Back to Compendium
Danny Dip
3

Danny Dip

The Optimist

🛒 Swing Trader 📅 226 years old (Born 1800)

"A 3% pullback in a bull market is just the universe giving you a second chance to buy what you missed."

Spry man of perhaps 70, but his eyes contain centuries. Wears a peculiar mix of Regency-era waistcoat over a modern hoodie, as if he can't decide which century he belongs to.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Jun 21, 2025 Jun 21, 2026 (365d)

📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Danny Dip's performance over the last year across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$11,996
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,919 (+$1,077)
+9.87%
Last Year ROI
42.9%
Win Rate
2,475
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+0.8%
1 Month
+3.5%
3 Months
+4.9%
6 Months
+4.9%
YTD
+9.9%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last Year)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy 3% dips, target 5% profit

Waits for quality assets to pull back 3% from recent highs, then enters with a 5% profit target. Uses trailing stops to protect gains during extended runs.

🎯 Best Suited For

Bull markets and quality stocks

"Dips are just discounts with a deadline."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

In uptrending markets (which is most of market history), pullbacks are temporary. Institutions use them to accumulate. Danny's 3% threshold filters out normal volatility.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-danny-simulation.php

📊 Recent High (Lookback)

Recent High = MAX(Closet-n ... Closet)
Finds the highest closing price over the lookback period to measure the dip from.
Lookback Period = 20 bars
Recent High = max(array_slice(closes, -20))
Uses closing prices only (not highs)
📁 getRecentHigh() @ lines 166-171

📊 Dip Percentage Calculation

Dip % = ((Current Price - Recent High) ÷ Recent High) × 100
Measures how far the current price has fallen from the recent high. Negative values indicate a dip.
Current Price = latest closing price
Recent High = MAX of last 20 closes
Example: Price=$97, High=$100 → Dip = -3%

📊 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

Signal = Dip % ≤ -3%
When price drops 3% or more from the 20-bar high, Danny sees a buying opportunity.
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT = 3.0%
Entry triggers when: dipPct <= -DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT
Position size: 100% capital (fractional for crypto, whole shares for stocks)

📈 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 14 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

DIP_LOOKBACK: 20
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: 3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 14

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Baron Rothschild during the Napoleonic Wars

The legend says Baron Rothschild made a fortune during the panic following the Battle of Waterloo in 1815. His alleged advice: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Year: Jun 21, 2025 Jun 21, 2026 (365 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 1Y Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 INTC 64 61 +271.34% $9,341 $34,685 59 58% - +$25,345 -28.4% 2.9d -
2 AMD 46 48 +173.41% $10,058 $27,500 54 50% - +$17,442 -37.8% 2.6d -
3 MU 36 13🧊 +122.45% $8,876 $19,744 56 54% - +$10,868 -35.3% 2.8d -
4 SOXL 67 72 +102.38% $23,632 $47,827 89 51% - +$24,195 -35.0% 1.2d -
5 SLV 45 1🧊 +74.92% $10,260 $17,948 35 57% - +$7,687 -14.0% 5.9d -
6 TSLA 26 1🧊 +63.13% $8,434 $13,759 37 54% - +$5,325 -32.0% 2.3d -
7 ARM 4 13 +55.18% $5,019 $7,789 61 46% - +$2,770 -64.8% 2.0d -
8 MS 26 +51.01% $9,033 $13,641 15 67% - +$4,608 -21.4% 5.4d -
9 TQQQ 26 2🧊 +50.42% $9,843 $14,806 48 48% - +$4,963 -40.6% 1.9d -
10 BIIB 23 +48.24% $8,486 $12,580 19 68% - +$4,094 -22.4% 3.7d -
11 NIO 30 1🧊 +47.83% $10,896 $16,107 59 49% - +$5,212 -28.6% 2.0d -
12 GOOGL 41 +45.87% $11,433 $16,677 13 69% - +$5,244 -12.7% 4.7d -
13 AVGO 55 36 +41.71% $18,231 $25,835 38 50% - +$7,604 -23.6% 3.3d -
14 GS 28 +37.87% $10,001 $13,789 13 69% - +$3,788 -18.8% 5.7d -
15 C 20 +36.29% $9,691 $13,208 15 67% - +$3,517 -17.4% 5.5d -
16 IBM 42 15🧊 +32.81% $10,784 $14,322 19 53% - +$3,538 -6.0% 4.0d -
17 VXX 16 0 +27.70% $9,246 $11,807 50 44% - +$2,561 -45.0% 2.1d -
18 NET 20 1 +27.26% $9,678 $12,316 48 46% - +$2,638 -32.2% 2.6d -
19 AMZN 36 32 +25.47% $12,646 $15,866 14 64% - +$3,221 -17.3% 5.3d -
20 NVDA 4 0 +24.66% $7,396 $9,220 25 48% - +$1,824 -47.0% 3.2d -
21 OXY 32 +21.16% $11,049 $13,387 21 57% - +$2,338 -10.3% 6.0d -
22 LLY 28 +20.62% $13,149 $15,860 14 50% - +$2,711 -15.9% 4.1d -
23 ABBV +19.48% $9,627 $11,502 7 71% - +$1,875 -16.8% 5.6d -
24 SLB 5 0 +18.20% $7,959 $9,408 17 59% - +$1,449 -22.1% 6.3d -
25 BLK 41 +16.07% $12,890 $14,961 10 50% - +$2,071 -9.1% 4.7d -
26 MRK 15 +15.93% $9,478 $10,987 9 56% - +$1,510 -17.9% 6.1d -
27 JPM 13 +15.79% $9,004 $10,426 10 70% - +$1,422 -23.6% 6.3d -
28 GLD 27 +13.79% $10,222 $11,631 13 62% - +$1,410 -6.1% 8.8d -
29 GME 3 +11.29% $6,855 $7,629 16 50% - +$774 -41.9% 2.0d -
30 REGN 18 +10.63% $10,823 $11,973 12 50% - +$1,150 -23.1% 4.9d -
31 MRNA 5 2 +10.28% $6,119 $6,748 67 40% - +$629 -66.5% 1.9d -
32 CSCO 35 +9.74% $11,352 $12,458 7 71% - +$1,106 -3.1% 10.6d -
33 QQQ +9.56% $10,655 $11,674 2 100% - +$1,019 -4.7% 7.7d -
34 PFE 24 +8.43% $11,363 $12,321 6 67% - +$958 -6.1% 5.6d -
35 AAPL 19 +8.41% $10,783 $11,690 3 67% - +$907 -10.0% 5.6d -
36 COP 5 +7.64% $9,220 $9,924 18 50% - +$704 -17.9% 6.2d -
37 CRM 3 9 +7.30% $7,981 $8,564 26 42% - +$583 -27.5% 4.8d -
38 GILD 9 +7.06% $9,748 $10,436 10 40% - +$688 -12.5% 9.3d -
39 BRK-B +6.84% $11,067 $11,824 2 100% - +$757 -3.1% 5.9d -
40 AMGN 10 +6.30% $9,986 $10,615 5 60% - +$629 -12.0% 6.4d -
41 WMT 34 +6.10% $12,512 $13,276 6 50% - +$763 -6.9% 6.9d -
42 MDT +5.51% $9,561 $10,088 5 60% - +$527 -8.9% 6.9d -
43 V +2.02% $9,790 $9,988 3 67% - +$198 -9.6% 3.2d -
44 PEP 4 +1.97% $9,477 $9,664 2 50% - +$187 -13.1% 5.9d -
45 CMCSA 3 +1.86% $8,573 $8,732 10 50% - +$159 -19.5% 5.8d -
46 SCHW 27 +1.54% $12,764 $12,961 8 50% - +$197 -13.5% 5.8d -
47 IWM +1.46% $10,390 $10,542 2 50% - +$152 -11.7% 5.3d -
48 KO +0.83% $9,987 $10,069 1 100% - +$83 -4.9% 10.1d -
49 XLF +0.38% $10,794 $10,835 2 50% - +$41 -7.7% 4.7d -
50 BMY 3 +0.07% $8,342 $8,348 8 50% - +$6 -20.0% 5.8d -
51 SPY +0.00% $11,256 $11,256 NO ENTRY - - - -4.3% 2.5d -
52 TLT +0.00% $9,688 $9,688 NO ENTRY - - - -3.7% 8.0d -
53 VOO +0.00% $11,290 $11,290 NO ENTRY - - - -4.2% 2.5d -
54 VTI +0.00% $11,302 $11,302 NO ENTRY - - - -4.5% 2.5d -
55 DIA +0.00% $10,226 $10,226 NO ENTRY - - - -3.2% 23.9h -
56 JNJ +0.00% $11,477 $11,477 NO ENTRY - - - -3.1% 9.4d -
57 MCD +0.00% $10,874 $10,874 NO ENTRY - - - -3.0% 8.8d -
58 VRTX 6 -0.28% $9,975 $9,947 5 40% - -$28 -20.8% 4.5d -
59 VZ 17 -0.87% $10,917 $10,822 4 50% - -$95 -6.7% 7.6d -
60 UNH 6 -0.95% $10,155 $10,059 14 43% - -$96 -24.8% 5.5d -
61 DIS -1.44% $9,379 $9,244 4 50% - -$135 -18.6% 5.7d -
62 AXP 9 -1.45% $10,566 $10,413 10 40% - -$153 -18.1% 7.3d -
63 PG -1.49% $11,597 $11,424 3 33% - -$173 -3.7% 8.9d -
64 HD 3 -1.58% $10,004 $9,846 9 33% - -$158 -13.9% 6.6d -
65 RIOT 5 8 -2.24% $4,813 $4,705 96 42% - -$108 -63.2% 23.1h -
66 USO 15 2 -3.41% $11,145 $10,765 26 38% - -$380 -13.1% 6.0d -
67 COIN 14 6 -3.51% $11,221 $10,827 80 38% - -$394 -46.7% 1.3d -
68 MA 24 -4.73% $12,058 $11,488 5 40% - -$570 -6.6% 6.7d -
69 ARKK 35 -5.27% $17,706 $16,773 24 38% - -$933 -21.5% 3.1d -
70 BAC -5.58% $12,600 $11,897 7 29% - -$703 -15.8% 6.6d -
71 CVX 4 -5.87% $8,767 $8,253 6 33% - -$515 -14.4% 8.9d -
72 WFC 10 -6.97% $11,457 $10,658 9 33% - -$799 -13.1% 5.5d -
73 PM 3 -7.80% $10,620 $9,792 10 30% - -$828 -3.7% 4.9d -
74 XLE 7 -8.46% $11,039 $10,105 5 20% - -$934 -4.4% 7.7d -
75 DKNG 22 6 -8.56% $14,681 $13,425 42 36% - -$1,257 -45.9% 2.7d -
76 SNOW 2 1 -9.18% $7,869 $7,146 41 37% - -$722 -40.8% 3.4d -
77 XLK 3 -9.24% $9,394 $8,526 5 20% - -$868 -12.2% 4.7d -
78 COST 3 -9.30% $9,883 $8,964 5 20% - -$919 -9.0% 8.2d -
79 XOM 2 -9.46% $9,388 $8,500 5 20% - -$888 -7.4% 8.0d -
80 TMO 2 -9.84% $9,231 $8,323 7 14% - -$908 -21.7% 5.2d -
81 MSFT 14 -10.76% $12,064 $10,766 7 29% - -$1,298 -14.5% 6.5d -
82 MARA 13 26 -10.79% $12,092 $10,787 101 38% - -$1,305 -46.1% 1.0d -
83 ISRG 3 -13.59% $10,337 $8,932 10 20% - -$1,405 -20.7% 5.1d -
84 META 4 -14.00% $8,934 $7,683 13 31% - -$1,251 -28.8% 4.2d -
85 PLTR 64 2🧊 -15.08% $48,255 $40,978 46 35% - -$7,277 -34.2% 2.1d -
86 PYPL 3 -17.44% $7,502 $6,194 19 37% - -$1,308 -32.8% 5.5d -
87 ORCL 4 2 -17.59% $9,288 $7,654 48 38% - -$1,634 -29.3% 3.3d -
88 RBLX 29 10 -17.65% $18,116 $14,919 52 35% - -$3,198 -32.4% 3.5d -
89 NFLX 18 -18.68% $14,472 $11,768 15 20% - -$2,703 -15.4% 6.9d -
90 SMCI 4 7 -21.12% $6,198 $4,889 72 38% - -$1,309 -80.5% 1.4d -
91 ACN 3 0 -21.17% $10,414 $8,209 22 32% - -$2,205 -14.7% 7.7d -
92 SPXU 4 29🔥 -21.26% $9,948 $7,833 26 31% - -$2,115 -27.6% 4.2d -
93 CRWD 5 1 -23.82% $11,282 $8,594 34 32% - -$2,687 -28.2% 3.4d -
94 PANW 4 0 -25.14% $10,956 $8,202 20 30% - -$2,754 -27.2% 4.1d -
95 LCID 4 3 -27.60% $5,239 $3,793 74 32% - -$1,446 -57.4% 1.7d -
96 RIVN 3 0 -30.48% $5,349 $3,719 56 34% - -$1,631 -55.2% 1.8d -
97 SQQQ 4 5 -31.00% $12,998 $8,969 49 29% - -$4,029 -33.6% 2.3d -
98 SOFI 5 43🔥 -31.68% $11,705 $7,997 62 35% - -$3,708 -30.6% 2.3d -
99 HOOD 28 34 -32.63% $25,644 $17,276 67 34% - -$8,368 -37.6% 1.7d -
100 AMC 3 77🔥 -32.98% $7,692 $5,155 64 31% - -$2,537 -52.2% 1.7d -
101 ADBE 3 1 -33.61% $8,205 $5,448 23 22% - -$2,758 -34.6% 4.7d -
102 UVXY 5 15 -34.17% $11,962 $7,875 84 36% - -$4,087 -61.4% 1.4d -

👤 Personality

Eternally bullish, impossibly optimistic. Has seen Napoleon's wars, the Long Depression, the Great Depression, 1987, 2000, 2008, and 2020—and made money in each recovery.