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Danny Dip
3

Danny Dip

The Optimist

🛒 Swing Trader 📅 226 years old (Born 1800)

"A 3% pullback in a bull market is just the universe giving you a second chance to buy what you missed."

Spry man of perhaps 70, but his eyes contain centuries. Wears a peculiar mix of Regency-era waistcoat over a modern hoodie, as if he can't decide which century he belongs to.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Jan 1, 2026 → Sep 24, 2026 (265d)

📊 Year to Date Performance: Showing Danny Dip's performance over the year to date across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$12,018
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $11,322 (+$696)
+6.15%
Year to Date ROI
40.2%
Win Rate
2,208
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+0.0%
1 Month
+2.5%
3 Months
+4.4%
6 Months
+6.1%
YTD
+7.6%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Year to Date)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy 3% dips, target 5% profit

Waits for quality assets to pull back 3% from recent highs, then enters with a 5% profit target. Uses trailing stops to protect gains during extended runs.

🎯 Best Suited For

Bull markets and quality stocks

"Dips are just discounts with a deadline."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

In uptrending markets (which is most of market history), pullbacks are temporary. Institutions use them to accumulate. Danny's 3% threshold filters out normal volatility.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-danny-simulation.php

📊 Recent High (Lookback)

Recent High = MAX(Closet-n ... Closet)
Finds the highest closing price over the lookback period to measure the dip from.
Lookback Period = 20 bars
Recent High = max(array_slice(closes, -20))
Uses closing prices only (not highs)
📁 getRecentHigh() @ lines 166-171

📊 Dip Percentage Calculation

Dip % = ((Current Price - Recent High) ÷ Recent High) × 100
Measures how far the current price has fallen from the recent high. Negative values indicate a dip.
Current Price = latest closing price
Recent High = MAX of last 20 closes
Example: Price=$97, High=$100 → Dip = -3%

📊 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

Signal = Dip % ≤ -3%
When price drops 3% or more from the 20-bar high, Danny sees a buying opportunity.
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT = 3.0%
Entry triggers when: dipPct <= -DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT
Position size: 100% capital (fractional for crypto, whole shares for stocks)

📈 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

→

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 14 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

DIP_LOOKBACK: 20
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: 3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 14

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Baron Rothschild during the Napoleonic Wars

The legend says Baron Rothschild made a fortune during the panic following the Battle of Waterloo in 1815. His alleged advice: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Year to Date: Jan 1, 2026 → Sep 24, 2026 (265 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return YTD Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 INTC 60 0🧊 +148.24% $14,614 $36,277 57 51% - +$21,663 -28.4% 2.9d ✓ -
2 MU 39 — +147.34% $9,135 $22,594 59 53% - +$13,459 -35.3% 2.8d ✓ -
3 MRNA 18 32 +133.59% $5,531 $12,919 65 45% - +$7,388 -66.5% 1.9d ✓ -
4 AMD 55 51 +101.32% $17,295 $34,819 48 50% - +$17,523 -37.8% 2.6d ✓ -
5 NET 34 32 +78.00% $10,063 $17,913 47 53% - +$7,849 -32.2% 2.6d ✓ -
6 AVGO 51 — +51.35% $16,145 $24,436 30 53% - +$8,291 -23.6% 3.3d ✓ -
7 SMCI 5 21 +50.56% $3,482 $5,243 64 45% - +$1,761 -80.5% 1.4d ✓ -
8 VXX 18 — +35.38% $9,395 $12,719 35 49% - +$3,324 -45.0% 2.1d ✓ -
9 BIIB 32 — +29.85% $11,299 $14,672 12 67% - +$3,373 -22.4% 3.7d ✓ -
10 MS 24 — +25.10% $11,030 $13,799 14 57% - +$2,769 -21.4% 5.4d ✓ -
11 IBM 44 — +24.10% $11,699 $14,518 24 50% - +$2,819 -6.0% 4.0d ✓ -
12 GILD 24 — +23.73% $10,084 $12,477 9 67% - +$2,393 -12.5% 9.3d ✓ -
13 COIN 17 3 +22.05% $9,502 $11,597 63 41% - +$2,095 -46.7% 1.3d ✓ -
14 GS 26 — +19.87% $10,887 $13,050 15 53% - +$2,163 -18.8% 5.7d ✓ -
15 C 26 — +19.87% $11,921 $14,289 12 58% - +$2,369 -17.4% 5.5d ✓ -
16 OXY 28 — +16.20% $11,050 $12,840 18 56% - +$1,790 -10.3% 6.0d ✓ -
17 SLV 43 0🧊 +14.20% $14,811 $16,915 33 42% - +$2,103 -14.0% 5.9d ✓ -
18 NIO 28 — +14.02% $13,541 $15,439 33 45% - +$1,898 -28.6% 2.0d ✓ -
19 VRTX 18 — +13.98% $10,077 $11,486 6 50% - +$1,409 -20.8% 4.5d ✓ -
20 CSCO 38 — +13.73% $11,667 $13,269 10 60% - +$1,602 -3.1% 10.6d ✓ -
21 GOOGL 39 — +13.63% $14,181 $16,113 11 55% - +$1,933 -12.7% 4.7d ✓ -
22 TQQQ 27 27 +13.04% $13,662 $15,444 43 42% - +$1,782 -40.6% 1.9d ✓ -
23 BLK 47 — +12.82% $14,225 $16,049 11 45% - +$1,824 -9.1% 4.7d ✓ -
24 DKNG 22 7 +12.71% $12,066 $13,600 41 41% - +$1,534 -45.9% 2.7d ✓ -
25 NVDA 8 — +12.36% $9,058 $10,178 19 47% - +$1,120 -47.0% 3.2d ✓ -
26 AMZN 25 — +11.86% $12,714 $14,222 12 58% - +$1,508 -17.3% 5.3d ✓ -
27 WMT 32 — +11.50% $12,136 $13,532 7 57% - +$1,396 -6.9% 6.9d ✓ -
28 DIS 6 — +9.13% $9,379 $10,236 4 75% - +$856 -18.6% 5.7d ✓ -
29 LLY 32 — +8.04% $15,043 $16,252 12 42% - +$1,209 -15.9% 4.1d ✓ -
30 MSFT 20 — +6.75% $11,712 $12,503 8 50% - +$791 -14.5% 6.5d ✓ -
31 CRM 8 19 +6.75% $9,588 $10,236 29 38% - +$647 -27.5% 4.8d ✓ -
32 SNOW 3 0 +6.54% $7,062 $7,523 40 40% - +$462 -40.8% 3.4d ✓ -
33 PFE 18 — +6.19% $11,230 $11,925 4 75% - +$695 -6.1% 5.6d ✓ -
34 MDT 17 — +6.00% $10,281 $10,898 4 75% - +$617 -8.9% 6.9d ✓ -
35 GME 3 — +5.63% $7,694 $8,128 11 45% - +$433 -41.9% 2.0d ✓ -
36 PYPL 5 — +5.15% $7,589 $7,980 16 50% - +$391 -32.8% 5.5d ✓ -
37 USO 12 24 +5.09% $9,834 $10,334 30 43% - +$501 -13.1% 6.0d ✓ -
38 QQQ 19 — +4.75% $11,120 $11,648 2 50% - +$528 -4.7% 7.7d ✓ -
39 ABBV 13 — +4.61% $10,613 $11,102 4 50% - +$489 -16.8% 5.6d ✓ -
40 GLD 13 — +4.17% $10,491 $10,929 11 55% - +$437 -6.1% 8.8d ✓ -
41 V 7 — +4.01% $9,791 $10,183 4 75% - +$393 -9.6% 3.2d ✓ -
42 PG — — +3.70% $11,248 $11,664 3 67% - +$416 -3.7% 8.9d ✓ -
43 PEP 2 — +3.35% $9,195 $9,503 2 50% - +$308 -13.1% 5.9d ✓ -
44 AXP 10 — +3.09% $9,920 $10,226 9 44% - +$307 -18.1% 7.3d ✓ -
45 UNH 4 — +2.73% $9,043 $9,290 9 44% - +$247 -24.8% 5.5d ✓ -
46 TMO 2 — +2.37% $8,948 $9,160 7 43% - +$212 -21.7% 5.2d ✓ -
47 MCD — — +1.87% $10,873 $11,077 2 50% - +$203 -3.0% 8.8d ✓ -
48 BRK-B — — +1.77% $11,618 $11,824 1 100% - +$206 -3.1% 5.9d ✓ -
49 REGN 18 — +1.70% $11,438 $11,632 8 38% - +$194 -23.1% 4.9d ✓ -
50 TSLA 28 — +1.33% $14,471 $14,664 27 44% - +$192 -32.0% 2.3d ✓ -
51 JNJ — — +0.96% $11,477 $11,587 1 100% - +$110 -3.1% 9.4d ✓ -
52 META 4 — +0.93% $8,427 $8,505 15 40% - +$78 -28.8% 4.2d ✓ -
53 PLTR 69 15🧊 +0.69% $51,364 $51,719 37 35% - +$354 -34.2% 2.1d ✓ -
54 VTI — — +0.00% $11,302 $11,302 NO ENTRY - - - -4.5% 2.5d ✓ -
55 DIA — — +0.00% $10,226 $10,226 NO ENTRY - - - -3.2% 23.9h ✓ -
56 VOO — — +0.00% $11,290 $11,290 NO ENTRY - - - -4.2% 2.5d ✓ -
57 KO — — +0.00% $10,069 $10,069 NO ENTRY - - - -4.9% 10.1d ✓ -
58 SPY — — +0.00% $11,256 $11,256 NO ENTRY - - - -4.3% 2.5d ✓ -
59 TLT — — +0.00% $9,688 $9,688 NO ENTRY - - - -3.7% 8.0d ✓ -
60 JPM — — -0.43% $10,471 $10,426 5 40% - -$45 -23.6% 6.3d ✓ -
61 COP 4 — -0.69% $9,011 $8,949 15 40% - -$62 -17.9% 6.2d ✓ -
62 MRK 14 — -0.82% $11,016 $10,926 7 29% - -$90 -17.9% 6.1d ✓ -
63 SCHW 25 — -1.35% $12,595 $12,425 8 38% - -$170 -13.5% 5.8d ✓ -
64 XLK 4 — -1.42% $9,105 $8,975 8 38% - -$129 -12.2% 4.7d ✓ -
65 BMY 3 — -1.44% $8,627 $8,502 8 38% - -$124 -20.0% 5.8d ✓ -
66 HD 3 — -1.49% $9,417 $9,276 9 33% - -$140 -13.9% 6.6d ✓ -
67 SQQQ 17 21 -2.24% $11,976 $11,708 43 37% - -$268 -33.6% 2.3d ✓ -
68 CMCSA 3 — -3.09% $8,616 $8,350 10 40% - -$266 -19.5% 5.8d ✓ -
69 XLF — — -3.15% $11,187 $10,835 1 0% - -$352 -7.7% 4.7d ✓ -
70 IWM — — -3.31% $10,903 $10,542 1 0% - -$361 -11.7% 5.3d ✓ -
71 AMGN 10 — -3.77% $10,875 $10,465 5 40% - -$410 -12.0% 6.4d ✓ -
72 ARM 4 18 -4.00% $4,344 $4,170 63 38% - -$174 -64.8% 2.0d ✓ -
73 RIOT 5 3 -4.72% $4,382 $4,175 76 39% - -$207 -63.2% 23.1h ✓ -
74 MA — — -4.73% $12,058 $11,488 5 40% - -$570 -6.6% 6.7d ✓ -
75 PM 3 — -5.05% $10,425 $9,899 9 33% - -$526 -3.7% 4.9d ✓ -
76 CVX 5 — -6.78% $8,920 $8,315 6 33% - -$605 -14.4% 8.9d ✓ -
77 RBLX 35 51 -6.83% $18,128 $16,890 47 40% - -$1,238 -32.4% 3.5d ✓ -
78 COST 2 — -7.21% $9,554 $8,865 4 0% - -$689 -9.0% 8.2d ✓ -
79 WFC 12 — -8.25% $11,816 $10,841 8 25% - -$975 -13.1% 5.5d ✓ -
80 VZ 4 — -8.26% $10,656 $9,776 5 20% - -$880 -6.7% 7.6d ✓ -
81 XLE — — -8.46% $11,039 $10,105 5 20% - -$934 -4.4% 7.7d ✓ -
82 SOXL 46 31 -8.52% $31,090 $28,441 93 41% - -$2,649 -35.0% 1.2d ✓ -
83 NFLX 17 — -9.07% $12,630 $11,485 11 27% - -$1,146 -15.4% 6.9d ✓ -
84 AAPL 8 — -9.68% $11,467 $10,357 4 25% - -$1,110 -10.0% 5.6d ✓ -
85 XOM 2 — -10.54% $9,389 $8,399 8 25% - -$990 -7.4% 8.0d ✓ -
86 SLB 5 — -11.23% $9,968 $8,848 15 33% - -$1,119 -22.1% 6.3d ✓ -
87 BAC 20 — -13.66% $13,352 $11,528 5 0% - -$1,824 -15.8% 6.6d ✓ -
88 HOOD 31 7🧊 -13.93% $22,308 $19,200 51 37% - -$3,107 -37.6% 1.7d ✓ -
89 ORCL 5 32🔥 -15.27% $10,729 $9,091 45 38% - -$1,638 -29.3% 3.3d ✓ -
90 SPXU 4 — -15.59% $9,071 $7,657 20 35% - -$1,414 -27.6% 4.2d ✓ -
91 ADBE 3 15 -17.58% $7,977 $6,575 27 33% - -$1,402 -34.6% 4.7d ✓ -
92 ISRG 3 — -18.46% $10,200 $8,317 14 21% - -$1,883 -20.7% 5.1d ✓ -
93 ARKK 32 — -18.54% $20,633 $16,807 14 21% - -$3,825 -21.5% 3.1d ✓ -
94 PANW 4 4 -19.54% $9,262 $7,453 27 33% - -$1,810 -27.2% 4.1d ✓ -
95 RIVN 3 18 -23.12% $4,847 $3,726 41 34% - -$1,121 -55.2% 1.8d ✓ -
96 CRWD 5 3 -28.05% $10,992 $7,909 34 32% - -$3,083 -28.2% 3.4d ✓ -
97 MARA 5 5 -28.14% $9,919 $7,128 83 35% - -$2,791 -46.1% 1.0d ✓ -
98 ACN 3 0 -30.13% $9,573 $6,689 28 32% - -$2,884 -14.7% 7.7d ✓ -
99 UVXY 4 0 -34.41% $7,944 $5,211 61 34% - -$2,734 -61.4% 1.4d ✓ -
100 AMC 3 2 -41.87% $5,157 $2,998 72 35% - -$2,159 -52.2% 1.7d ✓ -
101 SOFI 5 2 -43.55% $12,253 $6,917 44 25% - -$5,336 -30.6% 2.3d ✓ -
102 LCID 3 3 -52.21% $6,402 $3,060 65 28% - -$3,343 -57.4% 1.7d ✓ -

👤 Personality

Eternally bullish, impossibly optimistic. Has seen Napoleon's wars, the Long Depression, the Great Depression, 1987, 2000, 2008, and 2020—and made money in each recovery.