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Danny Dip
3

Danny Dip

The Optimist

🛒 Swing Trader 📅 226 years old (Born 1800)

"A 3% pullback in a bull market is just the universe giving you a second chance to buy what you missed."

Spry man of perhaps 70, but his eyes contain centuries. Wears a peculiar mix of Regency-era waistcoat over a modern hoodie, as if he can't decide which century he belongs to.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Mar 24, 2026 → Sep 24, 2026 (184d)

📊 Last 6 Months Performance: Showing Danny Dip's performance over the last 6 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$11,901
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $11,397 (+$504)
+4.43%
Last 6 Months ROI
41.1%
Win Rate
1,549
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+0.0%
1 Month
+2.5%
3 Months
+4.4%
6 Months
+6.1%
YTD
+7.6%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last 6 Months)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy 3% dips, target 5% profit

Waits for quality assets to pull back 3% from recent highs, then enters with a 5% profit target. Uses trailing stops to protect gains during extended runs.

🎯 Best Suited For

Bull markets and quality stocks

"Dips are just discounts with a deadline."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

In uptrending markets (which is most of market history), pullbacks are temporary. Institutions use them to accumulate. Danny's 3% threshold filters out normal volatility.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-danny-simulation.php

📊 Recent High (Lookback)

Recent High = MAX(Closet-n ... Closet)
Finds the highest closing price over the lookback period to measure the dip from.
Lookback Period = 20 bars
Recent High = max(array_slice(closes, -20))
Uses closing prices only (not highs)
📁 getRecentHigh() @ lines 166-171

📊 Dip Percentage Calculation

Dip % = ((Current Price - Recent High) ÷ Recent High) × 100
Measures how far the current price has fallen from the recent high. Negative values indicate a dip.
Current Price = latest closing price
Recent High = MAX of last 20 closes
Example: Price=$97, High=$100 → Dip = -3%

📊 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

Signal = Dip % ≤ -3%
When price drops 3% or more from the 20-bar high, Danny sees a buying opportunity.
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT = 3.0%
Entry triggers when: dipPct <= -DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT
Position size: 100% capital (fractional for crypto, whole shares for stocks)

📈 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

→

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 14 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

DIP_LOOKBACK: 20
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: 3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 14

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Baron Rothschild during the Napoleonic Wars

The legend says Baron Rothschild made a fortune during the panic following the Battle of Waterloo in 1815. His alleged advice: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 6 Months: Mar 24, 2026 → Sep 24, 2026 (184 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 6M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 MRNA 18 32 +100.07% $6,457 $12,919 46 43% - +$6,462 -66.5% 1.9d ✓ -
2 INTC 60 0🧊 +97.17% $18,399 $36,277 45 49% - +$17,878 -28.4% 2.9d ✓ -
3 AMD 55 51 +95.66% $17,795 $34,819 37 54% - +$17,023 -37.8% 2.6d ✓ -
4 MU 39 — +74.61% $12,940 $22,594 43 49% - +$9,654 -35.3% 2.8d ✓ -
5 NET 34 32 +65.49% $10,824 $17,913 34 56% - +$7,089 -32.2% 2.6d ✓ -
6 SMCI 5 21 +34.51% $3,898 $5,243 46 46% - +$1,345 -80.5% 1.4d ✓ -
7 RBLX 35 51 +28.96% $13,097 $16,890 33 52% - +$3,793 -32.4% 3.5d ✓ -
8 GS 26 — +25.13% $10,429 $13,050 11 64% - +$2,621 -18.8% 5.7d ✓ -
9 SNOW 3 0 +24.64% $6,036 $7,523 28 46% - +$1,487 -40.8% 3.4d ✓ -
10 MS 24 — +23.35% $11,187 $13,799 7 71% - +$2,612 -21.4% 5.4d ✓ -
11 VRTX 18 — +21.22% $9,475 $11,486 4 75% - +$2,011 -20.8% 4.5d ✓ -
12 IBM 44 — +20.63% $12,035 $14,518 18 50% - +$2,483 -6.0% 4.0d ✓ -
13 CRM 8 19 +19.53% $8,563 $10,236 22 41% - +$1,672 -27.5% 4.8d ✓ -
14 COIN 17 3 +18.78% $9,764 $11,597 45 42% - +$1,834 -46.7% 1.3d ✓ -
15 AVGO 51 — +18.19% $20,675 $24,436 19 47% - +$3,761 -23.6% 3.3d ✓ -
16 GILD 24 — +18.05% $10,569 $12,477 7 71% - +$1,908 -12.5% 9.3d ✓ -
17 TQQQ 27 27 +17.54% $13,139 $15,444 30 43% - +$2,305 -40.6% 1.9d ✓ -
18 BIIB 32 — +15.36% $12,718 $14,672 8 63% - +$1,954 -22.4% 3.7d ✓ -
19 C 26 — +13.63% $12,575 $14,289 4 75% - +$1,714 -17.4% 5.5d ✓ -
20 PLTR 69 15🧊 +12.92% $45,801 $51,719 28 39% - +$5,918 -34.2% 2.1d ✓ -
21 DIS 6 — +10.73% $9,244 $10,236 2 100% - +$992 -18.6% 5.7d ✓ -
22 CSCO 38 — +10.51% $12,007 $13,269 9 56% - +$1,262 -3.1% 10.6d ✓ -
23 PYPL 5 — +10.25% $7,238 $7,980 10 60% - +$742 -32.8% 5.5d ✓ -
24 DKNG 22 7 +9.55% $12,414 $13,600 30 40% - +$1,186 -45.9% 2.7d ✓ -
25 BLK 47 — +9.25% $14,690 $16,049 6 50% - +$1,359 -9.1% 4.7d ✓ -
26 GLD 13 — +9.10% $10,017 $10,929 5 80% - +$912 -6.1% 8.8d ✓ -
27 TMO 2 — +8.89% $8,412 $9,160 5 60% - +$748 -21.7% 5.2d ✓ -
28 MSFT 20 — +8.57% $11,516 $12,503 5 60% - +$987 -14.5% 6.5d ✓ -
29 ADBE 3 15 +8.38% $6,066 $6,575 21 43% - +$508 -34.6% 4.7d ✓ -
30 MDT 17 — +8.03% $10,088 $10,898 2 100% - +$810 -8.9% 6.9d ✓ -
31 SLV 43 0🧊 +7.93% $15,672 $16,915 18 44% - +$1,243 -14.0% 5.9d ✓ -
32 META 4 — +7.37% $7,921 $8,505 11 45% - +$584 -28.8% 4.2d ✓ -
33 PG — — +7.22% $10,878 $11,664 2 100% - +$785 -3.7% 8.9d ✓ -
34 V 7 — +7.09% $9,509 $10,183 2 100% - +$674 -9.6% 3.2d ✓ -
35 AXP 10 — +6.61% $9,592 $10,226 4 50% - +$634 -18.1% 7.3d ✓ -
36 AMZN 25 — +6.55% $13,348 $14,222 8 50% - +$874 -17.3% 5.3d ✓ -
37 SCHW 25 — +5.61% $11,765 $12,425 6 50% - +$660 -13.5% 5.8d ✓ -
38 JPM — — +5.08% $9,922 $10,426 1 100% - +$504 -23.6% 6.3d ✓ -
39 QQQ 19 — +4.75% $11,120 $11,648 2 50% - +$528 -4.7% 7.7d ✓ -
40 TSLA 28 — +4.56% $14,024 $14,664 21 48% - +$639 -32.0% 2.3d ✓ -
41 WMT 32 — +4.01% $13,010 $13,532 4 50% - +$522 -6.9% 6.9d ✓ -
42 HOOD 31 7🧊 +3.69% $18,517 $19,200 37 43% - +$683 -37.6% 1.7d ✓ -
43 NVDA 8 — +3.41% $9,842 $10,178 14 43% - +$336 -47.0% 3.2d ✓ -
44 PEP 2 — +3.35% $9,195 $9,503 2 50% - +$308 -13.1% 5.9d ✓ -
45 VXX 18 — +3.17% $12,328 $12,719 19 47% - +$391 -45.0% 2.1d ✓ -
46 MRK 14 — +3.03% $10,605 $10,926 5 40% - +$321 -17.9% 6.1d ✓ -
47 UNH 4 — +2.50% $9,063 $9,290 5 40% - +$227 -24.8% 5.5d ✓ -
48 NIO 28 — +2.31% $15,090 $15,439 22 41% - +$349 -28.6% 2.0d ✓ -
49 MCD — — +1.87% $10,873 $11,077 2 50% - +$203 -3.0% 8.8d ✓ -
50 REGN 18 — +1.33% $11,480 $11,632 5 40% - +$153 -23.1% 4.9d ✓ -
51 MA — — +1.31% $11,339 $11,488 3 67% - +$149 -6.6% 6.7d ✓ -
52 JNJ — — +0.96% $11,477 $11,587 1 100% - +$110 -3.1% 9.4d ✓ -
53 IWM — — +0.00% $10,542 $10,542 NO ENTRY - - - -11.7% 5.3d ✓ -
54 DIA — — +0.00% $10,226 $10,226 NO ENTRY - - - -3.2% 23.9h ✓ -
55 VTI — — +0.00% $11,302 $11,302 NO ENTRY - - - -4.5% 2.5d ✓ -
56 VOO — — +0.00% $11,290 $11,290 NO ENTRY - - - -4.2% 2.5d ✓ -
57 BRK-B — — +0.00% $11,824 $11,824 NO ENTRY - - - -3.1% 5.9d ✓ -
58 KO — — +0.00% $10,069 $10,069 NO ENTRY - - - -4.9% 10.1d ✓ -
59 SPY — — +0.00% $11,256 $11,256 NO ENTRY - - - -4.3% 2.5d ✓ -
60 XLF — — +0.00% $10,835 $10,835 NO ENTRY - - - -7.7% 4.7d ✓ -
61 TLT — — +0.00% $9,688 $9,688 NO ENTRY - - - -3.7% 8.0d ✓ -
62 HD 3 — -0.16% $9,291 $9,276 6 33% - -$15 -13.9% 6.6d ✓ -
63 LLY 32 — -0.58% $16,347 $16,252 6 33% - -$95 -15.9% 4.1d ✓ -
64 SQQQ 17 21 -0.70% $11,790 $11,708 32 38% - -$83 -33.6% 2.3d ✓ -
65 RIOT 5 3 -0.70% $4,205 $4,175 53 40% - -$29 -63.2% 23.1h ✓ -
66 PANW 4 4 -0.92% $7,522 $7,453 21 38% - -$69 -27.2% 4.1d ✓ -
67 XLK 4 — -1.49% $9,111 $8,975 6 33% - -$136 -12.2% 4.7d ✓ -
68 WFC 12 — -1.64% $11,022 $10,841 3 33% - -$181 -13.1% 5.5d ✓ -
69 USO 12 24 -1.65% $10,508 $10,334 22 41% - -$173 -13.1% 6.0d ✓ -
70 PFE 18 — -2.12% $12,183 $11,925 2 50% - -$258 -6.1% 5.6d ✓ -
71 BAC 20 — -3.10% $11,897 $11,528 1 0% - -$369 -15.8% 6.6d ✓ -
72 BMY 3 — -3.44% $8,805 $8,502 6 33% - -$303 -20.0% 5.8d ✓ -
73 ABBV 13 — -3.48% $11,502 $11,102 1 0% - -$400 -16.8% 5.6d ✓ -
74 CMCSA 3 — -4.92% $8,782 $8,350 8 38% - -$432 -19.5% 5.8d ✓ -
75 AMGN 10 — -5.50% $11,074 $10,465 3 33% - -$609 -12.0% 6.4d ✓ -
76 PM 3 — -5.58% $10,484 $9,899 4 25% - -$585 -3.7% 4.9d ✓ -
77 GOOGL 39 — -6.26% $17,189 $16,113 6 33% - -$1,076 -12.7% 4.7d ✓ -
78 GME 3 — -6.33% $8,677 $8,128 7 29% - -$549 -41.9% 2.0d ✓ -
79 CVX 5 — -6.78% $8,920 $8,315 6 33% - -$605 -14.4% 8.9d ✓ -
80 COST 2 — -7.21% $9,554 $8,865 4 0% - -$689 -9.0% 8.2d ✓ -
81 ORCL 5 32🔥 -7.59% $9,838 $9,091 33 39% - -$747 -29.3% 3.3d ✓ -
82 VZ 4 — -8.26% $10,656 $9,776 5 20% - -$880 -6.7% 7.6d ✓ -
83 ISRG 3 — -9.15% $9,155 $8,317 11 27% - -$838 -20.7% 5.1d ✓ -
84 AAPL 8 — -9.68% $11,467 $10,357 4 25% - -$1,110 -10.0% 5.6d ✓ -
85 ARKK 32 — -10.37% $18,752 $16,807 11 27% - -$1,945 -21.5% 3.1d ✓ -
86 NFLX 17 — -11.49% $12,975 $11,485 9 22% - -$1,491 -15.4% 6.9d ✓ -
87 RIVN 3 18 -12.83% $4,275 $3,726 26 35% - -$548 -55.2% 1.8d ✓ -
88 SLB 5 — -12.85% $10,153 $8,848 9 22% - -$1,305 -22.1% 6.3d ✓ -
89 XLE — — -13.07% $11,624 $10,105 5 20% - -$1,519 -4.4% 7.7d ✓ -
90 MARA 5 5 -13.41% $8,232 $7,128 58 36% - -$1,104 -46.1% 1.0d ✓ -
91 SPXU 4 — -13.71% $8,874 $7,657 14 36% - -$1,217 -27.6% 4.2d ✓ -
92 XOM 2 — -15.23% $9,908 $8,399 8 25% - -$1,509 -7.4% 8.0d ✓ -
93 OXY 28 — -16.20% $15,322 $12,840 13 38% - -$2,482 -10.3% 6.0d ✓ -
94 SOXL 46 31 -19.74% $35,436 $28,441 69 42% - -$6,995 -35.0% 1.2d ✓ -
95 COP 4 — -19.89% $11,171 $8,949 10 20% - -$2,222 -17.9% 6.2d ✓ -
96 CRWD 5 3 -21.35% $10,056 $7,909 24 33% - -$2,147 -28.2% 3.4d ✓ -
97 ACN 3 0 -22.29% $8,607 $6,689 20 30% - -$1,919 -14.7% 7.7d ✓ -
98 SOFI 5 2 -25.84% $9,327 $6,917 31 29% - -$2,410 -30.6% 2.3d ✓ -
99 ARM 4 18 -31.59% $6,096 $4,170 49 31% - -$1,926 -64.8% 2.0d ✓ -
100 LCID 3 3 -36.25% $4,800 $3,060 49 31% - -$1,740 -57.4% 1.7d ✓ -
101 AMC 3 2 -37.79% $4,819 $2,998 53 36% - -$1,821 -52.2% 1.7d ✓ -
102 UVXY 4 0 -49.77% $10,374 $5,211 37 27% - -$5,163 -61.4% 1.4d ✓ -

👤 Personality

Eternally bullish, impossibly optimistic. Has seen Napoleon's wars, the Long Depression, the Great Depression, 1987, 2000, 2008, and 2020—and made money in each recovery.