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Danny Dip
3

Danny Dip

The Optimist

🛒 Swing Trader 📅 226 years old (Born 1800)

"A 3% pullback in a bull market is just the universe giving you a second chance to buy what you missed."

Spry man of perhaps 70, but his eyes contain centuries. Wears a peculiar mix of Regency-era waistcoat over a modern hoodie, as if he can't decide which century he belongs to.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Mar 15, 2026 Jun 15, 2026 (92d)

📊 Last 3 Months Performance: Showing Danny Dip's performance over the last 3 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$11,728
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $11,327 (+$401)
+3.54%
Last 3 Months ROI
38.2%
Win Rate
789
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+0.8%
1 Month
+3.5%
3 Months
+4.6%
6 Months
+4.8%
YTD
+10.0%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last 3 Months)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy 3% dips, target 5% profit

Waits for quality assets to pull back 3% from recent highs, then enters with a 5% profit target. Uses trailing stops to protect gains during extended runs.

🎯 Best Suited For

Bull markets and quality stocks

"Dips are just discounts with a deadline."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

In uptrending markets (which is most of market history), pullbacks are temporary. Institutions use them to accumulate. Danny's 3% threshold filters out normal volatility.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-danny-simulation.php

📊 Recent High (Lookback)

Recent High = MAX(Closet-n ... Closet)
Finds the highest closing price over the lookback period to measure the dip from.
Lookback Period = 20 bars
Recent High = max(array_slice(closes, -20))
Uses closing prices only (not highs)
📁 getRecentHigh() @ lines 166-171

📊 Dip Percentage Calculation

Dip % = ((Current Price - Recent High) ÷ Recent High) × 100
Measures how far the current price has fallen from the recent high. Negative values indicate a dip.
Current Price = latest closing price
Recent High = MAX of last 20 closes
Example: Price=$97, High=$100 → Dip = -3%

📊 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

Signal = Dip % ≤ -3%
When price drops 3% or more from the 20-bar high, Danny sees a buying opportunity.
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT = 3.0%
Entry triggers when: dipPct <= -DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT
Position size: 100% capital (fractional for crypto, whole shares for stocks)

📈 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 14 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

DIP_LOOKBACK: 20
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: 3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 14

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Baron Rothschild during the Napoleonic Wars

The legend says Baron Rothschild made a fortune during the panic following the Battle of Waterloo in 1815. His alleged advice: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 3 Months: Mar 15, 2026 Jun 15, 2026 (92 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 3M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 INTC 61 55 +97.82% $16,570 $32,779 23 61% - +$16,209 -28.4% 2.9d -
2 MU 36 14🧊 +67.93% $11,538 $19,376 23 61% - +$7,838 -35.3% 2.8d -
3 AMD 48 65 +59.44% $17,795 $28,373 17 59% - +$10,578 -37.8% 2.6d -
4 SOXL 61 38🧊 +48.41% $31,223 $46,338 34 56% - +$15,115 -35.0% 1.2d -
5 GS 25 +38.70% $9,942 $13,789 6 100% - +$3,847 -18.8% 5.7d -
6 ARM 4 7 +38.53% $5,291 $7,330 27 48% - +$2,039 -64.8% 2.0d -
7 SMCI 4 21 +38.14% $3,651 $5,043 24 50% - +$1,392 -80.5% 1.4d -
8 MS 18 +28.31% $10,632 $13,641 4 100% - +$3,010 -21.4% 5.4d -
9 MARA 15 39🔥 +22.26% $9,096 $11,121 28 46% - +$2,025 -46.1% 1.0d -
10 AMZN 32 +21.74% $13,033 $15,866 6 83% - +$2,833 -17.3% 5.3d -
11 NET 21 2 +20.60% $10,212 $12,316 17 53% - +$2,104 -32.2% 2.6d -
12 SNOW 2 1 +17.67% $6,431 $7,567 17 47% - +$1,136 -40.8% 3.4d -
13 IBM 46 64 +15.05% $12,449 $14,322 10 50% - +$1,874 -6.0% 4.0d -
14 TQQQ 25 1🧊 +13.55% $13,602 $15,445 12 42% - +$1,843 -40.6% 1.9d -
15 AVGO 50 17🧊 +13.20% $21,323 $24,138 10 50% - +$2,815 -23.6% 3.3d -
16 UNH 6 +11.85% $8,993 $10,059 3 100% - +$1,066 -24.8% 5.5d -
17 SLV 47 0🧊 +11.14% $16,664 $18,521 12 50% - +$1,856 -14.0% 5.9d -
18 C 20 +10.39% $11,965 $13,208 2 100% - +$1,243 -17.4% 5.5d -
19 SCHW 28 +10.17% $11,765 $12,961 4 75% - +$1,196 -13.5% 5.8d -
20 COIN 16 6 +9.42% $10,202 $11,163 25 44% - +$961 -46.7% 1.3d -
21 RBLX 25 1🧊 +8.05% $13,096 $14,151 17 41% - +$1,054 -32.4% 3.5d -
22 MRK 17 +6.90% $10,604 $11,336 3 67% - +$732 -17.9% 6.1d -
23 AXP 9 +6.90% $9,741 $10,413 2 50% - +$672 -18.1% 7.3d -
24 CSCO 36 +6.78% $11,667 $12,458 5 60% - +$791 -3.1% 10.6d -
25 GLD 20 +6.19% $10,953 $11,631 6 67% - +$678 -6.1% 8.8d -
26 DKNG 23 17 +5.11% $13,206 $13,881 13 38% - +$675 -45.9% 2.7d -
27 JPM 13 +5.08% $9,922 $10,426 1 100% - +$504 -23.6% 6.3d -
28 V +5.04% $9,509 $9,988 1 100% - +$479 -9.6% 3.2d -
29 PG +5.02% $10,878 $11,424 1 100% - +$546 -3.7% 8.9d -
30 VRTX 6 +4.99% $9,474 $9,947 1 100% - +$473 -20.8% 4.5d -
31 QQQ +4.98% $11,120 $11,674 1 100% - +$554 -4.7% 7.7d -
32 PFE 25 +4.50% $11,790 $12,321 2 100% - +$531 -6.1% 5.6d -
33 PANW 4 0 +4.33% $7,861 $8,202 8 50% - +$340 -27.2% 4.1d -
34 REGN 18 +4.30% $11,480 $11,973 4 50% - +$494 -23.1% 4.9d -
35 NIO 30 3🧊 +3.10% $15,623 $16,107 14 43% - +$484 -28.6% 2.0d -
36 HD 3 +2.82% $9,576 $9,846 5 40% - +$270 -13.9% 6.6d -
37 WFC 10 +2.74% $10,374 $10,658 2 50% - +$284 -13.1% 5.5d -
38 VXX 16 0 +2.13% $11,561 $11,807 13 46% - +$246 -45.0% 2.1d -
39 AAPL 19 +1.94% $11,468 $11,690 2 50% - +$222 -10.0% 5.6d -
40 AMC 3 77🔥 +1.88% $4,982 $5,076 25 40% - +$94 -52.2% 1.7d -
41 BLK 42 +1.85% $14,689 $14,961 3 33% - +$272 -9.1% 4.7d -
42 BRK-B +1.77% $11,618 $11,824 1 100% - +$206 -3.1% 5.9d -
43 VZ 18 +1.55% $10,657 $10,822 2 50% - +$165 -6.7% 7.6d -
44 MDT +0.00% $10,088 $10,088 NO ENTRY - - - -8.9% 6.9d -
45 VOO +0.00% $11,290 $11,290 NO ENTRY - - - -4.2% 2.5d -
46 VTI +0.00% $11,302 $11,302 NO ENTRY - - - -4.5% 2.5d -
47 JNJ +0.00% $11,477 $11,477 NO ENTRY - - - -3.1% 9.4d -
48 IWM +0.00% $10,542 $10,542 NO ENTRY - - - -11.7% 5.3d -
49 DIA +0.00% $10,226 $10,226 NO ENTRY - - - -3.2% 23.9h -
50 DIS +0.00% $9,244 $9,244 NO ENTRY - - - -18.6% 5.7d -
51 XLF +0.00% $10,835 $10,835 NO ENTRY - - - -7.7% 4.7d -
52 TLT +0.00% $9,688 $9,688 NO ENTRY - - - -3.7% 8.0d -
53 SPY +0.00% $11,256 $11,256 NO ENTRY - - - -4.3% 2.5d -
54 KO +0.00% $10,069 $10,069 NO ENTRY - - - -4.9% 10.1d -
55 PEP +0.00% $9,195 $9,195 NO ENTRY - - - -13.1% 5.9d -
56 MCD +0.00% $10,874 $10,874 NO ENTRY - - - -3.0% 8.8d -
57 RIOT 5 5 -0.53% $4,478 $4,454 25 40% - -$24 -63.2% 23.1h -
58 WMT 35 -1.03% $13,414 $13,276 3 33% - -$138 -6.9% 6.9d -
59 TMO 2 -1.07% $8,413 $8,323 3 33% - -$90 -21.7% 5.2d -
60 BIIB 23 -1.09% $12,719 $12,580 3 33% - -$139 -22.4% 3.7d -
61 SLB 6 -1.22% $10,153 $10,029 3 33% - -$124 -22.1% 6.3d -
62 MA 18 -1.45% $11,340 $11,176 2 50% - -$164 -6.6% 6.7d -
63 GILD 9 -1.94% $10,642 $10,436 4 25% - -$206 -12.5% 9.3d -
64 PLTR 66 1🧊 -2.07% $43,381 $42,483 14 36% - -$898 -34.2% 2.1d -
65 USO 18 2 -2.32% $11,360 $11,097 15 40% - -$264 -13.1% 6.0d -
66 ISRG 4 -2.43% $9,155 $8,932 4 25% - -$222 -20.7% 5.1d -
67 ABBV 12 -2.95% $11,851 $11,502 1 0% - -$350 -16.8% 5.6d -
68 GOOGL 42 -2.98% $17,189 $16,677 1 0% - -$512 -12.7% 4.7d -
69 CRM 3 3 -2.99% $8,828 $8,564 12 33% - -$264 -27.5% 4.8d -
70 META 4 -3.01% $7,922 $7,683 4 25% - -$238 -28.8% 4.2d -
71 XLK 3 -3.44% $8,829 $8,526 3 33% - -$304 -12.2% 4.7d -
72 BAC 15 -3.45% $12,322 $11,897 1 0% - -$425 -15.8% 6.6d -
73 COP 9 -3.53% $10,610 $10,235 6 33% - -$375 -17.9% 6.2d -
74 CMCSA 4 -3.61% $9,059 $8,732 5 40% - -$327 -19.5% 5.8d -
75 MRNA 5 2 -3.89% $6,686 $6,426 19 37% - -$260 -66.5% 1.9d -
76 AMGN 10 -4.15% $11,075 $10,615 1 0% - -$460 -12.0% 6.4d -
77 CVX 5 -4.52% $8,920 $8,517 4 25% - -$403 -14.4% 8.9d -
78 PM 3 -4.72% $10,277 $9,792 4 25% - -$485 -3.7% 4.9d -
79 BMY 2 -5.19% $8,805 $8,348 3 33% - -$457 -20.0% 5.8d -
80 XLE 11 -5.24% $11,039 $10,460 4 25% - -$578 -4.4% 7.7d -
81 TSLA 24 2🧊 -5.27% $14,524 $13,759 12 33% - -$765 -32.0% 2.3d -
82 LLY 29 -6.06% $16,883 $15,860 2 0% - -$1,023 -15.9% 4.1d -
83 COST 3 -6.18% $9,554 $8,964 2 0% - -$590 -9.0% 8.2d -
84 NVDA 4 0 -6.32% $9,842 $9,220 7 29% - -$622 -47.0% 3.2d -
85 NFLX 20 -6.48% $12,975 $12,135 2 0% - -$841 -15.4% 6.9d -
86 MSFT 14 -6.51% $11,515 $10,766 2 0% - -$750 -14.5% 6.5d -
87 ACN 3 27🔥 -6.87% $9,100 $8,474 8 38% - -$625 -14.7% 7.7d -
88 OXY 34 -7.55% $14,480 $13,387 9 44% - -$1,093 -10.3% 6.0d -
89 XOM 2 -9.46% $9,388 $8,500 5 20% - -$888 -7.4% 8.0d -
90 ADBE 3 1 -10.49% $6,285 $5,625 8 25% - -$659 -34.6% 4.7d -
91 ARKK 35 0🧊 -10.55% $18,752 $16,773 6 17% - -$1,978 -21.5% 3.1d -
92 SPXU 4 -11.22% $8,393 $7,452 9 33% - -$942 -27.6% 4.2d -
93 SOFI 4 9 -11.42% $8,884 $7,869 15 33% - -$1,015 -30.6% 2.3d -
94 GME 3 -12.08% $8,677 $7,629 4 0% - -$1,048 -41.9% 2.0d -
95 RIVN 3 2 -12.72% $4,261 $3,719 13 31% - -$542 -55.2% 1.8d -
96 HOOD 27 13 -13.95% $19,097 $16,433 17 35% - -$2,664 -37.6% 1.7d -
97 PYPL 3 -17.26% $7,486 $6,194 4 0% - -$1,292 -32.8% 5.5d -
98 CRWD 5 1 -18.37% $10,528 $8,594 10 30% - -$1,934 -28.2% 3.4d -
99 LCID 4 2 -18.42% $4,799 $3,915 21 29% - -$884 -57.4% 1.7d -
100 ORCL 4 2 -19.17% $9,837 $7,951 14 29% - -$1,886 -29.3% 3.3d -
101 UVXY 5 22 -22.40% $10,148 $7,875 23 39% - -$2,273 -61.4% 1.4d -
102 SQQQ 4 2 -23.89% $11,171 $8,502 16 19% - -$2,669 -33.6% 2.3d -

👤 Personality

Eternally bullish, impossibly optimistic. Has seen Napoleon's wars, the Long Depression, the Great Depression, 1987, 2000, 2008, and 2020—and made money in each recovery.