Danny Dip

The Optimist

🛒 Swing Trader 📅 226 years old (Born 1800)

"A 3% pullback in a bull market is just the universe giving you a second chance to buy what you missed."

Spry man of perhaps 70, but his eyes contain centuries. Wears a peculiar mix of Regency-era waistcoat over a modern hoodie, as if he can't decide which century he belongs to.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

Sep 24, 2024 → Sep 24, 2026 (730d)

📊 Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

🎯 Asset: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

📊 2 Years Performance: We gave Danny Dip $10,000 and let him trade 102 stock symbols from Jan 1, 2024 to today. 🟢 LIVE

$12,046

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $10,000 (+$2,046)

+20.46%

2-Year ROI

45.4%

Win Rate

5,389

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (2 Years)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy 3% dips, target 5% profit

Waits for quality assets to pull back 3% from recent highs, then enters with a 5% profit target. Uses trailing stops to protect gains during extended runs.

🎯 Best Suited For

Bull markets and quality stocks

"Dips are just discounts with a deadline."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

In uptrending markets (which is most of market history), pullbacks are temporary. Institutions use them to accumulate. Danny's 3% threshold filters out normal volatility.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-danny-simulation.php

📊 Recent High (Lookback)

                        Recent High = MAX(Closet-n ... Closet)                    

                        Finds the highest closing price over the lookback period to measure the dip from.                    

                            Lookback Period = 20 bars                        

                            Recent High = max(array_slice(closes, -20))                        

                            Uses closing prices only (not highs)

                    📁 getRecentHigh() 
                    @ lines 166-171                

📊 Dip Percentage Calculation

                        Dip % = ((Current Price - Recent High) ÷ Recent High) × 100                    

                        Measures how far the current price has fallen from the recent high. Negative values indicate a dip.                    

                            Current Price = latest closing price                        

                            Recent High = MAX of last 20 closes                        

                            Example: Price=$97, High=$100 → Dip = -3%

📊 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

                        Signal = Dip % ≤ -3%                    

                        When price drops 3% or more from the 20-bar high, Danny sees a buying opportunity.                    

                            DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT = 3.0%                        

                            Entry triggers when: dipPct <= -DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT                        

                            Position size: 100% capital (fractional for crypto, whole shares for stocks)

📈 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

→

📉 Exit Conditions

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 14 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        DIP_LOOKBACK:
                        20
                    

                        DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT:
                        3%
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        5%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        3%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        14
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Baron Rothschild during the Napoleonic Wars

The legend says Baron Rothschild made a fortune during the panic following the Battle of Waterloo in 1815. His alleged advice: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 2 Years: Sep 24, 2024 → Sep 24, 2026 (730 days)

📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns

📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.

75+ Elite 60+ Good 40+ Fair <40 Weak

⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.

75+ Hot 60+ Active 40+ Moderate <40 Quiet

Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.

⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →

Rank	Symbol	Score	Mom	Return	Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	PLTR	69	15🧊	+417.19%	$10,000	$51,719	110	45%	-	+$41,719	-34.2%	2.1d	✓	-
2	INTC	60	0🧊	+262.77%	$10,000	$36,277	118	47%	-	+$26,277	-28.4%	2.9d	✓	-
3	AMD	55	51	+248.19%	$10,000	$34,819	100	48%	-	+$24,819	-37.8%	2.6d	✓	-
4	SOXL	46	31	+184.41%	$10,000	$28,441	200	45%	-	+$18,441	-35.0%	1.2d	✓	-
5	AVGO	51	—	+144.36%	$10,000	$24,436	77	49%	-	+$14,436	-23.6%	3.3d	✓	-
6	MU	39	—	+125.94%	$10,000	$22,594	105	47%	-	+$12,594	-35.3%	2.8d	✓	-
7	HOOD	31	7🧊	+92.00%	$10,000	$19,200	144	41%	-	+$9,200	-37.6%	1.7d	✓	-
8	NET	34	32	+79.13%	$10,000	$17,913	98	48%	-	+$7,913	-32.2%	2.6d	✓	-
9	SLV	43	0🧊	+69.15%	$10,000	$16,915	49	53%	-	+$6,915	-14.0%	5.9d	✓	-
10	RBLX	35	51	+68.90%	$10,000	$16,890	94	47%	-	+$6,890	-32.4%	3.5d	✓	-
11	ARKK	32	—	+68.07%	$10,000	$16,807	57	46%	-	+$6,807	-21.5%	3.1d	✓	-
12	LLY	32	—	+62.52%	$10,000	$16,252	35	43%	-	+$6,252	-15.9%	4.1d	✓	-
13	GOOGL	39	—	+61.13%	$10,000	$16,113	29	55%	-	+$6,113	-12.7%	4.7d	✓	-
14	BLK	47	—	+60.49%	$10,000	$16,049	20	55%	-	+$6,049	-9.1%	4.7d	✓	-
15	TQQQ	27	27	+54.44%	$10,000	$15,444	112	43%	-	+$5,444	-40.6%	1.9d	✓	-
16	NIO	28	—	+54.39%	$10,000	$15,439	120	44%	-	+$5,439	-28.6%	2.0d	✓	-
17	BIIB	32	—	+46.72%	$10,000	$14,672	32	59%	-	+$4,672	-22.4%	3.7d	✓	-
18	TSLA	28	—	+46.64%	$10,000	$14,664	97	47%	-	+$4,664	-32.0%	2.3d	✓	-
19	IBM	44	—	+45.18%	$10,000	$14,518	33	52%	-	+$4,518	-6.0%	4.0d	✓	-
20	C	26	—	+42.89%	$10,000	$14,289	30	57%	-	+$4,289	-17.4%	5.5d	✓	-
21	AMZN	25	—	+42.22%	$10,000	$14,222	34	50%	-	+$4,222	-17.3%	5.3d	✓	-
22	MS	24	—	+37.99%	$10,000	$13,799	33	52%	-	+$3,799	-21.4%	5.4d	✓	-
23	DKNG	22	7	+36.00%	$10,000	$13,600	90	38%	-	+$3,600	-45.9%	2.7d	✓	-
24	WMT	32	—	+35.32%	$10,000	$13,532	15	53%	-	+$3,532	-6.9%	6.9d	✓	-
25	CSCO	38	—	+32.69%	$10,000	$13,269	17	65%	-	+$3,269	-3.1%	10.6d	✓	-
26	GS	26	—	+30.50%	$10,000	$13,050	31	48%	-	+$3,050	-18.8%	5.7d	✓	-
27	MRNA	18	32	+29.19%	$10,000	$12,919	150	39%	-	+$2,919	-66.5%	1.9d	✓	-
28	OXY	28	—	+28.40%	$10,000	$12,840	39	51%	-	+$2,840	-10.3%	6.0d	✓	-
29	VXX	18	—	+27.19%	$10,000	$12,719	112	41%	-	+$2,719	-45.0%	2.1d	✓	-
30	MSFT	20	—	+25.03%	$10,000	$12,503	16	50%	-	+$2,503	-14.5%	6.5d	✓	-
31	GILD	24	—	+24.77%	$10,000	$12,477	21	57%	-	+$2,477	-12.5%	9.3d	✓	-
32	SCHW	25	—	+24.25%	$10,000	$12,425	21	57%	-	+$2,425	-13.5%	5.8d	✓	-
33	PFE	18	—	+19.25%	$10,000	$11,925	13	62%	-	+$1,925	-6.1%	5.6d	✓	-
34	BRK-B	—	—	+18.24%	$10,000	$11,824	7	86%	-	+$1,824	-3.1%	5.9d	✓	-
35	SQQQ	17	21	+17.08%	$10,000	$11,708	114	37%	-	+$1,708	-33.6%	2.3d	✓	-
36	PG	—	—	+16.64%	$10,000	$11,664	7	57%	-	+$1,664	-3.7%	8.9d	✓	-
37	QQQ	19	—	+16.48%	$10,000	$11,648	9	67%	-	+$1,648	-4.7%	7.7d	✓	-
38	REGN	18	—	+16.32%	$10,000	$11,632	31	39%	-	+$1,632	-23.1%	4.9d	✓	-
39	COIN	17	3	+15.97%	$10,000	$11,597	165	39%	-	+$1,597	-46.7%	1.3d	✓	-
40	JNJ	—	—	+15.87%	$10,000	$11,587	6	83%	-	+$1,587	-3.1%	9.4d	✓	-
41	BAC	20	—	+15.28%	$10,000	$11,528	17	35%	-	+$1,528	-15.8%	6.6d	✓	-
42	MA	—	—	+14.88%	$10,000	$11,488	10	40%	-	+$1,488	-6.6%	6.7d	✓	-
43	VRTX	18	—	+14.86%	$10,000	$11,486	18	50%	-	+$1,486	-20.8%	4.5d	✓	-
44	NFLX	17	—	+14.85%	$10,000	$11,485	34	35%	-	+$1,485	-15.4%	6.9d	✓	-
45	VTI	—	—	+13.02%	$10,000	$11,302	3	67%	-	+$1,302	-4.5%	2.5d	✓	-
46	VOO	—	—	+12.90%	$10,000	$11,290	3	67%	-	+$1,290	-4.2%	2.5d	✓	-
47	SPY	—	—	+12.56%	$10,000	$11,256	3	67%	-	+$1,256	-4.3%	2.5d	✓	-
48	ABBV	13	—	+11.02%	$10,000	$11,102	15	40%	-	+$1,102	-16.8%	5.6d	✓	-
49	MCD	—	—	+10.77%	$10,000	$11,077	5	60%	-	+$1,077	-3.0%	8.8d	✓	-
50	GLD	13	—	+9.29%	$10,000	$10,929	17	59%	-	+$929	-6.1%	8.8d	✓	-
51	MRK	14	—	+9.26%	$10,000	$10,926	18	33%	-	+$926	-17.9%	6.1d	✓	-
52	MDT	17	—	+8.98%	$10,000	$10,898	12	58%	-	+$898	-8.9%	6.9d	✓	-
53	WFC	12	—	+8.41%	$10,000	$10,841	23	43%	-	+$841	-13.1%	5.5d	✓	-
54	XLF	—	—	+8.35%	$10,000	$10,835	6	50%	-	+$835	-7.7%	4.7d	✓	-
55	IWM	—	—	+5.42%	$10,000	$10,542	7	43%	-	+$542	-11.7%	5.3d	✓	-
56	AMGN	10	—	+4.65%	$10,000	$10,465	18	50%	-	+$465	-12.0%	6.4d	✓	-
57	JPM	—	—	+4.26%	$10,000	$10,426	17	59%	-	+$426	-23.6%	6.3d	✓	-
58	AAPL	8	—	+3.57%	$10,000	$10,357	16	44%	-	+$357	-10.0%	5.6d	✓	-
59	USO	12	24	+3.34%	$10,000	$10,334	46	43%	-	+$334	-13.1%	6.0d	✓	-
60	DIS	6	—	+2.36%	$10,000	$10,236	14	50%	-	+$236	-18.6%	5.7d	✓	-
61	CRM	8	19	+2.36%	$10,000	$10,236	50	42%	-	+$236	-27.5%	4.8d	✓	-
62	DIA	—	—	+2.26%	$10,000	$10,226	2	50%	-	+$226	-3.2%	23.9h	✓	-
63	AXP	10	—	+2.26%	$10,000	$10,226	25	40%	-	+$226	-18.1%	7.3d	✓	-
64	V	7	—	+1.83%	$10,000	$10,183	9	44%	-	+$183	-9.6%	3.2d	✓	-
65	NVDA	8	—	+1.78%	$10,000	$10,178	64	42%	-	+$178	-47.0%	3.2d	✓	-
66	XLE	—	—	+1.05%	$10,000	$10,105	11	45%	-	+$105	-4.4%	7.7d	✓	-
67	KO	—	—	+0.69%	$10,000	$10,069	4	50%	-	+$69	-4.9%	10.1d	✓	-
68	PM	3	—	-1.01%	$10,000	$9,899	16	38%	-	-$101	-3.7%	4.9d	✓	-
69	VZ	4	—	-2.24%	$10,000	$9,776	12	42%	-	-$224	-6.7%	7.6d	✓	-
70	TLT	—	—	-3.12%	$10,000	$9,688	2	50%	-	-$312	-3.7%	8.0d	✓	-
71	PEP	2	—	-4.97%	$10,000	$9,503	9	22%	-	-$497	-13.1%	5.9d	✓	-
72	UNH	4	—	-7.10%	$10,000	$9,290	33	36%	-	-$710	-24.8%	5.5d	✓	-
73	HD	3	—	-7.24%	$10,000	$9,276	17	29%	-	-$724	-13.9%	6.6d	✓	-
74	TMO	2	—	-8.40%	$10,000	$9,160	19	26%	-	-$840	-21.7%	5.2d	✓	-
75	ORCL	5	32🔥	-9.09%	$10,000	$9,091	85	39%	-	-$909	-29.3%	3.3d	✓	-
76	XLK	4	—	-10.25%	$10,000	$8,975	18	44%	-	-$1,025	-12.2%	4.7d	✓	-
77	COP	4	—	-10.51%	$10,000	$8,949	33	42%	-	-$1,051	-17.9%	6.2d	✓	-
78	COST	2	—	-11.35%	$10,000	$8,865	13	31%	-	-$1,135	-9.0%	8.2d	✓	-
79	SLB	5	—	-11.52%	$10,000	$8,848	33	42%	-	-$1,152	-22.1%	6.3d	✓	-
80	META	4	—	-14.95%	$10,000	$8,505	38	37%	-	-$1,495	-28.8%	4.2d	✓	-
81	BMY	3	—	-14.98%	$10,000	$8,502	20	35%	-	-$1,498	-20.0%	5.8d	✓	-
82	XOM	2	—	-16.01%	$10,000	$8,399	14	29%	-	-$1,601	-7.4%	8.0d	✓	-
83	CMCSA	3	—	-16.50%	$10,000	$8,350	19	37%	-	-$1,650	-19.5%	5.8d	✓	-
84	ISRG	3	—	-16.83%	$10,000	$8,317	30	27%	-	-$1,683	-20.7%	5.1d	✓	-
85	CVX	5	—	-16.85%	$10,000	$8,315	14	43%	-	-$1,685	-14.4%	8.9d	✓	-
86	GME	3	—	-18.72%	$10,000	$8,128	57	42%	-	-$1,872	-41.9%	2.0d	✓	-
87	PYPL	5	—	-20.20%	$10,000	$7,980	40	48%	-	-$2,020	-32.8%	5.5d	✓	-
88	CRWD	5	3	-20.91%	$10,000	$7,909	81	38%	-	-$2,091	-28.2%	3.4d	✓	-
89	SPXU	4	—	-23.43%	$10,000	$7,657	53	40%	-	-$2,343	-27.6%	4.2d	✓	-
90	SNOW	3	0	-24.77%	$10,000	$7,523	76	37%	-	-$2,477	-40.8%	3.4d	✓	-
91	PANW	4	4	-25.47%	$10,000	$7,453	52	35%	-	-$2,547	-27.2%	4.1d	✓	-
92	MARA	5	5	-28.72%	$10,000	$7,128	217	35%	-	-$2,872	-46.1%	1.0d	✓	-
93	SOFI	5	2	-30.83%	$10,000	$6,917	121	38%	-	-$3,083	-30.6%	2.3d	✓	-
94	ACN	3	0	-33.11%	$10,000	$6,689	45	36%	-	-$3,311	-14.7%	7.7d	✓	-
95	ADBE	3	15	-34.25%	$10,000	$6,575	45	31%	-	-$3,425	-34.6%	4.7d	✓	-
96	SMCI	5	21	-47.57%	$10,000	$5,243	177	39%	-	-$4,757	-80.5%	1.4d	✓	-
97	UVXY	4	0	-47.89%	$10,000	$5,211	183	34%	-	-$4,789	-61.4%	1.4d	✓	-
98	RIOT	5	3	-58.25%	$10,000	$4,175	209	42%	-	-$5,825	-63.2%	23.1h	✓	-
99	ARM	4	18	-58.30%	$10,000	$4,170	127	34%	-	-$5,830	-64.8%	2.0d	✓	-
100	RIVN	3	18	-62.74%	$10,000	$3,726	128	34%	-	-$6,274	-55.2%	1.8d	✓	-
101	LCID	3	3	-69.40%	$10,000	$3,060	165	34%	-	-$6,940	-57.4%	1.7d	✓	-
102	AMC	3	2	-70.02%	$10,000	$2,998	130	34%	-	-$7,002	-52.2%	1.7d	✓	-

👤 Personality

Eternally bullish, impossibly optimistic. Has seen Napoleon's wars, the Long Depression, the Great Depression, 1987, 2000, 2008, and 2020—and made money in each recovery.

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