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Marcus Reversal
1

Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

πŸ“‰ Swing Trader πŸ“… 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

πŸ“Š View Performance: 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months YTD 1 Year 2 Years
Jan 1, 2026 β†’ Feb 14, 2026 (44 days)
🎯 Asset Class: πŸ“ˆ Stocks 102 β‚Ώ Crypto 12 🌐 All Assets 114

πŸ“Š Year to Date Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the year to date across 102 stock symbols. 🟒 LIVE

$13,682
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $13,253 (+$429)
+3.24%
Year to Date ROI
49.4%
Win Rate
674
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+1.9%
1 Month
+3.6%
3 Months
+8.9%
6 Months
+3.2%
YTD
+9.8%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Year to Date)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

βš™οΈ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

πŸ“œ Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditionsβ€”prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED β€” These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

πŸ“Š Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSI = 100 - (100 Γ· (1 + RS))
RS = Avg Gain Γ· Avg Loss (over 14 periods)
Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev Γ— 13) + current) Γ· 14
Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev Γ— 13) + current) Γ· 14
πŸ“ calculateRSI() @ lines 404-448

πŸ“Š Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick β‰₯ 2Γ— body size
2 Upper wick ≀ body size
3 Lower wick β‰₯ 60% of total range

πŸ“Š Entry Signal

πŸ“ˆ Entry Signal

RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE
β†’ BUY at next candle open

πŸ“‰ Exit Rules

β€’ TARGET: Price β‰₯ entry Γ— 1.05 (+5% gain)
β€’ STOP_LOSS: Price ≀ entry Γ— 0.90 (-10% loss)
β€’ MAX_HOLD: Hold time β‰₯ 30 days

βš™οΈ Simulation Parameters

RSI_PERIOD: 14
RSI_OVERSOLD: 30
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -10%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 30

πŸ“– Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a traderβ€”he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

πŸ† Top 10 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

πŸ“‰ Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

πŸ“Š All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

πŸ“… Year to Date: Jan 1, 2026 β†’ Feb 14, 2026 (44 days)
Rank Symbol Return YTD Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund
1 SOXL +45.91% $45,103 $65,810 14 57% - +$20,707 -36.3% 1.6d βœ“ -
2 INTC +40.04% $5,757 $8,062 12 75% - +$2,305 -58.2% 3.6d βœ“ -
3 UVXY +36.04% $10,354 $14,085 11 64% - +$3,731 -50.0% 1.6d βœ“ -
4 RIOT +35.03% $6,359 $8,587 15 60% - +$2,228 -51.3% 1.3d βœ“ -
5 SLV +32.74% $19,500 $25,885 12 58% - +$6,384 -21.6% 7.3d βœ“ -
6 SLB +25.69% $11,581 $14,556 7 71% - +$2,975 -22.2% 8.1d βœ“ -
7 GLD +23.81% $20,585 $25,486 6 83% - +$4,901 -6.1% 15.7d βœ“ -
8 OXY +23.45% $11,212 $13,841 6 83% - +$2,629 -28.6% 8.2d βœ“ -
9 CVX +23.38% $11,466 $14,147 5 80% - +$2,681 -13.5% 13.2d βœ“ -
10 MU +21.65% $35,635 $43,350 11 64% - +$7,715 -27.8% 3.5d βœ“ -
11 GILD +21.32% $12,735 $15,450 6 83% - +$2,715 -20.9% 10.3d βœ“ -
12 COP +19.76% $9,640 $11,545 8 63% - +$1,905 -20.6% 9.4d βœ“ -
13 XLE +18.51% $9,224 $10,932 5 80% - +$1,707 -24.7% 12.5d βœ“ -
14 XOM +17.80% $10,712 $12,618 4 100% - +$1,907 -18.5% 11.9d βœ“ -
15 AMGN +17.35% $9,405 $11,037 5 80% - +$1,632 -28.3% 11.3d βœ“ -
16 MRNA +16.75% $4,479 $5,229 13 54% - +$750 -73.8% 2.3d βœ“ -
17 ARM +16.61% $12,532 $14,614 9 56% - +$2,082 -31.3% 2.7d βœ“ -
18 GME +15.87% $12,500 $14,483 7 57% - +$1,984 -32.0% 2.9d βœ“ -
19 VXX +13.86% $12,604 $14,350 7 57% - +$1,747 -32.2% 2.9d βœ“ -
20 NET +13.76% $18,164 $20,663 9 56% - +$2,499 -33.4% 4.1d βœ“ -
21 CSCO +13.28% $19,049 $21,579 4 75% - +$2,530 -9.1% 15.2d βœ“ -
22 JNJ +12.45% $13,448 $15,122 5 80% - +$1,674 -13.8% 16.3d βœ“ -
23 PEP +12.38% $8,747 $9,830 5 60% - +$1,083 -23.1% 16.8d βœ“ -
24 PFE +10.99% $8,596 $9,541 3 100% - +$945 -23.5% 10.8d βœ“ -
25 USO +10.52% $11,784 $13,023 6 67% - +$1,240 -18.0% 8.8d βœ“ -
26 MRK +10.03% $7,545 $8,302 4 50% - +$757 -45.0% 9.8d βœ“ -
27 AMD +9.75% $11,288 $12,388 9 67% - +$1,101 -43.0% 3.3d βœ“ -
28 CMCSA +9.15% $7,060 $7,705 6 67% - +$646 -36.1% 11.9d βœ“ -
29 MARA +8.81% $6,092 $6,629 16 44% - +$537 -58.2% 1.3d βœ“ -
30 SCHW +8.45% $14,789 $16,039 2 100% - +$1,250 -10.8% 11.7d βœ“ -
31 COST +7.92% $14,299 $15,431 4 75% - +$1,132 -19.7% 13.0d βœ“ -
32 VZ +7.73% $11,051 $11,906 5 40% - +$854 -14.2% 14.1d βœ“ -
33 BMY +7.68% $8,915 $9,599 6 50% - +$685 -28.4% 7.9d βœ“ -
34 BIIB +7.47% $6,396 $6,874 6 67% - +$478 -46.7% 7.5d βœ“ -
35 PG +7.32% $9,175 $9,847 4 50% - +$672 -24.4% 16.2d βœ“ -
36 SQQQ +7.19% $5,320 $5,702 9 44% - +$382 -66.3% 2.8d βœ“ -
37 IBM +7.09% $16,237 $17,388 6 50% - +$1,151 -17.7% 10.0d βœ“ -
38 HD +6.88% $10,389 $11,104 2 100% - +$715 -19.9% 12.1d βœ“ -
39 WMT +6.62% $18,113 $19,312 5 60% - +$1,199 -17.6% 14.4d βœ“ -
40 KO +6.34% $13,051 $13,879 4 50% - +$827 -13.1% 18.7d βœ“ -
41 MCD +5.95% $10,770 $11,410 4 50% - +$641 -12.9% 16.0d βœ“ -
42 META +5.53% $15,815 $16,689 7 43% - +$875 -26.1% 6.9d βœ“ -
43 SNOW +5.07% $17,402 $18,284 9 44% - +$882 -43.4% 4.9d βœ“ -
44 GS +4.93% $20,642 $21,660 4 50% - +$1,018 -15.7% 9.6d βœ“ -
45 GOOGL +4.68% $19,156 $20,052 4 75% - +$896 -25.2% 7.9d βœ“ -
46 REGN +4.60% $8,276 $8,657 6 50% - +$381 -50.1% 7.6d βœ“ -
47 MDT +4.52% $13,174 $13,770 3 67% - +$595 -12.1% 13.7d βœ“ -
48 SPXU +4.04% $8,380 $8,719 5 60% - +$339 -30.0% 5.6d βœ“ -
49 C +3.52% $16,201 $16,771 5 40% - +$570 -29.6% 8.3d βœ“ -
50 PM +3.50% $14,481 $14,988 3 67% - +$507 -21.9% 12.3d βœ“ -
51 BAC +3.20% $13,184 $13,606 3 67% - +$422 -21.4% 9.5d βœ“ -
52 AAPL +3.13% $14,379 $14,829 5 40% - +$450 -21.5% 10.1d βœ“ -
53 IWM +3.07% $13,254 $13,661 4 50% - +$407 -23.6% 13.7d βœ“ -
54 XLK +2.88% $12,421 $12,779 3 67% - +$358 -25.5% 11.5d βœ“ -
55 DIA +2.27% $11,530 $11,792 2 100% - +$262 -20.7% 20.9d βœ“ -
56 XLF +2.13% $14,417 $14,724 3 67% - +$307 -11.5% 17.6d βœ“ -
57 NIO +1.72% $5,594 $5,690 9 44% - +$96 -51.1% 2.6d βœ“ -
58 BRK-B +1.70% $12,509 $12,721 4 50% - +$213 -15.7% 16.3d βœ“ -
59 QQQ +0.83% $12,976 $13,083 3 67% - +$108 -29.6% 15.7d βœ“ -
60 LLY +0.65% $13,836 $13,926 6 33% - +$90 -36.7% 6.7d βœ“ -
61 VRTX +0.59% $12,873 $12,949 4 50% - +$76 -25.6% 10.7d βœ“ -
62 VTI +0.38% $13,744 $13,797 2 50% - +$52 -16.1% 20.8d βœ“ -
63 VOO +0.30% $13,504 $13,545 2 50% - +$41 -15.4% 18.9d βœ“ -
64 SPY +0.26% $13,809 $13,845 2 50% - +$36 -12.7% 18.7d βœ“ -
65 NVDA -0.32% $16,593 $16,540 6 33% - -$53 -43.7% 3.8d βœ“ -
66 AMC -0.34% $4,331 $4,316 14 36% - -$15 -59.9% 2.4d βœ“ -
67 TLT -0.54% $7,615 $7,574 2 50% - -$41 -27.7% 20.2d βœ“ -
68 BLK -0.58% $13,625 $13,546 6 50% - -$79 -17.2% 12.3d βœ“ -
69 ABBV -1.55% $12,824 $12,625 6 50% - -$199 -17.7% 11.9d βœ“ -
70 WFC -1.72% $12,628 $12,411 4 50% - -$217 -25.5% 8.9d βœ“ -
71 PLTR -2.85% $45,266 $43,976 9 33% - -$1,290 -28.0% 2.8d βœ“ -
72 DIS -2.92% $11,744 $11,401 4 50% - -$343 -24.9% 11.6d βœ“ -
73 JPM -3.21% $18,801 $18,197 7 29% - -$603 -20.8% 10.9d βœ“ -
74 MS -3.90% $12,038 $11,568 5 40% - -$469 -29.2% 9.0d βœ“ -
75 AMZN -3.94% $15,882 $15,256 8 38% - -$626 -18.5% 8.3d βœ“ -
76 V -5.72% $12,885 $12,148 3 0% - -$737 -14.4% 14.2d βœ“ -
77 AXP -6.67% $15,243 $14,226 3 33% - -$1,017 -27.6% 10.6d βœ“ -
78 MA -7.51% $14,710 $13,606 5 20% - -$1,105 -11.3% 13.9d βœ“ -
79 TQQQ -7.84% $10,532 $9,707 6 33% - -$826 -40.9% 3.1d βœ“ -
80 ARKK -7.91% $10,437 $9,612 7 29% - -$826 -26.4% 5.4d βœ“ -
81 MSFT -8.61% $16,465 $15,048 8 25% - -$1,418 -21.2% 13.3d βœ“ -
82 ADBE -8.86% $7,734 $7,049 9 22% - -$685 -42.0% 8.2d βœ“ -
83 TMO -9.23% $10,173 $9,234 6 17% - -$939 -28.6% 11.0d βœ“ -
84 PANW -10.59% $15,125 $13,523 6 17% - -$1,602 -29.0% 7.1d βœ“ -
85 ACN -11.00% $6,204 $5,521 8 25% - -$682 -45.0% 9.3d βœ“ -
86 DKNG -12.21% $7,786 $6,835 10 30% - -$951 -50.2% 4.1d βœ“ -
87 SMCI -12.34% $2,074 $1,818 10 20% - -$256 -88.9% 1.9d βœ“ -
88 CRM -12.66% $9,257 $8,085 9 33% - -$1,172 -48.1% 7.3d βœ“ -
89 CRWD -14.18% $25,724 $22,076 6 17% - -$3,648 -24.8% 4.4d βœ“ -
90 TSLA -14.34% $14,978 $12,830 7 14% - -$2,148 -34.1% 2.9d βœ“ -
91 AVGO -14.63% $15,426 $13,169 8 13% - -$2,257 -27.0% 3.7d βœ“ -
92 ISRG -15.34% $13,623 $11,533 7 14% - -$2,090 -35.0% 8.4d βœ“ -
93 SOFI -15.37% $19,929 $16,866 9 22% - -$3,063 -35.6% 2.7d βœ“ -
94 RBLX -15.43% $15,283 $12,925 14 29% - -$2,358 -46.8% 3.9d βœ“ -
95 LCID -17.44% $17,225 $14,221 12 25% - -$3,004 -38.4% 1.9d βœ“ -
96 NFLX -17.57% $24,507 $20,201 6 17% - -$4,306 -32.4% 9.5d βœ“ -
97 UNH -18.53% $5,707 $4,649 8 38% - -$1,057 -54.0% 7.3d βœ“ -
98 COIN -19.24% $9,030 $7,293 11 18% - -$1,737 -53.5% 1.8d βœ“ -
99 HOOD -20.50% $13,645 $10,848 10 20% - -$2,797 -45.6% 2.2d βœ“ -
100 RIVN -21.66% $6,309 $4,942 13 23% - -$1,366 -51.0% 2.2d βœ“ -
101 ORCL -24.25% $15,666 $11,867 11 9% - -$3,799 -51.2% 5.2d βœ“ -
102 PYPL -24.93% $11,556 $8,675 6 17% - -$2,881 -35.9% 7.8d βœ“ -

πŸ‘€ Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.