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Danny Dip
3

Danny Dip

The Optimist

🛒 Swing Trader 📅 226 years old (Born 1800)

"A 3% pullback in a bull market is just the universe giving you a second chance to buy what you missed."

Spry man of perhaps 70, but his eyes contain centuries. Wears a peculiar mix of Regency-era waistcoat over a modern hoodie, as if he can't decide which century he belongs to.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Sep 24, 2025 → Sep 24, 2026 (365d)

📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Danny Dip's performance over the last year across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$10,869
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,641 (+$227)
+2.14%
Last Year ROI
41.2%
Win Rate
4,194
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+3.8%
1 Month
+6.9%
3 Months
+6.3%
6 Months
+3.9%
YTD
+2.1%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last Year)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last Year)

Stock Volume
$35,122,211
2,827 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$2,601,445
1,367 trades
Crypto Fees
$6,504
0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy 3% dips, target 5% profit

Waits for quality assets to pull back 3% from recent highs, then enters with a 5% profit target. Uses trailing stops to protect gains during extended runs.

🎯 Best Suited For

Bull markets and quality stocks

"Dips are just discounts with a deadline."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

In uptrending markets (which is most of market history), pullbacks are temporary. Institutions use them to accumulate. Danny's 3% threshold filters out normal volatility.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-danny-simulation.php

📊 Recent High (Lookback)

Recent High = MAX(Closet-n ... Closet)
Finds the highest closing price over the lookback period to measure the dip from.
Lookback Period = 20 bars
Recent High = max(array_slice(closes, -20))
Uses closing prices only (not highs)
📁 getRecentHigh() @ lines 166-171

📊 Dip Percentage Calculation

Dip % = ((Current Price - Recent High) ÷ Recent High) × 100
Measures how far the current price has fallen from the recent high. Negative values indicate a dip.
Current Price = latest closing price
Recent High = MAX of last 20 closes
Example: Price=$97, High=$100 → Dip = -3%

📊 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

Signal = Dip % ≤ -3%
When price drops 3% or more from the 20-bar high, Danny sees a buying opportunity.
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT = 3.0%
Entry triggers when: dipPct <= -DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT
Position size: 100% capital (fractional for crypto, whole shares for stocks)

📈 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

→

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 14 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

DIP_LOOKBACK: 20
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: 3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 14

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Baron Rothschild during the Napoleonic Wars

The legend says Baron Rothschild made a fortune during the panic following the Battle of Waterloo in 1815. His alleged advice: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Year: Sep 24, 2025 → Sep 24, 2026 (365 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 1Y Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 INTC 60 0🧊 +205.12% $11,889 $36,277 71 52% - +$24,387 -28.4% 2.9d ✓ -
2 AMD 55 51 +201.48% $11,549 $34,819 64 50% - +$23,269 -37.8% 2.6d ✓ -
3 MU 39 — +159.46% $8,708 $22,594 72 50% - +$13,886 -35.3% 2.8d ✓ -
4 MRNA 18 32 +95.62% $6,604 $12,919 81 41% - +$6,315 -66.5% 1.9d ✓ -
5 NET 34 32 +71.66% $10,435 $17,913 58 50% - +$7,478 -32.2% 2.6d ✓ -
6 SLV 43 0🧊 +64.85% $10,261 $16,915 42 52% - +$6,654 -14.0% 5.9d ✓ -
7 VXX 18 — +61.85% $7,858 $12,719 48 50% - +$4,860 -45.0% 2.1d ✓ -
8 BIIB 32 — +57.63% $9,308 $14,672 19 74% - +$5,364 -22.4% 3.7d ✓ -
9 GOOGL 39 — +45.43% $11,080 $16,113 17 65% - +$5,034 -12.7% 4.7d ✓ -
10 TQQQ 27 27 +39.43% $11,076 $15,444 58 45% - +$4,367 -40.6% 1.9d ✓ -
11 IBM 44 — +39.32% $10,421 $14,518 26 54% - +$4,097 -6.0% 4.0d ✓ -
12 MS 24 — +30.66% $10,561 $13,799 16 56% - +$3,238 -21.4% 5.4d ✓ -
13 GILD 24 — +29.24% $9,654 $12,477 11 64% - +$2,823 -12.5% 9.3d ✓ -
14 C 26 — +27.23% $11,231 $14,289 15 60% - +$3,058 -17.4% 5.5d ✓ -
15 CRM 8 19 +25.96% $8,126 $10,236 34 44% - +$2,110 -27.5% 4.8d ✓ -
16 TSLA 28 — +25.03% $11,728 $14,664 39 49% - +$2,936 -32.0% 2.3d ✓ -
17 AVGO 51 — +22.28% $19,984 $24,436 40 45% - +$4,452 -23.6% 3.3d ✓ -
18 OXY 28 — +21.55% $10,564 $12,840 21 57% - +$2,276 -10.3% 6.0d ✓ -
19 VRTX 18 — +19.66% $9,599 $11,486 7 57% - +$1,887 -20.8% 4.5d ✓ -
20 GS 26 — +18.32% $11,029 $13,050 17 53% - +$2,021 -18.8% 5.7d ✓ -
21 BLK 47 — +18.24% $13,573 $16,049 12 50% - +$2,476 -9.1% 4.7d ✓ -
22 LLY 32 — +16.07% $14,002 $16,252 15 47% - +$2,250 -15.9% 4.1d ✓ -
23 CSCO 38 — +13.90% $11,650 $13,269 11 64% - +$1,619 -3.1% 10.6d ✓ -
24 WMT 32 — +11.50% $12,136 $13,532 7 57% - +$1,396 -6.9% 6.9d ✓ -
25 JPM — — +10.16% $9,464 $10,426 8 63% - +$962 -23.6% 6.3d ✓ -
26 MRK 14 — +9.55% $9,973 $10,926 9 44% - +$952 -17.9% 6.1d ✓ -
27 QQQ 19 — +9.31% $10,656 $11,648 3 67% - +$992 -4.7% 7.7d ✓ -
28 MDT 17 — +7.95% $10,096 $10,898 6 67% - +$803 -8.9% 6.9d ✓ -
29 NVDA 8 — +6.96% $9,516 $10,178 26 42% - +$662 -47.0% 3.2d ✓ -
30 GLD 13 — +6.92% $10,222 $10,929 14 57% - +$707 -6.1% 8.8d ✓ -
31 ABBV 13 — +6.46% $10,428 $11,102 6 50% - +$674 -16.8% 5.6d ✓ -
32 GME 3 — +6.39% $7,639 $8,128 16 44% - +$488 -41.9% 2.0d ✓ -
33 NIO 28 — +5.84% $14,587 $15,439 51 43% - +$852 -28.6% 2.0d ✓ -
34 DIS 6 — +5.81% $9,674 $10,236 5 60% - +$562 -18.6% 5.7d ✓ -
35 DOTUSD ₿ — — +5.32% $10,095 $10,632 14 43% $739 +$537 -99.1% 14.0h 1 Feb 6, 2026
36 AMZN 25 — +5.25% $13,513 $14,222 14 50% - +$709 -17.3% 5.3d ✓ -
37 SQQQ 17 21 +5.16% $11,133 $11,708 56 39% - +$574 -33.6% 2.3d ✓ -
38 PFE 18 — +4.95% $11,362 $11,925 7 57% - +$562 -6.1% 5.6d ✓ -
39 SLB 5 — +4.72% $8,449 $8,848 19 47% - +$399 -22.1% 6.3d ✓ -
40 SMCI 5 21 +4.52% $5,016 $5,243 84 39% - +$227 -80.5% 1.4d ✓ -
41 V 7 — +4.01% $9,791 $10,183 4 75% - +$393 -9.6% 3.2d ✓ -
42 MSFT 20 — +3.64% $12,064 $12,503 10 50% - +$439 -14.5% 6.5d ✓ -
43 TMO 2 — +2.35% $8,950 $9,160 8 38% - +$210 -21.7% 5.2d ✓ -
44 MCD — — +1.87% $10,873 $11,077 2 50% - +$203 -3.0% 8.8d ✓ -
45 COP 4 — +1.83% $8,788 $8,949 18 44% - +$161 -17.9% 6.2d ✓ -
46 DKNG 22 7 +1.81% $13,358 $13,600 54 39% - +$242 -45.9% 2.7d ✓ -
47 BRK-B — — +1.77% $11,618 $11,824 1 100% - +$206 -3.1% 5.9d ✓ -
48 PYPL 5 — +1.47% $7,865 $7,980 23 48% - +$116 -32.8% 5.5d ✓ -
49 JNJ — — +0.96% $11,477 $11,587 1 100% - +$110 -3.1% 9.4d ✓ -
50 KO — — +0.83% $9,987 $10,069 1 100% - +$83 -4.9% 10.1d ✓ -
51 PG — — +0.58% $11,597 $11,664 4 50% - +$67 -3.7% 8.9d ✓ -
52 CMCSA 3 — +0.52% $8,307 $8,350 13 46% - +$43 -19.5% 5.8d ✓ -
53 PEP 2 — +0.27% $9,477 $9,503 3 33% - +$26 -13.1% 5.9d ✓ -
54 VOO — — +0.00% $11,290 $11,290 NO ENTRY - - - -4.2% 2.5d ✓ -
55 VTI — — +0.00% $11,302 $11,302 NO ENTRY - - - -4.5% 2.5d ✓ -
56 SPY — — +0.00% $11,256 $11,256 NO ENTRY - - - -4.3% 2.5d ✓ -
57 DIA — — +0.00% $10,226 $10,226 NO ENTRY - - - -3.2% 23.9h ✓ -
58 TLT — — +0.00% $9,688 $9,688 NO ENTRY - - - -3.7% 8.0d ✓ -
59 COIN 17 3 -0.41% $11,645 $11,597 84 38% - -$48 -46.7% 1.3d ✓ -
60 SNOW 3 0 -0.65% $7,573 $7,523 46 39% - -$49 -40.8% 3.4d ✓ -
61 SCHW 25 — -1.35% $12,595 $12,425 8 38% - -$170 -13.5% 5.8d ✓ -
62 REGN 18 — -2.01% $11,871 $11,632 11 36% - -$239 -23.1% 4.9d ✓ -
63 AXP 10 — -3.12% $10,555 $10,226 11 36% - -$329 -18.1% 7.3d ✓ -
64 XLF — — -3.15% $11,187 $10,835 1 0% - -$352 -7.7% 4.7d ✓ -
65 IWM — — -3.31% $10,903 $10,542 1 0% - -$361 -11.7% 5.3d ✓ -
66 AMGN 10 — -3.77% $10,875 $10,465 5 40% - -$410 -12.0% 6.4d ✓ -
67 PM 3 — -3.92% $10,303 $9,899 11 36% - -$404 -3.7% 4.9d ✓ -
68 UNH 4 — -4.21% $9,698 $9,290 11 36% - -$408 -24.8% 5.5d ✓ -
69 USO 12 24 -4.31% $10,800 $10,334 33 39% - -$465 -13.1% 6.0d ✓ -
70 XLK 4 — -4.46% $9,394 $8,975 9 33% - -$419 -12.2% 4.7d ✓ -
71 ORCL 5 32🔥 -4.50% $9,519 $9,091 59 39% - -$428 -29.3% 3.3d ✓ -
72 BMY 3 — -4.62% $8,914 $8,502 9 33% - -$412 -20.0% 5.8d ✓ -
73 MA — — -4.73% $12,058 $11,488 5 40% - -$570 -6.6% 6.7d ✓ -
74 CVX 5 — -5.16% $8,767 $8,315 7 43% - -$452 -14.4% 8.9d ✓ -
75 META 4 — -5.19% $8,971 $8,505 18 39% - -$466 -28.8% 4.2d ✓ -
76 ARM 4 18 -5.63% $4,419 $4,170 76 38% - -$249 -64.8% 2.0d ✓ -
77 HD 3 — -7.28% $10,005 $9,276 11 27% - -$728 -13.9% 6.6d ✓ -
78 WFC 12 — -8.25% $11,816 $10,841 8 25% - -$975 -13.1% 5.5d ✓ -
79 XLE — — -8.46% $11,039 $10,105 5 20% - -$934 -4.4% 7.7d ✓ -
80 BAC 20 — -9.28% $12,707 $11,528 6 17% - -$1,179 -15.8% 6.6d ✓ -
81 AAPL 8 — -9.68% $11,467 $10,357 4 25% - -$1,110 -10.0% 5.6d ✓ -
82 BTCUSD ₿ 6 — -10.11% $8,689 $7,811 29 45% $4,484 -$878 -38.9% 1.5d ✓ -
83 COST 2 — -10.30% $9,883 $8,865 7 14% - -$1,018 -9.0% 8.2d ✓ -
84 VZ 4 — -10.45% $10,917 $9,776 7 29% - -$1,141 -6.7% 7.6d ✓ -
85 XOM 2 — -10.54% $9,389 $8,399 8 25% - -$990 -7.4% 8.0d ✓ -
86 ARKK 32 — -12.09% $19,119 $16,807 24 33% - -$2,311 -21.5% 3.1d ✓ -
87 NFLX 17 — -12.40% $13,110 $11,485 17 29% - -$1,626 -15.4% 6.9d ✓ -
88 SOXL 46 31 -13.14% $32,744 $28,441 109 42% - -$4,303 -35.0% 1.2d ✓ -
89 ISRG 3 — -14.41% $9,718 $8,317 15 27% - -$1,400 -20.7% 5.1d ✓ -
90 PLTR 69 15🧊 -18.37% $63,358 $51,719 48 31% - -$11,639 -34.2% 2.1d ✓ -
91 RBLX 35 51 -18.93% $20,833 $16,890 58 38% - -$3,944 -32.4% 3.5d ✓ -
92 SPXU 4 — -19.38% $9,498 $7,657 26 35% - -$1,841 -27.6% 4.2d ✓ -
93 ADBE 3 15 -20.73% $8,294 $6,575 30 33% - -$1,719 -34.6% 4.7d ✓ -
94 SHIBUSD ₿ 5 16 -21.29% $3,684 $2,900 107 39% $37,157 -$784 -94.1% 12.4h ✓ -
95 RIOT 5 3 -23.50% $5,458 $4,175 105 37% - -$1,283 -63.2% 23.1h ✓ -
96 PANW 4 4 -24.55% $9,877 $7,453 29 31% - -$2,425 -27.2% 4.1d ✓ -
97 HOOD 31 7🧊 -26.27% $26,041 $19,200 73 36% - -$6,841 -37.6% 1.7d ✓ -
98 CRWD 5 3 -27.07% $10,845 $7,909 42 33% - -$2,936 -28.2% 3.4d ✓ -
99 RIVN 3 18 -31.90% $5,472 $3,726 59 34% - -$1,746 -55.2% 1.8d ✓ -
100 UVXY 4 0 -32.09% $7,673 $5,211 83 36% - -$2,462 -61.4% 1.4d ✓ -
101 ACN 3 0 -32.57% $9,920 $6,689 30 30% - -$3,231 -14.7% 7.7d ✓ -
102 LTCUSD ₿ 5 16 -33.91% $5,232 $3,458 92 38% $18,456 -$1,774 -84.0% 16.6h ✓ -
103 LINKUSD ₿ 3 29🔥 -43.22% $867 $492 120 38% $7,352 -$375 -96.9% 14.5h ✓ -
104 SOFI 5 2 -43.27% $12,192 $6,917 65 31% - -$5,276 -30.6% 2.3d ✓ -
105 AVAXUSD ₿ 2 42🔥 -46.25% $545 $293 128 37% $6,638 -$252 -97.8% 14.0h ✓ -
106 XRPUSD ₿ 5 6 -46.77% $5,847 $3,113 97 36% $19,084 -$2,735 -82.9% 14.1h ✓ -
107 ETHUSD ₿ 5 — -48.57% $6,065 $3,119 89 35% $9,219 -$2,946 -77.9% 1.0d ✓ -
108 MARA 5 5 -50.00% $14,256 $7,128 116 33% - -$7,128 -46.1% 1.0d ✓ -
109 LCID 3 3 -55.84% $6,929 $3,060 85 29% - -$3,869 -57.4% 1.7d ✓ -
110 AMC 3 2 -56.50% $6,892 $2,998 85 32% - -$3,894 -52.2% 1.7d ✓ -
111 SOLUSD ₿ 4 29🔥 -61.24% $3,625 $1,405 115 34% $12,349 -$2,220 -92.3% 14.0h ✓ -
112 DOGEUSD ₿ 4 28🔥 -67.30% $2,343 $766 113 34% $19,307 -$1,577 -94.5% 12.8h ✓ -
113 PEPEUSD ₿ 3 10 -70.50% $2,517 $742 220 37% $456,196 -$1,774 -99.8% 7.8h ✓ -
114 UNIUSD ₿ 4 49🔥 -84.06% $1,410 $225 243 36% $13,210 -$1,185 -98.8% 12.2h ✓ -

👤 Personality

Eternally bullish, impossibly optimistic. Has seen Napoleon's wars, the Long Depression, the Great Depression, 1987, 2000, 2008, and 2020—and made money in each recovery.