Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

📊 View Performance: 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months YTD 1 Year 2 Years

Feb 14, 2024 → Feb 14, 2026 (731 days)

🎯 Asset Class: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All Assets 114

📊 2 Years Performance: We gave Marcus Reversal $10,000 and let him trade 102 stock symbols from Dec 31, 2023 to today. 🟢 LIVE

$13,763

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $10,000 (+$3,763)

+37.63%

2-Year ROI

45.3%

Win Rate

9,066

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (2 Years)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

                        RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))                    

                            RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)                        

                            Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14                        

                            Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14

                    📁 calculateRSI() 
                    @ lines 404-448                

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size

2 Upper wick ≤ body size

3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

                        RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE                    

→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        RSI_PERIOD:
                        14
                    

                        RSI_OVERSOLD:
                        30
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        5%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -10%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        30
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 2 Years: Feb 14, 2024 → Feb 14, 2026 (731 days)

Rank	Symbol	Return	Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	SOXL	+558.10%	$10,000	$65,810	209	49%	-	+$55,810	-36.3%	1.6d	✓	-
2	PLTR	+339.76%	$10,000	$43,976	157	46%	-	+$33,976	-28.0%	2.8d	✓	-
3	MU	+333.50%	$10,000	$43,350	142	48%	-	+$33,350	-27.8%	3.5d	✓	-
4	SLV	+158.85%	$10,000	$25,885	80	55%	-	+$15,885	-21.6%	7.3d	✓	-
5	GLD	+154.86%	$10,000	$25,486	43	70%	-	+$15,486	-6.1%	15.7d	✓	-
6	CRWD	+120.76%	$10,000	$22,076	117	45%	-	+$12,076	-24.8%	4.4d	✓	-
7	GS	+116.60%	$10,000	$21,660	65	55%	-	+$11,660	-15.7%	9.6d	✓	-
8	CSCO	+115.79%	$10,000	$21,579	45	62%	-	+$11,579	-9.1%	15.2d	✓	-
9	NET	+106.63%	$10,000	$20,663	122	46%	-	+$10,663	-33.4%	4.1d	✓	-
10	NFLX	+102.01%	$10,000	$20,201	64	50%	-	+$10,201	-32.4%	9.5d	✓	-
11	GOOGL	+100.52%	$10,000	$20,052	75	49%	-	+$10,052	-25.2%	7.9d	✓	-
12	WMT	+93.12%	$10,000	$19,312	47	57%	-	+$9,312	-17.6%	14.4d	✓	-
13	SNOW	+82.84%	$10,000	$18,284	109	43%	-	+$8,284	-43.4%	4.9d	✓	-
14	JPM	+81.97%	$10,000	$18,197	57	53%	-	+$8,197	-20.8%	10.9d	✓	-
15	IBM	+73.88%	$10,000	$17,388	62	50%	-	+$7,388	-17.7%	10.0d	✓	-
16	SOFI	+68.66%	$10,000	$16,866	154	44%	-	+$6,866	-35.6%	2.7d	✓	-
17	C	+67.71%	$10,000	$16,771	70	49%	-	+$6,771	-29.6%	8.3d	✓	-
18	META	+66.89%	$10,000	$16,689	83	43%	-	+$6,689	-26.1%	6.9d	✓	-
19	NVDA	+65.40%	$10,000	$16,540	123	41%	-	+$6,540	-43.7%	3.8d	✓	-
20	SCHW	+60.39%	$10,000	$16,039	55	56%	-	+$6,039	-10.8%	11.7d	✓	-
21	GILD	+54.50%	$10,000	$15,450	61	46%	-	+$5,450	-20.9%	10.3d	✓	-
22	COST	+54.31%	$10,000	$15,431	50	50%	-	+$5,431	-19.7%	13.0d	✓	-
23	AMZN	+52.56%	$10,000	$15,256	72	44%	-	+$5,256	-18.5%	8.3d	✓	-
24	JNJ	+51.22%	$10,000	$15,122	42	57%	-	+$5,122	-13.8%	16.3d	✓	-
25	MSFT	+50.48%	$10,000	$15,048	50	48%	-	+$5,048	-21.2%	13.3d	✓	-
26	PM	+49.88%	$10,000	$14,988	51	51%	-	+$4,988	-21.9%	12.3d	✓	-
27	AAPL	+48.29%	$10,000	$14,829	63	48%	-	+$4,829	-21.5%	10.1d	✓	-
28	XLF	+47.24%	$10,000	$14,724	38	61%	-	+$4,724	-11.5%	17.6d	✓	-
29	ARM	+46.14%	$10,000	$14,614	163	43%	-	+$4,614	-31.3%	2.7d	✓	-
30	SLB	+45.56%	$10,000	$14,556	73	44%	-	+$4,556	-22.2%	8.1d	✓	-
31	GME	+44.83%	$10,000	$14,483	147	41%	-	+$4,483	-32.0%	2.9d	✓	-
32	VXX	+43.50%	$10,000	$14,350	158	41%	-	+$4,350	-32.2%	2.9d	✓	-
33	AXP	+42.26%	$10,000	$14,226	57	47%	-	+$4,226	-27.6%	10.6d	✓	-
34	LCID	+42.21%	$10,000	$14,221	190	40%	-	+$4,221	-38.4%	1.9d	✓	-
35	CVX	+41.47%	$10,000	$14,147	47	51%	-	+$4,147	-13.5%	13.2d	✓	-
36	UVXY	+40.85%	$10,000	$14,085	209	40%	-	+$4,085	-50.0%	1.6d	✓	-
37	LLY	+39.26%	$10,000	$13,926	87	44%	-	+$3,926	-36.7%	6.7d	✓	-
38	KO	+38.79%	$10,000	$13,879	35	54%	-	+$3,879	-13.1%	18.7d	✓	-
39	SPY	+38.45%	$10,000	$13,845	36	58%	-	+$3,845	-12.7%	18.7d	✓	-
40	OXY	+38.41%	$10,000	$13,841	74	46%	-	+$3,841	-28.6%	8.2d	✓	-
41	VTI	+37.97%	$10,000	$13,797	33	67%	-	+$3,797	-16.1%	20.8d	✓	-
42	MDT	+37.70%	$10,000	$13,770	47	49%	-	+$3,770	-12.1%	13.7d	✓	-
43	IWM	+36.61%	$10,000	$13,661	46	50%	-	+$3,661	-23.6%	13.7d	✓	-
44	BAC	+36.06%	$10,000	$13,606	62	47%	-	+$3,606	-21.4%	9.5d	✓	-
45	MA	+36.06%	$10,000	$13,606	47	49%	-	+$3,606	-11.3%	13.9d	✓	-
46	BLK	+35.46%	$10,000	$13,546	53	51%	-	+$3,546	-17.2%	12.3d	✓	-
47	VOO	+35.45%	$10,000	$13,545	36	58%	-	+$3,545	-15.4%	18.9d	✓	-
48	PANW	+35.23%	$10,000	$13,523	83	45%	-	+$3,523	-29.0%	7.1d	✓	-
49	AVGO	+31.69%	$10,000	$13,169	125	39%	-	+$3,169	-27.0%	3.7d	✓	-
50	QQQ	+30.83%	$10,000	$13,083	42	57%	-	+$3,083	-29.6%	15.7d	✓	-
51	USO	+30.23%	$10,000	$13,023	70	43%	-	+$3,023	-18.0%	8.8d	✓	-
52	VRTX	+29.49%	$10,000	$12,949	58	48%	-	+$2,949	-25.6%	10.7d	✓	-
53	RBLX	+29.25%	$10,000	$12,925	124	44%	-	+$2,925	-46.8%	3.9d	✓	-
54	TSLA	+28.30%	$10,000	$12,830	155	44%	-	+$2,830	-34.1%	2.9d	✓	-
55	XLK	+27.79%	$10,000	$12,779	56	46%	-	+$2,779	-25.5%	11.5d	✓	-
56	BRK-B	+27.21%	$10,000	$12,721	41	49%	-	+$2,721	-15.7%	16.3d	✓	-
57	ABBV	+26.25%	$10,000	$12,625	54	46%	-	+$2,625	-17.7%	11.9d	✓	-
58	XOM	+26.18%	$10,000	$12,618	52	48%	-	+$2,618	-18.5%	11.9d	✓	-
59	WFC	+24.11%	$10,000	$12,411	67	46%	-	+$2,411	-25.5%	8.9d	✓	-
60	AMD	+23.88%	$10,000	$12,388	137	41%	-	+$2,388	-43.0%	3.3d	✓	-
61	V	+21.48%	$10,000	$12,148	46	46%	-	+$2,148	-14.4%	14.2d	✓	-
62	VZ	+19.06%	$10,000	$11,906	47	43%	-	+$1,906	-14.2%	14.1d	✓	-
63	ORCL	+18.67%	$10,000	$11,867	104	38%	-	+$1,867	-51.2%	5.2d	✓	-
64	DIA	+17.92%	$10,000	$11,792	33	58%	-	+$1,792	-20.7%	20.9d	✓	-
65	MS	+15.68%	$10,000	$11,568	67	45%	-	+$1,568	-29.2%	9.0d	✓	-
66	COP	+15.45%	$10,000	$11,545	65	43%	-	+$1,545	-20.6%	9.4d	✓	-
67	ISRG	+15.33%	$10,000	$11,533	70	40%	-	+$1,533	-35.0%	8.4d	✓	-
68	MCD	+14.10%	$10,000	$11,410	42	52%	-	+$1,410	-12.9%	16.0d	✓	-
69	DIS	+14.01%	$10,000	$11,401	55	40%	-	+$1,401	-24.9%	11.6d	✓	-
70	HD	+11.04%	$10,000	$11,104	54	41%	-	+$1,104	-19.9%	12.1d	✓	-
71	AMGN	+10.37%	$10,000	$11,037	56	41%	-	+$1,037	-28.3%	11.3d	✓	-
72	XLE	+9.32%	$10,000	$10,932	51	43%	-	+$932	-24.7%	12.5d	✓	-
73	HOOD	+8.48%	$10,000	$10,848	174	41%	-	+$848	-45.6%	2.2d	✓	-
74	PG	-1.53%	$10,000	$9,847	42	43%	-	-$153	-24.4%	16.2d	✓	-
75	PEP	-1.70%	$10,000	$9,830	39	38%	-	-$170	-23.1%	16.8d	✓	-
76	TQQQ	-2.93%	$10,000	$9,707	137	40%	-	-$293	-40.9%	3.1d	✓	-
77	ARKK	-3.88%	$10,000	$9,612	99	40%	-	-$388	-26.4%	5.4d	✓	-
78	BMY	-4.01%	$10,000	$9,599	74	39%	-	-$401	-28.4%	7.9d	✓	-
79	PFE	-4.59%	$10,000	$9,541	57	46%	-	-$459	-23.5%	10.8d	✓	-
80	TMO	-7.66%	$10,000	$9,234	59	36%	-	-$766	-28.6%	11.0d	✓	-
81	SPXU	-12.81%	$10,000	$8,719	68	41%	-	-$1,281	-30.0%	5.6d	✓	-
82	PYPL	-13.25%	$10,000	$8,675	71	42%	-	-$1,325	-35.9%	7.8d	✓	-
83	REGN	-13.43%	$10,000	$8,657	80	41%	-	-$1,343	-50.1%	7.6d	✓	-
84	RIOT	-14.13%	$10,000	$8,587	228	41%	-	-$1,413	-51.3%	1.3d	✓	-
85	MRK	-16.98%	$10,000	$8,302	64	34%	-	-$1,698	-45.0%	9.8d	✓	-
86	CRM	-19.15%	$10,000	$8,085	83	39%	-	-$1,915	-48.1%	7.3d	✓	-
87	INTC	-19.38%	$10,000	$8,062	138	39%	-	-$1,938	-58.2%	3.6d	✓	-
88	CMCSA	-22.95%	$10,000	$7,705	52	40%	-	-$2,295	-36.1%	11.9d	✓	-
89	TLT	-24.26%	$10,000	$7,574	34	38%	-	-$2,426	-27.7%	20.2d	✓	-
90	COIN	-27.07%	$10,000	$7,293	201	37%	-	-$2,707	-53.5%	1.8d	✓	-
91	ADBE	-29.51%	$10,000	$7,049	72	35%	-	-$2,951	-42.0%	8.2d	✓	-
92	BIIB	-31.26%	$10,000	$6,874	76	37%	-	-$3,126	-46.7%	7.5d	✓	-
93	DKNG	-31.65%	$10,000	$6,835	125	35%	-	-$3,165	-50.2%	4.1d	✓	-
94	MARA	-33.71%	$10,000	$6,629	230	38%	-	-$3,371	-58.2%	1.3d	✓	-
95	SQQQ	-42.98%	$10,000	$5,702	159	36%	-	-$4,298	-66.3%	2.8d	✓	-
96	NIO	-43.10%	$10,000	$5,690	169	37%	-	-$4,310	-51.1%	2.6d	✓	-
97	ACN	-44.79%	$10,000	$5,521	67	30%	-	-$4,479	-45.0%	9.3d	✓	-
98	MRNA	-47.71%	$10,000	$5,229	180	39%	-	-$4,771	-73.8%	2.3d	✓	-
99	RIVN	-50.58%	$10,000	$4,942	185	38%	-	-$5,058	-51.0%	2.2d	✓	-
100	UNH	-53.51%	$10,000	$4,649	81	42%	-	-$5,351	-54.0%	7.3d	✓	-
101	AMC	-56.84%	$10,000	$4,316	169	34%	-	-$5,684	-59.9%	2.4d	✓	-
102	SMCI	-81.82%	$10,000	$1,818	193	34%	-	-$8,182	-88.9%	1.9d	✓	-

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.