Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

📊 View Performance: 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months YTD 1 Year 2 Years

Aug 14, 2025 → Feb 14, 2026 (184 days)

🎯 Asset Class: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All Assets 114

📊 Last 6 Months Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the last 6 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$13,784

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $12,654 (+$1,130)

+8.93%

Last 6 Months ROI

47.5%

Win Rate

2,268

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Last 6 Months)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

                        RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))                    

                            RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)                        

                            Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14                        

                            Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14

                    📁 calculateRSI() 
                    @ lines 404-448                

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size

2 Upper wick ≤ body size

3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

                        RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE                    

→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        RSI_PERIOD:
                        14
                    

                        RSI_OVERSOLD:
                        30
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        5%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -10%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        30
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 6 Months: Aug 14, 2025 → Feb 14, 2026 (184 days)

Rank	Symbol	Return	6M Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	MU	+109.54%	$20,688	$43,350	39	59%	-	+$22,662	-27.8%	3.5d	✓	-
2	SLV	+109.44%	$12,359	$25,885	31	65%	-	+$13,526	-21.6%	7.3d	✓	-
3	SOXL	+81.96%	$36,168	$65,810	43	56%	-	+$29,643	-36.3%	1.6d	✓	-
4	UVXY	+72.24%	$8,178	$14,085	44	50%	-	+$5,907	-50.0%	1.6d	✓	-
5	INTC	+67.02%	$4,827	$8,062	42	52%	-	+$3,235	-58.2%	3.6d	✓	-
6	GLD	+59.84%	$15,945	$25,486	14	86%	-	+$9,541	-6.1%	15.7d	✓	-
7	LLY	+43.35%	$9,715	$13,926	21	57%	-	+$4,211	-36.7%	6.7d	✓	-
8	SLB	+43.26%	$10,161	$14,556	16	63%	-	+$4,395	-22.2%	8.1d	✓	-
9	GOOGL	+39.61%	$14,363	$20,052	19	63%	-	+$5,689	-25.2%	7.9d	✓	-
10	IBM	+36.00%	$12,785	$17,388	20	60%	-	+$4,603	-17.7%	10.0d	✓	-
11	CSCO	+35.85%	$15,884	$21,579	13	69%	-	+$5,694	-9.1%	15.2d	✓	-
12	JNJ	+35.81%	$11,135	$15,122	12	75%	-	+$3,987	-13.8%	16.3d	✓	-
13	SQQQ	+31.60%	$4,333	$5,702	38	47%	-	+$1,369	-66.3%	2.8d	✓	-
14	C	+31.11%	$12,792	$16,771	18	56%	-	+$3,980	-29.6%	8.3d	✓	-
15	MRNA	+29.37%	$4,042	$5,229	48	46%	-	+$1,187	-73.8%	2.3d	✓	-
16	OXY	+28.24%	$10,793	$13,841	16	56%	-	+$3,048	-28.6%	8.2d	✓	-
17	SNOW	+27.29%	$14,364	$18,284	27	44%	-	+$3,920	-43.4%	4.9d	✓	-
18	XOM	+25.78%	$10,032	$12,618	13	69%	-	+$2,586	-18.5%	11.9d	✓	-
19	CVX	+23.67%	$11,439	$14,147	12	58%	-	+$2,708	-13.5%	13.2d	✓	-
20	AMGN	+22.88%	$8,982	$11,037	14	57%	-	+$2,055	-28.3%	11.3d	✓	-
21	MRK	+22.87%	$6,757	$8,302	16	50%	-	+$1,545	-45.0%	9.8d	✓	-
22	XLE	+22.31%	$8,938	$10,932	11	64%	-	+$1,994	-24.7%	12.5d	✓	-
23	MDT	+21.85%	$11,301	$13,770	12	67%	-	+$2,469	-12.1%	13.7d	✓	-
24	AAPL	+21.61%	$12,194	$14,829	15	53%	-	+$2,635	-21.5%	10.1d	✓	-
25	VRTX	+21.18%	$10,685	$12,949	15	60%	-	+$2,263	-25.6%	10.7d	✓	-
26	NET	+19.66%	$17,268	$20,663	30	47%	-	+$3,395	-33.4%	4.1d	✓	-
27	TSLA	+17.87%	$10,885	$12,830	33	45%	-	+$1,945	-34.1%	2.9d	✓	-
28	BIIB	+17.75%	$5,838	$6,874	21	52%	-	+$1,036	-46.7%	7.5d	✓	-
29	SCHW	+17.33%	$13,670	$16,039	12	58%	-	+$2,369	-10.8%	11.7d	✓	-
30	GILD	+16.88%	$13,219	$15,450	15	53%	-	+$2,231	-20.9%	10.3d	✓	-
31	QQQ	+16.53%	$11,227	$13,083	9	89%	-	+$1,856	-29.6%	15.7d	✓	-
32	BAC	+16.37%	$11,692	$13,606	12	58%	-	+$1,914	-21.4%	9.5d	✓	-
33	REGN	+15.04%	$7,525	$8,657	24	46%	-	+$1,132	-50.1%	7.6d	✓	-
34	NVDA	+14.26%	$14,476	$16,540	27	44%	-	+$2,064	-43.7%	3.8d	✓	-
35	MCD	+14.03%	$10,007	$11,410	12	50%	-	+$1,404	-12.9%	16.0d	✓	-
36	BMY	+14.00%	$8,420	$9,599	20	45%	-	+$1,179	-28.4%	7.9d	✓	-
37	WMT	+13.95%	$16,948	$19,312	13	54%	-	+$2,364	-17.6%	14.4d	✓	-
38	DIA	+13.85%	$10,358	$11,792	7	86%	-	+$1,435	-20.7%	20.9d	✓	-
39	COP	+13.34%	$10,186	$11,545	19	47%	-	+$1,359	-20.6%	9.4d	✓	-
40	VXX	+12.03%	$12,809	$14,350	30	43%	-	+$1,541	-32.2%	2.9d	✓	-
41	PEP	+12.00%	$8,777	$9,830	10	50%	-	+$1,053	-23.1%	16.8d	✓	-
42	IWM	+11.18%	$12,287	$13,661	10	60%	-	+$1,374	-23.6%	13.7d	✓	-
43	CRWD	+9.98%	$20,073	$22,076	25	44%	-	+$2,003	-24.8%	4.4d	✓	-
44	SPXU	+9.63%	$7,953	$8,719	19	47%	-	+$766	-30.0%	5.6d	✓	-
45	USO	+9.62%	$11,880	$13,023	16	44%	-	+$1,143	-18.0%	8.8d	✓	-
46	MS	+9.16%	$10,598	$11,568	19	47%	-	+$971	-29.2%	9.0d	✓	-
47	KO	+8.82%	$12,754	$13,879	9	56%	-	+$1,125	-13.1%	18.7d	✓	-
48	GS	+8.48%	$19,967	$21,660	19	47%	-	+$1,693	-15.7%	9.6d	✓	-
49	XLF	+8.08%	$13,624	$14,724	8	75%	-	+$1,101	-11.5%	17.6d	✓	-
50	XLK	+8.04%	$11,828	$12,779	9	56%	-	+$951	-25.5%	11.5d	✓	-
51	VTI	+7.64%	$12,817	$13,797	7	71%	-	+$979	-16.1%	20.8d	✓	-
52	VZ	+7.58%	$11,067	$11,906	13	38%	-	+$839	-14.2%	14.1d	✓	-
53	PFE	+6.77%	$8,936	$9,541	13	54%	-	+$605	-23.5%	10.8d	✓	-
54	VOO	+6.67%	$12,698	$13,545	7	71%	-	+$847	-15.4%	18.9d	✓	-
55	GME	+5.86%	$13,682	$14,483	24	42%	-	+$802	-32.0%	2.9d	✓	-
56	SPY	+5.62%	$13,109	$13,845	8	63%	-	+$737	-12.7%	18.7d	✓	-
57	BRK-B	+5.16%	$12,097	$12,721	10	50%	-	+$624	-15.7%	16.3d	✓	-
58	PANW	+4.77%	$12,908	$13,523	18	39%	-	+$616	-29.0%	7.1d	✓	-
59	AMD	+4.35%	$11,872	$12,388	34	44%	-	+$516	-43.0%	3.3d	✓	-
60	TMO	+3.95%	$8,883	$9,234	12	33%	-	+$351	-28.6%	11.0d	✓	-
61	TLT	+3.08%	$7,348	$7,574	7	57%	-	+$226	-27.7%	20.2d	✓	-
62	ISRG	+1.88%	$11,321	$11,533	20	35%	-	+$213	-35.0%	8.4d	✓	-
63	AXP	+1.65%	$13,995	$14,226	13	46%	-	+$231	-27.6%	10.6d	✓	-
64	ABBV	+0.24%	$12,595	$12,625	16	44%	-	+$30	-17.7%	11.9d	✓	-
65	CMCSA	+0.07%	$7,700	$7,705	15	47%	-	+$5	-36.1%	11.9d	✓	-
66	PG	-0.83%	$9,929	$9,847	13	46%	-	-$82	-24.4%	16.2d	✓	-
67	MARA	-1.92%	$6,759	$6,629	59	39%	-	-$130	-58.2%	1.3d	✓	-
68	COST	-2.14%	$15,769	$15,431	10	40%	-	-$337	-19.7%	13.0d	✓	-
69	PM	-2.21%	$15,327	$14,988	17	41%	-	-$339	-21.9%	12.3d	✓	-
70	WFC	-2.29%	$12,701	$12,411	15	40%	-	-$291	-25.5%	8.9d	✓	-
71	DIS	-2.75%	$11,723	$11,401	11	45%	-	-$322	-24.9%	11.6d	✓	-
72	JPM	-3.37%	$18,832	$18,197	16	38%	-	-$635	-20.8%	10.9d	✓	-
73	AMZN	-3.45%	$15,801	$15,256	19	37%	-	-$545	-18.5%	8.3d	✓	-
74	MA	-4.18%	$14,199	$13,606	12	33%	-	-$594	-11.3%	13.9d	✓	-
75	V	-5.43%	$12,846	$12,148	10	30%	-	-$698	-14.4%	14.2d	✓	-
76	CRM	-5.51%	$8,556	$8,085	21	43%	-	-$471	-48.1%	7.3d	✓	-
77	ARM	-5.95%	$15,538	$14,614	38	37%	-	-$925	-31.3%	2.7d	✓	-
78	PLTR	-6.15%	$46,858	$43,976	39	36%	-	-$2,882	-28.0%	2.8d	✓	-
79	TQQQ	-7.03%	$10,441	$9,707	33	39%	-	-$734	-40.9%	3.1d	✓	-
80	BLK	-7.48%	$14,641	$13,546	13	38%	-	-$1,095	-17.2%	12.3d	✓	-
81	HD	-8.25%	$12,102	$11,104	12	33%	-	-$998	-19.9%	12.1d	✓	-
82	ACN	-10.19%	$6,148	$5,521	18	33%	-	-$626	-45.0%	9.3d	✓	-
83	ARKK	-10.68%	$10,761	$9,612	27	37%	-	-$1,149	-26.4%	5.4d	✓	-
84	MSFT	-12.01%	$17,102	$15,048	14	36%	-	-$2,054	-21.2%	13.3d	✓	-
85	META	-12.71%	$19,119	$16,689	21	33%	-	-$2,430	-26.1%	6.9d	✓	-
86	NIO	-14.03%	$6,619	$5,690	42	36%	-	-$929	-51.1%	2.6d	✓	-
87	AMC	-14.35%	$5,039	$4,316	39	33%	-	-$723	-59.9%	2.4d	✓	-
88	AVGO	-14.92%	$15,478	$13,169	35	29%	-	-$2,309	-27.0%	3.7d	✓	-
89	ADBE	-15.15%	$8,308	$7,049	22	27%	-	-$1,259	-42.0%	8.2d	✓	-
90	ORCL	-18.16%	$14,500	$11,867	41	29%	-	-$2,633	-51.2%	5.2d	✓	-
91	RIVN	-18.41%	$6,057	$4,942	45	38%	-	-$1,115	-51.0%	2.2d	✓	-
92	PYPL	-18.54%	$10,649	$8,675	18	39%	-	-$1,974	-35.9%	7.8d	✓	-
93	SOFI	-18.94%	$20,806	$16,866	41	34%	-	-$3,941	-35.6%	2.7d	✓	-
94	UNH	-20.42%	$5,842	$4,649	20	40%	-	-$1,193	-54.0%	7.3d	✓	-
95	RIOT	-21.24%	$10,902	$8,587	62	35%	-	-$2,316	-51.3%	1.3d	✓	-
96	DKNG	-31.06%	$9,915	$6,835	32	28%	-	-$3,079	-50.2%	4.1d	✓	-
97	LCID	-32.41%	$21,040	$14,221	49	31%	-	-$6,819	-38.4%	1.9d	✓	-
98	NFLX	-32.96%	$30,133	$20,201	16	19%	-	-$9,932	-32.4%	9.5d	✓	-
99	SMCI	-35.12%	$2,802	$1,818	40	28%	-	-$984	-88.9%	1.9d	✓	-
100	RBLX	-39.81%	$21,474	$12,925	39	28%	-	-$8,549	-46.8%	3.9d	✓	-
101	HOOD	-42.74%	$18,945	$10,848	46	28%	-	-$8,097	-45.6%	2.2d	✓	-
102	COIN	-43.58%	$12,926	$7,293	49	27%	-	-$5,633	-53.5%	1.8d	✓	-

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.