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Danny Dip
3

Danny Dip

The Optimist

🛒 Swing Trader 📅 226 years old (Born 1800)

"A 3% pullback in a bull market is just the universe giving you a second chance to buy what you missed."

Spry man of perhaps 70, but his eyes contain centuries. Wears a peculiar mix of Regency-era waistcoat over a modern hoodie, as if he can't decide which century he belongs to.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Jan 1, 2026 Jun 19, 2026 (168d)

📊 Year to Date Performance: Showing Danny Dip's performance over the year to date across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$11,876
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $11,322 (+$554)
+4.89%
Year to Date ROI
38.8%
Win Rate
1,421
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+1.4%
1 Month
+3.3%
3 Months
+5.0%
6 Months
+4.9%
YTD
+9.9%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Year to Date)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy 3% dips, target 5% profit

Waits for quality assets to pull back 3% from recent highs, then enters with a 5% profit target. Uses trailing stops to protect gains during extended runs.

🎯 Best Suited For

Bull markets and quality stocks

"Dips are just discounts with a deadline."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

In uptrending markets (which is most of market history), pullbacks are temporary. Institutions use them to accumulate. Danny's 3% threshold filters out normal volatility.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-danny-simulation.php

📊 Recent High (Lookback)

Recent High = MAX(Closet-n ... Closet)
Finds the highest closing price over the lookback period to measure the dip from.
Lookback Period = 20 bars
Recent High = max(array_slice(closes, -20))
Uses closing prices only (not highs)
📁 getRecentHigh() @ lines 166-171

📊 Dip Percentage Calculation

Dip % = ((Current Price - Recent High) ÷ Recent High) × 100
Measures how far the current price has fallen from the recent high. Negative values indicate a dip.
Current Price = latest closing price
Recent High = MAX of last 20 closes
Example: Price=$97, High=$100 → Dip = -3%

📊 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

Signal = Dip % ≤ -3%
When price drops 3% or more from the 20-bar high, Danny sees a buying opportunity.
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT = 3.0%
Entry triggers when: dipPct <= -DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT
Position size: 100% capital (fractional for crypto, whole shares for stocks)

📈 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 14 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

DIP_LOOKBACK: 20
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: 3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 14

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Baron Rothschild during the Napoleonic Wars

The legend says Baron Rothschild made a fortune during the panic following the Battle of Waterloo in 1815. His alleged advice: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Year to Date: Jan 1, 2026 Jun 19, 2026 (168 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return YTD Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 INTC 64 61 +137.35% $14,614 $34,685 35 57% - +$20,072 -28.4% 2.9d -
2 MU 36 13🧊 +116.14% $9,135 $19,744 38 61% - +$10,609 -35.3% 2.8d -
3 ARM 4 13 +79.30% $4,344 $7,789 40 53% - +$3,445 -64.8% 2.0d -
4 AVGO 54 36 +60.01% $16,146 $25,835 21 62% - +$9,689 -23.6% 3.3d -
5 AMD 47 64 +59.01% $17,295 $27,500 29 48% - +$10,206 -37.8% 2.6d -
6 SOXL 68 81 +53.83% $31,091 $47,827 57 47% - +$16,736 -35.0% 1.2d -
7 SMCI 4 22 +40.40% $3,482 $4,889 41 46% - +$1,407 -80.5% 1.4d -
8 GS 28 53🔥 +26.66% $10,887 $13,789 9 67% - +$2,902 -18.8% 5.7d -
9 VXX 16 0 +25.68% $9,394 $11,807 27 48% - +$2,412 -45.0% 2.1d -
10 AMZN 36 32 +24.79% $12,714 $15,866 9 78% - +$3,152 -17.3% 5.3d -
11 MS 27 +23.67% $11,030 $13,641 10 60% - +$2,611 -21.4% 5.4d -
12 IBM 43 33 +22.43% $11,698 $14,322 16 50% - +$2,624 -6.0% 4.0d -
13 NET 20 1 +22.38% $10,064 $12,316 29 48% - +$2,252 -32.2% 2.6d -
14 MRNA 5 2 +22.01% $5,531 $6,748 38 45% - +$1,217 -66.5% 1.9d -
15 SLV 44 1🧊 +21.17% $14,812 $17,948 26 46% - +$3,136 -14.0% 5.9d -
16 OXY 32 +21.15% $11,050 $13,387 14 64% - +$2,337 -10.3% 6.0d -
17 NIO 30 2🧊 +18.95% $13,541 $16,107 24 50% - +$2,566 -28.6% 2.0d -
18 GOOGL 42 +17.60% $14,181 $16,677 6 67% - +$2,496 -12.7% 4.7d -
19 COIN 14 6 +13.94% $9,503 $10,827 42 40% - +$1,325 -46.7% 1.3d -
20 BIIB 23 +11.33% $11,300 $12,580 7 57% - +$1,280 -22.4% 3.7d -
21 DKNG 22 6 +11.26% $12,066 $13,425 24 42% - +$1,359 -45.9% 2.7d -
22 UNH 6 +11.23% $9,043 $10,059 6 67% - +$1,016 -24.8% 5.5d -
23 GLD 27 +10.86% $10,492 $11,631 10 60% - +$1,139 -6.1% 8.8d -
24 C 20 +10.79% $11,921 $13,208 9 56% - +$1,286 -17.4% 5.5d -
25 COP 5 +10.13% $9,011 $9,924 12 50% - +$913 -17.9% 6.2d -
26 PFE 24 +9.72% $11,229 $12,321 3 100% - +$1,092 -6.1% 5.6d -
27 USO 15 3 +9.47% $9,834 $10,765 22 45% - +$931 -13.1% 6.0d -
28 WMT 35 +9.39% $12,136 $13,276 5 60% - +$1,140 -6.9% 6.9d -
29 MARA 13 26 +8.76% $9,919 $10,787 52 40% - +$869 -46.1% 1.0d -
30 ABBV +8.38% $10,612 $11,502 3 67% - +$889 -16.8% 5.6d -
31 TQQQ 26 2🧊 +8.37% $13,662 $14,806 25 40% - +$1,144 -40.6% 1.9d -
32 RIOT 5 8 +7.37% $4,382 $4,705 47 43% - +$323 -63.2% 23.1h -
33 CSCO 36 +6.78% $11,667 $12,458 5 60% - +$791 -3.1% 10.6d -
34 LLY 28 +5.43% $15,043 $15,860 7 43% - +$817 -15.9% 4.1d -
35 BLK 41 +5.18% $14,224 $14,961 8 38% - +$737 -9.1% 4.7d -
36 PEP 4 +5.10% $9,195 $9,664 1 100% - +$469 -13.1% 5.9d -
37 QQQ +4.98% $11,120 $11,674 1 100% - +$554 -4.7% 7.7d -
38 AXP 9 +4.97% $9,920 $10,413 6 50% - +$493 -18.1% 7.3d -
39 REGN 18 +4.68% $11,438 $11,973 7 43% - +$535 -23.1% 4.9d -
40 HD 3 +4.56% $9,417 $9,846 7 43% - +$429 -13.9% 6.6d -
41 GILD 9 +3.49% $10,084 $10,436 5 40% - +$352 -12.5% 9.3d -
42 SCHW 28 +2.91% $12,595 $12,961 6 50% - +$366 -13.5% 5.8d -
43 V +2.02% $9,790 $9,988 3 67% - +$198 -9.6% 3.2d -
44 AAPL 19 +1.94% $11,468 $11,690 2 50% - +$222 -10.0% 5.6d -
45 NVDA 4 0 +1.78% $9,059 $9,220 12 42% - +$161 -47.0% 3.2d -
46 BRK-B +1.77% $11,618 $11,824 1 100% - +$206 -3.1% 5.9d -
47 PG +1.57% $11,247 $11,424 2 50% - +$177 -3.7% 8.9d -
48 VZ 17 +1.55% $10,657 $10,822 2 50% - +$165 -6.7% 7.6d -
49 CMCSA 3 +1.35% $8,616 $8,732 6 50% - +$116 -19.5% 5.8d -
50 SNOW 2 2 +1.20% $7,061 $7,146 29 38% - +$85 -40.8% 3.4d -
51 VOO +0.00% $11,290 $11,290 NO ENTRY - - - -4.2% 2.5d -
52 VTI +0.00% $11,302 $11,302 NO ENTRY - - - -4.5% 2.5d -
53 DIA +0.00% $10,226 $10,226 NO ENTRY - - - -3.2% 23.9h -
54 TLT +0.00% $9,688 $9,688 NO ENTRY - - - -3.7% 8.0d -
55 KO +0.00% $10,069 $10,069 NO ENTRY - - - -4.9% 10.1d -
56 SPY +0.00% $11,256 $11,256 NO ENTRY - - - -4.3% 2.5d -
57 JNJ +0.00% $11,477 $11,477 NO ENTRY - - - -3.1% 9.4d -
58 MCD +0.00% $10,874 $10,874 NO ENTRY - - - -3.0% 8.8d -
59 AMC 3 82🔥 -0.04% $5,157 $5,155 45 38% - -$2 -52.2% 1.7d -
60 MRK 15 -0.26% $11,016 $10,987 6 33% - -$29 -17.9% 6.1d -
61 JPM 13 -0.43% $10,471 $10,426 5 40% - -$45 -23.6% 6.3d -
62 GME 3 -0.85% $7,694 $7,629 8 38% - -$65 -41.9% 2.0d -
63 UVXY 5 6 -0.88% $7,944 $7,875 44 43% - -$70 -61.4% 1.4d -
64 VRTX 6 -1.28% $10,076 $9,947 3 33% - -$129 -20.8% 4.5d -
65 DIS -1.44% $9,379 $9,244 2 50% - -$135 -18.6% 5.7d -
66 MDT -1.88% $10,282 $10,088 2 50% - -$193 -8.9% 6.9d -
67 AMGN 10 -2.39% $10,875 $10,615 3 33% - -$260 -12.0% 6.4d -
68 XLF -3.15% $11,187 $10,835 1 0% - -$352 -7.7% 4.7d -
69 BMY 3 -3.23% $8,627 $8,348 5 40% - -$279 -20.0% 5.8d -
70 IWM -3.31% $10,903 $10,542 1 0% - -$361 -11.7% 5.3d -
71 MA 24 -4.73% $12,058 $11,488 5 40% - -$570 -6.6% 6.7d -
72 TSLA 26 10 -4.92% $14,471 $13,759 17 35% - -$712 -32.0% 2.3d -
73 SLB 5 0 -5.62% $9,968 $9,408 11 36% - -$560 -22.1% 6.3d -
74 PM 3 -6.07% $10,424 $9,792 7 29% - -$633 -3.7% 4.9d -
75 COST 3 -6.18% $9,554 $8,964 2 0% - -$590 -9.0% 8.2d -
76 XLK 3 -6.36% $9,105 $8,526 4 25% - -$579 -12.2% 4.7d -
77 NFLX 18 -6.83% $12,631 $11,768 5 20% - -$863 -15.4% 6.9d -
78 TMO 2 -6.99% $8,948 $8,323 5 20% - -$625 -21.7% 5.2d -
79 CVX 4 -7.48% $8,920 $8,253 5 20% - -$667 -14.4% 8.9d -
80 MSFT 14 -8.08% $11,712 $10,766 5 20% - -$946 -14.5% 6.5d -
81 XLE 6 -8.46% $11,039 $10,105 5 20% - -$934 -4.4% 7.7d -
82 META 4 -8.82% $8,426 $7,683 8 25% - -$743 -28.8% 4.2d -
83 XOM 2 -9.46% $9,388 $8,500 5 20% - -$888 -7.4% 8.0d -
84 WFC 10 -9.80% $11,816 $10,658 6 17% - -$1,158 -13.1% 5.5d -
85 CRM 3 3 -10.68% $9,588 $8,564 19 32% - -$1,024 -27.5% 4.8d -
86 BAC 14 -10.89% $13,351 $11,897 4 0% - -$1,454 -15.8% 6.6d -
87 PANW 4 0 -11.45% $9,262 $8,202 14 36% - -$1,061 -27.2% 4.1d -
88 ISRG 3 -12.43% $10,200 $8,932 7 14% - -$1,268 -20.7% 5.1d -
89 SPXU 4 29🔥 -13.65% $9,071 $7,833 15 33% - -$1,238 -27.6% 4.2d -
90 ACN 3 14 -14.25% $9,573 $8,209 16 38% - -$1,364 -14.7% 7.7d -
91 RBLX 29 10 -17.70% $18,127 $14,919 32 31% - -$3,209 -32.4% 3.5d -
92 PYPL 3 -18.38% $7,589 $6,194 9 22% - -$1,395 -32.8% 5.5d -
93 ARKK 35 -18.70% $20,631 $16,773 9 11% - -$3,858 -21.5% 3.1d -
94 PLTR 63 2🧊 -20.22% $51,364 $40,978 23 26% - -$10,386 -34.2% 2.1d -
95 CRWD 5 1 -21.82% $10,993 $8,594 19 32% - -$2,399 -28.2% 3.4d -
96 HOOD 28 34 -22.55% $22,306 $17,276 31 32% - -$5,030 -37.6% 1.7d -
97 RIVN 3 15 -23.27% $4,847 $3,719 26 31% - -$1,128 -55.2% 1.8d -
98 SQQQ 4 3 -25.11% $11,976 $8,969 27 26% - -$3,007 -33.6% 2.3d -
99 ORCL 4 2 -28.66% $10,729 $7,654 27 30% - -$3,075 -29.3% 3.3d -
100 ADBE 3 2 -31.71% $7,977 $5,448 15 13% - -$2,530 -34.6% 4.7d -
101 SOFI 5 43🔥 -34.74% $12,254 $7,997 29 24% - -$4,257 -30.6% 2.3d -
102 LCID 4 3 -40.76% $6,403 $3,793 38 24% - -$2,610 -57.4% 1.7d -

👤 Personality

Eternally bullish, impossibly optimistic. Has seen Napoleon's wars, the Long Depression, the Great Depression, 1987, 2000, 2008, and 2020—and made money in each recovery.