Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

Mar 30, 2026 → Jun 30, 2026 (92d)

📊 Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

🎯 Asset: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

📊 Last 3 Months Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the last 3 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$14,184

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $13,345 (+$839)

+6.29%

Last 3 Months ROI

45.0%

Win Rate

1,433

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Last 3 Months)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

                        RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))                    

                            RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)                        

                            Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14                        

                            Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14

                    📁 calculateRSI() 
                    @ lines 404-448                

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size

2 Upper wick ≤ body size

3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

                        RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE                    

→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        RSI_PERIOD:
                        14
                    

                        RSI_OVERSOLD:
                        30
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        5%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -10%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        30
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 3 Months: Mar 30, 2026 → Jun 30, 2026 (92 days)

📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns

📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.

75+ Elite 60+ Good 40+ Fair <40 Weak

⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.

75+ Hot 60+ Active 40+ Moderate <40 Quiet

Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.

⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →

Rank	Symbol	Score	Mom	Return	3M Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	AMD	43	63	+138.21%	$11,485	$27,359	27	70%	-	+$15,874	-43.0%	3.3d	✓	-
2	SOXL	72	39🧊	+89.41%	$44,517	$84,320	34	62%	-	+$39,803	-36.3%	1.6d	✓	-
3	PANW	39	28	+59.49%	$12,076	$19,260	16	75%	-	+$7,184	-29.0%	7.1d	✓	-
4	MU	69	29🧊	+57.83%	$33,320	$52,588	31	58%	-	+$19,269	-27.8%	3.5d	✓	-
5	UNH	6	—	+55.66%	$4,214	$6,559	10	80%	-	+$2,345	-54.0%	7.3d	✓	-
6	CRWD	58	2🧊	+54.21%	$20,235	$31,205	18	72%	-	+$10,969	-24.8%	4.4d	✓	-
7	INTC	17	9	+50.30%	$8,116	$12,199	26	46%	-	+$4,082	-58.2%	3.6d	✓	-
8	NET	58	5🧊	+43.65%	$23,538	$33,813	22	59%	-	+$10,275	-33.4%	4.1d	✓	-
9	XLK	36	8🧊	+41.24%	$12,224	$17,265	13	69%	-	+$5,041	-25.5%	11.5d	✓	-
10	RIOT	5	13	+39.94%	$5,869	$8,213	31	52%	-	+$2,344	-51.3%	1.3d	✓	-
11	ARKK	23	3	+38.52%	$9,665	$13,388	17	59%	-	+$3,723	-26.4%	5.4d	✓	-
12	GOOGL	54	0🧊	+31.69%	$19,475	$25,646	9	67%	-	+$6,171	-25.2%	7.9d	✓	-
13	CSCO	71	1🧊	+31.41%	$22,203	$29,177	9	56%	-	+$6,974	-9.1%	15.2d	✓	-
14	ARM	36	9🧊	+26.18%	$15,906	$20,071	29	45%	-	+$4,164	-31.3%	2.7d	✓	-
15	TSLA	28	5🧊	+25.79%	$12,469	$15,685	19	53%	-	+$3,216	-34.1%	2.9d	✓	-
16	RIVN	4	9	+25.65%	$4,845	$6,088	24	50%	-	+$1,243	-51.0%	2.2d	✓	-
17	QQQ	34	0🧊	+24.75%	$12,515	$15,613	7	71%	-	+$3,098	-29.6%	15.7d	✓	-
18	MS	23	13	+22.21%	$10,675	$13,046	9	67%	-	+$2,371	-29.2%	9.0d	✓	-
19	AAPL	37	—	+21.01%	$14,324	$17,333	9	67%	-	+$3,009	-21.5%	10.1d	✓	-
20	BAC	29	—	+18.66%	$12,362	$14,669	5	80%	-	+$2,307	-21.4%	9.5d	✓	-
21	WFC	24	53🔥	+18.61%	$11,162	$13,239	7	71%	-	+$2,077	-25.5%	8.9d	✓	-
22	NVDA	33	5🧊	+18.00%	$16,342	$19,284	16	50%	-	+$2,942	-43.7%	3.8d	✓	-
23	C	38	53	+16.08%	$16,191	$18,794	10	50%	-	+$2,603	-29.6%	8.3d	✓	-
24	SPY	40	—	+16.03%	$13,010	$15,096	5	80%	-	+$2,086	-12.7%	18.7d	✓	-
25	VOO	37	—	+15.53%	$12,734	$14,712	5	80%	-	+$1,978	-15.4%	18.9d	✓	-
26	VTI	36	—	+14.74%	$12,921	$14,826	4	75%	-	+$1,905	-16.1%	20.8d	✓	-
27	MARA	5	46🔥	+14.07%	$4,255	$4,854	31	42%	-	+$599	-58.2%	1.3d	✓	-
28	AVGO	23	6	+13.47%	$11,792	$13,380	18	56%	-	+$1,588	-27.0%	3.7d	✓	-
29	JPM	41	27	+12.95%	$16,967	$19,164	5	60%	-	+$2,197	-20.8%	10.9d	✓	-
30	IWM	28	—	+11.27%	$12,749	$14,186	7	57%	-	+$1,437	-23.6%	13.7d	✓	-
31	AMZN	36	6🧊	+10.55%	$14,874	$16,444	15	47%	-	+$1,569	-18.5%	8.3d	✓	-
32	AXP	28	—	+10.52%	$13,529	$14,952	6	50%	-	+$1,423	-27.6%	10.6d	✓	-
33	DIA	23	—	+10.29%	$10,733	$11,837	3	100%	-	+$1,104	-20.7%	20.9d	✓	-
34	TQQQ	6	7	+10.17%	$7,969	$8,780	25	48%	-	+$810	-40.9%	3.1d	✓	-
35	V	23	—	+9.72%	$11,386	$12,493	6	50%	-	+$1,107	-14.4%	14.2d	✓	-
36	JNJ	41	—	+8.71%	$14,845	$16,138	6	50%	-	+$1,293	-13.8%	16.3d	✓	-
37	MRK	4	18	+8.44%	$7,949	$8,620	10	50%	-	+$671	-45.0%	9.8d	✓	-
38	XLF	34	—	+8.43%	$12,938	$14,029	3	67%	-	+$1,091	-11.5%	17.6d	✓	-
39	SCHW	48	28	+7.60%	$15,786	$16,986	9	56%	-	+$1,200	-10.8%	11.7d	✓	-
40	ABBV	25	16	+7.40%	$11,954	$12,839	11	45%	-	+$885	-17.7%	11.9d	✓	-
41	AMC	4	12	+7.32%	$3,918	$4,204	29	52%	-	+$287	-59.9%	2.4d	✓	-
42	DKNG	4	5	+6.23%	$6,567	$6,976	22	41%	-	+$409	-50.2%	4.1d	✓	-
43	BIIB	4	—	+5.99%	$6,436	$6,821	9	44%	-	+$385	-46.7%	7.5d	✓	-
44	SNOW	28	7🧊	+5.92%	$16,115	$17,069	26	35%	-	+$954	-43.4%	4.9d	✓	-
45	SOFI	25	6	+5.53%	$13,381	$14,120	20	45%	-	+$740	-35.6%	2.7d	✓	-
46	DIS	14	1	+5.01%	$10,351	$10,870	9	44%	-	+$519	-24.9%	11.6d	✓	-
47	GS	51	2🧊	+4.77%	$19,535	$20,467	11	45%	-	+$932	-15.7%	9.6d	✓	-
48	BRK-B	26	—	+4.42%	$12,592	$13,148	3	67%	-	+$557	-15.7%	16.3d	✓	-
49	META	30	7🧊	+3.72%	$14,970	$15,527	12	50%	-	+$557	-26.1%	6.9d	✓	-
50	MA	25	0🧊	+2.90%	$12,056	$12,406	7	43%	-	+$350	-11.3%	13.9d	✓	-
51	GILD	24	—	+2.85%	$13,173	$13,549	9	44%	-	+$375	-20.9%	10.3d	✓	-
52	VRTX	20	31	+2.85%	$11,772	$12,108	7	43%	-	+$336	-25.6%	10.7d	✓	-
53	MSFT	26	2🧊	+2.80%	$13,278	$13,650	10	40%	-	+$372	-21.2%	13.3d	✓	-
54	COST	31	—	+2.33%	$14,793	$15,137	9	44%	-	+$345	-19.7%	13.0d	✓	-
55	LLY	21	8	+1.46%	$12,330	$12,510	15	40%	-	+$180	-36.7%	6.7d	✓	-
56	TLT	4	—	+1.33%	$7,034	$7,127	3	67%	-	+$94	-27.7%	20.2d	✓	-
57	GME	23	5	+1.03%	$13,774	$13,916	14	36%	-	+$142	-32.0%	2.9d	✓	-
58	BLK	26	1🧊	+0.77%	$12,860	$12,959	9	44%	-	+$99	-17.2%	12.3d	✓	-
59	KO	29	0🧊	+0.71%	$13,053	$13,146	5	60%	-	+$93	-13.1%	18.7d	✓	-
60	SLB	31	1🧊	-0.19%	$15,265	$15,236	13	38%	-	-$29	-22.2%	8.1d	✓	-
61	ADBE	4	3	-0.22%	$5,553	$5,541	16	38%	-	-$12	-42.0%	8.2d	✓	-
62	MRNA	5	6	-1.11%	$9,211	$9,109	23	39%	-	-$102	-73.8%	2.3d	✓	-
63	BMY	5	19	-1.48%	$9,479	$9,339	11	36%	-	-$140	-28.4%	7.9d	✓	-
64	IBM	38	5🧊	-1.60%	$17,464	$17,185	15	40%	-	-$279	-17.7%	10.0d	✓	-
65	PG	4	—	-1.97%	$9,250	$9,068	4	25%	-	-$182	-24.4%	16.2d	✓	-
66	HD	5	31🔥	-2.43%	$9,080	$8,860	11	36%	-	-$221	-19.9%	12.1d	✓	-
67	WMT	39	—	-2.74%	$17,504	$17,024	8	38%	-	-$480	-17.6%	14.4d	✓	-
68	VZ	20	1	-2.76%	$12,110	$11,775	8	38%	-	-$334	-14.2%	14.1d	✓	-
69	CMCSA	5	20	-3.86%	$6,571	$6,317	10	20%	-	-$254	-36.1%	11.9d	✓	-
70	PYPL	6	4	-5.07%	$9,060	$8,601	12	42%	-	-$459	-35.9%	7.8d	✓	-
71	TMO	4	—	-5.48%	$9,135	$8,634	7	43%	-	-$501	-28.6%	11.0d	✓	-
72	AMGN	4	—	-6.88%	$10,360	$9,647	6	33%	-	-$713	-28.3%	11.3d	✓	-
73	NIO	4	3	-6.90%	$6,197	$5,770	22	36%	-	-$428	-51.1%	2.6d	✓	-
74	PM	21	—	-7.43%	$13,056	$12,086	8	25%	-	-$970	-21.9%	12.3d	✓	-
75	MCD	11	—	-7.99%	$11,076	$10,191	6	33%	-	-$885	-12.9%	16.0d	✓	-
76	PEP	3	—	-8.83%	$9,172	$8,362	5	20%	-	-$810	-23.1%	16.8d	✓	-
77	SMCI	4	9	-9.56%	$1,667	$1,508	28	36%	-	-$159	-88.9%	1.9d	✓	-
78	GLD	64	1🧊	-10.63%	$24,568	$21,956	8	25%	-	-$2,612	-6.1%	15.7d	✓	-
79	SPXU	4	63🔥	-10.64%	$10,733	$9,591	15	33%	-	-$1,142	-30.0%	5.6d	✓	-
80	RBLX	15	12	-10.85%	$12,037	$10,731	21	48%	-	-$1,306	-46.8%	3.9d	✓	-
81	ORCL	6	7	-10.92%	$11,233	$10,006	25	40%	-	-$1,227	-51.2%	5.2d	✓	-
82	CRM	5	3	-11.69%	$8,098	$7,151	18	33%	-	-$947	-48.1%	7.3d	✓	-
83	MDT	18	—	-12.08%	$12,927	$11,365	7	14%	-	-$1,562	-12.1%	13.7d	✓	-
84	CVX	32	1🧊	-12.38%	$16,411	$14,380	13	31%	-	-$2,032	-13.5%	13.2d	✓	-
85	PFE	5	0	-12.61%	$9,389	$8,205	5	0%	-	-$1,184	-23.5%	10.8d	✓	-
86	SLV	63	3🧊	-12.87%	$32,842	$28,616	20	40%	-	-$4,227	-21.6%	7.3d	✓	-
87	LCID	17	7	-14.07%	$13,681	$11,756	29	34%	-	-$1,925	-38.4%	1.9d	✓	-
88	ISRG	4	0	-16.14%	$10,867	$9,113	8	13%	-	-$1,754	-35.0%	8.4d	✓	-
89	XLE	5	—	-18.51%	$11,827	$9,638	11	18%	-	-$2,189	-24.7%	12.5d	✓	-
90	COP	14	1	-19.55%	$13,327	$10,722	15	27%	-	-$2,606	-20.6%	9.4d	✓	-
91	REGN	5	—	-19.67%	$7,247	$5,821	8	25%	-	-$1,425	-50.1%	7.6d	✓	-
92	NFLX	35	1🧊	-20.05%	$24,033	$19,214	10	20%	-	-$4,819	-32.4%	9.5d	✓	-
93	HOOD	5	7	-23.39%	$10,151	$7,777	24	33%	-	-$2,374	-45.6%	2.2d	✓	-
94	USO	20	3	-23.42%	$15,047	$11,523	23	39%	-	-$3,524	-18.0%	8.8d	✓	-
95	OXY	31	3🧊	-23.60%	$20,761	$15,862	19	32%	-	-$4,900	-28.6%	8.2d	✓	-
96	UVXY	19	18	-24.08%	$16,847	$12,790	25	28%	-	-$4,057	-50.0%	1.6d	✓	-
97	ACN	3	3	-24.09%	$4,774	$3,624	12	17%	-	-$1,150	-45.0%	9.3d	✓	-
98	XOM	18	0	-25.10%	$15,065	$11,284	13	15%	-	-$3,781	-18.5%	11.9d	✓	-
99	PLTR	65	9🧊	-25.65%	$56,384	$41,921	24	25%	-	-$14,462	-28.0%	2.8d	✓	-
100	VXX	21	5	-28.45%	$18,560	$13,280	16	19%	-	-$5,280	-32.2%	2.9d	✓	-
101	COIN	5	7	-36.42%	$8,520	$5,417	29	24%	-	-$3,103	-53.5%	1.8d	✓	-
102	SQQQ	3	7	-41.66%	$6,554	$3,824	26	19%	-	-$2,730	-66.3%	2.8d	✓	-

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.

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