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Danny Dip
3

Danny Dip

The Optimist

🛒 Swing Trader 📅 226 years old (Born 1800)

"A 3% pullback in a bull market is just the universe giving you a second chance to buy what you missed."

Spry man of perhaps 70, but his eyes contain centuries. Wears a peculiar mix of Regency-era waistcoat over a modern hoodie, as if he can't decide which century he belongs to.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 2 Years Performance: We gave Danny Dip $10,000 and let him trade 114 symbols from Jan 1, 2024 to today. 🟢 LIVE

$10,749
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,000 (+$749)
+7.49%
2-Year ROI
46.0%
Win Rate
9,620
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+2.6%
1 Month
+3.0%
3 Months
-2.0%
6 Months
+0.9%
YTD
+3.5%
1 Year

Equity Curve (2 Years)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (2 Years)

Stock Volume
$57,703,648
5,099 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$70,253,305
4,521 trades
Crypto Fees
$175,633
0.25% of volume

⚠️ Important Note: This simulation tests each symbol with its own $10K account (not pooled). Crypto symbols can show 40-75%+ fee drag due to high trade frequency.

Stocks are FREE on Alpaca, so the ~100 stock symbols have zero fee impact.

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy 3% dips, target 5% profit

Waits for quality assets to pull back 3% from recent highs, then enters with a 5% profit target. Uses trailing stops to protect gains during extended runs.

🎯 Best Suited For

Bull markets and quality stocks

"Dips are just discounts with a deadline."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

In uptrending markets (which is most of market history), pullbacks are temporary. Institutions use them to accumulate. Danny's 3% threshold filters out normal volatility.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-danny-simulation.php

📊 Recent High (Lookback)

Recent High = MAX(Closet-n ... Closet)
Finds the highest closing price over the lookback period to measure the dip from.
Lookback Period = 20 bars
Recent High = max(array_slice(closes, -20))
Uses closing prices only (not highs)
📁 getRecentHigh() @ lines 166-171

📊 Dip Percentage Calculation

Dip % = ((Current Price - Recent High) ÷ Recent High) × 100
Measures how far the current price has fallen from the recent high. Negative values indicate a dip.
Current Price = latest closing price
Recent High = MAX of last 20 closes
Example: Price=$97, High=$100 → Dip = -3%

📊 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

Signal = Dip % ≤ -3%
When price drops 3% or more from the 20-bar high, Danny sees a buying opportunity.
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT = 3.0%
Entry triggers when: dipPct <= -DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT
Position size: 100% capital (fractional for crypto, whole shares for stocks)

📈 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 14 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

DIP_LOOKBACK: 20
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: 3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 14

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Baron Rothschild during the Napoleonic Wars

The legend says Baron Rothschild made a fortune during the panic following the Battle of Waterloo in 1815. His alleged advice: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 2 Years: May 6, 2024 May 6, 2026 (730 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 PLTR 69 33🧊 +359.68% $10,000 $45,968 107 48% - +$35,968 -34.2% 2.1d -
2 SOXL 56 44 +260.53% $10,000 $36,053 188 48% - +$26,053 -35.0% 1.2d -
3 INTC 53 65 +178.22% $10,000 $27,822 95 46% - +$17,822 -28.4% 2.9d -
4 AMD 32 +124.60% $10,000 $22,460 87 44% - +$12,460 -37.8% 2.6d -
5 AVGO 45 +120.07% $10,000 $22,007 77 48% - +$12,007 -23.6% 3.3d -
6 SLV 57 57 +111.16% $10,000 $21,116 45 58% - +$11,116 -14.0% 5.9d -
7 ARKK 40 +84.19% $10,000 $18,419 55 51% - +$8,419 -21.5% 3.1d -
8 MU 33 70🔥 +76.79% $10,000 $17,679 88 47% - +$7,679 -35.3% 2.8d -
9 GOOGL 36 +71.89% $10,000 $17,189 27 59% - +$7,189 -12.7% 4.7d -
10 TQQQ 30 54🔥 +68.15% $10,000 $16,815 100 42% - +$6,815 -40.6% 1.9d -
11 HOOD 27 3🧊 +66.57% $10,000 $16,657 138 41% - +$6,657 -37.6% 1.7d -
12 NIO 32 16 +65.37% $10,000 $16,537 129 47% - +$6,537 -28.6% 2.0d -
13 LLY 33 +58.60% $10,000 $15,860 39 46% - +$5,860 -15.9% 4.1d -
14 RBLX 29 22 +48.21% $10,000 $14,821 77 47% - +$4,821 -32.4% 3.5d -
15 AMZN 32 +47.54% $10,000 $14,754 31 52% - +$4,754 -17.3% 5.3d -
16 BLK 36 +46.82% $10,000 $14,682 17 59% - +$4,682 -9.1% 4.7d -
17 TSLA 27 0🧊 +39.78% $10,000 $13,978 99 46% - +$3,978 -32.0% 2.3d -
18 C 24 +32.08% $10,000 $13,208 32 56% - +$3,208 -17.4% 5.5d -
19 WMT 28 +30.10% $10,000 $13,010 13 62% - +$3,010 -6.9% 6.9d -
20 MS 22 +29.91% $10,000 $12,991 30 47% - +$2,991 -21.4% 5.4d -
21 OXY 31 0🧊 +26.57% $10,000 $12,657 34 53% - +$2,657 -10.3% 6.0d -
22 NET 22 69🔥 +26.47% $10,000 $12,647 81 46% - +$2,647 -32.2% 2.6d -
23 SCHW 24 30 +26.34% $10,000 $12,634 21 52% - +$2,634 -13.5% 5.8d -
24 NFLX 21 +25.67% $10,000 $12,567 30 43% - +$2,567 -15.4% 6.9d -
25 BIIB 21 +23.38% $10,000 $12,338 29 52% - +$2,338 -22.4% 3.7d -
26 PFE 30 +23.21% $10,000 $12,321 15 60% - +$2,321 -6.1% 5.6d -
27 IBM 27 +22.43% $10,000 $12,243 19 53% - +$2,243 -6.0% 4.0d -
28 AAPL 21 +20.63% $10,000 $12,063 17 53% - +$2,063 -10.0% 5.6d -
29 DKNG 17 +19.39% $10,000 $11,939 79 39% - +$1,939 -45.9% 2.7d -
30 BAC 18 +18.97% $10,000 $11,897 21 48% - +$1,897 -15.8% 6.6d -
31 VXX 15 0 +18.33% $10,000 $11,833 123 40% - +$1,833 -45.0% 2.1d -
32 BRK-B +18.24% $10,000 $11,824 8 88% - +$1,824 -3.1% 5.9d -
33 GS 18 +18.16% $10,000 $11,816 25 44% - +$1,816 -18.8% 5.7d -
34 USO 24 6 +16.49% $10,000 $11,649 35 49% - +$1,649 -13.1% 6.0d -
35 CSCO 26 +16.43% $10,000 $11,643 11 73% - +$1,643 -3.1% 10.6d -
36 ABBV 15 +15.02% $10,000 $11,502 17 47% - +$1,502 -16.8% 5.6d -
37 JNJ +14.77% $10,000 $11,477 5 80% - +$1,477 -3.1% 9.4d -
38 MA 20 +14.14% $10,000 $11,414 11 55% - +$1,414 -6.6% 6.7d -
39 REGN 17 +14.04% $10,000 $11,404 32 44% - +$1,404 -23.1% 4.9d -
40 VTI +13.02% $10,000 $11,302 4 75% - +$1,302 -4.5% 2.5d -
41 VOO +12.90% $10,000 $11,290 4 75% - +$1,290 -4.2% 2.5d -
42 SPY +12.56% $10,000 $11,256 4 75% - +$1,256 -4.3% 2.5d -
43 QQQ +11.20% $10,000 $11,120 8 63% - +$1,120 -4.7% 7.7d -
44 MSFT 18 +11.18% $10,000 $11,118 13 46% - +$1,118 -14.5% 6.5d -
45 GLD 18 +10.17% $10,000 $11,017 14 57% - +$1,017 -6.1% 8.8d -
46 PG +8.78% $10,000 $10,878 6 50% - +$878 -3.7% 8.9d -
47 MCD +8.74% $10,000 $10,874 4 75% - +$874 -3.0% 8.8d -
48 XLF +8.35% $10,000 $10,835 7 57% - +$835 -7.7% 4.7d -
49 COIN 14 38🔥 +8.25% $10,000 $10,825 165 41% - +$825 -46.7% 1.3d -
50 MRK 13 +7.91% $10,000 $10,791 20 45% - +$791 -17.9% 6.1d -
51 XLE 16 +7.83% $10,000 $10,783 11 55% - +$783 -4.4% 7.7d -
52 ORCL 13 26 +7.30% $10,000 $10,730 64 39% - +$730 -29.3% 3.3d -
53 SLB 13 +6.65% $10,000 $10,665 32 50% - +$665 -22.1% 6.3d -
54 WFC 12 +6.58% $10,000 $10,658 26 46% - +$658 -13.1% 5.5d -
55 AMGN 12 +6.15% $10,000 $10,615 18 50% - +$615 -12.0% 6.4d -
56 IWM 10 +5.42% $10,000 $10,542 9 44% - +$542 -11.7% 5.3d -
57 AXP 11 +4.13% $10,000 $10,413 27 48% - +$413 -18.1% 7.3d -
58 VZ 11 +3.08% $10,000 $10,308 10 60% - +$308 -6.7% 7.6d -
59 GILD 7 +2.38% $10,000 $10,238 17 41% - +$238 -12.5% 9.3d -
60 DIA +2.26% $10,000 $10,226 2 50% - +$226 -3.2% 23.9h -
61 PM 6 +0.92% $10,000 $10,092 14 43% - +$92 -3.7% 4.9d -
62 MDT 5 +0.88% $10,000 $10,088 11 45% - +$88 -8.9% 6.9d -
63 SQQQ 6 2 +0.75% $10,000 $10,075 110 39% - +$75 -33.6% 2.3d -
64 KO +0.69% $10,000 $10,069 4 50% - +$69 -4.9% 10.1d -
65 V -0.12% $10,000 $9,988 9 44% - -$12 -9.6% 3.2d -
66 DOTUSD -0.41% 🔄 $10,095 $10,632 14 43% $739 +$537 -99.1% 14.0h 1 Feb 6, 2026
67 JPM 5 -0.79% $10,000 $9,921 18 50% - -$79 -23.6% 6.3d -
68 COP 8 -2.62% $10,000 $9,738 31 45% - -$262 -17.9% 6.2d -
69 TLT -3.12% $10,000 $9,688 2 50% - -$312 -3.7% 8.0d -
70 COST -4.46% $10,000 $9,554 12 50% - -$446 -9.0% 8.2d -
71 UNH 4 -4.87% $10,000 $9,513 32 41% - -$487 -24.8% 5.5d -
72 VRTX 4 -5.25% $10,000 $9,475 16 44% - -$525 -20.8% 4.5d -
73 DIS 2 -7.56% $10,000 $9,244 15 33% - -$756 -18.6% 5.7d -
74 PEP -8.05% $10,000 $9,195 7 14% - -$805 -13.1% 5.9d -
75 HD 2 -8.11% $10,000 $9,189 13 23% - -$811 -13.9% 6.6d -
76 NVDA 4 -8.12% $10,000 $9,188 68 37% - -$812 -47.0% 3.2d -
77 CRWD 5 0 -8.15% $10,000 $9,185 75 40% - -$815 -28.2% 3.4d -
78 XLK 3 -8.89% $10,000 $9,111 15 40% - -$889 -12.2% 4.7d -
79 ISRG 3 -9.69% $10,000 $9,031 21 29% - -$969 -20.7% 5.1d -
80 CMCSA 4 17 -9.86% $10,000 $9,014 17 47% - -$986 -19.5% 5.8d -
81 MARA 4 13 -10.42% $10,000 $8,958 221 37% - -$1,042 -46.1% 1.0d -
82 CRM 4 19 -10.72% $10,000 $8,928 37 41% - -$1,072 -27.5% 4.8d -
83 CVX 7 -11.99% $10,000 $8,801 13 46% - -$1,199 -14.4% 8.9d -
84 XOM 2 -12.20% $10,000 $8,780 13 31% - -$1,220 -7.4% 8.0d -
85 TMO 2 -14.21% $10,000 $8,579 18 28% - -$1,421 -21.7% 5.2d -
86 BMY 2 -15.01% $10,000 $8,499 16 31% - -$1,501 -20.0% 5.8d -
87 PANW 4 25🔥 -15.82% $10,000 $8,418 43 37% - -$1,582 -27.2% 4.1d -
88 ACN 3 0 -17.40% $10,000 $8,260 31 42% - -$1,740 -14.7% 7.7d -
89 META 4 -17.52% $10,000 $8,248 35 37% - -$1,752 -28.8% 4.2d -
90 UVXY 5 6 -17.55% $10,000 $8,245 194 38% - -$1,755 -61.4% 1.4d -
91 GME 3 -18.78% $10,000 $8,122 95 43% - -$1,878 -41.9% 2.0d -
92 SPXU 4 0 -24.47% $10,000 $7,553 54 37% - -$2,447 -27.6% 4.2d -
93 SOFI 4 1 -25.75% $10,000 $7,425 113 39% - -$2,575 -30.6% 2.3d -
94 MRNA 6 34🔥 -26.58% $10,000 $7,342 134 39% - -$2,658 -66.5% 1.9d -
95 ARM 4 23 -28.79% $10,000 $7,121 117 37% - -$2,879 -64.8% 2.0d -
96 BTCUSD 5 -30.20% $10,000 $6,980 79 44% $4,338 -$3,020 -38.9% 1.5d -
97 SNOW 3 40🔥 -31.11% $10,000 $6,889 69 32% - -$3,111 -40.8% 3.4d -
98 PYPL 3 -33.95% $10,000 $6,605 36 39% - -$3,395 -32.8% 5.5d -
99 ADBE 3 -38.20% $10,000 $6,180 30 20% - -$3,820 -34.6% 4.7d -
100 SMCI 4 5 -52.13% $10,000 $4,787 172 38% - -$5,213 -80.5% 1.4d -
101 RIOT 5 9 -53.12% $10,000 $4,688 204 41% - -$5,312 -63.2% 23.1h -
102 AMC 3 9 -56.47% $10,000 $4,353 124 35% - -$5,647 -52.2% 1.7d -
103 LCID 4 9 -57.24% $10,000 $4,276 155 34% - -$5,724 -57.4% 1.7d -
104 RIVN 3 1 -61.31% $10,000 $3,869 133 35% - -$6,131 -55.2% 1.8d -
105 LTCUSD 5 -66.29% $10,000 $3,371 333 41% $18,196 -$6,629 -84.0% 16.6h -
106 SHIBUSD 5 -70.15% $10,000 $2,985 411 41% $36,596 -$7,015 -94.1% 12.4h -
107 ETHUSD 4 -71.30% $10,000 $2,870 217 40% $9,037 -$7,130 -77.9% 1.0d -
108 XRPUSD 4 -71.80% $10,000 $2,820 389 43% $18,651 -$7,180 -82.9% 14.1h -
109 SOLUSD 3 -87.53% $10,000 $1,247 346 40% $12,232 -$8,753 -92.3% 14.0h -
110 PEPEUSD 3 64🔥 -91.90% $10,000 $810 892 39% $455,922 -$9,190 -99.8% 7.8h -
111 DOGEUSD 4 31🔥 -92.26% $10,000 $774 499 41% $19,209 -$9,226 -94.5% 12.8h -
112 LINKUSD 2 53🔥 -95.36% $10,000 $464 425 39% $7,297 -$9,536 -96.9% 14.5h -
113 AVAXUSD 2 30🔥 -97.51% $10,000 $249 398 38% $6,585 -$9,751 -97.8% 14.0h -
114 UNIUSD 4 48🔥 -98.33% $10,000 $167 518 38% $13,127 -$9,833 -98.8% 12.2h -

👤 Personality

Eternally bullish, impossibly optimistic. Has seen Napoleon's wars, the Long Depression, the Great Depression, 1987, 2000, 2008, and 2020—and made money in each recovery.