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Danny Dip
3

Danny Dip

The Optimist

🛒 Swing Trader 📅 226 years old (Born 1800)

"A 3% pullback in a bull market is just the universe giving you a second chance to buy what you missed."

Spry man of perhaps 70, but his eyes contain centuries. Wears a peculiar mix of Regency-era waistcoat over a modern hoodie, as if he can't decide which century he belongs to.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

May 6, 2025 May 6, 2026 (365d)

📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Danny Dip's performance over the last year across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$11,776
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,707 (+$1,069)
+9.98%
Last Year ROI
43.5%
Win Rate
2,309
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+1.2%
1 Month
+2.8%
3 Months
+2.3%
6 Months
+3.4%
YTD
+10.0%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last Year)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy 3% dips, target 5% profit

Waits for quality assets to pull back 3% from recent highs, then enters with a 5% profit target. Uses trailing stops to protect gains during extended runs.

🎯 Best Suited For

Bull markets and quality stocks

"Dips are just discounts with a deadline."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

In uptrending markets (which is most of market history), pullbacks are temporary. Institutions use them to accumulate. Danny's 3% threshold filters out normal volatility.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-danny-simulation.php

📊 Recent High (Lookback)

Recent High = MAX(Closet-n ... Closet)
Finds the highest closing price over the lookback period to measure the dip from.
Lookback Period = 20 bars
Recent High = max(array_slice(closes, -20))
Uses closing prices only (not highs)
📁 getRecentHigh() @ lines 166-171

📊 Dip Percentage Calculation

Dip % = ((Current Price - Recent High) ÷ Recent High) × 100
Measures how far the current price has fallen from the recent high. Negative values indicate a dip.
Current Price = latest closing price
Recent High = MAX of last 20 closes
Example: Price=$97, High=$100 → Dip = -3%

📊 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

Signal = Dip % ≤ -3%
When price drops 3% or more from the 20-bar high, Danny sees a buying opportunity.
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT = 3.0%
Entry triggers when: dipPct <= -DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT
Position size: 100% capital (fractional for crypto, whole shares for stocks)

📈 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 14 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

DIP_LOOKBACK: 20
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: 3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 14

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Baron Rothschild during the Napoleonic Wars

The legend says Baron Rothschild made a fortune during the panic following the Battle of Waterloo in 1815. His alleged advice: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Year: May 6, 2025 May 6, 2026 (365 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 1Y Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 INTC 53 65 +184.23% $9,789 $27,822 49 57% - +$18,034 -28.4% 2.9d -
2 MU 33 70🔥 +111.97% $8,340 $17,679 45 56% - +$9,339 -35.3% 2.8d -
3 AMD 32 +107.64% $8,878 $18,434 46 50% - +$9,556 -37.8% 2.6d -
4 SLV 57 57 +105.80% $10,260 $21,116 30 63% - +$10,856 -14.0% 5.9d -
5 TQQQ 30 54🔥 +104.62% $8,218 $16,815 47 55% - +$8,598 -40.6% 1.9d -
6 SOXL 56 44 +102.61% $17,794 $36,053 79 51% - +$18,259 -35.0% 1.2d -
7 TSLA 27 0🧊 +77.36% $7,881 $13,978 36 58% - +$6,097 -32.0% 2.3d -
8 NIO 32 16 +65.46% $9,995 $16,537 57 51% - +$6,542 -28.6% 2.0d -
9 BIIB 21 +45.39% $8,486 $12,338 17 71% - +$3,852 -22.4% 3.7d -
10 GOOGL 36 +44.89% $11,863 $17,189 13 69% - +$5,326 -12.7% 4.7d -
11 MS 22 +43.82% $9,033 $12,991 14 64% - +$3,958 -21.4% 5.4d -
12 NET 22 69🔥 +40.71% $8,988 $12,647 42 48% - +$3,659 -32.2% 2.6d -
13 NVDA 4 +40.69% $6,531 $9,188 22 55% - +$2,657 -47.0% 3.2d -
14 C 24 +36.29% $9,691 $13,208 15 67% - +$3,517 -17.4% 5.5d -
15 MRNA 6 34🔥 +33.15% $5,514 $7,342 65 43% - +$1,828 -66.5% 1.9d -
16 SLB 13 +29.98% $8,205 $10,665 14 71% - +$2,460 -22.1% 6.3d -
17 ARM 4 23 +27.72% $5,576 $7,121 49 43% - +$1,546 -64.8% 2.0d -
18 OXY 31 0🧊 +24.56% $10,829 $13,488 19 58% - +$2,660 -10.3% 6.0d -
19 VXX 15 0 +23.59% $9,575 $11,833 54 43% - +$2,259 -45.0% 2.1d -
20 USO 24 6 +22.31% $10,109 $12,364 20 50% - +$2,255 -13.1% 6.0d -
21 AMZN 32 +18.52% $12,449 $14,754 12 67% - +$2,306 -17.3% 5.3d -
22 GS 18 +18.15% $10,001 $11,816 10 60% - +$1,815 -18.8% 5.7d -
23 COP 8 +17.40% $8,664 $10,171 17 59% - +$1,507 -17.9% 6.2d -
24 ARKK 40 +17.33% $15,698 $18,419 24 50% - +$2,720 -21.5% 3.1d -
25 AVGO 45 +17.03% $18,805 $22,007 33 45% - +$3,202 -23.6% 3.3d -
26 ORCL 13 26 +15.53% $9,288 $10,730 41 44% - +$1,442 -29.3% 3.3d -
27 PFE 30 +14.11% $10,797 $12,321 7 71% - +$1,524 -6.1% 5.6d -
28 BLK 36 +13.90% $12,890 $14,682 8 50% - +$1,792 -9.1% 4.7d -
29 IBM 27 +13.53% $10,784 $12,243 12 50% - +$1,459 -6.0% 4.0d -
30 GLD 18 +13.53% $9,704 $11,017 13 62% - +$1,313 -6.1% 8.8d -
31 ABBV 15 +12.07% $10,263 $11,502 9 56% - +$1,239 -16.8% 5.6d -
32 LLY 33 +11.98% $14,163 $15,860 17 41% - +$1,697 -15.9% 4.1d -
33 DIS 2 +11.56% $8,286 $9,244 5 60% - +$958 -18.6% 5.7d -
34 GME 3 +10.76% $7,333 $8,122 21 48% - +$789 -41.9% 2.0d -
35 JPM 5 +10.19% $9,004 $9,921 9 67% - +$917 -23.6% 6.3d -
36 WMT 28 +9.36% $11,896 $13,010 5 60% - +$1,113 -6.9% 6.9d -
37 CRM 4 19 +7.52% $8,303 $8,928 20 45% - +$624 -27.5% 4.8d -
38 BRK-B +7.23% $11,027 $11,824 3 100% - +$797 -3.1% 5.9d -
39 GILD 7 +7.17% $9,553 $10,238 10 40% - +$685 -12.5% 9.3d -
40 MRK 13 +6.88% $10,096 $10,791 9 44% - +$695 -17.9% 6.1d -
41 CMCSA 4 17 +5.15% $8,573 $9,014 9 56% - +$441 -19.5% 5.8d -
42 AMGN 12 +4.36% $10,172 $10,615 7 57% - +$443 -12.0% 6.4d -
43 QQQ +4.36% $10,655 $11,120 1 100% - +$465 -4.7% 7.7d -
44 REGN 17 +4.08% $10,957 $11,404 14 43% - +$447 -23.1% 4.9d -
45 SCHW 24 30 +3.93% $12,156 $12,634 8 50% - +$478 -13.5% 5.8d -
46 AAPL 21 +3.86% $11,615 $12,063 4 50% - +$448 -10.0% 5.6d -
47 CSCO 26 +2.57% $11,351 $11,643 4 75% - +$292 -3.1% 10.6d -
48 MDT 5 +2.28% $9,863 $10,088 6 50% - +$225 -8.9% 6.9d -
49 JNJ +2.27% $11,222 $11,477 1 100% - +$255 -3.1% 9.4d -
50 IWM 10 +1.46% $10,390 $10,542 2 50% - +$152 -11.7% 5.3d -
51 KO +0.83% $9,987 $10,069 1 100% - +$83 -4.9% 10.1d -
52 CVX 7 +0.55% $8,753 $8,801 5 60% - +$48 -14.4% 8.9d -
53 XLF +0.38% $10,794 $10,835 2 50% - +$41 -7.7% 4.7d -
54 RIOT 5 9 +0.04% $4,687 $4,688 96 42% - +$2 -63.2% 23.1h -
55 DIA +0.00% $10,226 $10,226 NO ENTRY - - - -3.2% 23.9h -
56 VTI +0.00% $11,302 $11,302 NO ENTRY - - - -4.5% 2.5d -
57 TLT +0.00% $9,688 $9,688 NO ENTRY - - - -3.7% 8.0d -
58 SPY +0.00% $11,256 $11,256 NO ENTRY - - - -4.3% 2.5d -
59 VOO +0.00% $11,290 $11,290 NO ENTRY - - - -4.2% 2.5d -
60 MCD +0.00% $10,874 $10,874 NO ENTRY - - - -3.0% 8.8d -
61 PM 6 -0.24% $10,116 $10,092 10 40% - -$24 -3.7% 4.9d -
62 V -1.00% $10,089 $9,988 4 50% - -$101 -9.6% 3.2d -
63 AXP 11 -1.45% $10,566 $10,413 10 40% - -$153 -18.1% 7.3d -
64 BMY 2 -1.71% $8,647 $8,499 8 38% - -$148 -20.0% 5.8d -
65 XLE 16 -2.32% $11,039 $10,783 3 33% - -$256 -4.4% 7.7d -
66 PEP -2.98% $9,477 $9,195 1 0% - -$282 -13.1% 5.9d -
67 XLK 3 -3.01% $9,394 $9,111 3 33% - -$283 -12.2% 4.7d -
68 VRTX 4 -3.45% $9,813 $9,475 6 33% - -$339 -20.8% 4.5d -
69 PLTR 69 33🧊 -5.06% $48,418 $45,968 45 38% - -$2,450 -34.2% 2.1d -
70 VZ 11 -5.58% $10,917 $10,308 3 33% - -$609 -6.7% 7.6d -
71 BAC 18 -5.58% $12,600 $11,897 7 29% - -$703 -15.8% 6.6d -
72 COST -5.96% $10,159 $9,554 4 25% - -$606 -9.0% 8.2d -
73 XOM 2 -6.48% $9,388 $8,780 4 25% - -$608 -7.4% 8.0d -
74 UNH 4 -6.72% $10,199 $9,513 18 39% - -$685 -24.8% 5.5d -
75 PG -6.89% $11,683 $10,878 3 0% - -$805 -3.7% 8.9d -
76 CRWD 5 0 -7.64% $9,945 $9,185 33 36% - -$760 -28.2% 3.4d -
77 META 4 -7.68% $8,934 $8,248 11 36% - -$686 -28.8% 4.2d -
78 MSFT 18 -7.84% $12,063 $11,118 6 33% - -$946 -14.5% 6.5d -
79 HD 2 -8.15% $10,004 $9,189 6 17% - -$815 -13.9% 6.6d -
80 ISRG 3 -8.15% $9,832 $9,031 8 25% - -$801 -20.7% 5.1d -
81 MA 20 -8.28% $12,445 $11,414 4 25% - -$1,030 -6.6% 6.7d -
82 NFLX 21 -8.79% $13,778 $12,567 14 29% - -$1,211 -15.4% 6.9d -
83 RBLX 29 22 -9.47% $16,372 $14,821 46 37% - -$1,550 -32.4% 3.5d -
84 WFC 12 -9.86% $11,824 $10,658 10 30% - -$1,166 -13.1% 5.5d -
85 TMO 2 -11.25% $9,666 $8,579 7 14% - -$1,087 -21.7% 5.2d -
86 SNOW 3 40🔥 -12.44% $7,868 $6,889 34 35% - -$979 -40.8% 3.4d -
87 MARA 4 13 -15.73% $10,630 $8,958 100 37% - -$1,672 -46.1% 1.0d -
88 COIN 14 38🔥 -16.30% $12,933 $10,825 74 35% - -$2,108 -46.7% 1.3d -
89 PYPL 3 -16.46% $7,906 $6,605 18 39% - -$1,301 -32.8% 5.5d -
90 HOOD 27 3🧊 -17.40% $20,165 $16,657 66 38% - -$3,509 -37.6% 1.7d -
91 DKNG 17 -18.21% $14,598 $11,939 37 32% - -$2,658 -45.9% 2.7d -
92 ACN 3 0 -19.10% $10,210 $8,260 18 33% - -$1,950 -14.7% 7.7d -
93 LCID 4 9 -19.19% $5,291 $4,276 71 34% - -$1,015 -57.4% 1.7d -
94 PANW 4 25🔥 -19.37% $10,440 $8,418 18 33% - -$2,022 -27.2% 4.1d -
95 SQQQ 6 2 -24.47% $13,339 $10,075 46 30% - -$3,264 -33.6% 2.3d -
96 UVXY 5 6 -25.25% $11,030 $8,245 87 38% - -$2,785 -61.4% 1.4d -
97 RIVN 3 1 -25.89% $5,221 $3,869 57 35% - -$1,352 -55.2% 1.8d -
98 SPXU 4 0 -28.46% $10,557 $7,553 26 31% - -$3,005 -27.6% 4.2d -
99 ADBE 3 -29.64% $8,783 $6,180 19 21% - -$2,603 -34.6% 4.7d -
100 SMCI 4 5 -31.12% $6,112 $4,210 68 37% - -$1,902 -80.5% 1.4d -
101 SOFI 4 1 -32.88% $11,062 $7,425 59 36% - -$3,637 -30.6% 2.3d -
102 AMC 3 9 -47.16% $8,239 $4,353 59 27% - -$3,885 -52.2% 1.7d -

👤 Personality

Eternally bullish, impossibly optimistic. Has seen Napoleon's wars, the Long Depression, the Great Depression, 1987, 2000, 2008, and 2020—and made money in each recovery.