Danny Dip

The Optimist

🛒 Swing Trader 📅 226 years old (Born 1800)

"A 3% pullback in a bull market is just the universe giving you a second chance to buy what you missed."

Spry man of perhaps 70, but his eyes contain centuries. Wears a peculiar mix of Regency-era waistcoat over a modern hoodie, as if he can't decide which century he belongs to.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

Jun 21, 2024 → Jun 21, 2026 (730d)

📊 Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

🎯 Asset: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

📊 2 Years Performance: We gave Danny Dip $10,000 and let him trade 114 symbols from Jan 1, 2024 to today. 🟢 LIVE

$10,924

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $10,000 (+$924)

+9.24%

2-Year ROI

45.5%

Win Rate

9,644

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (2 Years)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (2 Years)

Stock Volume

$60,422,824

5,232 trades

Stock Fees

✓ Commission FREE

Crypto Volume

$47,762,760

4,412 trades

Crypto Fees

$119,407

0.25% of volume

⚠️ Important Note: This simulation tests each symbol with its own $10K account (not pooled). Crypto symbols can show 40-75%+ fee drag due to high trade frequency.

Stocks are FREE on Alpaca, so the ~100 stock symbols have zero fee impact.

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy 3% dips, target 5% profit

Waits for quality assets to pull back 3% from recent highs, then enters with a 5% profit target. Uses trailing stops to protect gains during extended runs.

🎯 Best Suited For

Bull markets and quality stocks

"Dips are just discounts with a deadline."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

In uptrending markets (which is most of market history), pullbacks are temporary. Institutions use them to accumulate. Danny's 3% threshold filters out normal volatility.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-danny-simulation.php

📊 Recent High (Lookback)

                        Recent High = MAX(Closet-n ... Closet)                    

                        Finds the highest closing price over the lookback period to measure the dip from.                    

                            Lookback Period = 20 bars                        

                            Recent High = max(array_slice(closes, -20))                        

                            Uses closing prices only (not highs)

                    📁 getRecentHigh() 
                    @ lines 166-171                

📊 Dip Percentage Calculation

                        Dip % = ((Current Price - Recent High) ÷ Recent High) × 100                    

                        Measures how far the current price has fallen from the recent high. Negative values indicate a dip.                    

                            Current Price = latest closing price                        

                            Recent High = MAX of last 20 closes                        

                            Example: Price=$97, High=$100 → Dip = -3%

📊 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

                        Signal = Dip % ≤ -3%                    

                        When price drops 3% or more from the 20-bar high, Danny sees a buying opportunity.                    

                            DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT = 3.0%                        

                            Entry triggers when: dipPct <= -DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT                        

                            Position size: 100% capital (fractional for crypto, whole shares for stocks)

📈 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

→

📉 Exit Conditions

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 14 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        DIP_LOOKBACK:
                        20
                    

                        DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT:
                        3%
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        5%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        3%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        14
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Baron Rothschild during the Napoleonic Wars

The legend says Baron Rothschild made a fortune during the panic following the Battle of Waterloo in 1815. His alleged advice: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 2 Years: Jun 21, 2024 → Jun 21, 2026 (730 days)

📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns

📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.

75+ Elite 60+ Good 40+ Fair <40 Weak

⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.

75+ Hot 60+ Active 40+ Moderate <40 Quiet

Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.

⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →

Rank	Symbol	Score	Mom	Return	Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	SOXL	67	72	+378.27%	$10,000	$47,827	198	49%	-	+$37,827	-35.0%	1.2d	✓	-
2	PLTR	64	2🧊	+309.78%	$10,000	$40,978	109	46%	-	+$30,978	-34.2%	2.1d	✓	-
3	INTC	64	61	+246.85%	$10,000	$34,685	107	47%	-	+$24,685	-28.4%	2.9d	✓	-
4	AMD	46	48	+175.00%	$10,000	$27,500	93	45%	-	+$17,500	-37.8%	2.6d	✓	-
5	AVGO	55	36	+158.35%	$10,000	$25,835	81	48%	-	+$15,835	-23.6%	3.3d	✓	-
6	MU	36	13🧊	+97.44%	$10,000	$19,744	95	46%	-	+$9,744	-35.3%	2.8d	✓	-
7	SLV	45	1🧊	+79.48%	$10,000	$17,948	47	55%	-	+$7,948	-14.0%	5.9d	✓	-
8	HOOD	28	34	+72.76%	$10,000	$17,276	137	39%	-	+$7,276	-37.6%	1.7d	✓	-
9	ARKK	35	—	+67.73%	$10,000	$16,773	58	48%	-	+$6,773	-21.5%	3.1d	✓	-
10	GOOGL	41	—	+66.77%	$10,000	$16,677	28	57%	-	+$6,677	-12.7%	4.7d	✓	-
11	NIO	30	1🧊	+61.07%	$10,000	$16,107	129	47%	-	+$6,107	-28.6%	2.0d	✓	-
12	AMZN	36	32	+58.66%	$10,000	$15,866	33	52%	-	+$5,866	-17.3%	5.3d	✓	-
13	LLY	28	—	+58.60%	$10,000	$15,860	38	45%	-	+$5,860	-15.9%	4.1d	✓	-
14	BLK	41	—	+49.61%	$10,000	$14,961	19	58%	-	+$4,961	-9.1%	4.7d	✓	-
15	RBLX	29	10	+49.19%	$10,000	$14,919	83	46%	-	+$4,919	-32.4%	3.5d	✓	-
16	TQQQ	26	2🧊	+48.06%	$10,000	$14,806	106	41%	-	+$4,806	-40.6%	1.9d	✓	-
17	IBM	42	15🧊	+43.22%	$10,000	$14,322	26	54%	-	+$4,322	-6.0%	4.0d	✓	-
18	GS	28	—	+37.89%	$10,000	$13,789	28	50%	-	+$3,789	-18.8%	5.7d	✓	-
19	TSLA	26	1🧊	+37.59%	$10,000	$13,759	102	47%	-	+$3,759	-32.0%	2.3d	✓	-
20	MS	26	—	+36.41%	$10,000	$13,641	31	48%	-	+$3,641	-21.4%	5.4d	✓	-
21	DKNG	22	6	+34.25%	$10,000	$13,425	84	40%	-	+$3,425	-45.9%	2.7d	✓	-
22	OXY	32	—	+33.87%	$10,000	$13,387	37	54%	-	+$3,387	-10.3%	6.0d	✓	-
23	WMT	34	—	+32.76%	$10,000	$13,276	15	60%	-	+$3,276	-6.9%	6.9d	✓	-
24	C	20	—	+32.08%	$10,000	$13,208	32	56%	-	+$3,208	-17.4%	5.5d	✓	-
25	SCHW	27	—	+29.61%	$10,000	$12,961	21	57%	-	+$2,961	-13.5%	5.8d	✓	-
26	BIIB	23	—	+25.80%	$10,000	$12,580	29	52%	-	+$2,580	-22.4%	3.7d	✓	-
27	CSCO	35	—	+24.58%	$10,000	$12,458	13	69%	-	+$2,458	-3.1%	10.6d	✓	-
28	PFE	24	—	+23.21%	$10,000	$12,321	13	62%	-	+$2,321	-6.1%	5.6d	✓	-
29	NET	20	1	+23.16%	$10,000	$12,316	88	45%	-	+$2,316	-32.2%	2.6d	✓	-
30	REGN	18	—	+19.73%	$10,000	$11,973	33	45%	-	+$1,973	-23.1%	4.9d	✓	-
31	BAC	—	—	+18.97%	$10,000	$11,897	20	45%	-	+$1,897	-15.8%	6.6d	✓	-
32	BRK-B	—	—	+18.24%	$10,000	$11,824	8	88%	-	+$1,824	-3.1%	5.9d	✓	-
33	VXX	16	0	+18.07%	$10,000	$11,807	123	40%	-	+$1,807	-45.0%	2.1d	✓	-
34	NFLX	18	—	+17.68%	$10,000	$11,768	31	39%	-	+$1,768	-15.4%	6.9d	✓	-
35	AAPL	19	—	+16.90%	$10,000	$11,690	18	50%	-	+$1,690	-10.0%	5.6d	✓	-
36	QQQ	—	—	+16.74%	$10,000	$11,674	9	67%	-	+$1,674	-4.7%	7.7d	✓	-
37	GLD	27	—	+16.31%	$10,000	$11,631	16	63%	-	+$1,631	-6.1%	8.8d	✓	-
38	ABBV	—	—	+15.02%	$10,000	$11,502	16	50%	-	+$1,502	-16.8%	5.6d	✓	-
39	MA	24	—	+14.88%	$10,000	$11,488	12	50%	-	+$1,488	-6.6%	6.7d	✓	-
40	JNJ	—	—	+14.77%	$10,000	$11,477	5	80%	-	+$1,477	-3.1%	9.4d	✓	-
41	PG	—	—	+14.24%	$10,000	$11,424	7	57%	-	+$1,424	-3.7%	8.9d	✓	-
42	VTI	—	—	+13.02%	$10,000	$11,302	4	75%	-	+$1,302	-4.5%	2.5d	✓	-
43	VOO	—	—	+12.90%	$10,000	$11,290	4	75%	-	+$1,290	-4.2%	2.5d	✓	-
44	SPY	—	—	+12.56%	$10,000	$11,256	4	75%	-	+$1,256	-4.3%	2.5d	✓	-
45	MRK	15	—	+9.87%	$10,000	$10,987	21	43%	-	+$987	-17.9%	6.1d	✓	-
46	MCD	—	—	+8.74%	$10,000	$10,874	4	75%	-	+$874	-3.0%	8.8d	✓	-
47	XLF	—	—	+8.35%	$10,000	$10,835	7	57%	-	+$835	-7.7%	4.7d	✓	-
48	COIN	14	6	+8.27%	$10,000	$10,827	165	40%	-	+$827	-46.7%	1.3d	✓	-
49	VZ	17	—	+8.22%	$10,000	$10,822	11	64%	-	+$822	-6.7%	7.6d	✓	-
50	MARA	13	26	+7.87%	$10,000	$10,787	215	38%	-	+$787	-46.1%	1.0d	✓	-
51	MSFT	14	—	+7.66%	$10,000	$10,766	14	43%	-	+$766	-14.5%	6.5d	✓	-
52	USO	15	2	+7.65%	$10,000	$10,765	41	44%	-	+$765	-13.1%	6.0d	✓	-
53	WFC	10	—	+6.58%	$10,000	$10,658	26	46%	-	+$658	-13.1%	5.5d	✓	-
54	AMGN	10	—	+6.15%	$10,000	$10,615	17	47%	-	+$615	-12.0%	6.4d	✓	-
55	IWM	—	—	+5.42%	$10,000	$10,542	9	44%	-	+$542	-11.7%	5.3d	✓	-
56	GILD	9	—	+4.36%	$10,000	$10,436	18	44%	-	+$436	-12.5%	9.3d	✓	-
57	JPM	13	—	+4.26%	$10,000	$10,426	19	53%	-	+$426	-23.6%	6.3d	✓	-
58	AXP	9	—	+4.13%	$10,000	$10,413	27	48%	-	+$413	-18.1%	7.3d	✓	-
59	DIA	—	—	+2.26%	$10,000	$10,226	2	50%	-	+$226	-3.2%	23.9h	✓	-
60	XLE	7	—	+1.05%	$10,000	$10,105	13	46%	-	+$105	-4.4%	7.7d	✓	-
61	MDT	—	—	+0.88%	$10,000	$10,088	10	50%	-	+$88	-8.9%	6.9d	✓	-
62	KO	—	—	+0.69%	$10,000	$10,069	4	50%	-	+$69	-4.9%	10.1d	✓	-
63	UNH	6	—	+0.59%	$10,000	$10,059	32	41%	-	+$59	-24.8%	5.5d	✓	-
64	V	—	—	-0.12%	$10,000	$9,988	9	44%	-	-$12	-9.6%	3.2d	✓	-
65	DOTUSD ₿	—	—	-0.41%	🔄 $10,095	$10,632	14	43%	$739	+$537	-99.1%	14.0h	1	Feb 6, 2026
66	VRTX	6	—	-0.53%	$10,000	$9,947	17	47%	-	-$53	-20.8%	4.5d	✓	-
67	COP	5	—	-0.76%	$10,000	$9,924	32	47%	-	-$76	-17.9%	6.2d	✓	-
68	HD	3	—	-1.54%	$10,000	$9,846	16	31%	-	-$154	-13.9%	6.6d	✓	-
69	PM	3	—	-2.08%	$10,000	$9,792	14	36%	-	-$208	-3.7%	4.9d	✓	-
70	TLT	—	—	-3.12%	$10,000	$9,688	2	50%	-	-$312	-3.7%	8.0d	✓	-
71	PEP	4	—	-3.36%	$10,000	$9,664	8	25%	-	-$336	-13.1%	5.9d	✓	-
72	SLB	5	0	-5.92%	$10,000	$9,408	33	45%	-	-$592	-22.1%	6.3d	✓	-
73	DIS	—	—	-7.56%	$10,000	$9,244	14	36%	-	-$756	-18.6%	5.7d	✓	-
74	NVDA	4	0	-7.80%	$10,000	$9,220	69	36%	-	-$780	-47.0%	3.2d	✓	-
75	SQQQ	4	5	-10.31%	$10,000	$8,969	115	38%	-	-$1,031	-33.6%	2.3d	✓	-
76	COST	3	—	-10.36%	$10,000	$8,964	13	38%	-	-$1,036	-9.0%	8.2d	✓	-
77	ISRG	3	—	-10.68%	$10,000	$8,932	24	29%	-	-$1,068	-20.7%	5.1d	✓	-
78	CMCSA	3	—	-12.68%	$10,000	$8,732	18	44%	-	-$1,268	-19.5%	5.8d	✓	-
79	CRWD	5	1	-14.06%	$10,000	$8,594	77	39%	-	-$1,406	-28.2%	3.4d	✓	-
80	CRM	3	9	-14.36%	$10,000	$8,564	42	38%	-	-$1,436	-27.5%	4.8d	✓	-
81	XLK	3	—	-14.74%	$10,000	$8,526	17	35%	-	-$1,474	-12.2%	4.7d	✓	-
82	XOM	2	—	-15.00%	$10,000	$8,500	12	25%	-	-$1,500	-7.4%	8.0d	✓	-
83	BMY	3	—	-16.52%	$10,000	$8,348	18	33%	-	-$1,652	-20.0%	5.8d	✓	-
84	TMO	2	—	-16.77%	$10,000	$8,323	17	18%	-	-$1,677	-21.7%	5.2d	✓	-
85	CVX	4	—	-17.47%	$10,000	$8,253	15	40%	-	-$1,747	-14.4%	8.9d	✓	-
86	ACN	3	0	-17.91%	$10,000	$8,209	35	40%	-	-$1,791	-14.7%	7.7d	✓	-
87	PANW	4	0	-17.98%	$10,000	$8,202	43	35%	-	-$1,798	-27.2%	4.1d	✓	-
88	SOFI	5	43🔥	-20.03%	$10,000	$7,997	117	39%	-	-$2,003	-30.6%	2.3d	✓	-
89	UVXY	5	15	-21.25%	$10,000	$7,875	194	37%	-	-$2,126	-61.4%	1.4d	✓	-
90	SPXU	4	29🔥	-21.67%	$10,000	$7,833	55	40%	-	-$2,167	-27.6%	4.2d	✓	-
91	ARM	4	13	-22.11%	$10,000	$7,789	124	36%	-	-$2,211	-64.8%	2.0d	✓	-
92	META	4	—	-23.17%	$10,000	$7,683	36	33%	-	-$2,317	-28.8%	4.2d	✓	-
93	ORCL	4	2	-23.46%	$10,000	$7,654	70	36%	-	-$2,346	-29.3%	3.3d	✓	-
94	GME	3	—	-23.71%	$10,000	$7,629	72	42%	-	-$2,371	-41.9%	2.0d	✓	-
95	SNOW	2	1	-28.54%	$10,000	$7,146	72	33%	-	-$2,854	-40.8%	3.4d	✓	-
96	BTCUSD ₿	6	—	-29.33%	$10,000	$7,067	78	44%	$4,410	-$2,933	-38.9%	1.5d	✓	-
97	MRNA	5	2	-32.52%	$10,000	$6,748	134	37%	-	-$3,252	-66.5%	1.9d	✓	-
98	PYPL	3	—	-38.06%	$10,000	$6,194	35	37%	-	-$3,806	-32.8%	5.5d	✓	-
99	ADBE	3	1	-45.52%	$10,000	$5,448	35	20%	-	-$4,552	-34.6%	4.7d	✓	-
100	AMC	3	77🔥	-48.45%	$10,000	$5,155	117	35%	-	-$4,845	-52.2%	1.7d	✓	-
101	SMCI	4	7	-51.11%	$10,000	$4,889	175	38%	-	-$5,111	-80.5%	1.4d	✓	-
102	RIOT	5	8	-52.95%	$10,000	$4,705	203	42%	-	-$5,295	-63.2%	23.1h	✓	-
103	LCID	4	3	-62.07%	$10,000	$3,793	158	34%	-	-$6,207	-57.4%	1.7d	✓	-
104	RIVN	3	0	-62.81%	$10,000	$3,719	130	33%	-	-$6,281	-55.2%	1.8d	✓	-
105	SHIBUSD ₿	5	20	-70.45%	$10,000	$2,955	392	42%	$36,713	-$7,045	-94.1%	12.4h	✓	-
106	LTCUSD ₿	5	3	-71.58%	$10,000	$2,842	337	41%	$18,301	-$7,158	-84.0%	16.6h	✓	-
107	ETHUSD ₿	4	3	-72.35%	$10,000	$2,765	218	39%	$9,119	-$7,235	-77.9%	1.0d	✓	-
108	XRPUSD ₿	4	1	-72.49%	$10,000	$2,751	390	43%	$18,736	-$7,249	-82.9%	14.1h	✓	-
109	SOLUSD ₿	4	9	-87.88%	$10,000	$1,212	346	39%	$12,298	-$8,788	-92.3%	14.0h	✓	-
110	PEPEUSD ₿	3	10	-92.53%	$10,000	$747	812	38%	$455,991	-$9,253	-99.8%	7.8h	✓	-
111	DOGEUSD ₿	4	3	-93.00%	$10,000	$700	483	41%	$19,239	-$9,300	-94.5%	12.8h	✓	-
112	LINKUSD ₿	2	9	-96.19%	$10,000	$381	423	39%	$7,320	-$9,619	-96.9%	14.5h	✓	-
113	AVAXUSD ₿	2	10	-98.18%	$10,000	$182	403	38%	$6,606	-$9,818	-97.8%	14.0h	✓	-
114	UNIUSD ₿	4	10	-98.60%	$10,000	$140	516	38%	$13,149	-$9,860	-98.8%	12.2h	✓	-

👤 Personality

Eternally bullish, impossibly optimistic. Has seen Napoleon's wars, the Long Depression, the Great Depression, 1987, 2000, 2008, and 2020—and made money in each recovery.

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