Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

Dec 23, 2025 → Jun 23, 2026 (181d)

📊 Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

🎯 Asset: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

📊 Last 6 Months Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the last 6 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$14,164

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $13,318 (+$846)

+6.36%

Last 6 Months ROI

42.1%

Win Rate

2,648

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Last 6 Months)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

                        RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))                    

                            RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)                        

                            Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14                        

                            Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14

                    📁 calculateRSI() 
                    @ lines 404-448                

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size

2 Upper wick ≤ body size

3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

                        RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE                    

→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        RSI_PERIOD:
                        14
                    

                        RSI_OVERSOLD:
                        30
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        5%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -10%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        30
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 6 Months: Dec 23, 2025 → Jun 23, 2026 (181 days)

📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns

📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.

75+ Elite 60+ Good 40+ Fair <40 Weak

⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.

75+ Hot 60+ Active 40+ Moderate <40 Quiet

Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.

⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →

Rank	Symbol	Score	Mom	Return	6M Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	INTC	21	56🔥	+152.96%	$5,473	$13,846	46	57%	-	+$8,372	-58.2%	3.6d	✓	-
2	AMD	38	31	+119.06%	$11,288	$24,728	44	59%	-	+$13,440	-43.0%	3.3d	✓	-
3	SOXL 🔥 PRO	72	77	+89.72%	$45,103	$85,569	60	50%	-	+$40,466	-36.3%	1.6d	✓	-
4	SLV	69	2🧊	+79.36%	$17,430	$31,262	41	56%	-	+$13,832	-21.6%	7.3d	✓	-
5	MRNA	5	14	+76.35%	$4,946	$8,723	50	50%	-	+$3,777	-73.8%	2.3d	✓	-
6	NET	54	5🧊	+68.68%	$18,164	$30,639	38	55%	-	+$12,475	-33.4%	4.1d	✓	-
7	ARM	38	17🧊	+59.04%	$12,933	$20,569	47	47%	-	+$7,636	-31.3%	2.7d	✓	-
8	CSCO	71	3🧊	+58.99%	$19,049	$30,286	16	63%	-	+$11,237	-9.1%	15.2d	✓	-
9	MU	69	57	+50.59%	$35,635	$53,662	52	52%	-	+$18,028	-27.8%	3.5d	✓	-
10	OXY	32	3🧊	+45.88%	$11,211	$16,355	30	57%	-	+$5,144	-28.6%	8.2d	✓	-
11	XLK	38	32	+43.38%	$12,421	$17,810	17	65%	-	+$5,388	-25.5%	11.5d	✓	-
12	GOOGL	55	—	+40.61%	$18,239	$25,646	20	60%	-	+$7,407	-25.2%	7.9d	✓	-
13	SLB	33	7🧊	+31.57%	$11,580	$15,236	26	50%	-	+$3,656	-22.2%	8.1d	✓	-
14	NVDA	35	3🧊	+30.16%	$15,800	$20,565	26	50%	-	+$4,765	-43.7%	3.8d	✓	-
15	CVX	35	1🧊	+29.31%	$11,466	$14,827	20	55%	-	+$3,361	-13.5%	13.2d	✓	-
16	ARKK	23	8	+26.79%	$10,437	$13,233	27	48%	-	+$2,796	-26.4%	5.4d	✓	-
17	AAPL	38	—	+25.62%	$14,379	$18,063	14	57%	-	+$3,684	-21.5%	10.1d	✓	-
18	QQQ	36	—	+24.89%	$12,880	$16,086	12	67%	-	+$3,206	-29.6%	15.7d	✓	-
19	AMC	4	73🔥	+22.42%	$4,477	$5,480	49	43%	-	+$1,004	-59.9%	2.4d	✓	-
20	PANW	34	12🧊	+20.14%	$15,125	$18,171	29	52%	-	+$3,046	-29.0%	7.1d	✓	-
21	C	39	53	+20.04%	$16,201	$19,448	22	45%	-	+$3,247	-29.6%	8.3d	✓	-
22	SCHW	50	37	+18.76%	$14,790	$17,564	13	62%	-	+$2,775	-10.8%	11.7d	✓	-
23	RIOT	4	26🔥	+17.81%	$7,024	$8,275	59	42%	-	+$1,251	-51.3%	1.3d	✓	-
24	GLD	66	0🧊	+16.42%	$19,524	$22,730	17	53%	-	+$3,206	-6.1%	15.7d	✓	-
25	UVXY	18	5	+16.36%	$10,703	$12,454	50	42%	-	+$1,751	-50.0%	1.6d	✓	-
26	CRWD	57	3🧊	+14.57%	$25,726	$29,474	32	50%	-	+$3,748	-24.8%	4.4d	✓	-
27	JNJ	36	—	+14.27%	$13,448	$15,367	11	55%	-	+$1,919	-13.8%	16.3d	✓	-
28	MS	25	31	+13.65%	$12,038	$13,681	18	50%	-	+$1,643	-29.2%	9.0d	✓	-
29	SPY	43	—	+12.77%	$13,809	$15,573	8	63%	-	+$1,763	-12.7%	18.7d	✓	-
30	VOO	39	—	+12.38%	$13,505	$15,176	8	63%	-	+$1,672	-15.4%	18.9d	✓	-
31	XOM	20	0	+12.36%	$10,367	$11,648	20	50%	-	+$1,281	-18.5%	11.9d	✓	-
32	COP	16	1	+11.79%	$9,937	$11,109	27	44%	-	+$1,172	-20.6%	9.4d	✓	-
33	BAC	30	—	+11.26%	$13,184	$14,669	11	55%	-	+$1,485	-21.4%	9.5d	✓	-
34	WFC	25	53🔥	+10.29%	$12,004	$13,239	17	53%	-	+$1,235	-25.5%	8.9d	✓	-
35	VZ	22	0🧊	+10.20%	$11,051	$12,179	14	43%	-	+$1,127	-14.2%	14.1d	✓	-
36	UNH	6	—	+9.48%	$5,700	$6,240	21	52%	-	+$540	-54.0%	7.3d	✓	-
37	USO	23	3	+8.72%	$11,217	$12,195	41	49%	-	+$978	-18.0%	8.8d	✓	-
38	NIO	4	3	+8.36%	$5,760	$6,242	40	43%	-	+$482	-51.1%	2.6d	✓	-
39	VTI	38	—	+7.87%	$13,744	$14,826	8	50%	-	+$1,082	-16.1%	20.8d	✓	-
40	GME	23	6	+7.73%	$13,324	$14,354	26	38%	-	+$1,030	-32.0%	2.9d	✓	-
41	IWM	25	—	+7.03%	$13,254	$14,186	13	46%	-	+$932	-23.6%	13.7d	✓	-
42	GILD	25	0🧊	+6.39%	$12,735	$13,549	20	45%	-	+$814	-20.9%	10.3d	✓	-
43	COST	31	0🧊	+5.86%	$14,299	$15,137	15	47%	-	+$838	-19.7%	13.0d	✓	-
44	VXX	23	20	+5.18%	$13,021	$13,695	37	41%	-	+$674	-32.2%	2.9d	✓	-
45	BRK-B	26	—	+5.11%	$12,509	$13,148	10	50%	-	+$639	-15.7%	16.3d	✓	-
46	XLE	5	0	+4.48%	$9,224	$9,638	19	42%	-	+$413	-24.7%	12.5d	✓	-
47	SPXU	4	24🔥	+4.04%	$8,644	$8,994	27	44%	-	+$349	-30.0%	5.6d	✓	-
48	AMZN	36	3🧊	+3.67%	$15,881	$16,464	27	41%	-	+$583	-18.5%	8.3d	✓	-
49	GS	53	5🧊	+3.53%	$20,643	$21,371	20	40%	-	+$729	-15.7%	9.6d	✓	-
50	DIA	24	—	+2.66%	$11,531	$11,837	8	63%	-	+$307	-20.7%	20.9d	✓	-
51	MRK	4	1	+2.26%	$7,545	$7,715	15	40%	-	+$171	-45.0%	9.8d	✓	-
52	JPM	42	27	+1.93%	$18,801	$19,164	14	36%	-	+$363	-20.8%	10.9d	✓	-
53	BLK	30	—	+1.93%	$13,624	$13,887	17	47%	-	+$263	-17.2%	12.3d	✓	-
54	META	31	18	+1.33%	$15,815	$16,026	24	42%	-	+$210	-26.1%	6.9d	✓	-
55	KO	30	3🧊	+0.72%	$13,052	$13,146	11	45%	-	+$94	-13.1%	18.7d	✓	-
56	SNOW	28	35	+0.52%	$17,402	$17,493	41	34%	-	+$90	-43.4%	4.9d	✓	-
57	BIIB	4	—	-0.05%	$6,396	$6,393	16	44%	-	-$3	-46.7%	7.5d	✓	-
58	BMY	5	0	-0.40%	$8,915	$8,879	19	37%	-	-$36	-28.4%	7.9d	✓	-
59	TSLA	28	3🧊	-0.76%	$15,620	$15,501	31	39%	-	-$119	-34.1%	2.9d	✓	-
60	AVGO	26	5🧊	-1.13%	$14,676	$14,511	33	42%	-	-$166	-27.0%	3.7d	✓	-
61	AMGN	4	—	-2.20%	$9,405	$9,198	12	42%	-	-$207	-28.3%	11.3d	✓	-
62	XLF	35	—	-2.69%	$14,417	$14,029	10	40%	-	-$388	-11.5%	17.6d	✓	-
63	WMT	39	—	-3.08%	$18,112	$17,554	15	40%	-	-$558	-17.6%	14.4d	✓	-
64	PG	4	—	-4.25%	$9,470	$9,068	11	27%	-	-$402	-24.4%	16.2d	✓	-
65	PEP	4	—	-4.40%	$9,022	$8,625	12	33%	-	-$397	-23.1%	16.8d	✓	-
66	PFE	5	—	-4.42%	$8,863	$8,472	11	36%	-	-$392	-23.5%	10.8d	✓	-
67	TQQQ	12	27	-4.56%	$10,870	$10,374	42	40%	-	-$496	-40.9%	3.1d	✓	-
68	DIS	16	0	-4.58%	$11,745	$11,207	15	40%	-	-$538	-24.9%	11.6d	✓	-
69	ABBV	23	0🧊	-4.72%	$12,824	$12,218	20	40%	-	-$605	-17.7%	11.9d	✓	-
70	AXP	29	—	-4.88%	$15,719	$14,952	14	36%	-	-$767	-27.6%	10.6d	✓	-
71	MCD	15	—	-5.37%	$10,770	$10,191	11	36%	-	-$578	-12.9%	16.0d	✓	-
72	VRTX	18	—	-6.09%	$12,254	$11,508	17	35%	-	-$746	-25.6%	10.7d	✓	-
73	TLT	4	—	-6.41%	$7,615	$7,127	7	43%	-	-$488	-27.7%	20.2d	✓	-
74	IBM	33	5🧊	-7.59%	$16,627	$15,365	26	38%	-	-$1,262	-17.7%	10.0d	✓	-
75	V	19	—	-7.63%	$12,885	$11,902	10	20%	-	-$983	-14.4%	14.2d	✓	-
76	RIVN	4	23	-11.89%	$6,785	$5,979	48	38%	-	-$807	-51.0%	2.2d	✓	-
77	DKNG	4	3	-12.09%	$7,785	$6,844	41	37%	-	-$941	-50.2%	4.1d	✓	-
78	PLTR	66	6🧊	-12.28%	$48,620	$42,649	40	35%	-	-$5,970	-28.0%	2.8d	✓	-
79	MDT	18	—	-13.74%	$13,175	$11,365	12	25%	-	-$1,810	-12.1%	13.7d	✓	-
80	MSFT	29	1🧊	-14.22%	$16,465	$14,123	21	29%	-	-$2,341	-21.2%	13.3d	✓	-
81	LLY	18	6	-14.45%	$13,836	$11,836	24	29%	-	-$1,999	-36.7%	6.7d	✓	-
82	MA	27	—	-15.67%	$14,711	$12,406	16	25%	-	-$2,305	-11.3%	13.9d	✓	-
83	PM	22	0🧊	-16.54%	$14,481	$12,086	15	27%	-	-$2,395	-21.9%	12.3d	✓	-
84	HD	5	30🔥	-19.02%	$10,389	$8,413	18	28%	-	-$1,976	-19.9%	12.1d	✓	-
85	SMCI	4	7	-19.03%	$2,140	$1,733	49	33%	-	-$407	-88.9%	1.9d	✓	-
86	TMO	4	—	-19.23%	$10,173	$8,217	15	27%	-	-$1,956	-28.6%	11.0d	✓	-
87	NFLX	37	0🧊	-21.60%	$24,508	$19,214	20	30%	-	-$5,294	-32.4%	9.5d	✓	-
88	MARA	4	9	-25.67%	$6,287	$4,673	60	33%	-	-$1,614	-58.2%	1.3d	✓	-
89	SOFI	27	18	-25.75%	$20,576	$15,278	39	33%	-	-$5,298	-35.6%	2.7d	✓	-
90	CRM	5	3	-26.81%	$9,256	$6,775	31	32%	-	-$2,482	-48.1%	7.3d	✓	-
91	CMCSA	5	0	-27.63%	$7,286	$5,273	20	25%	-	-$2,013	-36.1%	11.9d	✓	-
92	PYPL	6	1	-29.35%	$11,557	$8,165	22	32%	-	-$3,392	-35.9%	7.8d	✓	-
93	REGN	5	0	-29.67%	$8,277	$5,821	19	26%	-	-$2,456	-50.1%	7.6d	✓	-
94	ORCL	15	5	-31.11%	$15,666	$10,792	45	31%	-	-$4,874	-51.2%	5.2d	✓	-
95	RBLX	17	17	-32.43%	$15,284	$10,327	45	38%	-	-$4,957	-46.8%	3.9d	✓	-
96	ADBE	4	3	-32.90%	$7,735	$5,190	30	27%	-	-$2,545	-42.0%	8.2d	✓	-
97	ISRG	4	1	-33.11%	$13,624	$9,113	17	12%	-	-$4,511	-35.0%	8.4d	✓	-
98	SQQQ	3	6	-34.24%	$5,227	$3,437	45	31%	-	-$1,790	-66.3%	2.8d	✓	-
99	COIN	5	6	-35.71%	$9,624	$6,187	53	30%	-	-$3,437	-53.5%	1.8d	✓	-
100	LCID	15	9	-41.26%	$18,909	$11,107	55	29%	-	-$7,802	-38.4%	1.9d	✓	-
101	ACN	3	3	-41.59%	$6,204	$3,624	27	19%	-	-$2,580	-45.0%	9.3d	✓	-
102	HOOD	5	5	-46.82%	$14,562	$7,744	44	27%	-	-$6,818	-45.6%	2.2d	✓	-

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.

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