Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

📊 View Performance: 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months YTD 1 Year 2 Years

Nov 14, 2025 → Feb 14, 2026 (92 days)

🎯 Asset Class: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All Assets 114

📊 Last 3 Months Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the last 3 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$13,693

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $13,216 (+$477)

+3.61%

Last 3 Months ROI

46.0%

Win Rate

1,189

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Last 3 Months)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

                        RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))                    

                            RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)                        

                            Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14                        

                            Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14

                    📁 calculateRSI() 
                    @ lines 404-448                

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size

2 Upper wick ≤ body size

3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

                        RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE                    

→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        RSI_PERIOD:
                        14
                    

                        RSI_OVERSOLD:
                        30
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        5%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -10%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        30
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 3 Months: Nov 14, 2025 → Feb 14, 2026 (92 days)

Rank	Symbol	Return	3M Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	SLV	+61.64%	$16,014	$25,885	20	60%	-	+$9,871	-21.6%	7.3d	✓	-
2	SOXL	+58.70%	$41,468	$65,810	24	54%	-	+$24,342	-36.3%	1.6d	✓	-
3	GLD	+38.46%	$18,407	$25,486	9	89%	-	+$7,079	-6.1%	15.7d	✓	-
4	INTC	+34.86%	$5,978	$8,062	21	57%	-	+$2,084	-58.2%	3.6d	✓	-
5	SLB	+30.27%	$11,174	$14,556	11	64%	-	+$3,382	-22.2%	8.1d	✓	-
6	MU	+28.80%	$33,657	$43,350	19	53%	-	+$9,693	-27.8%	3.5d	✓	-
7	UVXY	+27.82%	$11,019	$14,085	24	46%	-	+$3,066	-50.0%	1.6d	✓	-
8	CSCO	+20.88%	$17,851	$21,579	7	71%	-	+$3,727	-9.1%	15.2d	✓	-
9	MRK	+19.66%	$6,938	$8,302	9	56%	-	+$1,364	-45.0%	9.8d	✓	-
10	OXY	+18.75%	$11,655	$13,841	8	63%	-	+$2,185	-28.6%	8.2d	✓	-
11	MRNA	+18.37%	$4,417	$5,229	23	48%	-	+$811	-73.8%	2.3d	✓	-
12	JNJ	+18.21%	$12,793	$15,122	7	86%	-	+$2,330	-13.8%	16.3d	✓	-
13	RIOT	+17.97%	$7,279	$8,587	31	42%	-	+$1,308	-51.3%	1.3d	✓	-
14	WMT	+17.81%	$16,393	$19,312	7	71%	-	+$2,920	-17.6%	14.4d	✓	-
15	BMY	+17.80%	$8,149	$9,599	12	50%	-	+$1,450	-28.4%	7.9d	✓	-
16	SQQQ	+16.40%	$4,899	$5,702	19	47%	-	+$803	-66.3%	2.8d	✓	-
17	C	+16.26%	$14,426	$16,771	9	56%	-	+$2,346	-29.6%	8.3d	✓	-
18	GME	+16.25%	$12,459	$14,483	13	46%	-	+$2,025	-32.0%	2.9d	✓	-
19	SCHW	+16.20%	$13,803	$16,039	6	67%	-	+$2,236	-10.8%	11.7d	✓	-
20	CVX	+15.95%	$12,201	$14,147	7	57%	-	+$1,946	-13.5%	13.2d	✓	-
21	GOOGL	+15.49%	$17,363	$20,052	9	67%	-	+$2,689	-25.2%	7.9d	✓	-
22	NET	+14.56%	$18,037	$20,663	14	50%	-	+$2,626	-33.4%	4.1d	✓	-
23	COP	+14.54%	$10,079	$11,545	12	50%	-	+$1,466	-20.6%	9.4d	✓	-
24	XOM	+14.52%	$11,019	$12,618	7	71%	-	+$1,600	-18.5%	11.9d	✓	-
25	PEP	+14.39%	$8,594	$9,830	7	57%	-	+$1,237	-23.1%	16.8d	✓	-
26	GILD	+14.05%	$13,547	$15,450	8	63%	-	+$1,903	-20.9%	10.3d	✓	-
27	AMGN	+13.72%	$9,705	$11,037	6	67%	-	+$1,332	-28.3%	11.3d	✓	-
28	REGN	+13.64%	$7,618	$8,657	11	55%	-	+$1,039	-50.1%	7.6d	✓	-
29	USO	+13.54%	$11,470	$13,023	8	63%	-	+$1,553	-18.0%	8.8d	✓	-
30	GS	+13.27%	$19,122	$21,660	10	50%	-	+$2,538	-15.7%	9.6d	✓	-
31	MCD	+13.17%	$10,083	$11,410	7	57%	-	+$1,328	-12.9%	16.0d	✓	-
32	KO	+12.85%	$12,299	$13,879	5	60%	-	+$1,580	-13.1%	18.7d	✓	-
33	CMCSA	+11.92%	$6,885	$7,705	9	67%	-	+$821	-36.1%	11.9d	✓	-
34	XLE	+11.50%	$9,804	$10,932	7	57%	-	+$1,127	-24.7%	12.5d	✓	-
35	VZ	+10.71%	$10,754	$11,906	6	50%	-	+$1,152	-14.2%	14.1d	✓	-
36	META	+10.02%	$15,169	$16,689	11	45%	-	+$1,520	-26.1%	6.9d	✓	-
37	MDT	+9.94%	$12,525	$13,770	7	57%	-	+$1,245	-12.1%	13.7d	✓	-
38	PFE	+9.59%	$8,706	$9,541	6	67%	-	+$835	-23.5%	10.8d	✓	-
39	TSLA	+8.65%	$11,809	$12,830	15	47%	-	+$1,021	-34.1%	2.9d	✓	-
40	QQQ	+7.06%	$12,220	$13,083	6	83%	-	+$863	-29.6%	15.7d	✓	-
41	LLY	+6.85%	$13,033	$13,926	12	42%	-	+$893	-36.7%	6.7d	✓	-
42	NVDA	+6.42%	$15,543	$16,540	14	43%	-	+$998	-43.7%	3.8d	✓	-
43	IBM	+6.14%	$16,382	$17,388	11	45%	-	+$1,006	-17.7%	10.0d	✓	-
44	BAC	+5.76%	$12,865	$13,606	5	60%	-	+$741	-21.4%	9.5d	✓	-
45	BIIB	+5.32%	$6,527	$6,874	9	56%	-	+$347	-46.7%	7.5d	✓	-
46	VRTX	+5.27%	$12,300	$12,949	8	50%	-	+$648	-25.6%	10.7d	✓	-
47	XLK	+5.20%	$12,147	$12,779	5	60%	-	+$632	-25.5%	11.5d	✓	-
48	IWM	+5.04%	$13,006	$13,661	6	50%	-	+$655	-23.6%	13.7d	✓	-
49	XLF	+4.01%	$14,157	$14,724	5	60%	-	+$568	-11.5%	17.6d	✓	-
50	WFC	+3.96%	$11,938	$12,411	8	50%	-	+$473	-25.5%	8.9d	✓	-
51	DIA	+3.71%	$11,370	$11,792	4	75%	-	+$422	-20.7%	20.9d	✓	-
52	TQQQ	+3.30%	$9,397	$9,707	16	44%	-	+$310	-40.9%	3.1d	✓	-
53	MARA	+2.95%	$6,439	$6,629	31	39%	-	+$190	-58.2%	1.3d	✓	-
54	PM	+2.72%	$14,591	$14,988	6	50%	-	+$397	-21.9%	12.3d	✓	-
55	PG	+2.15%	$9,639	$9,847	8	38%	-	+$207	-24.4%	16.2d	✓	-
56	AAPL	+1.43%	$14,620	$14,829	8	38%	-	+$209	-21.5%	10.1d	✓	-
57	COST	+1.41%	$15,217	$15,431	6	50%	-	+$215	-19.7%	13.0d	✓	-
58	SPXU	+1.30%	$8,607	$8,719	11	45%	-	+$112	-30.0%	5.6d	✓	-
59	BLK	+0.87%	$13,429	$13,546	8	50%	-	+$117	-17.2%	12.3d	✓	-
60	VTI	+0.34%	$13,750	$13,797	4	50%	-	+$47	-16.1%	20.8d	✓	-
61	VOO	+0.04%	$13,539	$13,545	4	50%	-	+$5	-15.4%	18.9d	✓	-
62	SPY	-0.31%	$13,888	$13,845	4	50%	-	-$43	-12.7%	18.7d	✓	-
63	MA	-0.50%	$13,674	$13,606	8	38%	-	-$68	-11.3%	13.9d	✓	-
64	AMD	-0.96%	$12,508	$12,388	16	44%	-	-$120	-43.0%	3.3d	✓	-
65	DIS	-1.17%	$11,536	$11,401	6	50%	-	-$135	-24.9%	11.6d	✓	-
66	HD	-1.25%	$11,244	$11,104	7	43%	-	-$141	-19.9%	12.1d	✓	-
67	SNOW	-1.26%	$18,517	$18,284	14	36%	-	-$233	-43.4%	4.9d	✓	-
68	BRK-B	-1.33%	$12,893	$12,721	5	40%	-	-$171	-15.7%	16.3d	✓	-
69	TLT	-2.28%	$7,751	$7,574	3	33%	-	-$177	-27.7%	20.2d	✓	-
70	MS	-3.31%	$11,964	$11,568	11	36%	-	-$396	-29.2%	9.0d	✓	-
71	DKNG	-3.35%	$7,072	$6,835	15	40%	-	-$237	-50.2%	4.1d	✓	-
72	AXP	-3.42%	$14,730	$14,226	7	43%	-	-$504	-27.6%	10.6d	✓	-
73	V	-3.84%	$12,634	$12,148	6	17%	-	-$485	-14.4%	14.2d	✓	-
74	ARKK	-4.53%	$10,068	$9,612	11	36%	-	-$456	-26.4%	5.4d	✓	-
75	JPM	-4.78%	$19,110	$18,197	11	27%	-	-$913	-20.8%	10.9d	✓	-
76	ARM	-4.82%	$15,354	$14,614	17	35%	-	-$740	-31.3%	2.7d	✓	-
77	ADBE	-6.28%	$7,521	$7,049	11	27%	-	-$472	-42.0%	8.2d	✓	-
78	VXX	-7.65%	$15,539	$14,350	15	33%	-	-$1,189	-32.2%	2.9d	✓	-
79	MSFT	-8.69%	$16,480	$15,048	10	30%	-	-$1,432	-21.2%	13.3d	✓	-
80	ACN	-9.20%	$6,081	$5,521	10	30%	-	-$559	-45.0%	9.3d	✓	-
81	ISRG	-9.52%	$12,747	$11,533	11	27%	-	-$1,214	-35.0%	8.4d	✓	-
82	TMO	-9.55%	$10,209	$9,234	7	14%	-	-$975	-28.6%	11.0d	✓	-
83	AVGO	-10.16%	$14,658	$13,169	17	29%	-	-$1,489	-27.0%	3.7d	✓	-
84	ABBV	-10.31%	$14,076	$12,625	9	33%	-	-$1,451	-17.7%	11.9d	✓	-
85	CRM	-11.27%	$9,112	$8,085	11	36%	-	-$1,027	-48.1%	7.3d	✓	-
86	AMZN	-11.36%	$17,211	$15,256	13	31%	-	-$1,955	-18.5%	8.3d	✓	-
87	PLTR	-11.52%	$49,702	$43,976	19	32%	-	-$5,726	-28.0%	2.8d	✓	-
88	PANW	-12.26%	$15,413	$13,523	9	22%	-	-$1,890	-29.0%	7.1d	✓	-
89	CRWD	-13.78%	$25,605	$22,076	11	27%	-	-$3,528	-24.8%	4.4d	✓	-
90	AMC	-15.67%	$5,118	$4,316	24	29%	-	-$802	-59.9%	2.4d	✓	-
91	UNH	-16.76%	$5,585	$4,649	12	42%	-	-$936	-54.0%	7.3d	✓	-
92	NIO	-17.98%	$6,938	$5,690	20	30%	-	-$1,247	-51.1%	2.6d	✓	-
93	RIVN	-18.59%	$6,071	$4,942	24	33%	-	-$1,129	-51.0%	2.2d	✓	-
94	LCID	-20.26%	$17,834	$14,221	26	31%	-	-$3,613	-38.4%	1.9d	✓	-
95	SMCI	-20.68%	$2,292	$1,818	19	26%	-	-$474	-88.9%	1.9d	✓	-
96	SOFI	-21.02%	$21,354	$16,866	17	24%	-	-$4,489	-35.6%	2.7d	✓	-
97	RBLX	-21.21%	$16,404	$12,925	21	29%	-	-$3,479	-46.8%	3.9d	✓	-
98	HOOD	-26.04%	$14,667	$10,848	22	27%	-	-$3,819	-45.6%	2.2d	✓	-
99	PYPL	-26.42%	$11,790	$8,675	10	20%	-	-$3,115	-35.9%	7.8d	✓	-
100	COIN	-28.13%	$10,147	$7,293	24	25%	-	-$2,854	-53.5%	1.8d	✓	-
101	NFLX	-28.36%	$28,198	$20,201	10	10%	-	-$7,997	-32.4%	9.5d	✓	-
102	ORCL	-34.29%	$18,059	$11,867	20	20%	-	-$6,192	-51.2%	5.2d	✓	-

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.