Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

Jan 1, 2026 → Jun 17, 2026 (166d)

📊 Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

🎯 Asset: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

📊 Year to Date Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the year to date across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$14,212

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $13,253 (+$959)

+7.24%

Year to Date ROI

42.6%

Win Rate

2,549

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Year to Date)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

                        RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))                    

                            RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)                        

                            Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14                        

                            Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14

                    📁 calculateRSI() 
                    @ lines 404-448                

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size

2 Upper wick ≤ body size

3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

                        RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE                    

→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        RSI_PERIOD:
                        14
                    

                        RSI_OVERSOLD:
                        30
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        5%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -10%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        30
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Year to Date: Jan 1, 2026 → Jun 17, 2026 (166 days)

📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns

📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.

75+ Elite 60+ Good 40+ Fair <40 Weak

⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.

75+ Hot 60+ Active 40+ Moderate <40 Quiet

Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.

⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →

Rank	Symbol	Score	Mom	Return	YTD Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	INTC	18	31	+120.29%	$5,757	$12,683	44	55%	-	+$6,926	-58.2%	3.6d	✓	-
2	AMD	38	54	+106.77%	$11,288	$23,341	43	58%	-	+$12,052	-43.0%	3.3d	✓	-
3	MRNA	5	6	+102.18%	$4,479	$9,055	46	54%	-	+$4,576	-73.8%	2.3d	✓	-
4	SOXL 🔥 PRO	72	84	+89.72%	$45,103	$85,569	60	50%	-	+$40,466	-36.3%	1.6d	✓	-
5	NET	57	32🧊	+78.30%	$18,164	$32,386	37	57%	-	+$14,222	-33.4%	4.1d	✓	-
6	ARM	36	37	+69.54%	$12,532	$21,247	45	49%	-	+$8,715	-31.3%	2.7d	✓	-
7	SLV	70	2🧊	+60.31%	$19,501	$31,262	39	54%	-	+$11,761	-21.6%	7.3d	✓	-
8	CSCO	72	3🧊	+58.99%	$19,049	$30,286	16	63%	-	+$11,237	-9.1%	15.2d	✓	-
9	OXY	33	2🧊	+50.92%	$11,211	$16,920	29	59%	-	+$5,709	-28.6%	8.2d	✓	-
10	XLK	38	25	+43.38%	$12,421	$17,810	17	65%	-	+$5,388	-25.5%	11.5d	✓	-
11	MU	68	51	+42.73%	$35,634	$50,860	51	51%	-	+$15,226	-27.8%	3.5d	✓	-
12	GOOGL	56	0🧊	+38.12%	$19,155	$26,457	18	61%	-	+$7,302	-25.2%	7.9d	✓	-
13	SLB	35	20	+35.92%	$11,581	$15,740	25	52%	-	+$4,160	-22.2%	8.1d	✓	-
14	CVX	37	0🧊	+33.74%	$11,466	$15,335	19	58%	-	+$3,869	-13.5%	13.2d	✓	-
15	ARKK	23	24	+26.79%	$10,437	$13,233	27	48%	-	+$2,796	-26.4%	5.4d	✓	-
16	AAPL	39	—	+25.62%	$14,379	$18,063	14	57%	-	+$3,684	-21.5%	10.1d	✓	-
17	QQQ	37	—	+23.98%	$12,975	$16,086	11	64%	-	+$3,111	-29.6%	15.7d	✓	-
18	NVDA	36	3🧊	+23.94%	$16,593	$20,565	25	48%	-	+$3,972	-43.7%	3.8d	✓	-
19	RIOT	4	33🔥	+23.19%	$6,359	$7,834	55	44%	-	+$1,475	-51.3%	1.3d	✓	-
20	UVXY	17	6	+20.28%	$10,354	$12,454	49	43%	-	+$2,100	-50.0%	1.6d	✓	-
21	AMC	4	84🔥	+20.13%	$4,331	$5,202	47	43%	-	+$872	-59.9%	2.4d	✓	-
22	COP	18	1	+18.86%	$9,640	$11,458	25	48%	-	+$1,818	-20.6%	9.4d	✓	-
23	SCHW	50	37	+18.76%	$14,790	$17,564	13	62%	-	+$2,775	-10.8%	11.7d	✓	-
24	GME	23	6	+14.84%	$12,499	$14,354	24	42%	-	+$1,855	-32.0%	2.9d	✓	-
25	CRWD	58	9🧊	+14.57%	$25,726	$29,474	32	50%	-	+$3,748	-24.8%	4.4d	✓	-
26	PANW	35	40	+14.27%	$15,124	$17,282	28	50%	-	+$2,158	-29.0%	7.1d	✓	-
27	JNJ	37	31	+14.27%	$13,448	$15,367	11	55%	-	+$1,919	-13.8%	16.3d	✓	-
28	C	37	34	+14.25%	$16,201	$18,509	21	43%	-	+$2,309	-29.6%	8.3d	✓	-
29	GLD	68	0🧊	+14.24%	$20,585	$23,516	15	53%	-	+$2,931	-6.1%	15.7d	✓	-
30	MS	25	61🔥	+13.65%	$12,038	$13,681	18	50%	-	+$1,643	-29.2%	9.0d	✓	-
31	SPY	43	—	+12.77%	$13,809	$15,573	8	63%	-	+$1,763	-12.7%	18.7d	✓	-
32	VXX	24	3	+12.60%	$12,603	$14,191	35	43%	-	+$1,588	-32.2%	2.9d	✓	-
33	VOO	40	—	+12.38%	$13,505	$15,176	8	63%	-	+$1,672	-15.4%	18.9d	✓	-
34	XOM	22	0🧊	+12.13%	$10,712	$12,011	18	50%	-	+$1,299	-18.5%	11.9d	✓	-
35	NIO	4	6	+11.57%	$5,595	$6,242	38	42%	-	+$647	-51.1%	2.6d	✓	-
36	BAC	30	—	+11.26%	$13,184	$14,669	11	55%	-	+$1,485	-21.4%	9.5d	✓	-
37	VZ	22	13	+10.20%	$11,051	$12,179	14	43%	-	+$1,127	-14.2%	14.1d	✓	-
38	UNH	6	0	+9.35%	$5,707	$6,240	20	50%	-	+$534	-54.0%	7.3d	✓	-
39	COST	32	2🧊	+9.21%	$14,299	$15,616	14	50%	-	+$1,317	-19.7%	13.0d	✓	-
40	XLE	5	—	+8.04%	$9,224	$9,966	18	44%	-	+$742	-24.7%	12.5d	✓	-
41	VTI	38	—	+7.87%	$13,744	$14,826	8	50%	-	+$1,082	-16.1%	20.8d	✓	-
42	SPXU	4	7	+7.31%	$8,381	$8,994	26	46%	-	+$613	-30.0%	5.6d	✓	-
43	USO	25	6	+7.22%	$11,783	$12,633	39	49%	-	+$851	-18.0%	8.8d	✓	-
44	AMZN	38	3🧊	+6.92%	$15,882	$16,981	26	42%	-	+$1,099	-18.5%	8.3d	✓	-
45	SNOW	30	55🔥	+6.77%	$17,401	$18,579	40	35%	-	+$1,178	-43.4%	4.9d	✓	-
46	TSLA	29	3🧊	+6.69%	$14,978	$15,980	29	41%	-	+$1,002	-34.1%	2.9d	✓	-
47	GILD	25	1🧊	+6.39%	$12,735	$13,549	20	45%	-	+$814	-20.9%	10.3d	✓	-
48	JPM	43	—	+5.52%	$18,800	$19,837	13	38%	-	+$1,038	-20.8%	10.9d	✓	-
49	BRK-B	27	—	+5.11%	$12,509	$13,148	10	50%	-	+$639	-15.7%	16.3d	✓	-
50	WFC	22	—	+4.84%	$12,628	$13,239	16	50%	-	+$611	-25.5%	8.9d	✓	-
51	GS	54	3🧊	+3.53%	$20,643	$21,371	20	40%	-	+$729	-15.7%	9.6d	✓	-
52	DIA	25	—	+2.66%	$11,531	$11,837	8	63%	-	+$307	-20.7%	20.9d	✓	-
53	MRK	4	2	+2.26%	$7,545	$7,715	15	40%	-	+$171	-45.0%	9.8d	✓	-
54	BLK	30	7🧊	+1.93%	$13,624	$13,887	17	47%	-	+$263	-17.2%	12.3d	✓	-
55	IWM	25	0🧊	+1.91%	$13,254	$13,507	12	42%	-	+$253	-23.6%	13.7d	✓	-
56	PFE	5	—	+1.69%	$8,596	$8,741	9	44%	-	+$145	-23.5%	10.8d	✓	-
57	META	32	26	+1.33%	$15,815	$16,026	24	42%	-	+$210	-26.1%	6.9d	✓	-
58	PLTR	66	5🧊	+1.01%	$45,263	$45,720	36	39%	-	+$457	-28.0%	2.8d	✓	-
59	KO	30	3🧊	+0.72%	$13,052	$13,146	11	45%	-	+$94	-13.1%	18.7d	✓	-
60	BIIB	4	—	-0.05%	$6,396	$6,393	16	44%	-	-$3	-46.7%	7.5d	✓	-
61	BMY	5	30🔥	-0.40%	$8,915	$8,879	19	37%	-	-$36	-28.4%	7.9d	✓	-
62	PG	4	—	-1.17%	$9,175	$9,068	10	30%	-	-$107	-24.4%	16.2d	✓	-
63	PEP	4	—	-1.40%	$8,747	$8,625	11	36%	-	-$122	-23.1%	16.8d	✓	-
64	TQQQ	16	42🔥	-1.50%	$10,532	$10,374	41	41%	-	-$158	-40.9%	3.1d	✓	-
65	ABBV	24	—	-1.70%	$12,823	$12,605	19	42%	-	-$218	-17.7%	11.9d	✓	-
66	AXP	30	1🧊	-1.90%	$15,242	$14,952	13	38%	-	-$290	-27.6%	10.6d	✓	-
67	AMGN	4	—	-2.20%	$9,405	$9,198	12	42%	-	-$207	-28.3%	11.3d	✓	-
68	MCD	15	—	-2.24%	$10,770	$10,529	10	40%	-	-$241	-12.9%	16.0d	✓	-
69	RIVN	4	29🔥	-2.31%	$6,309	$6,163	45	40%	-	-$146	-51.0%	2.2d	✓	-
70	XLF	35	—	-2.69%	$14,417	$14,029	10	40%	-	-$388	-11.5%	17.6d	✓	-
71	WMT	39	0🧊	-3.08%	$18,112	$17,554	15	40%	-	-$558	-17.6%	14.4d	✓	-
72	IBM	35	6🧊	-5.37%	$16,237	$15,365	24	38%	-	-$872	-17.7%	10.0d	✓	-
73	AVGO	26	6🧊	-5.94%	$15,427	$14,511	32	41%	-	-$916	-27.0%	3.7d	✓	-
74	TLT	3	—	-6.41%	$7,615	$7,127	7	43%	-	-$488	-27.7%	20.2d	✓	-
75	V	20	—	-7.63%	$12,885	$11,902	10	20%	-	-$983	-14.4%	14.2d	✓	-
76	DIS	13	—	-9.26%	$11,745	$10,657	14	36%	-	-$1,088	-24.9%	11.6d	✓	-
77	VRTX	14	—	-10.60%	$12,872	$11,508	16	31%	-	-$1,364	-25.6%	10.7d	✓	-
78	MSFT	29	1🧊	-11.38%	$16,464	$14,590	20	30%	-	-$1,874	-21.2%	13.3d	✓	-
79	LLY	20	40	-11.89%	$13,836	$12,190	23	30%	-	-$1,645	-36.7%	6.7d	✓	-
80	DKNG	4	5	-12.09%	$7,785	$6,844	41	37%	-	-$941	-50.2%	4.1d	✓	-
81	MA	26	—	-13.12%	$14,711	$12,781	15	27%	-	-$1,930	-11.3%	13.9d	✓	-
82	MDT	20	—	-13.74%	$13,175	$11,365	12	25%	-	-$1,810	-12.1%	13.7d	✓	-
83	PM	22	0🧊	-13.97%	$14,481	$12,458	14	29%	-	-$2,023	-21.9%	12.3d	✓	-
84	SMCI	4	34🔥	-16.45%	$2,074	$1,733	48	33%	-	-$341	-88.9%	1.9d	✓	-
85	NFLX	37	0🧊	-19.00%	$24,507	$19,850	19	32%	-	-$4,656	-32.4%	9.5d	✓	-
86	HD	5	14	-19.02%	$10,389	$8,413	18	28%	-	-$1,976	-19.9%	12.1d	✓	-
87	TMO	4	—	-19.23%	$10,173	$8,217	15	27%	-	-$1,956	-28.6%	11.0d	✓	-
88	SOFI	26	31	-23.34%	$19,929	$15,278	38	34%	-	-$4,651	-35.6%	2.7d	✓	-
89	CMCSA	5	—	-25.31%	$7,059	$5,273	19	26%	-	-$1,787	-36.1%	11.9d	✓	-
90	CRM	5	5	-26.81%	$9,256	$6,775	31	32%	-	-$2,482	-48.1%	7.3d	✓	-
91	PYPL	6	1	-26.90%	$11,555	$8,447	21	33%	-	-$3,108	-35.9%	7.8d	✓	-
92	RBLX	13	17	-27.96%	$15,285	$11,011	44	39%	-	-$4,274	-46.8%	3.9d	✓	-
93	MARA	5	25	-28.58%	$6,092	$4,351	58	33%	-	-$1,741	-58.2%	1.3d	✓	-
94	ORCL	17	9	-28.96%	$15,666	$11,129	44	32%	-	-$4,537	-51.2%	5.2d	✓	-
95	REGN	5	1	-29.67%	$8,277	$5,821	19	26%	-	-$2,456	-50.1%	7.6d	✓	-
96	COIN	5	7	-31.49%	$9,031	$6,187	51	31%	-	-$2,844	-53.5%	1.8d	✓	-
97	ADBE	4	5	-32.90%	$7,735	$5,190	30	27%	-	-$2,545	-42.0%	8.2d	✓	-
98	ISRG	4	0	-33.11%	$13,624	$9,113	17	12%	-	-$4,511	-35.0%	8.4d	✓	-
99	SQQQ	3	6	-33.34%	$5,319	$3,546	42	31%	-	-$1,773	-66.3%	2.8d	✓	-
100	LCID	16	9	-35.52%	$17,226	$11,107	52	31%	-	-$6,119	-38.4%	1.9d	✓	-
101	ACN	3	3	-39.63%	$6,205	$3,746	26	19%	-	-$2,459	-45.0%	9.3d	✓	-
102	HOOD	5	6	-46.04%	$13,646	$7,363	41	27%	-	-$6,283	-45.6%	2.2d	✓	-

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.

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