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Danny Dip
3

Danny Dip

The Optimist

🛒 Swing Trader 📅 226 years old (Born 1800)

"A 3% pullback in a bull market is just the universe giving you a second chance to buy what you missed."

Spry man of perhaps 70, but his eyes contain centuries. Wears a peculiar mix of Regency-era waistcoat over a modern hoodie, as if he can't decide which century he belongs to.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Mar 21, 2026 Jun 21, 2026 (92d)

📊 Last 3 Months Performance: Showing Danny Dip's performance over the last 3 months across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$10,802
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,409 (+$394)
+3.78%
Last 3 Months ROI
38.6%
Win Rate
950
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+0.7%
1 Month
+3.8%
3 Months
+1.6%
6 Months
+1.6%
YTD
+3.5%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last 3 Months)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last 3 Months)

Stock Volume
$9,793,642
769 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$190,237
181 trades
Crypto Fees
$476
0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy 3% dips, target 5% profit

Waits for quality assets to pull back 3% from recent highs, then enters with a 5% profit target. Uses trailing stops to protect gains during extended runs.

🎯 Best Suited For

Bull markets and quality stocks

"Dips are just discounts with a deadline."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

In uptrending markets (which is most of market history), pullbacks are temporary. Institutions use them to accumulate. Danny's 3% threshold filters out normal volatility.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-danny-simulation.php

📊 Recent High (Lookback)

Recent High = MAX(Closet-n ... Closet)
Finds the highest closing price over the lookback period to measure the dip from.
Lookback Period = 20 bars
Recent High = max(array_slice(closes, -20))
Uses closing prices only (not highs)
📁 getRecentHigh() @ lines 166-171

📊 Dip Percentage Calculation

Dip % = ((Current Price - Recent High) ÷ Recent High) × 100
Measures how far the current price has fallen from the recent high. Negative values indicate a dip.
Current Price = latest closing price
Recent High = MAX of last 20 closes
Example: Price=$97, High=$100 → Dip = -3%

📊 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

Signal = Dip % ≤ -3%
When price drops 3% or more from the 20-bar high, Danny sees a buying opportunity.
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT = 3.0%
Entry triggers when: dipPct <= -DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT
Position size: 100% capital (fractional for crypto, whole shares for stocks)

📈 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 14 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

DIP_LOOKBACK: 20
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: 3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 14

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Baron Rothschild during the Napoleonic Wars

The legend says Baron Rothschild made a fortune during the panic following the Battle of Waterloo in 1815. His alleged advice: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 3 Months: Mar 21, 2026 Jun 21, 2026 (92 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 3M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 INTC 64 61 +88.52% $18,399 $34,685 23 57% - +$16,287 -28.4% 2.9d -
2 AMD 46 48 +54.53% $17,796 $27,500 18 56% - +$9,704 -37.8% 2.6d -
3 MU 36 13🧊 +52.59% $12,939 $19,744 22 59% - +$6,805 -35.3% 2.8d -
4 SOXL 67 72 +41.81% $33,726 $47,827 33 55% - +$14,101 -35.0% 1.2d -
5 PEPEUSD 3 10 +39.30% $537 $747 32 47% $455,991 +$211 -99.8% 7.8h -
6 GS 28 +38.70% $9,942 $13,789 6 100% - +$3,847 -18.8% 5.7d -
7 SMCI 4 7 +31.88% $3,707 $4,889 23 48% - +$1,182 -80.5% 1.4d -
8 SOLUSD 4 9 +28.92% $940 $1,212 17 53% $12,298 +$272 -92.3% 14.0h -
9 ARM 4 13 +27.76% $6,096 $7,789 26 46% - +$1,692 -64.8% 2.0d -
10 MARA 13 26 +26.67% $8,516 $10,787 27 48% - +$2,271 -46.1% 1.0d -
11 AVGO 55 36 +24.95% $20,676 $25,835 10 60% - +$5,159 -23.6% 3.3d -
12 MS 26 +21.94% $11,187 $13,641 3 100% - +$2,454 -21.4% 5.4d -
13 AMZN 36 32 +21.74% $13,033 $15,866 6 83% - +$2,833 -17.3% 5.3d -
14 DOGEUSD 4 3 +16.35% $602 $700 13 46% $19,239 +$98 -94.5% 12.8h -
15 GLD 27 +16.11% $10,017 $11,631 4 100% - +$1,614 -6.1% 8.8d -
16 IBM 42 15🧊 +15.05% $12,449 $14,322 10 50% - +$1,874 -6.0% 4.0d -
17 SNOW 2 1 +14.77% $6,227 $7,146 17 47% - +$920 -40.8% 3.4d -
18 SLV 45 1🧊 +14.52% $15,672 $17,948 11 55% - +$2,276 -14.0% 5.9d -
19 RBLX 29 10 +13.91% $13,097 $14,919 18 44% - +$1,822 -32.4% 3.5d -
20 NET 20 1 +13.78% $10,824 $12,316 16 50% - +$1,492 -32.2% 2.6d -
21 ETHUSD 4 3 +13.06% $2,445 $2,765 10 50% $9,119 +$319 -77.9% 1.0d -
22 TQQQ 26 2🧊 +12.68% $13,139 $14,806 12 42% - +$1,666 -40.6% 1.9d -
23 SHIBUSD 5 20 +12.41% $2,629 $2,955 11 45% $36,713 +$326 -94.1% 12.4h -
24 RIOT 5 8 +11.89% $4,205 $4,705 24 46% - +$500 -63.2% 23.1h -
25 UNH 6 +10.99% $9,063 $10,059 2 100% - +$996 -24.8% 5.5d -
26 SCHW 27 +10.17% $11,765 $12,961 4 75% - +$1,196 -13.5% 5.8d -
27 AXP 9 +8.55% $9,592 $10,413 1 100% - +$820 -18.1% 7.3d -
28 AMC 3 77🔥 +6.96% $4,820 $5,155 26 42% - +$335 -52.2% 1.7d -
29 LINKUSD 2 9 +6.80% $357 $381 17 41% $7,320 +$24 -96.9% 14.5h -
30 CSCO 35 +6.78% $11,667 $12,458 5 60% - +$791 -3.1% 10.6d -
31 NIO 30 1🧊 +6.74% $15,090 $16,107 13 46% - +$1,017 -28.6% 2.0d -
32 COIN 14 6 +6.46% $10,170 $10,827 24 42% - +$657 -46.7% 1.3d -
33 HD 3 +5.98% $9,291 $9,846 4 50% - +$556 -13.9% 6.6d -
34 DOTUSD +5.32% $10,095 $10,632 NO ENTRY - $739 +$537 -99.1% 14.0h 1 Feb 6, 2026
35 PEP 4 +5.10% $9,195 $9,664 1 100% - +$469 -13.1% 5.9d -
36 JPM 13 +5.08% $9,922 $10,426 1 100% - +$504 -23.6% 6.3d -
37 V +5.04% $9,509 $9,988 1 100% - +$479 -9.6% 3.2d -
38 C 20 +5.03% $12,575 $13,208 1 100% - +$633 -17.4% 5.5d -
39 PG +5.02% $10,878 $11,424 1 100% - +$546 -3.7% 8.9d -
40 VRTX 6 +4.99% $9,474 $9,947 1 100% - +$473 -20.8% 4.5d -
41 QQQ +4.98% $11,120 $11,674 1 100% - +$554 -4.7% 7.7d -
42 DKNG 22 6 +4.83% $12,806 $13,425 13 38% - +$619 -45.9% 2.7d -
43 MRNA 5 2 +4.51% $6,457 $6,748 19 42% - +$291 -66.5% 1.9d -
44 PANW 4 0 +4.33% $7,861 $8,202 8 50% - +$340 -27.2% 4.1d -
45 REGN 18 +4.30% $11,480 $11,973 4 50% - +$494 -23.1% 4.9d -
46 MRK 15 +3.61% $10,605 $10,987 4 50% - +$383 -17.9% 6.1d -
47 WFC 10 +2.74% $10,374 $10,658 2 50% - +$284 -13.1% 5.5d -
48 BTCUSD 6 +2.25% $6,912 $7,067 2 50% $4,410 +$156 -38.9% 1.5d -
49 WMT 34 +2.04% $13,010 $13,276 2 50% - +$265 -6.9% 6.9d -
50 AAPL 19 +1.94% $11,468 $11,690 2 50% - +$222 -10.0% 5.6d -
51 BLK 41 +1.85% $14,689 $14,961 3 33% - +$272 -9.1% 4.7d -
52 VZ 17 +1.55% $10,657 $10,822 2 50% - +$165 -6.7% 7.6d -
53 MA 24 +1.31% $11,339 $11,488 3 67% - +$149 -6.6% 6.7d -
54 PFE 24 +1.13% $12,183 $12,321 1 100% - +$138 -6.1% 5.6d -
55 VXX 16 0 +0.57% $11,740 $11,807 11 45% - +$67 -45.0% 2.1d -
56 IWM +0.00% $10,542 $10,542 NO ENTRY - - - -11.7% 5.3d -
57 KO +0.00% $10,069 $10,069 NO ENTRY - - - -4.9% 10.1d -
58 BRK-B +0.00% $11,824 $11,824 NO ENTRY - - - -3.1% 5.9d -
59 TLT +0.00% $9,688 $9,688 NO ENTRY - - - -3.7% 8.0d -
60 ABBV +0.00% $11,502 $11,502 NO ENTRY - - - -16.8% 5.6d -
61 SPY +0.00% $11,256 $11,256 NO ENTRY - - - -4.3% 2.5d -
62 MDT +0.00% $10,088 $10,088 NO ENTRY - - - -8.9% 6.9d -
63 VOO +0.00% $11,290 $11,290 NO ENTRY - - - -4.2% 2.5d -
64 VTI +0.00% $11,302 $11,302 NO ENTRY - - - -4.5% 2.5d -
65 DIA +0.00% $10,226 $10,226 NO ENTRY - - - -3.2% 23.9h -
66 XLF +0.00% $10,835 $10,835 NO ENTRY - - - -7.7% 4.7d -
67 DIS +0.00% $9,244 $9,244 NO ENTRY - - - -18.6% 5.7d -
68 JNJ +0.00% $11,477 $11,477 NO ENTRY - - - -3.1% 9.4d -
69 BAC +0.00% $11,897 $11,897 NO ENTRY - - - -15.8% 6.6d -
70 MCD +0.00% $10,874 $10,874 NO ENTRY - - - -3.0% 8.8d -
71 CMCSA 3 -0.57% $8,782 $8,732 4 50% - -$50 -19.5% 5.8d -
72 TMO 2 -1.07% $8,413 $8,323 3 33% - -$90 -21.7% 5.2d -
73 BIIB 23 -1.09% $12,719 $12,580 3 33% - -$139 -22.4% 3.7d -
74 UNIUSD 4 10 -1.13% $141 $140 38 39% $13,149 -$2 -98.8% 12.2h -
75 GILD 9 -1.27% $10,570 $10,436 3 33% - -$134 -12.5% 9.3d -
76 TSLA 26 1🧊 -1.89% $14,024 $13,759 11 36% - -$265 -32.0% 2.3d -
77 USO 15 2 -2.10% $10,996 $10,765 15 40% - -$231 -13.1% 6.0d -
78 ISRG 3 -2.43% $9,155 $8,932 4 25% - -$222 -20.7% 5.1d -
79 GOOGL 41 -2.98% $17,189 $16,677 1 0% - -$512 -12.7% 4.7d -
80 LLY 28 -2.98% $16,347 $15,860 1 0% - -$487 -15.9% 4.1d -
81 CRM 3 9 -2.99% $8,828 $8,564 12 33% - -$264 -27.5% 4.8d -
82 META 4 -3.01% $7,922 $7,683 4 25% - -$238 -28.8% 4.2d -
83 XRPUSD 4 1 -3.75% $2,858 $2,751 7 29% $18,736 -$107 -82.9% 14.1h -
84 AMGN 10 -4.15% $11,075 $10,615 1 0% - -$460 -12.0% 6.4d -
85 ACN 3 0 -4.62% $8,607 $8,209 8 38% - -$398 -14.7% 7.7d -
86 BMY 3 -5.19% $8,805 $8,348 3 33% - -$457 -20.0% 5.8d -
87 PLTR 64 2🧊 -5.54% $43,381 $40,978 15 33% - -$2,403 -34.2% 2.1d -
88 COST 3 -6.18% $9,554 $8,964 2 0% - -$590 -9.0% 8.2d -
89 NVDA 4 0 -6.32% $9,842 $9,220 7 29% - -$622 -47.0% 3.2d -
90 XLK 3 -6.43% $9,112 $8,526 2 0% - -$586 -12.2% 4.7d -
91 COP 5 -6.47% $10,611 $9,924 7 29% - -$687 -17.9% 6.2d -
92 MSFT 14 -6.51% $11,515 $10,766 2 0% - -$750 -14.5% 6.5d -
93 PM 3 -6.60% $10,484 $9,792 2 0% - -$692 -3.7% 4.9d -
94 HOOD 28 34 -6.70% $18,517 $17,276 17 41% - -$1,241 -37.6% 1.7d -
95 SLB 5 0 -7.34% $10,153 $9,408 5 20% - -$745 -22.1% 6.3d -
96 CVX 4 -7.48% $8,920 $8,253 5 20% - -$667 -14.4% 8.9d -
97 OXY 32 -7.55% $14,480 $13,387 9 44% - -$1,093 -10.3% 6.0d -
98 RIVN 3 0 -8.39% $4,060 $3,719 12 33% - -$341 -55.2% 1.8d -
99 XLE 7 -8.46% $11,039 $10,105 5 20% - -$934 -4.4% 7.7d -
100 NFLX 18 -9.30% $12,975 $11,768 3 0% - -$1,207 -15.4% 6.9d -
101 XOM 2 -9.46% $9,388 $8,500 5 20% - -$888 -7.4% 8.0d -
102 ARKK 35 -10.55% $18,752 $16,773 6 17% - -$1,978 -21.5% 3.1d -
103 SPXU 4 29🔥 -11.73% $8,874 $7,833 9 33% - -$1,041 -27.6% 4.2d -
104 GME 3 -12.08% $8,677 $7,629 4 0% - -$1,048 -41.9% 2.0d -
105 ADBE 3 1 -13.32% $6,285 $5,448 9 22% - -$837 -34.6% 4.7d -
106 SOFI 5 43🔥 -14.26% $9,327 $7,997 16 31% - -$1,330 -30.6% 2.3d -
107 PYPL 3 -14.43% $7,239 $6,194 3 0% - -$1,045 -32.8% 5.5d -
108 CRWD 5 1 -14.54% $10,057 $8,594 9 33% - -$1,462 -28.2% 3.4d -
109 LTCUSD 5 3 -16.68% $3,410 $2,842 8 13% $18,301 -$569 -84.0% 16.6h -
110 UVXY 5 15 -19.26% $9,753 $7,875 20 40% - -$1,878 -61.4% 1.4d -
111 LCID 4 3 -20.96% $4,799 $3,793 22 27% - -$1,006 -57.4% 1.7d -
112 ORCL 4 2 -22.19% $9,837 $7,654 15 27% - -$2,183 -29.3% 3.3d -
113 SQQQ 4 5 -23.93% $11,790 $8,969 16 19% - -$2,821 -33.6% 2.3d -
114 AVAXUSD 2 10 -25.89% $246 $182 26 27% $6,606 -$64 -97.8% 14.0h -

👤 Personality

Eternally bullish, impossibly optimistic. Has seen Napoleon's wars, the Long Depression, the Great Depression, 1987, 2000, 2008, and 2020—and made money in each recovery.