Danny Dip

The Optimist

🛒 Swing Trader 📅 226 years old (Born 1800)

"A 3% pullback in a bull market is just the universe giving you a second chance to buy what you missed."

Spry man of perhaps 70, but his eyes contain centuries. Wears a peculiar mix of Regency-era waistcoat over a modern hoodie, as if he can't decide which century he belongs to.

📊 View Performance: 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months YTD 1 Year 2 Years

Feb 15, 2024 → Feb 15, 2026 (731 days)

🎯 Asset Class: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All Assets 114

📊 2 Years Performance: We gave Danny Dip $10,000 and let him trade 114 symbols from Jan 1, 2024 to today. 🟢 LIVE

$10,562

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $10,000 (+$562)

+5.62%

2-Year ROI

47.3%

Win Rate

10,531

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (2 Years)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (2 Years)

Stock Volume

$54,684,299

4,937 trades

Stock Fees

✓ Commission FREE

Crypto Volume

$117,771,600

5,594 trades

Crypto Fees

$294,429

0.25% of volume

⚠️ Important Note: This simulation tests each symbol with its own $10K account (not pooled). Crypto symbols can show 40-75%+ fee drag due to high trade frequency.

Stocks are FREE on Alpaca, so the ~100 stock symbols have zero fee impact.

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy 3% dips, target 5% profit

Waits for quality assets to pull back 3% from recent highs, then enters with a 5% profit target. Uses trailing stops to protect gains during extended runs.

🎯 Best Suited For

Bull markets and quality stocks

"Dips are just discounts with a deadline."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

In uptrending markets (which is most of market history), pullbacks are temporary. Institutions use them to accumulate. Danny's 3% threshold filters out normal volatility.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-danny-simulation.php

📊 Recent High (Lookback)

                        Recent High = MAX(Closet-n ... Closet)                    

                        Finds the highest closing price over the lookback period to measure the dip from.                    

                            Lookback Period = 20 bars                        

                            Recent High = max(array_slice(closes, -20))                        

                            Uses closing prices only (not highs)

                    📁 getRecentHigh() 
                    @ lines 166-171                

📊 Dip Percentage Calculation

                        Dip % = ((Current Price - Recent High) ÷ Recent High) × 100                    

                        Measures how far the current price has fallen from the recent high. Negative values indicate a dip.                    

                            Current Price = latest closing price                        

                            Recent High = MAX of last 20 closes                        

                            Example: Price=$97, High=$100 → Dip = -3%

📊 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

                        Signal = Dip % ≤ -3%                    

                        When price drops 3% or more from the 20-bar high, Danny sees a buying opportunity.                    

                            DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT = 3.0%                        

                            Entry triggers when: dipPct <= -DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT                        

                            Position size: 100% capital (fractional for crypto, whole shares for stocks)

📈 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

→

📉 Exit Conditions

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 14 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        DIP_LOOKBACK:
                        20
                    

                        DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT:
                        3%
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        5%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        3%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        14
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Baron Rothschild during the Napoleonic Wars

The legend says Baron Rothschild made a fortune during the panic following the Battle of Waterloo in 1815. His alleged advice: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 2 Years: Feb 15, 2024 → Feb 15, 2026 (731 days)

Rank	Symbol	Return	Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	PLTR	+338.92%	$10,000	$43,892	107	49%	-	+$33,892	-34.2%	2.1d	✓	-
2	SOXL	+335.01%	$10,000	$43,501	187	48%	-	+$33,501	-35.0%	1.2d	✓	-
3	HOOD	+98.33%	$10,000	$19,833	135	42%	-	+$9,833	-37.6%	1.7d	✓	-
4	ARKK	+93.74%	$10,000	$19,374	58	53%	-	+$9,374	-21.5%	3.1d	✓	-
5	AMD	+86.10%	$10,000	$18,610	88	43%	-	+$8,610	-37.8%	2.6d	✓	-
6	INTC	+84.06%	$10,000	$18,406	87	43%	-	+$8,406	-28.4%	2.9d	✓	-
7	AVGO	+78.85%	$10,000	$17,885	74	46%	-	+$7,885	-23.6%	3.3d	✓	-
8	LLY	+68.83%	$10,000	$16,883	40	48%	-	+$6,883	-15.9%	4.1d	✓	-
9	GOOGL	+64.51%	$10,000	$16,451	28	61%	-	+$6,451	-12.7%	4.7d	✓	-
10	SLV	+60.16%	$10,000	$16,016	36	58%	-	+$6,016	-14.0%	5.9d	✓	-
11	BLK	+48.53%	$10,000	$14,853	14	71%	-	+$4,853	-9.1%	4.7d	✓	-
12	NIO	+48.38%	$10,000	$14,838	135	46%	-	+$4,838	-28.6%	2.0d	✓	-
13	RBLX	+43.03%	$10,000	$14,303	70	49%	-	+$4,303	-32.4%	3.5d	✓	-
14	TSLA	+42.35%	$10,000	$14,235	103	47%	-	+$4,235	-32.0%	2.3d	✓	-
15	OXY	+35.96%	$10,000	$13,596	28	57%	-	+$3,596	-10.3%	6.0d	✓	-
16	TQQQ	+32.25%	$10,000	$13,225	99	40%	-	+$3,225	-40.6%	1.9d	✓	-
17	BAC	+31.90%	$10,000	$13,190	20	60%	-	+$3,190	-15.8%	6.6d	✓	-
18	AMZN	+30.33%	$10,000	$13,033	30	50%	-	+$3,033	-17.3%	5.3d	✓	-
19	SQQQ	+28.62%	$10,000	$12,862	108	42%	-	+$2,862	-33.6%	2.3d	✓	-
20	WMT	+27.47%	$10,000	$12,747	11	64%	-	+$2,747	-6.9%	6.9d	✓	-
21	C	+24.21%	$10,000	$12,421	27	56%	-	+$2,421	-17.4%	5.5d	✓	-
22	IBM	+22.66%	$10,000	$12,266	15	53%	-	+$2,266	-6.0%	4.0d	✓	-
23	NFLX	+22.51%	$10,000	$12,251	30	43%	-	+$2,251	-15.4%	6.9d	✓	-
24	MU	+22.42%	$10,000	$12,242	78	42%	-	+$2,242	-35.3%	2.8d	✓	-
25	SCHW	+21.37%	$10,000	$12,137	18	56%	-	+$2,137	-13.5%	5.8d	✓	-
26	BIIB	+20.84%	$10,000	$12,084	28	54%	-	+$2,084	-22.4%	3.7d	✓	-
27	ABBV	+18.51%	$10,000	$11,851	17	53%	-	+$1,851	-16.8%	5.6d	✓	-
28	PFE	+17.91%	$10,000	$11,791	14	57%	-	+$1,791	-6.1%	5.6d	✓	-
29	MA	+17.06%	$10,000	$11,706	10	60%	-	+$1,706	-6.6%	6.7d	✓	-
30	CSCO	+16.67%	$10,000	$11,667	9	78%	-	+$1,667	-3.1%	10.6d	✓	-
31	BRK-B	+16.18%	$10,000	$11,618	8	75%	-	+$1,618	-3.1%	5.9d	✓	-
32	REGN	+15.70%	$10,000	$11,570	29	48%	-	+$1,570	-23.1%	4.9d	✓	-
33	JNJ	+14.77%	$10,000	$11,477	5	80%	-	+$1,477	-3.1%	9.4d	✓	-
34	AAPL	+14.67%	$10,000	$11,467	18	44%	-	+$1,467	-10.0%	5.6d	✓	-
35	WFC	+14.61%	$10,000	$11,461	21	52%	-	+$1,461	-13.1%	5.5d	✓	-
36	AMGN	+14.23%	$10,000	$11,423	17	53%	-	+$1,423	-12.0%	6.4d	✓	-
37	VTI	+13.02%	$10,000	$11,302	4	75%	-	+$1,302	-4.5%	2.5d	✓	-
38	VOO	+12.90%	$10,000	$11,290	4	75%	-	+$1,290	-4.2%	2.5d	✓	-
39	SPY	+12.56%	$10,000	$11,256	4	75%	-	+$1,256	-4.3%	2.5d	✓	-
40	PG	+12.47%	$10,000	$11,247	5	60%	-	+$1,247	-3.7%	8.9d	✓	-
41	MS	+12.21%	$10,000	$11,221	26	50%	-	+$1,221	-21.4%	5.4d	✓	-
42	XLF	+11.87%	$10,000	$11,187	6	67%	-	+$1,187	-7.7%	4.7d	✓	-
43	QQQ	+11.20%	$10,000	$11,120	8	63%	-	+$1,120	-4.7%	7.7d	✓	-
44	XLE	+10.39%	$10,000	$11,039	8	63%	-	+$1,039	-4.4%	7.7d	✓	-
45	MSFT	+9.64%	$10,000	$10,964	13	54%	-	+$964	-14.5%	6.5d	✓	-
46	MRK	+9.30%	$10,000	$10,930	17	47%	-	+$930	-17.9%	6.1d	✓	-
47	IWM	+9.03%	$10,000	$10,903	9	56%	-	+$903	-11.7%	5.3d	✓	-
48	MCD	+8.74%	$10,000	$10,874	6	67%	-	+$874	-3.0%	8.8d	✓	-
49	USO	+8.64%	$10,000	$10,864	22	50%	-	+$864	-13.1%	6.0d	✓	-
50	DKNG	+7.71%	$10,000	$10,771	80	39%	-	+$771	-45.9%	2.7d	✓	-
51	CRWD	+7.34%	$10,000	$10,734	75	40%	-	+$734	-28.2%	3.4d	✓	-
52	JPM	+6.58%	$10,000	$10,658	17	53%	-	+$658	-23.6%	6.3d	✓	-
53	VZ	+6.57%	$10,000	$10,657	10	60%	-	+$657	-6.7%	7.6d	✓	-
54	GILD	+6.42%	$10,000	$10,642	15	47%	-	+$642	-12.5%	9.3d	✓	-
55	PM	+6.24%	$10,000	$10,624	10	50%	-	+$624	-3.7%	4.9d	✓	-
56	DOTUSD 🚫 PROBATION ₿	+6.12%	🔄 $10,095	$10,713	3	67%	$161	+$618	-99.1%	14.0h	1	Feb 6, 2026 21d left
57	GS	+5.57%	$10,000	$10,557	22	45%	-	+$557	-18.8%	5.7d	✓	-
58	AXP	+4.05%	$10,000	$10,405	23	52%	-	+$405	-18.1%	7.3d	✓	-
59	GLD	+3.43%	$10,000	$10,343	9	56%	-	+$343	-6.1%	8.8d	✓	-
60	MDT	+2.81%	$10,000	$10,281	9	44%	-	+$281	-8.9%	6.9d	✓	-
61	DIA	+2.26%	$10,000	$10,226	2	50%	-	+$226	-3.2%	23.9h	✓	-
62	VXX	+2.09%	$10,000	$10,209	116	40%	-	+$209	-45.0%	2.1d	✓	-
63	MARA	+2.03%	$10,000	$10,203	224	39%	-	+$203	-46.1%	1.0d	✓	-
64	COP	+1.07%	$10,000	$10,107	25	48%	-	+$107	-17.9%	6.2d	✓	-
65	VRTX	+0.76%	$10,000	$10,076	14	50%	-	+$76	-20.8%	4.5d	✓	-
66	KO	+0.69%	$10,000	$10,069	4	50%	-	+$69	-4.9%	10.1d	✓	-
67	NET	-0.25%	$10,000	$9,975	78	41%	-	-$25	-32.2%	2.6d	✓	-
68	SLB	-1.62%	$10,000	$9,838	28	46%	-	-$162	-22.1%	6.3d	✓	-
69	ORCL	-2.20%	$10,000	$9,780	53	40%	-	-$220	-29.3%	3.3d	✓	-
70	SOFI	-2.63%	$10,000	$9,737	111	41%	-	-$263	-30.6%	2.3d	✓	-
71	TLT	-3.12%	$10,000	$9,688	2	50%	-	-$312	-3.7%	8.0d	✓	-
72	NVDA	-3.30%	$10,000	$9,670	74	36%	-	-$330	-47.0%	3.2d	✓	-
73	COST	-4.46%	$10,000	$9,554	13	46%	-	-$446	-9.0%	8.2d	✓	-
74	ISRG	-4.55%	$10,000	$9,545	22	36%	-	-$455	-20.7%	5.1d	✓	-
75	DIS	-4.65%	$10,000	$9,535	15	33%	-	-$465	-18.6%	5.7d	✓	-
76	V	-5.04%	$10,000	$9,496	7	29%	-	-$504	-9.6%	3.2d	✓	-
77	ACN	-5.19%	$10,000	$9,481	25	44%	-	-$519	-14.7%	7.7d	✓	-
78	HD	-5.83%	$10,000	$9,417	10	30%	-	-$583	-13.9%	6.6d	✓	-
79	XOM	-6.11%	$10,000	$9,389	9	33%	-	-$611	-7.4%	8.0d	✓	-
80	PEP	-8.05%	$10,000	$9,195	9	33%	-	-$805	-13.1%	5.9d	✓	-
81	BMY	-9.08%	$10,000	$9,092	15	33%	-	-$908	-20.0%	5.8d	✓	-
82	CMCSA	-9.41%	$10,000	$9,059	16	38%	-	-$941	-19.5%	5.8d	✓	-
83	CVX	-10.80%	$10,000	$8,920	11	55%	-	-$1,080	-14.4%	8.9d	✓	-
84	COIN	-11.51%	$10,000	$8,849	169	38%	-	-$1,151	-46.7%	1.3d	✓	-
85	XLK	-11.71%	$10,000	$8,829	14	36%	-	-$1,171	-12.2%	4.7d	✓	-
86	TMO	-13.20%	$10,000	$8,680	16	31%	-	-$1,320	-21.7%	5.2d	✓	-
87	GME	-13.23%	$10,000	$8,677	106	42%	-	-$1,323	-41.9%	2.0d	✓	-
88	SPXU	-14.95%	$10,000	$8,505	51	37%	-	-$1,495	-27.6%	4.2d	✓	-
89	UNH	-15.39%	$10,000	$8,461	31	32%	-	-$1,539	-24.8%	5.5d	✓	-
90	PANW	-16.00%	$10,000	$8,400	39	33%	-	-$1,600	-27.2%	4.1d	✓	-
91	UVXY	-16.47%	$10,000	$8,353	187	37%	-	-$1,647	-61.4%	1.4d	✓	-
92	CRM	-17.54%	$10,000	$8,246	32	38%	-	-$1,754	-27.5%	4.8d	✓	-
93	META	-18.47%	$10,000	$8,153	35	40%	-	-$1,847	-28.8%	4.2d	✓	-
94	SNOW	-26.44%	$10,000	$7,356	62	31%	-	-$2,644	-40.8%	3.4d	✓	-
95	PYPL	-26.51%	$10,000	$7,349	33	42%	-	-$2,651	-32.8%	5.5d	✓	-
96	ADBE	-29.98%	$10,000	$7,002	30	27%	-	-$2,998	-34.6%	4.7d	✓	-
97	BTCUSD ₿	-31.47%	$10,000	$6,853	95	45%	$4,270	-$3,147	-38.9%	1.5d	✓	-
98	MRNA	-38.42%	$10,000	$6,158	126	40%	-	-$3,842	-66.5%	1.9d	✓	-
99	RIOT	-47.71%	$10,000	$5,229	208	39%	-	-$4,771	-63.2%	23.1h	✓	-
100	LCID	-48.57%	$10,000	$5,143	155	36%	-	-$4,857	-57.4%	1.7d	✓	-
101	AMC	-49.12%	$10,000	$5,088	123	35%	-	-$4,912	-52.2%	1.7d	✓	-
102	ARM	-51.09%	$10,000	$4,891	115	35%	-	-$5,109	-64.8%	2.0d	✓	-
103	RIVN	-53.74%	$10,000	$4,626	139	36%	-	-$5,374	-55.2%	1.8d	✓	-
104	SMCI	-60.41%	$10,000	$3,959	179	36%	-	-$6,041	-80.5%	1.4d	✓	-
105	LTCUSD ₿	-66.37%	$10,000	$3,363	384	42%	$18,112	-$6,637	-84.0%	16.6h	✓	-
106	XRPUSD ₿	-69.36%	$10,000	$3,064	426	43%	$18,575	-$6,936	-82.9%	14.1h	✓	-
107	SHIBUSD ₿	-71.75%	$10,000	$2,825	603	43%	$36,392	-$7,175	-94.1%	12.4h	✓	-
108	ETHUSD ₿	-73.02%	$10,000	$2,698	236	41%	$8,890	-$7,302	-77.9%	1.0d	✓	-
109	SOLUSD ₿	-88.96%	$10,000	$1,104	418	40%	$12,139	-$8,896	-92.3%	14.0h	✓	-
110	DOGEUSD ₿	-91.93%	$10,000	$807	629	42%	$19,146	-$9,193	-94.5%	12.8h	✓	-
111	PEPEUSD ₿	-93.45%	$10,000	$655	1246	42%	$455,805	-$9,345	-99.8%	7.8h	✓	-
112	LINKUSD ₿	-96.25%	$10,000	$375	465	39%	$7,269	-$9,625	-96.9%	14.5h	✓	-
113	AVAXUSD ₿	-97.52%	$10,000	$248	489	38%	$6,569	-$9,752	-97.8%	14.0h	✓	-
114	UNIUSD ₿	-98.01%	$10,000	$199	600	39%	$13,108	-$9,801	-98.8%	12.2h	✓	-

👤 Personality

Eternally bullish, impossibly optimistic. Has seen Napoleon's wars, the Long Depression, the Great Depression, 1987, 2000, 2008, and 2020—and made money in each recovery.