Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

Mar 24, 2026 → Sep 24, 2026 (184d)

📊 Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

🎯 Asset: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

📊 Last 6 Months Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the last 6 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$14,267

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $13,452 (+$815)

+6.06%

Last 6 Months ROI

43.8%

Win Rate

2,788

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Last 6 Months)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

                        RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))                    

                            RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)                        

                            Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14                        

                            Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14

                    📁 calculateRSI() 
                    @ lines 404-448                

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size

2 Upper wick ≤ body size

3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

                        RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE                    

→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        RSI_PERIOD:
                        14
                    

                        RSI_OVERSOLD:
                        30
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        5%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -10%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        30
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 6 Months: Mar 24, 2026 → Sep 24, 2026 (184 days)

📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns

📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.

75+ Elite 60+ Good 40+ Fair <40 Weak

⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.

75+ Hot 60+ Active 40+ Moderate <40 Quiet

Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.

⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →

Rank	Symbol	Score	Mom	Return	6M Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	AMD	45	55	+161.94%	$11,213	$29,372	51	59%	-	+$18,159	-43.0%	3.3d	✓	-
2	SOXL	69	12🧊	+77.47%	$44,008	$78,101	70	51%	-	+$34,093	-36.3%	1.6d	✓	-
3	NET	67	34🧊	+71.53%	$24,289	$41,663	46	52%	-	+$17,374	-33.4%	4.1d	✓	-
4	MU	69	63	+56.01%	$35,707	$55,706	59	51%	-	+$19,999	-27.8%	3.5d	✓	-
5	INTC	14	34	+47.15%	$7,945	$11,691	52	42%	-	+$3,746	-58.2%	3.6d	✓	-
6	ARKK	27	—	+46.24%	$9,968	$14,577	26	54%	-	+$4,609	-26.4%	5.4d	✓	-
7	UNH	5	1	+39.94%	$4,358	$6,099	19	53%	-	+$1,741	-54.0%	7.3d	✓	-
8	GOOGL	59	29🧊	+34.55%	$20,085	$27,024	24	50%	-	+$6,939	-25.2%	7.9d	✓	-
9	MRNA	13	44🔥	+33.70%	$8,363	$11,182	53	43%	-	+$2,818	-73.8%	2.3d	✓	-
10	XLK	35	—	+32.43%	$12,662	$16,768	20	55%	-	+$4,106	-25.5%	11.5d	✓	-
11	AAPL	40	—	+31.45%	$14,324	$18,829	15	67%	-	+$4,505	-21.5%	10.1d	✓	-
12	MSFT	38	—	+30.69%	$14,132	$18,469	21	48%	-	+$4,337	-21.2%	13.3d	✓	-
13	CSCO	68	—	+27.34%	$21,820	$27,786	19	47%	-	+$5,966	-9.1%	15.2d	✓	-
14	ARM	37	35	+27.28%	$15,731	$20,022	57	44%	-	+$4,291	-31.3%	2.7d	✓	-
15	TSLA	28	—	+26.66%	$12,243	$15,507	32	50%	-	+$3,264	-34.1%	2.9d	✓	-
16	GILD	36	34	+25.33%	$13,582	$17,022	19	53%	-	+$3,440	-20.9%	10.3d	✓	-
17	META	37	65🔥	+24.08%	$15,916	$19,748	27	48%	-	+$3,833	-26.1%	6.9d	✓	-
18	ABBV	32	—	+21.79%	$11,954	$14,559	20	50%	-	+$2,605	-17.7%	11.9d	✓	-
19	PANW	30	6🧊	+20.93%	$12,753	$15,422	37	46%	-	+$2,669	-29.0%	7.1d	✓	-
20	WFC	26	0🧊	+20.76%	$11,162	$13,479	13	62%	-	+$2,317	-25.5%	8.9d	✓	-
21	V	27	—	+19.86%	$11,386	$13,648	11	55%	-	+$2,261	-14.4%	14.2d	✓	-
22	QQQ	31	—	+19.07%	$12,892	$15,351	12	50%	-	+$2,459	-29.6%	15.7d	✓	-
23	PYPL	15	2	+18.30%	$9,059	$10,717	24	50%	-	+$1,658	-35.9%	7.8d	✓	-
24	TMO	15	—	+17.54%	$9,419	$11,071	17	59%	-	+$1,652	-28.6%	11.0d	✓	-
25	AMC	4	5	+17.13%	$4,194	$4,912	55	45%	-	+$718	-59.9%	2.4d	✓	-
26	JPM	44	0🧊	+17.10%	$16,966	$19,867	10	50%	-	+$2,901	-20.8%	10.9d	✓	-
27	VTI	40	—	+16.27%	$13,321	$15,488	8	63%	-	+$2,167	-16.1%	20.8d	✓	-
28	BAC	28	1🧊	+15.30%	$12,361	$14,253	11	55%	-	+$1,891	-21.4%	9.5d	✓	-
29	SCHW	52	0🧊	+13.33%	$15,784	$17,889	15	53%	-	+$2,104	-10.8%	11.7d	✓	-
30	DIA	25	—	+13.25%	$10,734	$12,156	6	83%	-	+$1,422	-20.7%	20.9d	✓	-
31	ADBE	4	2	+12.93%	$5,942	$6,711	37	43%	-	+$768	-42.0%	8.2d	✓	-
32	JNJ	41	0🧊	+12.92%	$14,845	$16,763	15	47%	-	+$1,918	-13.8%	16.3d	✓	-
33	MS	20	—	+12.48%	$10,675	$12,007	19	47%	-	+$1,332	-29.2%	9.0d	✓	-
34	SPY	38	—	+12.10%	$13,412	$15,035	8	63%	-	+$1,623	-12.7%	18.7d	✓	-
35	MA	31	—	+11.99%	$12,419	$13,908	12	50%	-	+$1,489	-11.3%	13.9d	✓	-
36	VOO	35	—	+11.66%	$13,126	$14,657	8	63%	-	+$1,531	-15.4%	18.9d	✓	-
37	BLK	31	0🧊	+11.04%	$12,861	$14,280	17	47%	-	+$1,420	-17.2%	12.3d	✓	-
38	MRK	4	—	+10.72%	$7,575	$8,387	17	47%	-	+$812	-45.0%	9.8d	✓	-
39	XLF	40	—	+10.31%	$13,345	$14,721	8	63%	-	+$1,376	-11.5%	17.6d	✓	-
40	NVDA	33	18	+10.26%	$16,903	$18,637	30	43%	-	+$1,734	-43.7%	3.8d	✓	-
41	BIIB	5	—	+10.23%	$6,436	$7,094	18	44%	-	+$658	-46.7%	7.5d	✓	-
42	GME	25	59🔥	+10.12%	$14,256	$15,699	24	42%	-	+$1,443	-32.0%	2.9d	✓	-
43	BMY	14	—	+10.03%	$9,478	$10,429	18	44%	-	+$951	-28.4%	7.9d	✓	-
44	AMGN	16	0	+8.90%	$10,359	$11,281	14	50%	-	+$922	-28.3%	11.3d	✓	-
45	PM	27	17	+6.76%	$13,056	$13,938	16	44%	-	+$883	-21.9%	12.3d	✓	-
46	VRTX	22	—	+6.20%	$12,147	$12,900	16	38%	-	+$753	-25.6%	10.7d	✓	-
47	IWM	27	—	+6.13%	$12,748	$13,530	11	45%	-	+$781	-23.6%	13.7d	✓	-
48	USO	33	45	+5.99%	$14,814	$15,701	42	50%	-	+$887	-18.0%	8.8d	✓	-
49	BRK-B	27	—	+5.83%	$12,592	$13,326	8	50%	-	+$734	-15.7%	16.3d	✓	-
50	VZ	25	0🧊	+4.68%	$12,110	$12,677	16	44%	-	+$567	-14.2%	14.1d	✓	-
51	PFE	5	—	+3.68%	$8,941	$9,270	11	36%	-	+$329	-23.5%	10.8d	✓	-
52	KO	31	—	+3.45%	$13,461	$13,926	12	50%	-	+$464	-13.1%	18.7d	✓	-
53	CVX	43	0🧊	+2.90%	$16,411	$16,887	21	43%	-	+$476	-13.5%	13.2d	✓	-
54	RIOT	5	37🔥	+2.85%	$5,804	$5,970	62	40%	-	+$165	-51.3%	1.3d	✓	-
55	DIS	13	1	+0.78%	$10,671	$10,755	19	37%	-	+$83	-24.9%	11.6d	✓	-
56	SLB	29	5🧊	+0.15%	$14,504	$14,525	28	39%	-	+$22	-22.2%	8.1d	✓	-
57	PLTR	69	32🧊	-0.10%	$58,155	$58,097	42	40%	-	-$58	-28.0%	2.8d	✓	-
58	RBLX	22	64🔥	-0.64%	$12,416	$12,337	42	45%	-	-$79	-46.8%	3.9d	✓	-
59	AMZN	31	—	-1.01%	$15,346	$15,191	24	38%	-	-$155	-18.5%	8.3d	✓	-
60	CMCSA	5	1	-1.09%	$6,776	$6,702	22	32%	-	-$74	-36.1%	11.9d	✓	-
61	C	33	0🧊	-1.52%	$17,276	$17,013	19	37%	-	-$263	-29.6%	8.3d	✓	-
62	LLY	20	0	-3.05%	$12,705	$12,318	26	38%	-	-$388	-36.7%	6.7d	✓	-
63	WMT	37	—	-3.23%	$17,504	$16,939	15	40%	-	-$565	-17.6%	14.4d	✓	-
64	XLE	18	—	-3.34%	$11,827	$11,432	16	38%	-	-$395	-24.7%	12.5d	✓	-
65	CRM	5	3	-3.73%	$8,097	$7,795	34	38%	-	-$302	-48.1%	7.3d	✓	-
66	GLD	62	—	-3.87%	$24,568	$23,617	12	42%	-	-$951	-6.1%	15.7d	✓	-
67	AVGO	19	1	-4.20%	$12,287	$11,771	33	42%	-	-$516	-27.0%	3.7d	✓	-
68	COP	24	1🧊	-4.72%	$13,328	$12,699	26	42%	-	-$629	-20.6%	9.4d	✓	-
69	AXP	23	1🧊	-5.13%	$13,528	$12,834	13	31%	-	-$694	-27.6%	10.6d	✓	-
70	SPXU	4	0	-5.18%	$10,219	$9,689	26	38%	-	-$529	-30.0%	5.6d	✓	-
71	SLV	64	0🧊	-5.18%	$30,653	$29,065	35	43%	-	-$1,588	-21.6%	7.3d	✓	-
72	DKNG	4	21	-5.43%	$7,019	$6,638	46	37%	-	-$381	-50.2%	4.1d	✓	-
73	ACN	4	4	-5.58%	$4,774	$4,508	31	39%	-	-$266	-45.0%	9.3d	✓	-
74	GS	44	0🧊	-5.88%	$19,535	$18,386	20	35%	-	-$1,149	-15.7%	9.6d	✓	-
75	SOFI	24	7	-6.40%	$14,338	$13,421	42	38%	-	-$918	-35.6%	2.7d	✓	-
76	REGN	5	1	-6.99%	$7,247	$6,740	18	44%	-	-$507	-50.1%	7.6d	✓	-
77	COST	26	—	-7.16%	$14,920	$13,852	16	31%	-	-$1,068	-19.7%	13.0d	✓	-
78	TLT	4	—	-8.04%	$7,034	$6,468	7	29%	-	-$566	-27.7%	20.2d	✓	-
79	OXY	35	5🧊	-8.31%	$19,747	$18,106	35	43%	-	-$1,641	-28.6%	8.2d	✓	-
80	SNOW	24	2🧊	-8.60%	$16,618	$15,189	42	31%	-	-$1,429	-43.4%	4.9d	✓	-
81	MDT	21	—	-8.64%	$12,927	$11,810	15	33%	-	-$1,117	-12.1%	13.7d	✓	-
82	RIVN	4	6	-8.78%	$4,718	$4,303	47	38%	-	-$414	-51.0%	2.2d	✓	-
83	PG	4	—	-8.78%	$9,251	$8,438	9	33%	-	-$812	-24.4%	16.2d	✓	-
84	NFLX	38	0🧊	-10.54%	$22,884	$20,472	21	43%	-	-$2,412	-32.4%	9.5d	✓	-
85	PEP	4	0	-11.45%	$9,172	$8,122	12	33%	-	-$1,050	-23.1%	16.8d	✓	-
86	HD	5	0	-12.08%	$9,080	$7,983	19	32%	-	-$1,097	-19.9%	12.1d	✓	-
87	MCD	7	0	-12.23%	$11,076	$9,721	12	33%	-	-$1,355	-12.9%	16.0d	✓	-
88	XOM	26	—	-14.24%	$15,064	$12,919	23	35%	-	-$2,145	-18.5%	11.9d	✓	-
89	ISRG	4	19	-15.34%	$11,195	$9,477	22	32%	-	-$1,717	-35.0%	8.4d	✓	-
90	HOOD	5	17	-21.69%	$10,468	$8,197	51	35%	-	-$2,270	-45.6%	2.2d	✓	-
91	TQQQ	5	14	-22.27%	$8,480	$6,592	49	37%	-	-$1,889	-40.9%	3.1d	✓	-
92	COIN	5	36🔥	-22.91%	$9,198	$7,091	53	34%	-	-$2,107	-53.5%	1.8d	✓	-
93	IBM	29	—	-22.95%	$17,466	$13,457	29	38%	-	-$4,008	-17.7%	10.0d	✓	-
94	ORCL	5	29🔥	-23.98%	$12,018	$9,136	48	38%	-	-$2,882	-51.2%	5.2d	✓	-
95	SQQQ	3	1	-25.78%	$6,241	$4,632	45	36%	-	-$1,609	-66.3%	2.8d	✓	-
96	MARA	4	5	-26.36%	$4,226	$3,112	62	34%	-	-$1,114	-58.2%	1.3d	✓	-
97	NIO	4	0	-26.87%	$6,396	$4,677	37	30%	-	-$1,719	-51.1%	2.6d	✓	-
98	SMCI	4	20	-29.03%	$1,626	$1,154	54	31%	-	-$472	-88.9%	1.9d	✓	-
99	VXX	18	2	-30.81%	$17,615	$12,188	33	27%	-	-$5,427	-32.2%	2.9d	✓	-
100	LCID	4	9	-39.08%	$13,337	$8,125	60	32%	-	-$5,212	-38.4%	1.9d	✓	-
101	UVXY	4	2	-43.80%	$15,252	$8,571	47	26%	-	-$6,680	-50.0%	1.6d	✓	-
102	CRWD	8	39🔥	-65.53%	$21,247	$7,324	42	48%	-	-$13,923	-24.8%	4.4d	✓	-

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.

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