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Marcus Reversal
1

Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Jan 1, 2026 Jun 23, 2026 (172d)

📊 Year to Date Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the year to date across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$12,641
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $12,445 (+$196)
+1.57%
Year to Date ROI
41.0%
Win Rate
3,341
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

-1.6%
1 Month
+1.4%
3 Months
+0.3%
6 Months
+1.6%
YTD
+10.6%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Year to Date)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Year to Date)

Stock Volume
$37,431,839
2,594 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$2,827,894
747 trades
Crypto Fees
$7,070
0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))
RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)
Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14
Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14
📁 calculateRSI() @ lines 404-448

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size
2 Upper wick ≤ body size
3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE
→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

RSI_PERIOD: 14
RSI_OVERSOLD: 30
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -10%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 30

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Year to Date: Jan 1, 2026 Jun 23, 2026 (172 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return YTD Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 INTC 21 56🔥 +140.49% $5,757 $13,846 45 56% - +$8,088 -58.2% 3.6d -
2 AMD 38 31 +119.06% $11,288 $24,728 44 59% - +$13,440 -43.0% 3.3d -
3 MRNA 5 14 +94.76% $4,479 $8,723 47 53% - +$4,244 -73.8% 2.3d -
4 SOXL 🔥 PRO 72 77 +89.72% $45,103 $85,569 60 50% - +$40,466 -36.3% 1.6d -
5 NET 54 5🧊 +68.68% $18,164 $30,639 38 55% - +$12,475 -33.4% 4.1d -
6 ARM 38 17🧊 +64.13% $12,532 $20,569 46 48% - +$8,037 -31.3% 2.7d -
7 SLV 69 2🧊 +60.31% $19,501 $31,262 39 54% - +$11,761 -21.6% 7.3d -
8 CSCO 71 3🧊 +58.99% $19,049 $30,286 16 63% - +$11,237 -9.1% 15.2d -
9 MU 69 57 +50.59% $35,635 $53,662 52 52% - +$18,028 -27.8% 3.5d -
10 OXY 32 3🧊 +45.88% $11,211 $16,355 30 57% - +$5,144 -28.6% 8.2d -
11 XLK 38 32 +43.38% $12,421 $17,810 17 65% - +$5,388 -25.5% 11.5d -
12 GOOGL 55 +33.88% $19,156 $25,646 19 58% - +$6,490 -25.2% 7.9d -
13 SLB 33 7🧊 +31.57% $11,580 $15,236 26 50% - +$3,656 -22.2% 8.1d -
14 RIOT 4 26🔥 +30.13% $6,359 $8,275 56 45% - +$1,916 -51.3% 1.3d -
15 CVX 35 1🧊 +29.31% $11,466 $14,827 20 55% - +$3,361 -13.5% 13.2d -
16 ARKK 23 8 +26.79% $10,437 $13,233 27 48% - +$2,796 -26.4% 5.4d -
17 AMC 4 73🔥 +26.55% $4,331 $5,480 48 44% - +$1,150 -59.9% 2.4d -
18 AAPL 38 +25.62% $14,379 $18,063 14 57% - +$3,684 -21.5% 10.1d -
19 QQQ 36 +23.98% $12,975 $16,086 11 64% - +$3,111 -29.6% 15.7d -
20 NVDA 35 3🧊 +23.94% $16,593 $20,565 25 48% - +$3,972 -43.7% 3.8d -
21 UVXY 18 5 +20.28% $10,354 $12,454 49 43% - +$2,100 -50.0% 1.6d -
22 PANW 34 12🧊 +20.14% $15,125 $18,171 29 52% - +$3,046 -29.0% 7.1d -
23 C 39 53 +20.04% $16,201 $19,448 22 45% - +$3,247 -29.6% 8.3d -
24 SCHW 50 37 +18.76% $14,790 $17,564 13 62% - +$2,775 -10.8% 11.7d -
25 COP 16 1 +15.24% $9,640 $11,109 26 46% - +$1,469 -20.6% 9.4d -
26 GME 23 6 +14.84% $12,499 $14,354 24 42% - +$1,855 -32.0% 2.9d -
27 CRWD 57 3🧊 +14.57% $25,726 $29,474 32 50% - +$3,748 -24.8% 4.4d -
28 JNJ 36 +14.27% $13,448 $15,367 11 55% - +$1,919 -13.8% 16.3d -
29 MS 25 31 +13.65% $12,038 $13,681 18 50% - +$1,643 -29.2% 9.0d -
30 SPY 43 +12.77% $13,809 $15,573 8 63% - +$1,763 -12.7% 18.7d -
31 VOO 39 +12.38% $13,505 $15,176 8 63% - +$1,672 -15.4% 18.9d -
32 NIO 4 3 +11.57% $5,595 $6,242 38 42% - +$647 -51.1% 2.6d -
33 BAC 30 +11.26% $13,184 $14,669 11 55% - +$1,485 -21.4% 9.5d -
34 GLD 66 0🧊 +10.42% $20,585 $22,730 16 50% - +$2,145 -6.1% 15.7d -
35 VZ 22 0🧊 +10.20% $11,051 $12,179 14 43% - +$1,127 -14.2% 14.1d -
36 SOLUSD +9.96% $10,092 $11,098 27 44% $1,398 +$1,005 -99.5% 21.3h 1 Feb 6, 2026
37 UNH 6 +9.35% $5,707 $6,240 20 50% - +$534 -54.0% 7.3d -
38 XOM 20 0 +8.74% $10,712 $11,648 19 47% - +$936 -18.5% 11.9d -
39 VXX 23 20 +8.66% $12,604 $13,695 36 42% - +$1,091 -32.2% 2.9d -
40 VTI 38 +7.87% $13,744 $14,826 8 50% - +$1,082 -16.1% 20.8d -
41 SPXU 4 24🔥 +7.31% $8,381 $8,994 26 46% - +$613 -30.0% 5.6d -
42 IWM 25 +7.03% $13,254 $14,186 13 46% - +$932 -23.6% 13.7d -
43 GILD 25 0🧊 +6.39% $12,735 $13,549 20 45% - +$814 -20.9% 10.3d -
44 COST 31 0🧊 +5.86% $14,299 $15,137 15 47% - +$838 -19.7% 13.0d -
45 BRK-B 26 +5.11% $12,509 $13,148 10 50% - +$639 -15.7% 16.3d -
46 WFC 25 53🔥 +4.84% $12,628 $13,239 16 50% - +$611 -25.5% 8.9d -
47 XLE 5 0 +4.48% $9,224 $9,638 19 42% - +$413 -24.7% 12.5d -
48 AMZN 36 3🧊 +3.67% $15,881 $16,464 27 41% - +$583 -18.5% 8.3d -
49 GS 53 5🧊 +3.53% $20,643 $21,371 20 40% - +$729 -15.7% 9.6d -
50 USO 23 3 +3.50% $11,783 $12,195 40 48% - +$412 -18.0% 8.8d -
51 TSLA 28 3🧊 +3.49% $14,978 $15,501 30 40% - +$523 -34.1% 2.9d -
52 DIA 24 +2.66% $11,531 $11,837 8 63% - +$307 -20.7% 20.9d -
53 MRK 4 1 +2.26% $7,545 $7,715 15 40% - +$171 -45.0% 9.8d -
54 JPM 42 27 +1.93% $18,801 $19,164 14 36% - +$363 -20.8% 10.9d -
55 BLK 30 +1.93% $13,624 $13,887 17 47% - +$263 -17.2% 12.3d -
56 META 31 18 +1.33% $15,815 $16,026 24 42% - +$210 -26.1% 6.9d -
57 KO 30 3🧊 +0.72% $13,052 $13,146 11 45% - +$94 -13.1% 18.7d -
58 SNOW 28 35 +0.52% $17,402 $17,493 41 34% - +$90 -43.4% 4.9d -
59 BIIB 4 -0.05% $6,396 $6,393 16 44% - -$3 -46.7% 7.5d -
60 BMY 5 0 -0.40% $8,915 $8,879 19 37% - -$36 -28.4% 7.9d -
61 PG 4 -1.17% $9,175 $9,068 10 30% - -$107 -24.4% 16.2d -
62 PEP 4 -1.40% $8,747 $8,625 11 36% - -$122 -23.1% 16.8d -
63 PFE 5 -1.45% $8,596 $8,472 10 40% - -$125 -23.5% 10.8d -
64 TQQQ 12 27 -1.50% $10,532 $10,374 41 41% - -$158 -40.9% 3.1d -
65 AXP 29 -1.90% $15,242 $14,952 13 38% - -$290 -27.6% 10.6d -
66 AMGN 4 -2.20% $9,405 $9,198 12 42% - -$207 -28.3% 11.3d -
67 XLF 35 -2.69% $14,417 $14,029 10 40% - -$388 -11.5% 17.6d -
68 WMT 39 -3.08% $18,112 $17,554 15 40% - -$558 -17.6% 14.4d -
69 DIS 16 0 -4.58% $11,745 $11,207 15 40% - -$538 -24.9% 11.6d -
70 ABBV 23 0🧊 -4.72% $12,824 $12,218 20 40% - -$605 -17.7% 11.9d -
71 RIVN 4 23 -5.23% $6,308 $5,979 46 39% - -$330 -51.0% 2.2d -
72 MCD 15 -5.37% $10,770 $10,191 11 36% - -$578 -12.9% 16.0d -
73 IBM 33 5🧊 -5.37% $16,237 $15,365 24 38% - -$872 -17.7% 10.0d -
74 PLTR 66 6🧊 -5.78% $45,266 $42,649 38 37% - -$2,616 -28.0% 2.8d -
75 AVGO 26 5🧊 -5.94% $15,427 $14,511 32 41% - -$916 -27.0% 3.7d -
76 TLT 4 -6.41% $7,615 $7,127 7 43% - -$488 -27.7% 20.2d -
77 V 19 -7.63% $12,885 $11,902 10 20% - -$983 -14.4% 14.2d -
78 VRTX 18 -10.60% $12,872 $11,508 16 31% - -$1,364 -25.6% 10.7d -
79 DKNG 4 3 -12.09% $7,785 $6,844 41 37% - -$941 -50.2% 4.1d -
80 MDT 18 -13.74% $13,175 $11,365 12 25% - -$1,810 -12.1% 13.7d -
81 MSFT 29 1🧊 -14.22% $16,465 $14,123 21 29% - -$2,341 -21.2% 13.3d -
82 LLY 18 6 -14.45% $13,836 $11,836 24 29% - -$1,999 -36.7% 6.7d -
83 MA 27 -15.67% $14,711 $12,406 16 25% - -$2,305 -11.3% 13.9d -
84 SMCI 4 7 -16.45% $2,074 $1,733 48 33% - -$341 -88.9% 1.9d -
85 PM 22 0🧊 -16.54% $14,481 $12,086 15 27% - -$2,395 -21.9% 12.3d -
86 HD 5 30🔥 -19.02% $10,389 $8,413 18 28% - -$1,976 -19.9% 12.1d -
87 TMO 4 -19.23% $10,173 $8,217 15 27% - -$1,956 -28.6% 11.0d -
88 NFLX 37 0🧊 -21.60% $24,508 $19,214 20 30% - -$5,294 -32.4% 9.5d -
89 MARA 4 9 -23.29% $6,092 $4,673 59 34% - -$1,419 -58.2% 1.3d -
90 SOFI 27 18 -23.34% $19,929 $15,278 38 34% - -$4,651 -35.6% 2.7d -
91 CMCSA 5 0 -25.31% $7,059 $5,273 19 26% - -$1,787 -36.1% 11.9d -
92 CRM 5 3 -26.81% $9,256 $6,775 31 32% - -$2,482 -48.1% 7.3d -
93 PYPL 6 1 -29.35% $11,557 $8,165 22 32% - -$3,392 -35.9% 7.8d -
94 REGN 5 0 -29.67% $8,277 $5,821 19 26% - -$2,456 -50.1% 7.6d -
95 BTCUSD 4 10 -30.20% $4,364 $3,046 57 33% $12,916 -$1,318 -78.6% 2.4d -
96 ORCL 15 5 -31.11% $15,666 $10,792 45 31% - -$4,874 -51.2% 5.2d -
97 COIN 5 6 -31.49% $9,031 $6,187 51 31% - -$2,844 -53.5% 1.8d -
98 RBLX 17 17 -32.43% $15,284 $10,327 45 38% - -$4,957 -46.8% 3.9d -
99 ADBE 4 3 -32.90% $7,735 $5,190 30 27% - -$2,545 -42.0% 8.2d -
100 ISRG 4 1 -33.11% $13,624 $9,113 17 12% - -$4,511 -35.0% 8.4d -
101 SQQQ 3 6 -35.39% $5,320 $3,437 43 30% - -$1,883 -66.3% 2.8d -
102 LCID 15 9 -35.52% $17,226 $11,107 52 31% - -$6,119 -38.4% 1.9d -
103 AVAXUSD -38.12% $2,996 $1,854 48 31% $8,581 -$1,142 -99.1% 18.6h 1 Jun 22, 2025
104 DOGEUSD -38.34% $10,100 $6,228 35 29% $1,312 -$3,872 -99.3% 18.0h 1 Jan 31, 2026
105 LINKUSD -41.30% $9,133 $5,361 49 31% $2,618 -$3,772 -99.3% 19.5h 1 Dec 1, 2025
106 ACN 3 3 -41.59% $6,204 $3,624 27 19% - -$2,580 -45.0% 9.3d -
107 HOOD 5 5 -43.24% $13,644 $7,744 42 29% - -$5,900 -45.6% 2.2d -
108 SHIBUSD -44.70% $9,552 $5,282 59 31% $2,493 -$4,270 -99.5% 19.9h 1 Dec 18, 2025
109 PEPEUSD -52.27% $10,117 $4,829 88 33% $4,168 -$5,288 -99.9% 10.8h 1 Dec 18, 2025
110 LTCUSD 2 9 -53.05% $852 $400 66 30% $10,423 -$452 -95.7% 1.1d -
111 ETHUSD 2 10 -53.27% $544 $254 98 32% $9,951 -$290 -98.0% 1.4d -
112 UNIUSD -53.86% $4,511 $2,081 63 27% $5,345 -$2,430 -99.3% 16.8h 1 Sep 25, 2025
113 DOTUSD -55.54% $3,975 $1,767 63 29% $8,684 -$2,208 -99.1% 21.7h 1 Jun 21, 2025
114 XRPUSD 3 10 -64.38% $704 $251 94 29% $12,836 -$453 -96.4% 1.1d -

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.