Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

May 30, 2025 → May 30, 2026 (365d)

📊 Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

🎯 Asset: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the last year across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$14,520

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $11,692 (+$2,827)

+24.18%

Last Year ROI

46.1%

Win Rate

4,612

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Last Year)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

                        RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))                    

                            RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)                        

                            Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14                        

                            Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14

                    📁 calculateRSI() 
                    @ lines 404-448                

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size

2 Upper wick ≤ body size

3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

                        RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE                    

→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        RSI_PERIOD:
                        14
                    

                        RSI_OVERSOLD:
                        30
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        5%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -10%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        30
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Year: May 30, 2025 → May 30, 2026 (365 days)

📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns

📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.

75+ Elite 60+ Good 40+ Fair <40 Weak

⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.

75+ Hot 60+ Active 40+ Moderate <40 Quiet

Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.

⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →

Rank	Symbol	Score	Mom	Return	1Y Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	SLV	72	21🧊	+207.73%	$11,053	$34,013	58	62%	-	+$22,960	-21.6%	7.3d	✓	-
2	MU	69	52	+179.23%	$17,769	$49,618	83	54%	-	+$31,848	-27.8%	3.5d	✓	-
3	INTC	19	47🔥	+178.83%	$4,541	$12,662	80	50%	-	+$8,121	-58.2%	3.6d	✓	-
4	SOXL 🔥 PRO	72	90	+162.29%	$28,552	$74,888	99	53%	-	+$46,337	-36.3%	1.6d	✓	-
5	GOOGL	59	—	+149.59%	$11,323	$28,262	38	66%	-	+$16,938	-25.2%	7.9d	✓	-
6	NET	60	49	+146.47%	$13,892	$34,240	68	54%	-	+$20,348	-33.4%	4.1d	✓	-
7	MRNA	5	3	+135.26%	$3,642	$8,567	95	48%	-	+$4,926	-73.8%	2.3d	✓	-
8	AMD	37	74🔥	+133.79%	$9,734	$22,757	76	51%	-	+$13,023	-43.0%	3.3d	✓	-
9	CSCO	71	—	+112.21%	$14,183	$30,099	26	69%	-	+$15,915	-9.1%	15.2d	✓	-
10	OXY	36	2🧊	+104.86%	$8,850	$18,131	44	59%	-	+$9,281	-28.6%	8.2d	✓	-
11	CRWD	66	79	+79.83%	$18,765	$33,745	55	53%	-	+$14,980	-24.8%	4.4d	✓	-
12	NVDA	36	6🧊	+69.17%	$12,132	$20,524	46	52%	-	+$8,392	-43.7%	3.8d	✓	-
13	ARM	41	79🔥	+69.16%	$13,614	$23,029	78	46%	-	+$9,415	-31.3%	2.7d	✓	-
14	AAPL	41	52	+69.00%	$11,057	$18,687	27	63%	-	+$7,630	-21.5%	10.1d	✓	-
15	SLB	34	19	+68.66%	$9,442	$15,925	40	53%	-	+$6,483	-22.2%	8.1d	✓	-
16	XLK	36	52	+61.68%	$10,522	$17,013	23	65%	-	+$6,490	-25.5%	11.5d	✓	-
17	PLTR	70	44🧊	+59.15%	$35,112	$55,881	76	46%	-	+$20,769	-28.0%	2.8d	✓	-
18	JNJ	34	0🧊	+55.57%	$9,409	$14,638	22	64%	-	+$5,229	-13.8%	16.3d	✓	-
19	C	32	0🧊	+52.41%	$10,876	$16,575	37	51%	-	+$5,700	-29.6%	8.3d	✓	-
20	PANW	36	61🔥	+51.30%	$11,741	$17,764	44	52%	-	+$6,023	-29.0%	7.1d	✓	-
21	QQQ	33	—	+49.68%	$10,478	$15,684	17	82%	-	+$5,206	-29.6%	15.7d	✓	-
22	GLD	67	—	+48.04%	$15,606	$23,103	24	67%	-	+$7,497	-6.1%	15.7d	✓	-
23	ARKK	25	51🔥	+48.04%	$9,255	$13,701	50	50%	-	+$4,446	-26.4%	5.4d	✓	-
24	AVGO	30	46	+44.41%	$11,549	$16,678	63	43%	-	+$5,129	-27.0%	3.7d	✓	-
25	CVX	37	17🧊	+43.90%	$10,691	$15,385	27	56%	-	+$4,694	-13.5%	13.2d	✓	-
26	TSLA	30	47	+43.58%	$11,692	$16,788	65	46%	-	+$5,096	-34.1%	2.9d	✓	-
27	TQQQ	15	60🔥	+41.57%	$7,592	$10,748	74	46%	-	+$3,156	-40.9%	3.1d	✓	-
28	SNOW	33	74🔥	+41.33%	$14,271	$20,169	61	39%	-	+$5,898	-43.4%	4.9d	✓	-
29	XOM	24	1🧊	+36.42%	$9,321	$12,716	31	55%	-	+$3,395	-18.5%	11.9d	✓	-
30	GS	56	26🧊	+32.14%	$16,871	$22,294	35	51%	-	+$5,422	-15.7%	9.6d	✓	-
31	MS	22	—	+31.11%	$9,691	$12,706	34	50%	-	+$3,015	-29.2%	9.0d	✓	-
32	VTI	41	—	+31.05%	$11,673	$15,298	15	73%	-	+$3,625	-16.1%	20.8d	✓	-
33	UVXY	18	6	+29.07%	$9,552	$12,329	99	41%	-	+$2,777	-50.0%	1.6d	✓	-
34	AMZN	41	0🧊	+28.73%	$14,186	$18,262	38	47%	-	+$4,076	-18.5%	8.3d	✓	-
35	IBM	41	38	+28.36%	$14,100	$18,099	39	51%	-	+$3,999	-17.7%	10.0d	✓	-
36	VOO	36	—	+28.30%	$11,640	$14,934	15	73%	-	+$3,294	-15.4%	18.9d	✓	-
37	SPY	40	—	+27.58%	$12,012	$15,325	16	69%	-	+$3,313	-12.7%	18.7d	✓	-
38	MRK	4	—	+24.94%	$6,648	$8,306	31	48%	-	+$1,658	-45.0%	9.8d	✓	-
39	IWM	27	31	+23.67%	$11,255	$13,919	22	55%	-	+$2,664	-23.6%	13.7d	✓	-
40	GILD	28	50🔥	+22.63%	$11,860	$14,544	33	45%	-	+$2,684	-20.9%	10.3d	✓	-
41	COP	18	1	+20.71%	$9,396	$11,342	39	46%	-	+$1,946	-20.6%	9.4d	✓	-
42	SCHW	43	—	+20.70%	$13,188	$15,918	24	54%	-	+$2,730	-10.8%	11.7d	✓	-
43	DIA	22	—	+20.31%	$9,676	$11,641	15	67%	-	+$1,965	-20.7%	20.9d	✓	-
44	XLE	10	0	+17.02%	$8,797	$10,295	27	48%	-	+$1,497	-24.7%	12.5d	✓	-
45	USO	28	6🧊	+16.54%	$11,500	$13,403	54	46%	-	+$1,902	-18.0%	8.8d	✓	-
46	MSFT	31	—	+15.73%	$13,895	$16,080	27	48%	-	+$2,186	-21.2%	13.3d	✓	-
47	VZ	23	—	+14.46%	$10,761	$12,317	22	41%	-	+$1,556	-14.2%	14.1d	✓	-
48	LLY	20	49🔥	+13.52%	$10,864	$12,333	43	47%	-	+$1,469	-36.7%	6.7d	✓	-
49	BAC	23	—	+11.94%	$11,736	$13,137	23	48%	-	+$1,401	-21.4%	9.5d	✓	-
50	BIIB	4	—	+11.62%	$5,909	$6,596	38	45%	-	+$687	-46.7%	7.5d	✓	-
51	UNH	6	14	+11.12%	$5,358	$5,954	43	47%	-	+$596	-54.0%	7.3d	✓	-
52	PEP	4	0	+10.62%	$7,797	$8,625	20	45%	-	+$828	-23.1%	16.8d	✓	-
53	JPM	37	—	+10.44%	$16,283	$17,983	25	44%	-	+$1,700	-20.8%	10.9d	✓	-
54	BLK	28	—	+10.36%	$12,264	$13,535	28	50%	-	+$1,271	-17.2%	12.3d	✓	-
55	AXP	27	—	+9.24%	$13,199	$14,419	27	44%	-	+$1,220	-27.6%	10.6d	✓	-
56	SOFI	28	33	+7.72%	$14,302	$15,406	82	43%	-	+$1,104	-35.6%	2.7d	✓	-
57	BMY	5	—	+7.30%	$8,363	$8,974	36	42%	-	+$611	-28.4%	7.9d	✓	-
58	ABBV	22	34	+6.97%	$11,563	$12,369	32	44%	-	+$806	-17.7%	11.9d	✓	-
59	ORCL	20	55🔥	+6.72%	$11,860	$12,657	77	38%	-	+$797	-51.2%	5.2d	✓	-
60	MDT	15	—	+6.69%	$10,313	$11,003	23	48%	-	+$690	-12.1%	13.7d	✓	-
61	KO	32	—	+5.84%	$12,646	$13,384	16	50%	-	+$739	-13.1%	18.7d	✓	-
62	PFE	5	—	+5.34%	$8,363	$8,810	24	46%	-	+$447	-23.5%	10.8d	✓	-
63	VRTX	16	—	+4.33%	$10,828	$11,296	33	42%	-	+$469	-25.6%	10.7d	✓	-
64	WMT	37	0🧊	+4.26%	$16,026	$16,709	25	44%	-	+$683	-17.6%	14.4d	✓	-
65	AMGN	4	—	+4.03%	$9,158	$9,527	24	46%	-	+$369	-28.3%	11.3d	✓	-
66	XLF	32	—	+2.10%	$13,369	$13,650	17	47%	-	+$281	-11.5%	17.6d	✓	-
67	NIO	5	6	-0.04%	$7,092	$7,089	83	39%	-	-$3	-51.1%	2.6d	✓	-
68	MCD	11	—	-2.57%	$10,480	$10,211	20	40%	-	-$269	-12.9%	16.0d	✓	-
69	META	27	—	-4.14%	$16,140	$15,471	36	39%	-	-$668	-26.1%	6.9d	✓	-
70	DIS	16	—	-4.27%	$11,899	$11,391	23	43%	-	-$508	-24.9%	11.6d	✓	-
71	TLT	4	—	-4.49%	$7,229	$6,904	13	46%	-	-$325	-27.7%	20.2d	✓	-
72	GME	21	3	-5.67%	$14,593	$13,765	47	38%	-	-$827	-32.0%	2.9d	✓	-
73	TMO	4	0	-6.79%	$9,083	$8,466	28	36%	-	-$617	-28.6%	11.0d	✓	-
74	LCID	22	61🔥	-7.00%	$14,650	$13,624	98	37%	-	-$1,025	-38.4%	1.9d	✓	-
75	BRK-B	24	—	-7.35%	$13,511	$12,518	18	39%	-	-$993	-15.7%	16.3d	✓	-
76	RIOT	5	87🔥	-7.39%	$8,805	$8,155	119	40%	-	-$651	-51.3%	1.3d	✓	-
77	WFC	17	—	-9.04%	$12,490	$11,361	32	38%	-	-$1,129	-25.5%	8.9d	✓	-
78	V	20	—	-9.18%	$13,506	$12,266	22	32%	-	-$1,240	-14.4%	14.2d	✓	-
79	AMC	4	21	-9.85%	$5,443	$4,907	83	36%	-	-$536	-59.9%	2.4d	✓	-
80	CRM	5	5	-10.40%	$8,954	$8,023	44	41%	-	-$931	-48.1%	7.3d	✓	-
81	MA	24	—	-11.21%	$14,147	$12,561	24	33%	-	-$1,586	-11.3%	13.9d	✓	-
82	COST	30	2🧊	-11.90%	$16,887	$14,878	24	33%	-	-$2,010	-19.7%	13.0d	✓	-
83	VXX	21	1	-13.10%	$15,190	$13,200	71	38%	-	-$1,990	-32.2%	2.9d	✓	-
84	SPXU	3	1	-13.13%	$9,446	$8,206	40	38%	-	-$1,240	-30.0%	5.6d	✓	-
85	REGN	5	—	-14.98%	$6,715	$5,709	43	37%	-	-$1,006	-50.1%	7.6d	✓	-
86	PG	5	—	-15.17%	$10,736	$9,107	21	33%	-	-$1,629	-24.4%	16.2d	✓	-
87	DKNG	4	18	-16.41%	$8,807	$7,361	66	38%	-	-$1,445	-50.2%	4.1d	✓	-
88	RIVN	5	20	-20.35%	$7,747	$6,170	85	38%	-	-$1,577	-51.0%	2.2d	✓	-
89	MARA	5	66🔥	-20.83%	$5,572	$4,411	113	37%	-	-$1,161	-58.2%	1.3d	✓	-
90	PYPL	6	0	-22.24%	$11,019	$8,568	37	41%	-	-$2,451	-35.9%	7.8d	✓	-
91	NFLX	38	—	-22.61%	$28,431	$22,003	32	34%	-	-$6,428	-32.4%	9.5d	✓	-
92	HD	5	2	-25.61%	$11,082	$8,244	31	29%	-	-$2,838	-19.9%	12.1d	✓	-
93	ISRG	5	—	-28.52%	$14,019	$10,021	35	26%	-	-$3,998	-35.0%	8.4d	✓	-
94	PM	20	0	-29.36%	$16,706	$11,801	31	29%	-	-$4,905	-21.9%	12.3d	✓	-
95	SQQQ	3	7	-29.36%	$5,582	$3,943	80	36%	-	-$1,639	-66.3%	2.8d	✓	-
96	CMCSA	5	—	-31.47%	$8,457	$5,796	30	30%	-	-$2,661	-36.1%	11.9d	✓	-
97	RBLX	14	2	-36.79%	$16,707	$10,561	77	39%	-	-$6,147	-46.8%	3.9d	✓	-
98	ADBE	4	26🔥	-39.72%	$10,182	$6,138	44	27%	-	-$4,044	-42.0%	8.2d	✓	-
99	HOOD	5	24	-41.37%	$14,719	$8,630	90	36%	-	-$6,089	-45.6%	2.2d	✓	-
100	COIN	5	6	-42.07%	$11,992	$6,947	101	35%	-	-$5,045	-53.5%	1.8d	✓	-
101	ACN	3	0	-42.42%	$7,643	$4,401	38	26%	-	-$3,242	-45.0%	9.3d	✓	-
102	SMCI	4	50🔥	-43.26%	$3,405	$1,932	85	33%	-	-$1,473	-88.9%	1.9d	✓	-

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.

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