14 50% - +$4,222 -26.1% 6.9d ✓ -
15 CMCSA 5 1 +27.11% $5,272 $6,702 12 50% - +$1,429 -36.1% 11.9d ✓ -
16 COIN 5 36🔥 +26.26% $5,616 $7,091 23 48% - +$1,475 -53.5% 1.8d ✓ -
17 GILD 36 34 +25.63% $13,549 $17,022 9 67% - +$3,473 -20.9% 10.3d ✓ -
18 ACN 4 4 +24.39% $3,624 $4,508 18 56% - +$884 -45.0% 9.3d ✓ -
19 AMGN 16 0 +22.65% $9,198 $11,281 9 67% - +$2,083 -28.3% 11.3d ✓ -
20 RBLX 22 64🔥 +19.46% $10,327 $12,337 22 45% - +$2,010 -46.8% 3.9d ✓ -
21 ABBV 32 — +19.16% $12,218 $14,559 10 60% - +$2,341 -17.7% 11.9d ✓ -
22 AMD 45 55 +18.78% $24,728 $29,372 24 50% - +$4,644 -43.0% 3.3d ✓ -
23 XLE 18 — +18.62% $9,637 $11,432 5 80% - +$1,794 -24.7% 12.5d ✓ -
24 BMY 14 — +17.46% $8,879 $10,429 8 63% - +$1,550 -28.4% 7.9d ✓ -
25 SQQQ 3 1 +17.31% $3,948 $4,632 20 55% - +$683 -66.3% 2.8d ✓ -
26 REGN 5 1 +15.79% $5,821 $6,740 10 60% - +$919 -50.1% 7.6d ✓ -
27 PM 27 17 +15.33% $12,085 $13,938 8 63% - +$1,853 -21.9% 12.3d ✓ -
28 CRM 5 3 +15.07% $6,775 $7,795 16 50% - +$1,021 -48.1% 7.3d ✓ -
29 V 27 — +14.67% $11,902 $13,648 6 67% - +$1,746 -14.4% 14.2d ✓ -
30 XOM 26 — +14.49% $11,284 $12,919 10 50% - +$1,635 -18.5% 11.9d ✓ -
31 ARKK 27 — +14.32% $12,751 $14,577 9 56% - +$1,826 -26.4% 5.4d ✓ -
32 COP 24 1🧊 +14.31% $11,109 $12,699 11 55% - +$1,590 -20.6% 9.4d ✓ -
33 CVX 43 0🧊 +13.90% $14,826 $16,887 9 56% - +$2,061 -13.5% 13.2d ✓ -
34 PFE 5 — +12.98% $8,205 $9,270 6 50% - +$1,065 -23.5% 10.8d ✓ -
35 MA 31 — +12.11% $12,406 $13,908 4 75% - +$1,502 -11.3% 13.9d ✓ -
36 HOOD 5 17 +11.13% $7,376 $8,197 27 41% - +$821 -45.6% 2.2d ✓ -
37 BIIB 5 — +10.97% $6,393 $7,094 10 50% - +$701 -46.7% 7.5d ✓ -
38 OXY 35 5🧊 +10.71% $16,355 $18,106 15 47% - +$1,752 -28.6% 8.2d ✓ -
39 SOLUSD ₿ — — +9.96% $10,092 $11,098 NO ENTRY - $1,398 +$1,005 -99.5% 21.3h 1 Feb 6, 2026
40 GME 25 59🔥 +9.37% $14,354 $15,699 10 50% - +$1,345 -32.0% 2.9d ✓ -
41 JNJ 41 0🧊 +9.09% $15,366 $16,763 10 50% - +$1,397 -13.8% 16.3d ✓ -
42 GLD 62 — +7.56% $21,957 $23,617 5 60% - +$1,660 -6.1% 15.7d ✓ -
43 MU 69 63 +7.31% $51,912 $55,706 28 46% - +$3,795 -27.8% 3.5d ✓ -
44 BLK 31 0🧊 +6.90% $13,359 $14,280 9 44% - +$922 -17.2% 12.3d ✓ -
45 NFLX 38 0🧊 +6.55% $19,214 $20,472 10 60% - +$1,259 -32.4% 9.5d ✓ -
46 VRTX 22 — +6.54% $12,108 $12,900 9 44% - +$792 -25.6% 10.7d ✓ -
47 KO 31 — +5.93% $13,146 $13,926 6 50% - +$780 -13.1% 18.7d ✓ -
48 GOOGL 59 29🧊 +5.37% $25,647 $27,024 13 46% - +$1,377 -25.2% 7.9d ✓ -
49 XLF 40 — +4.93% $14,029 $14,721 4 75% - +$692 -11.5% 17.6d ✓ -
50 VTI 40 — +4.47% $14,826 $15,488 3 67% - +$663 -16.1% 20.8d ✓ -
51 AAPL 40 — +4.24% $18,063 $18,829 7 57% - +$766 -21.5% 10.1d ✓ -
52 VZ 25 0🧊 +4.09% $12,179 $12,677 9 44% - +$498 -14.2% 14.1d ✓ -
53 LLY 20 0 +4.07% $11,836 $12,318 11 45% - +$482 -36.7% 6.7d ✓ -
54 ISRG 4 19 +4.00% $9,113 $9,477 13 46% - +$365 -35.0% 8.4d ✓ -
55 MDT 21 — +3.91% $11,365 $11,810 8 50% - +$444 -12.1% 13.7d ✓ -
56 TSLA 28 — +3.87% $14,929 $15,507 12 50% - +$578 -34.1% 2.9d ✓ -
57 JPM 44 0🧊 +3.67% $19,164 $19,867 5 40% - +$703 -20.8% 10.9d ✓ -
58 DIA 25 — +2.69% $11,837 $12,156 3 67% - +$318 -20.7% 20.9d ✓ -
59 MRK 4 — +2.22% $8,205 $8,387 8 50% - +$182 -45.0% 9.8d ✓ -
60 SCHW 52 0🧊 +1.85% $17,564 $17,889 7 43% - +$325 -10.8% 11.7d ✓ -
61 WFC 26 0🧊 +1.81% $13,239 $13,479 6 50% - +$240 -25.5% 8.9d ✓ -
62 SLV 64 0🧊 +1.57% $28,616 $29,065 15 40% - +$449 -21.6% 7.3d ✓ -
63 BRK-B 27 — +1.35% $13,148 $13,326 4 50% - +$177 -15.7% 16.3d ✓ -
64 SPXU 4 0 +1.02% $9,592 $9,689 10 40% - +$98 -30.0% 5.6d ✓ -
65 ARM 37 35 +0.67% $19,889 $20,022 29 41% - +$133 -31.3% 2.7d ✓ -
66 DKNG 4 21 +0.03% $6,636 $6,638 23 39% - +$2 -50.2% 4.1d ✓ -
67 QQQ 31 — -1.68% $15,613 $15,351 4 25% - -$262 -29.6% 15.7d ✓ -
68 UNH 5 1 -2.27% $6,240 $6,099 9 33% - -$142 -54.0% 7.3d ✓ -
69 BAC 28 1🧊 -2.84% $14,669 $14,253 6 33% - -$417 -21.4% 9.5d ✓ -
70 XLK 35 — -2.88% $17,265 $16,768 7 29% - -$497 -25.5% 11.5d ✓ -
71 VOO 35 — -3.42% $15,176 $14,657 3 33% - -$519 -15.4% 18.9d ✓ -
72 SPY 38 — -3.46% $15,573 $15,035 3 33% - -$539 -12.7% 18.7d ✓ -
73 WMT 37 — -3.51% $17,555 $16,939 8 38% - -$616 -17.6% 14.4d ✓ -
74 DIS 13 1 -4.04% $11,207 $10,755 9 33% - -$453 -24.9% 11.6d ✓ -
75 MCD 7 0 -4.61% $10,191 $9,721 6 33% - -$470 -12.9% 16.0d ✓ -
76 IWM 27 — -4.63% $14,186 $13,530 4 25% - -$657 -23.6% 13.7d ✓ -
77 SLB 29 5🧊 -4.67% $15,237 $14,525 14 36% - -$712 -22.2% 8.1d ✓ -
78 SOFI 24 7 -4.96% $14,121 $13,421 20 35% - -$700 -35.6% 2.7d ✓ -
79 HD 5 0 -5.10% $8,413 $7,983 9 33% - -$429 -19.9% 12.1d ✓ -
80 PEP 4 0 -5.83% $8,625 $8,122 8 38% - -$503 -23.1% 16.8d ✓ -
81 NVDA 33 18 -6.49% $19,931 $18,637 14 36% - -$1,293 -43.7% 3.8d ✓ -
82 PG 4 — -6.94% $9,068 $8,438 5 40% - -$629 -24.4% 16.2d ✓ -
83 INTC 14 34 -7.16% $12,593 $11,691 26 35% - -$902 -58.2% 3.6d ✓ -
84 AMZN 31 — -7.73% $16,464 $15,191 10 30% - -$1,273 -18.5% 8.3d ✓ -
85 CSCO 68 — -8.26% $30,287 $27,786 9 33% - -$2,502 -9.1% 15.2d ✓ -
86 COST 26 — -8.49% $15,137 $13,852 6 17% - -$1,285 -19.7% 13.0d ✓ -
87 TLT 4 — -9.25% $7,128 $6,468 4 0% - -$659 -27.7% 20.2d ✓ -
88 SNOW 24 2🧊 -9.60% $16,802 $15,189 16 31% - -$1,613 -43.4% 4.9d ✓ -
89 SOXL 69 12🧊 -10.77% $87,528 $78,101 37 41% - -$9,427 -36.3% 1.6d ✓ -
90 VXX 18 2 -11.01% $13,696 $12,188 17 29% - -$1,508 -32.2% 2.9d ✓ -
91 ORCL 5 29🔥 -12.22% $10,408 $9,136 23 35% - -$1,272 -51.2% 5.2d ✓ -
92 MS 20 — -12.23% $13,681 $12,007 11 27% - -$1,673 -29.2% 9.0d ✓ -
93 C 33 0🧊 -12.52% $19,448 $17,013 9 22% - -$2,435 -29.6% 8.3d ✓ -
94 GS 44 0🧊 -13.97% $21,372 $18,386 10 20% - -$2,986 -15.7% 9.6d ✓ -
95 AXP 23 1🧊 -14.16% $14,952 $12,834 7 14% - -$2,117 -27.6% 10.6d ✓ -
96 AVGO 19 1 -15.11% $13,866 $11,771 15 27% - -$2,095 -27.0% 3.7d ✓ -
97 PANW 30 6🧊 -15.13% $18,172 $15,422 20 30% - -$2,749 -29.0% 7.1d ✓ -
98 IBM 29 — -17.68% $16,347 $13,457 14 43% - -$2,890 -17.7% 10.0d ✓ -
99 NIO 4 0 -21.84% $5,984 $4,677 15 20% - -$1,307 -51.1% 2.6d ✓ -
100 RIVN 4 6 -25.70% $5,792 $4,303 23 26% - -$1,489 -51.0% 2.2d ✓ -
101 SMCI 4 20 -25.75% $1,554 $1,154 26 23% - -$400 -88.9% 1.9d ✓ -
102 LCID 4 9 -26.85% $11,107 $8,125 30 30% - -$2,982 -38.4% 1.9d ✓ -
103 TQQQ 5 14 -27.62% $9,107 $6,592 23 26% - -$2,515 -40.9% 3.1d ✓ -
104 RIOT 5 37🔥 -31.80% $8,753 $5,970 31 26% - -$2,783 -51.3% 1.3d ✓ -
105 MARA 4 5 -34.66% $4,763 $3,112 31 26% - -$1,651 -58.2% 1.3d ✓ -
106 DOGEUSD ₿ — — -38.34% $10,100 $6,228 NO ENTRY - $1,312 -$3,872 -99.3% 18.0h 1 Jan 31, 2026
107 UVXY 4 2 -38.74% $13,992 $8,571 22 14% - -$5,420 -50.0% 1.6d ✓ -
108 SHIBUSD ₿ — — -47.69% $10,098 $5,282 NO ENTRY - $2,493 -$4,816 -99.5% 19.9h 1 Dec 18, 2025
109 AVAXUSD ₿ — — -51.29% $3,806 $1,854 NO ENTRY - $8,581 -$1,952 -99.1% 18.6h 1 Jun 22, 2025
110 LINKUSD ₿ — — -51.38% $11,026 $5,361 NO ENTRY - $2,618 -$5,665 -99.3% 19.5h 1 Dec 1, 2025
111 PEPEUSD ₿ — — -52.17% $10,096 $4,829 NO ENTRY - $4,168 -$5,267 -99.9% 10.8h 1 Dec 18, 2025
112 UNIUSD ₿ — — -59.87% $5,186 $2,081 NO ENTRY - $5,345 -$3,105 -99.3% 16.8h 1 Sep 25, 2025
113 DOTUSD ₿ — — -68.71% $5,649 $1,767 NO ENTRY - $8,684 -$3,881 -99.1% 21.7h 1 Jun 21, 2025
114 CRWD 8 39🔥 -75.15% $29,473 $7,324 23 35% - -$22,149 -24.8% 4.4d ✓ -

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.