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Danny Dip
3

Danny Dip

The Optimist

🛒 Swing Trader 📅 226 years old (Born 1800)

"A 3% pullback in a bull market is just the universe giving you a second chance to buy what you missed."

Spry man of perhaps 70, but his eyes contain centuries. Wears a peculiar mix of Regency-era waistcoat over a modern hoodie, as if he can't decide which century he belongs to.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Dec 25, 2025 Jun 25, 2026 (181d)

📊 Last 6 Months Performance: Showing Danny Dip's performance over the last 6 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$11,828
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $11,330 (+$499)
+4.40%
Last 6 Months ROI
39.1%
Win Rate
1,502
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

-0.4%
1 Month
+2.0%
3 Months
+4.4%
6 Months
+4.3%
YTD
+9.1%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last 6 Months)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy 3% dips, target 5% profit

Waits for quality assets to pull back 3% from recent highs, then enters with a 5% profit target. Uses trailing stops to protect gains during extended runs.

🎯 Best Suited For

Bull markets and quality stocks

"Dips are just discounts with a deadline."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

In uptrending markets (which is most of market history), pullbacks are temporary. Institutions use them to accumulate. Danny's 3% threshold filters out normal volatility.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-danny-simulation.php

📊 Recent High (Lookback)

Recent High = MAX(Closet-n ... Closet)
Finds the highest closing price over the lookback period to measure the dip from.
Lookback Period = 20 bars
Recent High = max(array_slice(closes, -20))
Uses closing prices only (not highs)
📁 getRecentHigh() @ lines 166-171

📊 Dip Percentage Calculation

Dip % = ((Current Price - Recent High) ÷ Recent High) × 100
Measures how far the current price has fallen from the recent high. Negative values indicate a dip.
Current Price = latest closing price
Recent High = MAX of last 20 closes
Example: Price=$97, High=$100 → Dip = -3%

📊 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

Signal = Dip % ≤ -3%
When price drops 3% or more from the 20-bar high, Danny sees a buying opportunity.
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT = 3.0%
Entry triggers when: dipPct <= -DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT
Position size: 100% capital (fractional for crypto, whole shares for stocks)

📈 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 14 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

DIP_LOOKBACK: 20
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: 3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 14

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Baron Rothschild during the Napoleonic Wars

The legend says Baron Rothschild made a fortune during the panic following the Battle of Waterloo in 1815. His alleged advice: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 6 Months: Dec 25, 2025 Jun 25, 2026 (181 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 6M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 INTC 68 62 +180.97% $13,884 $39,009 38 61% - +$25,126 -28.4% 2.9d -
2 MU 35 6🧊 +158.06% $9,135 $23,573 40 60% - +$14,438 -35.3% 2.8d -
3 AMD 49 45 +80.38% $17,295 $31,196 31 52% - +$13,901 -37.8% 2.6d -
4 ARM 4 9 +67.82% $4,344 $7,290 42 50% - +$2,946 -64.8% 2.0d -
5 AVGO 52 24🧊 +51.91% $16,146 $24,527 22 59% - +$8,381 -23.6% 3.3d -
6 SMCI 4 9 +43.01% $3,482 $4,980 43 47% - +$1,498 -80.5% 1.4d -
7 IBM 49 31 +28.82% $11,699 $15,071 17 53% - +$3,372 -6.0% 4.0d -
8 OXY 31 +27.26% $10,519 $13,387 15 67% - +$2,868 -10.3% 6.0d -
9 GS 28 +26.66% $10,887 $13,789 9 67% - +$2,902 -18.8% 5.7d -
10 MS 26 +23.67% $11,030 $13,641 10 60% - +$2,611 -21.4% 5.4d -
11 SLV 41 2🧊 +21.48% $13,994 $17,000 28 46% - +$3,006 -14.0% 5.9d -
12 VXX 14 1 +21.28% $9,395 $11,394 28 46% - +$1,999 -45.0% 2.1d -
13 AMZN 36 32 +19.26% $12,714 $15,163 10 70% - +$2,449 -17.3% 5.3d -
14 SOXL 57 29🧊 +19.13% $31,091 $37,039 59 46% - +$5,948 -35.0% 1.2d -
15 NET 19 2 +18.55% $10,063 $11,930 30 47% - +$1,867 -32.2% 2.6d -
16 BIIB 22 +17.12% $11,299 $13,233 8 63% - +$1,934 -22.4% 3.7d -
17 GOOGL 40 +14.12% $14,180 $16,182 7 57% - +$2,002 -12.7% 4.7d -
18 COP 5 +12.58% $8,815 $9,924 13 54% - +$1,109 -17.9% 6.2d -
19 UNH 6 +11.23% $9,043 $10,059 6 67% - +$1,016 -24.8% 5.5d -
20 MRNA 5 5 +10.86% $5,701 $6,320 41 41% - +$619 -66.5% 1.9d -
21 C 19 +10.79% $11,921 $13,208 9 56% - +$1,286 -17.4% 5.5d -
22 WMT 34 +9.39% $12,136 $13,276 5 60% - +$1,140 -6.9% 6.9d -
23 ABBV +8.38% $10,612 $11,502 3 67% - +$889 -16.8% 5.6d -
24 DKNG 21 3 +7.87% $12,066 $13,015 25 40% - +$950 -45.9% 2.7d -
25 CSCO 35 +6.78% $11,667 $12,458 5 60% - +$791 -3.1% 10.6d -
26 COIN 12 7 +6.73% $9,801 $10,460 44 39% - +$660 -46.7% 1.3d -
27 PFE 21 +6.19% $11,230 $11,925 4 75% - +$695 -6.1% 5.6d -
28 TQQQ 23 3 +6.10% $13,663 $14,497 27 41% - +$833 -40.6% 1.9d -
29 LLY 27 +5.43% $15,043 $15,860 7 43% - +$817 -15.9% 4.1d -
30 NIO 29 1🧊 +5.18% $14,721 $15,483 26 46% - +$763 -28.6% 2.0d -
31 BLK 40 +5.18% $14,224 $14,961 8 38% - +$737 -9.1% 4.7d -
32 PEP 3 +5.10% $9,195 $9,664 1 100% - +$469 -13.1% 5.9d -
33 QQQ +4.98% $11,120 $11,674 1 100% - +$554 -4.7% 7.7d -
34 AXP 9 +4.97% $9,920 $10,413 6 50% - +$493 -18.1% 7.3d -
35 REGN 18 +4.68% $11,438 $11,973 7 43% - +$535 -23.1% 4.9d -
36 HD 3 +4.56% $9,417 $9,846 7 43% - +$429 -13.9% 6.6d -
37 RIOT 5 7 +4.56% $4,382 $4,582 50 42% - +$200 -63.2% 23.1h -
38 GLD 20 6 +4.17% $10,491 $10,929 11 55% - +$437 -6.1% 8.8d -
39 USO 11 3 +4.11% $9,834 $10,238 23 43% - +$404 -13.1% 6.0d -
40 GILD 9 +3.49% $10,084 $10,436 5 40% - +$352 -12.5% 9.3d -
41 SCHW 27 +2.91% $12,595 $12,961 6 50% - +$366 -13.5% 5.8d -
42 SNOW 2 2 +2.53% $7,061 $7,240 31 39% - +$179 -40.8% 3.4d -
43 V +2.02% $9,790 $9,988 3 67% - +$198 -9.6% 3.2d -
44 BMY 3 +1.89% $8,627 $8,790 6 50% - +$163 -20.0% 5.8d -
45 BRK-B +1.77% $11,618 $11,824 1 100% - +$206 -3.1% 5.9d -
46 PG +1.57% $11,247 $11,424 2 50% - +$177 -3.7% 8.9d -
47 VZ 17 +1.55% $10,657 $10,822 2 50% - +$165 -6.7% 7.6d -
48 CMCSA 3 +1.35% $8,616 $8,732 6 50% - +$116 -19.5% 5.8d -
49 KO +0.83% $9,987 $10,069 1 100% - +$83 -4.9% 10.1d -
50 VOO +0.00% $11,290 $11,290 NO ENTRY - - - -4.2% 2.5d -
51 VTI +0.00% $11,302 $11,302 NO ENTRY - - - -4.5% 2.5d -
52 DIA +0.00% $10,226 $10,226 NO ENTRY - - - -3.2% 23.9h -
53 SPY +0.00% $11,256 $11,256 NO ENTRY - - - -4.3% 2.5d -
54 TLT +0.00% $9,688 $9,688 NO ENTRY - - - -3.7% 8.0d -
55 JNJ +0.00% $11,477 $11,477 NO ENTRY - - - -3.1% 9.4d -
56 MCD +0.00% $10,874 $10,874 NO ENTRY - - - -3.0% 8.8d -
57 MRK 15 -0.26% $11,016 $10,987 6 33% - -$29 -17.9% 6.1d -
58 JPM 13 -0.43% $10,471 $10,426 5 40% - -$45 -23.6% 6.3d -
59 GME 3 -0.85% $7,694 $7,629 8 38% - -$65 -41.9% 2.0d -
60 AAPL 18 -1.09% $11,468 $11,343 3 33% - -$125 -10.0% 5.6d -
61 VRTX 6 -1.28% $10,076 $9,947 3 33% - -$129 -20.8% 4.5d -
62 DIS -1.44% $9,379 $9,244 2 50% - -$135 -18.6% 5.7d -
63 MDT -1.88% $10,282 $10,088 2 50% - -$193 -8.9% 6.9d -
64 NVDA 4 0 -2.03% $9,059 $8,875 13 38% - -$184 -47.0% 3.2d -
65 AMGN 9 -2.39% $10,875 $10,615 3 33% - -$260 -12.0% 6.4d -
66 XLF -3.15% $11,187 $10,835 1 0% - -$352 -7.7% 4.7d -
67 IWM -3.31% $10,903 $10,542 1 0% - -$361 -11.7% 5.3d -
68 MA 23 -4.73% $12,058 $11,488 5 40% - -$570 -6.6% 6.7d -
69 MARA 6 6 -5.14% $10,591 $10,046 56 38% - -$544 -46.1% 1.0d -
70 SLB 5 0 -5.62% $9,968 $9,408 11 36% - -$560 -22.1% 6.3d -
71 PM 3 -6.07% $10,424 $9,792 7 29% - -$633 -3.7% 4.9d -
72 COST 3 -6.18% $9,554 $8,964 2 0% - -$590 -9.0% 8.2d -
73 XLK 3 -6.36% $9,105 $8,526 4 25% - -$579 -12.2% 4.7d -
74 TSLA 27 3🧊 -6.42% $14,950 $13,990 20 35% - -$960 -32.0% 2.3d -
75 TMO 2 -6.99% $8,948 $8,323 5 20% - -$625 -21.7% 5.2d -
76 CVX 4 -7.48% $8,920 $8,253 5 20% - -$667 -14.4% 8.9d -
77 UVXY 5 6 -7.97% $7,944 $7,311 46 41% - -$633 -61.4% 1.4d -
78 MSFT 14 -8.08% $11,712 $10,766 5 20% - -$946 -14.5% 6.5d -
79 XLE 7 -8.46% $11,039 $10,105 5 20% - -$934 -4.4% 7.7d -
80 CRM 4 2 -8.90% $9,114 $8,303 21 33% - -$811 -27.5% 4.8d -
81 NFLX 16 0 -9.75% $12,630 $11,399 6 17% - -$1,231 -15.4% 6.9d -
82 WFC 9 -9.80% $11,816 $10,658 6 17% - -$1,158 -13.1% 5.5d -
83 BAC -10.89% $13,351 $11,897 4 0% - -$1,454 -15.8% 6.6d -
84 SQQQ 12 52🔥 -11.19% $11,975 $10,635 29 31% - -$1,340 -33.6% 2.3d -
85 PANW 4 0 -11.45% $9,262 $8,202 14 36% - -$1,061 -27.2% 4.1d -
86 META 4 -11.86% $8,427 $7,427 9 22% - -$999 -28.8% 4.2d -
87 XOM 2 -12.23% $9,388 $8,240 6 17% - -$1,148 -7.4% 8.0d -
88 ISRG 3 -12.43% $10,200 $8,932 7 14% - -$1,268 -20.7% 5.1d -
89 AMC 3 24🔥 -13.35% $4,901 $4,247 49 41% - -$654 -52.2% 1.7d -
90 SPXU 4 29🔥 -13.65% $9,071 $7,833 15 33% - -$1,238 -27.6% 4.2d -
91 ACN 3 1 -16.90% $9,574 $7,956 17 35% - -$1,618 -14.7% 7.7d -
92 PYPL 3 -18.38% $7,589 $6,194 9 22% - -$1,395 -32.8% 5.5d -
93 RBLX 28 3🧊 -20.17% $18,129 $14,472 33 30% - -$3,657 -32.4% 3.5d -
94 ARKK 34 -21.46% $20,632 $16,205 10 10% - -$4,428 -21.5% 3.1d -
95 CRWD 5 1 -22.17% $11,042 $8,594 20 30% - -$2,448 -28.2% 3.4d -
96 PLTR 63 3🧊 -22.70% $51,368 $39,708 24 25% - -$11,661 -34.2% 2.1d -
97 HOOD 30 48 -23.76% $23,070 $17,589 34 32% - -$5,481 -37.6% 1.7d -
98 RIVN 3 1 -28.91% $5,046 $3,587 28 29% - -$1,459 -55.2% 1.8d -
99 ADBE 3 1 -30.09% $7,792 $5,448 16 19% - -$2,345 -34.6% 4.7d -
100 ORCL 4 3 -30.80% $10,729 $7,425 28 29% - -$3,305 -29.3% 3.3d -
101 SOFI 5 29🔥 -38.90% $12,254 $7,487 31 23% - -$4,767 -30.6% 2.3d -
102 LCID 4 3 -42.93% $6,647 $3,793 39 23% - -$2,853 -57.4% 1.7d -

👤 Personality

Eternally bullish, impossibly optimistic. Has seen Napoleon's wars, the Long Depression, the Great Depression, 1987, 2000, 2008, and 2020—and made money in each recovery.