Back to Compendium
Danny Dip
3

Danny Dip

The Optimist

🛒 Swing Trader 📅 226 years old (Born 1800)

"A 3% pullback in a bull market is just the universe giving you a second chance to buy what you missed."

Spry man of perhaps 70, but his eyes contain centuries. Wears a peculiar mix of Regency-era waistcoat over a modern hoodie, as if he can't decide which century he belongs to.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Jun 24, 2025 Jun 24, 2026 (365d)

📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Danny Dip's performance over the last year across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$11,883
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,955 (+$928)
+8.47%
Last Year ROI
42.7%
Win Rate
2,506
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

-0.5%
1 Month
+2.2%
3 Months
+3.9%
6 Months
+3.8%
YTD
+8.5%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last Year)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy 3% dips, target 5% profit

Waits for quality assets to pull back 3% from recent highs, then enters with a 5% profit target. Uses trailing stops to protect gains during extended runs.

🎯 Best Suited For

Bull markets and quality stocks

"Dips are just discounts with a deadline."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

In uptrending markets (which is most of market history), pullbacks are temporary. Institutions use them to accumulate. Danny's 3% threshold filters out normal volatility.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-danny-simulation.php

📊 Recent High (Lookback)

Recent High = MAX(Closet-n ... Closet)
Finds the highest closing price over the lookback period to measure the dip from.
Lookback Period = 20 bars
Recent High = max(array_slice(closes, -20))
Uses closing prices only (not highs)
📁 getRecentHigh() @ lines 166-171

📊 Dip Percentage Calculation

Dip % = ((Current Price - Recent High) ÷ Recent High) × 100
Measures how far the current price has fallen from the recent high. Negative values indicate a dip.
Current Price = latest closing price
Recent High = MAX of last 20 closes
Example: Price=$97, High=$100 → Dip = -3%

📊 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

Signal = Dip % ≤ -3%
When price drops 3% or more from the 20-bar high, Danny sees a buying opportunity.
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT = 3.0%
Entry triggers when: dipPct <= -DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT
Position size: 100% capital (fractional for crypto, whole shares for stocks)

📈 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 14 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

DIP_LOOKBACK: 20
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: 3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 14

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Baron Rothschild during the Napoleonic Wars

The legend says Baron Rothschild made a fortune during the panic following the Battle of Waterloo in 1815. His alleged advice: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Year: Jun 24, 2025 Jun 24, 2026 (365 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 1Y Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 INTC 67 62 +270.98% $9,843 $36,514 60 58% - +$26,671 -28.4% 2.9d -
2 AMD 49 45 +175.92% $10,567 $29,156 55 51% - +$18,589 -37.8% 2.6d -
3 MU 35 6🧊 +115.21% $8,876 $19,101 57 53% - +$10,226 -35.3% 2.8d -
4 SLV 45 1🧊 +65.69% $10,260 $17,000 36 56% - +$6,740 -14.0% 5.9d -
5 TSLA 28 8 +62.08% $8,934 $14,480 37 54% - +$5,546 -32.0% 2.3d -
6 SOXL 58 35🧊 +54.35% $24,863 $38,376 89 49% - +$13,513 -35.0% 1.2d -
7 MS 26 +51.01% $9,033 $13,641 15 67% - +$4,608 -21.4% 5.4d -
8 BIIB 22 +48.24% $8,486 $12,580 19 68% - +$4,094 -22.4% 3.7d -
9 NIO 30 1🧊 +47.83% $10,896 $16,107 59 49% - +$5,212 -28.6% 2.0d -
10 GOOGL 40 +46.05% $11,080 $16,182 13 69% - +$5,102 -12.7% 4.7d -
11 ARM 4 9 +45.24% $5,019 $7,290 63 44% - +$2,271 -64.8% 2.0d -
12 IBM 48 31 +39.75% $10,784 $15,071 20 55% - +$4,287 -6.0% 4.0d -
13 GS 28 +37.87% $10,001 $13,789 13 69% - +$3,788 -18.8% 5.7d -
14 C 19 +36.29% $9,691 $13,208 15 67% - +$3,517 -17.4% 5.5d -
15 AVGO 51 24🧊 +34.53% $18,232 $24,527 39 49% - +$6,295 -23.6% 3.3d -
16 VXX 14 1 +31.42% $8,670 $11,394 51 43% - +$2,724 -45.0% 2.1d -
17 TQQQ 23 3 +30.93% $10,347 $13,547 49 47% - +$3,200 -40.6% 1.9d -
18 AMZN 36 32 +25.47% $12,646 $15,866 14 64% - +$3,221 -17.3% 5.3d -
19 OXY 31 +24.99% $10,710 $13,387 20 60% - +$2,677 -10.3% 6.0d -
20 NVDA 4 0 +24.66% $7,396 $9,220 25 48% - +$1,824 -47.0% 3.2d -
21 NET 19 2 +23.27% $9,678 $11,930 49 45% - +$2,252 -32.2% 2.6d -
22 LLY 27 +20.62% $13,149 $15,860 14 50% - +$2,711 -15.9% 4.1d -
23 ABBV +19.48% $9,627 $11,502 7 71% - +$1,875 -16.8% 5.6d -
24 SLB 5 0 +18.20% $7,959 $9,408 17 59% - +$1,449 -22.1% 6.3d -
25 BLK 40 +16.07% $12,890 $14,961 10 50% - +$2,071 -9.1% 4.7d -
26 MRK 15 +15.93% $9,478 $10,987 9 56% - +$1,510 -17.9% 6.1d -
27 JPM 13 +15.79% $9,004 $10,426 10 70% - +$1,422 -23.6% 6.3d -
28 COP 5 +11.77% $8,879 $9,924 18 50% - +$1,045 -17.9% 6.2d -
29 GME 3 +11.29% $6,855 $7,629 16 50% - +$774 -41.9% 2.0d -
30 REGN 18 +10.63% $10,823 $11,973 12 50% - +$1,150 -23.1% 4.9d -
31 CSCO 35 +9.74% $11,352 $12,458 7 71% - +$1,106 -3.1% 10.6d -
32 QQQ +9.56% $10,655 $11,674 2 100% - +$1,019 -4.7% 7.7d -
33 AAPL 18 +8.41% $10,783 $11,690 3 67% - +$907 -10.0% 5.6d -
34 GILD 9 +7.06% $9,748 $10,436 10 40% - +$688 -12.5% 9.3d -
35 GLD 27 +6.92% $10,222 $10,929 14 57% - +$707 -6.1% 8.8d -
36 BRK-B +6.84% $11,067 $11,824 2 100% - +$757 -3.1% 5.9d -
37 MRNA 5 3 +6.55% $6,119 $6,520 68 40% - +$401 -66.5% 1.9d -
38 AMGN 9 +6.30% $9,986 $10,615 5 60% - +$629 -12.0% 6.4d -
39 WMT 34 +6.10% $12,512 $13,276 6 50% - +$763 -6.9% 6.9d -
40 MDT +5.51% $9,561 $10,088 5 60% - +$527 -8.9% 6.9d -
41 BMY 3 +5.36% $8,343 $8,790 9 56% - +$447 -20.0% 5.8d -
42 PFE 24 +4.95% $11,362 $11,925 7 57% - +$562 -6.1% 5.6d -
43 CRM 4 2 +4.03% $7,981 $8,303 27 41% - +$322 -27.5% 4.8d -
44 V +2.02% $9,790 $9,988 3 67% - +$198 -9.6% 3.2d -
45 PEP 4 +1.97% $9,477 $9,664 2 50% - +$187 -13.1% 5.9d -
46 CMCSA 3 +1.86% $8,573 $8,732 10 50% - +$159 -19.5% 5.8d -
47 SCHW 27 +1.54% $12,764 $12,961 8 50% - +$197 -13.5% 5.8d -
48 IWM +1.46% $10,390 $10,542 2 50% - +$152 -11.7% 5.3d -
49 KO +0.83% $9,987 $10,069 1 100% - +$83 -4.9% 10.1d -
50 XLF +0.38% $10,794 $10,835 2 50% - +$41 -7.7% 4.7d -
51 VOO +0.00% $11,290 $11,290 NO ENTRY - - - -4.2% 2.5d -
52 TLT +0.00% $9,688 $9,688 NO ENTRY - - - -3.7% 8.0d -
53 VTI +0.00% $11,302 $11,302 NO ENTRY - - - -4.5% 2.5d -
54 DIA +0.00% $10,226 $10,226 NO ENTRY - - - -3.2% 23.9h -
55 SPY +0.00% $11,256 $11,256 NO ENTRY - - - -4.3% 2.5d -
56 JNJ +0.00% $11,477 $11,477 NO ENTRY - - - -3.1% 9.4d -
57 MCD +0.00% $10,874 $10,874 NO ENTRY - - - -3.0% 8.8d -
58 VRTX 6 -0.28% $9,975 $9,947 5 40% - -$28 -20.8% 4.5d -
59 VZ 17 -0.87% $10,917 $10,822 4 50% - -$95 -6.7% 7.6d -
60 UNH 6 -0.95% $10,155 $10,059 14 43% - -$96 -24.8% 5.5d -
61 DIS -1.44% $9,379 $9,244 4 50% - -$135 -18.6% 5.7d -
62 PG -1.49% $11,597 $11,424 3 33% - -$173 -3.7% 8.9d -
63 HD 3 -1.58% $10,004 $9,846 9 33% - -$158 -13.9% 6.6d -
64 RIOT 5 6 -3.57% $4,526 $4,364 97 41% - -$162 -63.2% 23.1h -
65 MA 23 -4.73% $12,058 $11,488 5 40% - -$570 -6.6% 6.7d -
66 USO 15 2 -5.20% $10,799 $10,238 26 38% - -$562 -13.1% 6.0d -
67 ARKK 34 -5.27% $17,706 $16,773 24 38% - -$933 -21.5% 3.1d -
68 BAC -5.58% $12,600 $11,897 7 29% - -$703 -15.8% 6.6d -
69 CVX 4 -5.87% $8,767 $8,253 6 33% - -$515 -14.4% 8.9d -
70 AXP 9 -6.10% $11,089 $10,413 10 40% - -$676 -18.1% 7.3d -
71 WFC 9 -6.97% $11,457 $10,658 9 33% - -$799 -13.1% 5.5d -
72 PM 3 -7.80% $10,620 $9,792 10 30% - -$828 -3.7% 4.9d -
73 COIN 14 6 -8.28% $11,404 $10,460 81 37% - -$944 -46.7% 1.3d -
74 XLE 7 -8.46% $11,039 $10,105 5 20% - -$934 -4.4% 7.7d -
75 DKNG 22 6 -8.56% $14,681 $13,425 42 36% - -$1,257 -45.9% 2.7d -
76 XLK 3 -9.24% $9,394 $8,526 5 20% - -$868 -12.2% 4.7d -
77 COST 3 -9.30% $9,883 $8,964 5 20% - -$919 -9.0% 8.2d -
78 XOM 2 -9.46% $9,388 $8,500 5 20% - -$888 -7.4% 8.0d -
79 TMO 2 -9.84% $9,231 $8,323 7 14% - -$908 -21.7% 5.2d -
80 MSFT 14 -10.76% $12,064 $10,766 7 29% - -$1,298 -14.5% 6.5d -
81 SNOW 2 2 -12.44% $7,868 $6,890 42 36% - -$979 -40.8% 3.4d -
82 SMCI 4 7 -12.78% $5,888 $5,135 72 39% - -$752 -80.5% 1.4d -
83 ISRG 3 -13.59% $10,337 $8,932 10 20% - -$1,405 -20.7% 5.1d -
84 META 4 -16.86% $8,933 $7,427 14 29% - -$1,506 -28.8% 4.2d -
85 PYPL 3 -17.44% $7,502 $6,194 19 37% - -$1,308 -32.8% 5.5d -
86 PLTR 63 3🧊 -17.71% $48,253 $39,708 47 34% - -$8,546 -34.2% 2.1d -
87 MARA 11 14 -18.24% $12,778 $10,447 102 37% - -$2,331 -46.1% 1.0d -
88 SQQQ 6 36🔥 -19.87% $12,589 $10,087 50 30% - -$2,501 -33.6% 2.3d -
89 ORCL 4 3 -20.06% $9,288 $7,425 49 37% - -$1,863 -29.3% 3.3d -
90 RBLX 28 3🧊 -20.11% $18,115 $14,472 53 34% - -$3,643 -32.4% 3.5d -
91 NFLX 16 0 -21.24% $14,472 $11,399 16 19% - -$3,074 -15.4% 6.9d -
92 SPXU 4 29🔥 -21.26% $9,948 $7,833 26 31% - -$2,115 -27.6% 4.2d -
93 PANW 4 0 -25.14% $10,956 $8,202 20 30% - -$2,754 -27.2% 4.1d -
94 ACN 3 1 -27.19% $10,927 $7,956 23 30% - -$2,971 -14.7% 7.7d -
95 CRWD 5 1 -27.48% $11,851 $8,594 33 30% - -$3,257 -28.2% 3.4d -
96 LCID 4 3 -27.60% $5,239 $3,793 74 32% - -$1,446 -57.4% 1.7d -
97 UVXY 5 6 -30.86% $10,950 $7,570 85 35% - -$3,379 -61.4% 1.4d -
98 HOOD 30 48 -32.02% $26,928 $18,306 68 35% - -$8,622 -37.6% 1.7d -
99 RIVN 3 1 -32.94% $5,349 $3,587 57 33% - -$1,762 -55.2% 1.8d -
100 ADBE 3 1 -33.61% $8,205 $5,448 23 22% - -$2,758 -34.6% 4.7d -
101 SOFI 5 36🔥 -37.55% $12,373 $7,727 63 35% - -$4,646 -30.6% 2.3d -
102 AMC 3 16 -47.45% $7,692 $4,042 66 32% - -$3,650 -52.2% 1.7d -

👤 Personality

Eternally bullish, impossibly optimistic. Has seen Napoleon's wars, the Long Depression, the Great Depression, 1987, 2000, 2008, and 2020—and made money in each recovery.