Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

📊 View Performance: 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months YTD 1 Year 2 Years

Feb 14, 2025 → Feb 14, 2026 (365 days)

🎯 Asset Class: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All Assets 114

📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the last year across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$13,540

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $12,332 (+$1,208)

+9.79%

Last Year ROI

43.3%

Win Rate

4,823

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Last Year)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

                        RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))                    

                            RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)                        

                            Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14                        

                            Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14

                    📁 calculateRSI() 
                    @ lines 404-448                

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size

2 Upper wick ≤ body size

3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

                        RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE                    

→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        RSI_PERIOD:
                        14
                    

                        RSI_OVERSOLD:
                        30
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        5%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -10%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        30
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Year: Feb 14, 2025 → Feb 14, 2026 (365 days)

Rank	Symbol	Return	1Y Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	SOXL	+183.11%	$23,246	$65,810	98	52%	-	+$42,565	-36.3%	1.6d	✓	-
2	MU	+142.31%	$17,890	$43,350	72	51%	-	+$25,460	-27.8%	3.5d	✓	-
3	SLV	+132.21%	$11,147	$25,885	44	61%	-	+$14,738	-21.6%	7.3d	✓	-
4	UVXY	+92.93%	$7,301	$14,085	104	44%	-	+$6,784	-50.0%	1.6d	✓	-
5	GLD	+86.77%	$13,646	$25,486	25	76%	-	+$11,840	-6.1%	15.7d	✓	-
6	SNOW	+74.79%	$10,461	$18,284	57	46%	-	+$7,823	-43.4%	4.9d	✓	-
7	CSCO	+63.93%	$13,163	$21,579	25	64%	-	+$8,415	-9.1%	15.2d	✓	-
8	JNJ	+52.94%	$9,888	$15,122	24	67%	-	+$5,235	-13.8%	16.3d	✓	-
9	GOOGL	+52.72%	$13,130	$20,052	40	53%	-	+$6,922	-25.2%	7.9d	✓	-
10	SLB	+51.43%	$9,612	$14,556	39	51%	-	+$4,944	-22.2%	8.1d	✓	-
11	AMD	+41.01%	$8,785	$12,388	71	45%	-	+$3,603	-43.0%	3.3d	✓	-
12	OXY	+32.79%	$10,423	$13,841	45	47%	-	+$3,418	-28.6%	8.2d	✓	-
13	NVDA	+30.98%	$12,628	$16,540	55	44%	-	+$3,912	-43.7%	3.8d	✓	-
14	GS	+30.28%	$16,626	$21,660	40	50%	-	+$5,034	-15.7%	9.6d	✓	-
15	MDT	+30.17%	$10,578	$13,770	25	60%	-	+$3,192	-12.1%	13.7d	✓	-
16	NET	+29.39%	$15,970	$20,663	69	43%	-	+$4,694	-33.4%	4.1d	✓	-
17	SOFI	+28.19%	$13,157	$16,866	86	43%	-	+$3,709	-35.6%	2.7d	✓	-
18	CVX	+26.94%	$11,145	$14,147	24	50%	-	+$3,002	-13.5%	13.2d	✓	-
19	SCHW	+26.19%	$12,710	$16,039	29	52%	-	+$3,329	-10.8%	11.7d	✓	-
20	IBM	+26.06%	$13,793	$17,388	38	50%	-	+$3,595	-17.7%	10.0d	✓	-
21	C	+24.46%	$13,475	$16,771	40	48%	-	+$3,296	-29.6%	8.3d	✓	-
22	XOM	+23.90%	$10,184	$12,618	30	53%	-	+$2,434	-18.5%	11.9d	✓	-
23	GILD	+22.11%	$12,652	$15,450	35	46%	-	+$2,797	-20.9%	10.3d	✓	-
24	AAPL	+21.42%	$12,213	$14,829	34	47%	-	+$2,616	-21.5%	10.1d	✓	-
25	INTC	+20.85%	$6,671	$8,062	78	41%	-	+$1,391	-58.2%	3.6d	✓	-
26	XLK	+19.97%	$10,651	$12,779	29	48%	-	+$2,127	-25.5%	11.5d	✓	-
27	MSFT	+16.63%	$12,902	$15,048	28	46%	-	+$2,146	-21.2%	13.3d	✓	-
28	XLE	+16.52%	$9,382	$10,932	25	48%	-	+$1,550	-24.7%	12.5d	✓	-
29	RIOT	+15.66%	$7,424	$8,587	121	42%	-	+$1,163	-51.3%	1.3d	✓	-
30	MARA	+15.63%	$5,733	$6,629	110	40%	-	+$896	-58.2%	1.3d	✓	-
31	KO	+15.31%	$12,036	$13,879	17	53%	-	+$1,843	-13.1%	18.7d	✓	-
32	MRK	+15.09%	$7,213	$8,302	41	41%	-	+$1,089	-45.0%	9.8d	✓	-
33	PLTR	+14.80%	$38,307	$43,976	85	41%	-	+$5,669	-28.0%	2.8d	✓	-
34	PEP	+14.19%	$8,609	$9,830	19	47%	-	+$1,222	-23.1%	16.8d	✓	-
35	MRNA	+13.55%	$4,605	$5,229	98	42%	-	+$624	-73.8%	2.3d	✓	-
36	COP	+13.22%	$10,197	$11,545	37	43%	-	+$1,348	-20.6%	9.4d	✓	-
37	BLK	+12.88%	$12,000	$13,546	31	48%	-	+$1,546	-17.2%	12.3d	✓	-
38	BIIB	+12.23%	$6,125	$6,874	43	44%	-	+$749	-46.7%	7.5d	✓	-
39	VZ	+11.93%	$10,637	$11,906	27	41%	-	+$1,269	-14.2%	14.1d	✓	-
40	AMGN	+11.75%	$9,876	$11,037	31	45%	-	+$1,160	-28.3%	11.3d	✓	-
41	LLY	+11.71%	$12,466	$13,926	48	44%	-	+$1,460	-36.7%	6.7d	✓	-
42	SPY	+11.68%	$12,397	$13,845	21	52%	-	+$1,448	-12.7%	18.7d	✓	-
43	ABBV	+10.88%	$11,386	$12,625	34	44%	-	+$1,239	-17.7%	11.9d	✓	-
44	VTI	+10.55%	$12,480	$13,797	20	55%	-	+$1,317	-16.1%	20.8d	✓	-
45	XLF	+9.88%	$13,400	$14,724	23	52%	-	+$1,324	-11.5%	17.6d	✓	-
46	MCD	+9.43%	$10,427	$11,410	22	45%	-	+$983	-12.9%	16.0d	✓	-
47	VOO	+9.14%	$12,411	$13,545	21	52%	-	+$1,134	-15.4%	18.9d	✓	-
48	BAC	+7.78%	$12,624	$13,606	33	45%	-	+$982	-21.4%	9.5d	✓	-
49	USO	+7.31%	$12,136	$13,023	34	41%	-	+$887	-18.0%	8.8d	✓	-
50	IWM	+7.07%	$12,759	$13,661	24	46%	-	+$902	-23.6%	13.7d	✓	-
51	AVGO	+6.96%	$12,312	$13,169	65	37%	-	+$857	-27.0%	3.7d	✓	-
52	SPXU	+6.07%	$8,220	$8,719	37	43%	-	+$499	-30.0%	5.6d	✓	-
53	MA	+5.39%	$12,910	$13,606	28	43%	-	+$696	-11.3%	13.9d	✓	-
54	VRTX	+5.12%	$12,318	$12,949	32	47%	-	+$631	-25.6%	10.7d	✓	-
55	CRWD	+4.25%	$21,176	$22,076	59	41%	-	+$900	-24.8%	4.4d	✓	-
56	PM	+4.11%	$14,396	$14,988	29	45%	-	+$592	-21.9%	12.3d	✓	-
57	PFE	+4.01%	$9,173	$9,541	29	45%	-	+$368	-23.5%	10.8d	✓	-
58	WMT	+3.78%	$18,609	$19,312	30	43%	-	+$703	-17.6%	14.4d	✓	-
59	TSLA	+3.62%	$12,382	$12,830	79	42%	-	+$448	-34.1%	2.9d	✓	-
60	LCID	+2.38%	$13,890	$14,221	97	37%	-	+$331	-38.4%	1.9d	✓	-
61	DIA	+1.63%	$11,603	$11,792	18	50%	-	+$189	-20.7%	20.9d	✓	-
62	QQQ	+1.12%	$12,938	$13,083	22	55%	-	+$145	-29.6%	15.7d	✓	-
63	BMY	-0.23%	$9,621	$9,599	41	39%	-	-$22	-28.4%	7.9d	✓	-
64	BRK-B	-0.36%	$12,767	$12,721	20	45%	-	-$46	-15.7%	16.3d	✓	-
65	JPM	-2.13%	$18,593	$18,197	35	40%	-	-$396	-20.8%	10.9d	✓	-
66	REGN	-2.82%	$8,908	$8,657	52	42%	-	-$251	-50.1%	7.6d	✓	-
67	PG	-3.56%	$10,210	$9,847	25	40%	-	-$363	-24.4%	16.2d	✓	-
68	ARM	-3.63%	$15,164	$14,614	76	39%	-	-$550	-31.3%	2.7d	✓	-
69	AMZN	-3.83%	$15,864	$15,256	43	37%	-	-$608	-18.5%	8.3d	✓	-
70	SQQQ	-4.18%	$5,951	$5,702	82	39%	-	-$249	-66.3%	2.8d	✓	-
71	PANW	-4.37%	$14,141	$13,523	43	37%	-	-$618	-29.0%	7.1d	✓	-
72	V	-4.50%	$12,721	$12,148	27	37%	-	-$572	-14.4%	14.2d	✓	-
73	DIS	-4.71%	$11,964	$11,401	29	41%	-	-$564	-24.9%	11.6d	✓	-
74	GME	-5.78%	$15,372	$14,483	55	38%	-	-$888	-32.0%	2.9d	✓	-
75	TLT	-6.10%	$8,066	$7,574	14	43%	-	-$492	-27.7%	20.2d	✓	-
76	TQQQ	-6.19%	$10,347	$9,707	70	39%	-	-$640	-40.9%	3.1d	✓	-
77	CMCSA	-7.32%	$8,314	$7,705	30	40%	-	-$609	-36.1%	11.9d	✓	-
78	VXX	-7.71%	$15,549	$14,350	76	38%	-	-$1,199	-32.2%	2.9d	✓	-
79	AXP	-8.38%	$15,527	$14,226	34	38%	-	-$1,301	-27.6%	10.6d	✓	-
80	META	-10.29%	$18,604	$16,689	47	36%	-	-$1,914	-26.1%	6.9d	✓	-
81	RBLX	-10.57%	$14,453	$12,925	71	41%	-	-$1,528	-46.8%	3.9d	✓	-
82	NFLX	-11.31%	$22,777	$20,201	36	39%	-	-$2,576	-32.4%	9.5d	✓	-
83	MS	-11.34%	$13,048	$11,568	43	37%	-	-$1,480	-29.2%	9.0d	✓	-
84	HD	-11.98%	$12,615	$11,104	29	34%	-	-$1,511	-19.9%	12.1d	✓	-
85	COST	-13.12%	$17,762	$15,431	23	35%	-	-$2,330	-19.7%	13.0d	✓	-
86	ARKK	-13.31%	$11,088	$9,612	58	38%	-	-$1,476	-26.4%	5.4d	✓	-
87	TMO	-13.70%	$10,700	$9,234	31	29%	-	-$1,466	-28.6%	11.0d	✓	-
88	WFC	-18.09%	$15,152	$12,411	36	33%	-	-$2,741	-25.5%	8.9d	✓	-
89	ORCL	-20.73%	$14,970	$11,867	70	33%	-	-$3,103	-51.2%	5.2d	✓	-
90	PYPL	-21.77%	$11,089	$8,675	39	38%	-	-$2,414	-35.9%	7.8d	✓	-
91	ISRG	-26.67%	$15,728	$11,533	46	30%	-	-$4,195	-35.0%	8.4d	✓	-
92	NIO	-28.68%	$7,979	$5,690	84	35%	-	-$2,288	-51.1%	2.6d	✓	-
93	AMC	-30.00%	$6,166	$4,316	78	33%	-	-$1,850	-59.9%	2.4d	✓	-
94	ADBE	-30.81%	$10,188	$7,049	36	28%	-	-$3,139	-42.0%	8.2d	✓	-
95	HOOD	-34.03%	$16,443	$10,848	96	36%	-	-$5,596	-45.6%	2.2d	✓	-
96	CRM	-35.12%	$12,461	$8,085	46	33%	-	-$4,376	-48.1%	7.3d	✓	-
97	COIN	-40.97%	$12,354	$7,293	95	34%	-	-$5,061	-53.5%	1.8d	✓	-
98	DKNG	-41.05%	$11,595	$6,835	65	32%	-	-$4,760	-50.2%	4.1d	✓	-
99	RIVN	-43.82%	$8,797	$4,942	89	34%	-	-$3,855	-51.0%	2.2d	✓	-
100	ACN	-44.56%	$9,959	$5,521	42	26%	-	-$4,438	-45.0%	9.3d	✓	-
101	UNH	-52.50%	$9,788	$4,649	49	39%	-	-$5,139	-54.0%	7.3d	✓	-
102	SMCI	-71.95%	$6,480	$1,818	88	28%	-	-$4,663	-88.9%	1.9d	✓	-

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.