Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

Jul 26, 2025 → Jul 26, 2026 (365d)

📊 Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

🎯 Asset: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the last year across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$13,961

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $12,641 (+$1,320)

+10.45%

Last Year ROI

43.5%

Win Rate

4,953

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Last Year)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

                        RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))                    

                            RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)                        

                            Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14                        

                            Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14

                    📁 calculateRSI() 
                    @ lines 404-448                

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size

2 Upper wick ≤ body size

3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

                        RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE                    

→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        RSI_PERIOD:
                        14
                    

                        RSI_OVERSOLD:
                        30
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        5%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -10%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        30
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Year: Jul 26, 2025 → Jul 26, 2026 (365 days)

📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns

📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.

75+ Elite 60+ Good 40+ Fair <40 Weak

⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.

75+ Hot 60+ Active 40+ Moderate <40 Quiet

Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.

⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →

Rank	Symbol	Score	Mom	Return	1Y Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	MU	67	9🧊	+152.91%	$18,407	$46,554	97	52%	-	+$28,146	-27.8%	3.5d	✓	-
2	NET	66	70	+135.52%	$16,737	$39,418	71	54%	-	+$22,681	-33.4%	4.1d	✓	-
3	INTC	11	9	+131.63%	$4,570	$10,586	90	46%	-	+$6,016	-58.2%	3.6d	✓	-
4	AMD	40	9🧊	+112.69%	$11,796	$25,090	84	50%	-	+$13,293	-43.0%	3.3d	✓	-
5	SLV	59	3🧊	+112.02%	$12,776	$27,088	67	54%	-	+$14,312	-21.6%	7.3d	✓	-
6	SOXL	70	10🧊	+105.55%	$33,380	$68,613	111	50%	-	+$35,233	-36.3%	1.6d	✓	-
7	CSCO	68	1🧊	+87.68%	$15,267	$28,653	31	58%	-	+$13,386	-9.1%	15.2d	✓	-
8	GOOGL	54	2🧊	+86.41%	$13,648	$25,440	40	58%	-	+$11,793	-25.2%	7.9d	✓	-
9	MRNA	5	6	+82.99%	$4,493	$8,221	97	45%	-	+$3,729	-73.8%	2.3d	✓	-
10	OXY	33	14	+58.25%	$10,680	$16,901	46	52%	-	+$6,221	-28.6%	8.2d	✓	-
11	JNJ	44	15🧊	+57.74%	$10,604	$16,726	24	63%	-	+$6,123	-13.8%	16.3d	✓	-
12	AAPL	41	31	+56.79%	$11,864	$18,601	30	57%	-	+$6,737	-21.5%	10.1d	✓	-
13	SLB	33	18	+50.71%	$10,484	$15,801	40	50%	-	+$5,317	-22.2%	8.1d	✓	-
14	CVX	43	53	+47.13%	$11,439	$16,830	31	55%	-	+$5,391	-13.5%	13.2d	✓	-
15	XLK	33	—	+39.68%	$11,531	$16,107	28	54%	-	+$4,576	-25.5%	11.5d	✓	-
16	UVXY	17	7	+36.71%	$8,711	$11,909	100	41%	-	+$3,198	-50.0%	1.6d	✓	-
17	QQQ	32	—	+34.36%	$11,228	$15,086	19	68%	-	+$3,858	-29.6%	15.7d	✓	-
18	GLD	58	—	+33.59%	$16,436	$21,956	26	58%	-	+$5,521	-6.1%	15.7d	✓	-
19	NVDA	32	0🧊	+32.52%	$14,178	$18,789	53	45%	-	+$4,611	-43.7%	3.8d	✓	-
20	C	34	0🧊	+32.47%	$13,253	$17,556	39	46%	-	+$4,303	-29.6%	8.3d	✓	-
21	SCHW	49	—	+31.02%	$13,671	$17,911	25	56%	-	+$4,241	-10.8%	11.7d	✓	-
22	UNH	6	—	+28.53%	$5,506	$7,077	39	51%	-	+$1,571	-54.0%	7.3d	✓	-
23	PANW	32	3🧊	+27.57%	$12,777	$16,300	50	46%	-	+$3,523	-29.0%	7.1d	✓	-
24	BAC	30	—	+26.74%	$12,166	$15,420	22	55%	-	+$3,253	-21.4%	9.5d	✓	-
25	XOM	24	—	+25.55%	$10,032	$12,595	31	52%	-	+$2,563	-18.5%	11.9d	✓	-
26	BMY	5	—	+25.47%	$7,857	$9,858	38	45%	-	+$2,001	-28.4%	7.9d	✓	-
27	MS	23	3	+25.12%	$10,404	$13,018	40	48%	-	+$2,614	-29.2%	9.0d	✓	-
28	COP	23	53🔥	+24.99%	$10,014	$12,517	43	47%	-	+$2,503	-20.6%	9.4d	✓	-
29	TSLA	21	3	+22.62%	$10,163	$12,462	66	44%	-	+$2,299	-34.1%	2.9d	✓	-
30	VTI	39	—	+22.49%	$12,543	$15,364	15	67%	-	+$2,821	-16.1%	20.8d	✓	-
31	GILD	30	39	+19.50%	$12,507	$14,946	36	44%	-	+$2,439	-20.9%	10.3d	✓	-
32	SPXU	4	—	+18.73%	$8,230	$9,772	44	45%	-	+$1,541	-30.0%	5.6d	✓	-
33	MRK	4	17	+17.68%	$7,216	$8,492	35	46%	-	+$1,276	-45.0%	9.8d	✓	-
34	VOO	34	—	+17.62%	$12,508	$14,712	15	67%	-	+$2,204	-15.4%	18.9d	✓	-
35	DIA	26	—	+17.08%	$10,387	$12,161	15	67%	-	+$1,774	-20.7%	20.9d	✓	-
36	SPY	37	—	+16.92%	$12,911	$15,096	16	63%	-	+$2,185	-12.7%	18.7d	✓	-
37	IWM	28	—	+16.62%	$12,109	$14,122	22	50%	-	+$2,013	-23.6%	13.7d	✓	-
38	XLE	13	—	+15.84%	$9,225	$10,686	28	46%	-	+$1,461	-24.7%	12.5d	✓	-
39	USO	29	64🔥	+15.41%	$12,073	$13,933	59	46%	-	+$1,860	-18.0%	8.8d	✓	-
40	ABBV	28	31	+14.79%	$11,984	$13,757	35	46%	-	+$1,772	-17.7%	11.9d	✓	-
41	SNOW	28	23	+14.66%	$15,052	$17,258	71	37%	-	+$2,207	-43.4%	4.9d	✓	-
42	AMGN	8	—	+9.09%	$9,291	$10,135	25	48%	-	+$845	-28.3%	11.3d	✓	-
43	JPM	44	—	+9.08%	$18,563	$20,248	26	42%	-	+$1,685	-20.8%	10.9d	✓	-
44	LLY	21	27	+8.98%	$11,581	$12,621	46	43%	-	+$1,040	-36.7%	6.7d	✓	-
45	VZ	21	0🧊	+8.31%	$11,066	$11,986	25	40%	-	+$920	-14.2%	14.1d	✓	-
46	GS	52	0🧊	+8.24%	$19,463	$21,067	39	44%	-	+$1,604	-15.7%	9.6d	✓	-
47	ARKK	18	2	+7.30%	$10,910	$11,707	55	42%	-	+$796	-26.4%	5.4d	✓	-
48	VRTX	19	0	+6.79%	$11,247	$12,011	35	43%	-	+$764	-25.6%	10.7d	✓	-
49	XLF	37	—	+6.68%	$13,819	$14,742	17	53%	-	+$923	-11.5%	17.6d	✓	-
50	PLTR	66	42🧊	+6.23%	$42,131	$44,756	79	39%	-	+$2,625	-28.0%	2.8d	✓	-
51	VXX	25	26	+6.09%	$13,781	$14,620	70	40%	-	+$839	-32.2%	2.9d	✓	-
52	BLK	33	41	+5.82%	$13,872	$14,680	31	45%	-	+$807	-17.2%	12.3d	✓	-
53	KO	29	—	+4.50%	$12,754	$13,328	18	50%	-	+$574	-13.1%	18.7d	✓	-
54	BIIB	4	3	+4.23%	$6,020	$6,274	38	42%	-	+$255	-46.7%	7.5d	✓	-
55	MCD	13	—	+4.04%	$10,006	$10,410	21	43%	-	+$404	-12.9%	16.0d	✓	-
56	ARM	30	9🧊	+4.02%	$16,123	$16,771	90	40%	-	+$648	-31.3%	2.7d	✓	-
57	TMO	4	25🔥	+3.80%	$9,040	$9,383	28	39%	-	+$344	-28.6%	11.0d	✓	-
58	WFC	26	—	+3.19%	$13,574	$14,007	30	43%	-	+$433	-25.5%	8.9d	✓	-
59	WMT	37	0🧊	+2.32%	$16,113	$16,487	28	43%	-	+$374	-17.6%	14.4d	✓	-
60	BRK-B	25	—	+2.11%	$12,689	$12,957	18	44%	-	+$268	-15.7%	16.3d	✓	-
61	AMZN	35	14🧊	+1.13%	$15,951	$16,131	45	40%	-	+$180	-18.5%	8.3d	✓	-
62	SQQQ	3	65🔥	+0.17%	$4,707	$4,715	86	41%	-	+$8	-66.3%	2.8d	✓	-
63	AXP	28	0🧊	-0.98%	$14,422	$14,281	27	41%	-	-$141	-27.6%	10.6d	✓	-
64	PEP	4	0	-2.06%	$8,621	$8,444	21	38%	-	-$178	-23.1%	16.8d	✓	-
65	AMC	4	44🔥	-2.16%	$4,666	$4,565	88	40%	-	-$101	-59.9%	2.4d	✓	-
66	IBM	27	5🧊	-3.45%	$13,657	$13,186	48	46%	-	-$471	-17.7%	10.0d	✓	-
67	V	24	—	-4.10%	$13,670	$13,110	21	33%	-	-$560	-14.4%	14.2d	✓	-
68	PFE	5	—	-4.20%	$8,744	$8,377	25	40%	-	-$367	-23.5%	10.8d	✓	-
69	GME	22	—	-4.38%	$14,107	$13,489	44	36%	-	-$618	-32.0%	2.9d	✓	-
70	MDT	16	0	-5.54%	$11,660	$11,014	25	40%	-	-$646	-12.1%	13.7d	✓	-
71	AVGO	23	3	-5.87%	$14,230	$13,395	69	38%	-	-$835	-27.0%	3.7d	✓	-
72	TLT	4	—	-5.91%	$7,347	$6,913	13	46%	-	-$434	-27.7%	20.2d	✓	-
73	PG	4	—	-7.85%	$9,784	$9,016	21	38%	-	-$768	-24.4%	16.2d	✓	-
74	MA	27	—	-8.01%	$14,198	$13,061	24	33%	-	-$1,137	-11.3%	13.9d	✓	-
75	MSFT	30	31	-8.69%	$16,057	$14,662	32	38%	-	-$1,395	-21.2%	13.3d	✓	-
76	COST	27	—	-12.25%	$16,256	$14,264	24	33%	-	-$1,991	-19.7%	13.0d	✓	-
77	META	28	2🧊	-12.73%	$17,217	$15,025	45	36%	-	-$2,192	-26.1%	6.9d	✓	-
78	PYPL	7	59🔥	-15.27%	$11,830	$10,024	41	39%	-	-$1,806	-35.9%	7.8d	✓	-
79	PM	25	36	-16.16%	$15,807	$13,253	33	33%	-	-$2,554	-21.9%	12.3d	✓	-
80	REGN	5	30🔥	-17.77%	$7,557	$6,214	43	37%	-	-$1,343	-50.1%	7.6d	✓	-
81	CRM	5	36🔥	-18.15%	$9,023	$7,385	52	38%	-	-$1,638	-48.1%	7.3d	✓	-
82	DIS	9	—	-19.16%	$12,627	$10,207	27	33%	-	-$2,419	-24.9%	11.6d	✓	-
83	TQQQ	5	6	-20.79%	$9,241	$7,320	82	39%	-	-$1,921	-40.9%	3.1d	✓	-
84	RIVN	4	7	-21.67%	$6,691	$5,241	91	38%	-	-$1,450	-51.0%	2.2d	✓	-
85	NIO	4	5	-22.70%	$7,080	$5,473	85	35%	-	-$1,607	-51.1%	2.6d	✓	-
86	CMCSA	5	48🔥	-23.41%	$8,190	$6,273	34	29%	-	-$1,917	-36.1%	11.9d	✓	-
87	ADBE	4	77🔥	-23.96%	$8,831	$6,715	53	34%	-	-$2,116	-42.0%	8.2d	✓	-
88	HD	5	—	-27.90%	$11,505	$8,295	32	28%	-	-$3,210	-19.9%	12.1d	✓	-
89	SOFI	22	5	-31.59%	$19,149	$13,100	84	36%	-	-$6,049	-35.6%	2.7d	✓	-
90	DKNG	4	3	-32.19%	$9,351	$6,341	71	34%	-	-$3,010	-50.2%	4.1d	✓	-
91	ISRG	4	2	-32.83%	$12,087	$8,119	37	24%	-	-$3,968	-35.0%	8.4d	✓	-
92	MARA	5	9	-37.07%	$7,436	$4,679	117	35%	-	-$2,757	-58.2%	1.3d	✓	-
93	ORCL	5	6	-37.24%	$13,764	$8,638	85	32%	-	-$5,126	-51.2%	5.2d	✓	-
94	NFLX	31	0🧊	-40.33%	$28,682	$17,115	34	29%	-	-$11,567	-32.4%	9.5d	✓	-
95	ACN	3	12	-45.57%	$6,749	$3,673	46	26%	-	-$3,075	-45.0%	9.3d	✓	-
96	RIOT	5	9	-51.53%	$12,968	$6,286	121	34%	-	-$6,683	-51.3%	1.3d	✓	-
97	LCID	9	9	-55.03%	$22,819	$10,262	105	32%	-	-$12,557	-38.4%	1.9d	✓	-
98	RBLX	7	10	-55.19%	$22,342	$10,011	81	35%	-	-$12,331	-46.8%	3.9d	✓	-
99	COIN	5	28🔥	-55.55%	$13,395	$5,954	106	32%	-	-$7,441	-53.5%	1.8d	✓	-
100	HOOD	5	14	-61.18%	$19,184	$7,447	93	31%	-	-$11,737	-45.6%	2.2d	✓	-
101	SMCI	4	7	-61.43%	$3,535	$1,363	93	30%	-	-$2,171	-88.9%	1.9d	✓	-
102	CRWD	8	6	-67.17%	$21,368	$7,015	61	46%	-	-$14,353	-24.8%	4.4d	✓	-

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.

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