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Trent Follower
10

Trent Follower

The Disciple

🎯 Swing Trader 📅 43 years old (Born 1983)

"I don't have opinions about where the market should go. I only observe where it's going."

Simple clothing, no logos. Reads "Market Wizards" once a year like scripture. Has a signed photo of Ed Seykota on his wall.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

May 6, 2025 May 6, 2026 (365d)

📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Trent Follower's performance over the last year across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$10,520
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,267 (+$254)
+2.47%
Last Year ROI
39.3%
Win Rate
1,837
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+0.9%
1 Month
+1.3%
3 Months
+0.6%
6 Months
+1.4%
YTD
+2.5%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last Year)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

50-day MA trend following, 3% strength threshold

Identifies established trends using the 50-day moving average. Enters when price is 3% above the MA (confirming strength) and exits when it crosses below.

🎯 Best Suited For

Commodities, currencies, trending markets

"Don't fight the tape. Don't predict the tape. Just follow the tape."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets trend because information is absorbed gradually. Trent doesn't catch bottoms or tops—he catches middles, which is where the money is.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

Close ≥ SMA50 × 1.03 (3% above 50-day MA)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Conditions

• TREND_BREAK: Close < SMA50 (fell below 50-day MA)
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.15 (+15% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.93 (-7% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 60 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

MA_PERIOD: 50
ENTRY_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 15%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -7%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 60

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: The legendary Turtle Traders experiment

In 1983, Richard Dennis bet he could teach anyone to trade. His "Turtles" earned over $175 million in five years using simple trend-following rules.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Year: May 6, 2025 May 6, 2026 (365 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 1Y Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 RIOT 15 46🔥 +90.03% $5,914 $11,238 81 47% - +$5,324 -45.8% 14.3h -
2 COIN 22 6 +64.31% $8,439 $13,866 51 51% - +$5,427 -42.7% 13.2h -
3 INTC 24 33 +43.03% $9,253 $13,235 55 49% - +$3,982 -18.6% 11.9h -
4 ARM 26 17 +39.60% $9,392 $13,112 41 56% - +$3,719 -32.0% 8.9h -
5 SOXL 5 87🔥 +38.87% $7,404 $10,281 76 43% - +$2,878 -58.1% 10.5h -
6 LCID 4 46🔥 +37.23% $7,006 $9,614 49 45% - +$2,608 -41.6% 11.8h -
7 SLV 44 3🧊 +36.27% $9,897 $13,486 34 59% - +$3,589 -5.8% 17.8h -
8 TQQQ 24 39 +27.64% $9,414 $12,016 30 67% - +$2,602 -29.4% 11.3h -
9 MARA 3 72🔥 +26.90% $5,485 $6,961 76 43% - +$1,476 -59.9% 11.5h -
10 HOOD 7 2 +23.63% $6,878 $8,504 51 51% - +$1,625 -41.4% 9.8h -
11 RIVN 39 1🧊 +15.81% $15,905 $18,420 48 40% - +$2,515 -19.2% 12.5h -
12 TMO 21 +15.53% $9,936 $11,479 9 33% - +$1,543 -3.0% 9.8h -
13 AMD 26 28 +14.88% $11,038 $12,681 45 53% - +$1,643 -21.9% 7.8h -
14 META 9 +12.10% $9,095 $10,195 9 56% - +$1,100 -14.0% 9.9h -
15 AMGN +11.04% $9,936 $11,033 5 80% - +$1,097 -1.5% 10.2h -
16 LLY 20 +10.13% $9,934 $10,940 12 67% - +$1,006 -5.3% 7.0h -
17 SMCI 51 18🧊 +9.12% $24,901 $27,172 53 45% - +$2,271 -28.0% 10.3h -
18 PFE +7.32% $9,807 $10,524 4 50% - +$718 -6.4% 10.7h -
19 CRWD 11 35🔥 +6.90% $9,577 $10,237 20 60% - +$661 -18.9% 9.1h -
20 ORCL 23 33 +6.58% $10,909 $11,626 35 51% - +$718 -17.0% 12.7h -
21 MRNA 6 3 +5.76% $8,242 $8,717 64 45% - +$475 -44.0% 7.9h -
22 C 9 +5.59% $9,411 $9,937 9 67% - +$526 -9.6% 5.8h -
23 VRTX +5.44% $9,725 $10,254 3 100% - +$529 -3.8% 13.0h -
24 TSLA 29 0🧊 +5.26% $13,050 $13,736 37 41% - +$686 -15.1% 11.0h -
25 CMCSA 7 +4.80% $9,723 $10,190 3 67% - +$467 -3.2% 10.3h -
26 UNH 10 +4.75% $9,798 $10,263 14 57% - +$465 -5.3% 7.7h -
27 ACN 2 +3.98% $9,312 $9,682 7 57% - +$371 -9.0% 7.2h -
28 VZ +3.90% $10,206 $10,604 3 67% - +$398 -1.9% 21.8h -
29 AXP 15 +2.66% $10,101 $10,370 4 50% - +$269 -2.5% 20.5h -
30 PM +2.48% $9,895 $10,141 2 100% - +$245 -2.1% 14.5h -
31 WMT +2.42% $10,114 $10,359 1 100% - +$245 -2.1% 11.2h -
32 AAPL 30 +1.82% $10,912 $11,111 7 71% - +$199 -1.7% 15.1h -
33 WFC 9 +1.67% $9,750 $9,912 5 60% - +$163 -8.1% 14.6h -
34 NFLX 4 +1.48% $9,304 $9,442 3 33% - +$138 -9.1% 7.4h -
35 GILD 5 +1.40% $9,940 $10,079 5 40% - +$139 -2.6% 6.3h -
36 CSCO +1.13% $9,538 $9,645 2 50% - +$108 -5.8% 6.9h -
37 DIS +1.02% $9,916 $10,018 3 67% - +$101 -4.3% 5.8h -
38 MRK 2 +1.00% $9,851 $9,950 7 29% - +$99 -2.8% 14.9h -
39 COST +0.99% $9,883 $9,981 2 50% - +$98 -3.5% 7.0h -
40 MDT +0.78% $10,181 $10,260 2 50% - +$79 -0.9% 10.0h -
41 GLD +0.47% $10,000 $10,047 4 75% - +$47 -0.0% 4.6h -
42 REGN 3 +0.33% $9,446 $9,477 12 42% - +$31 -12.1% 8.4h -
43 BLK 1 21 +0.32% $9,373 $9,403 7 57% - +$30 -9.5% 6.6h -
44 JPM 5 +0.31% $9,499 $9,529 4 50% - +$29 -6.7% 5.2h -
45 JNJ +0.15% $9,801 $9,816 1 100% - +$15 -2.2% 3.9h -
46 V +0.08% $9,895 $9,903 2 50% - +$8 -1.9% 11.3h -
47 XLF +0.00% $9,828 $9,828 NO ENTRY - - - -2.1% 7.9h -
48 BRK-B +0.00% $10,216 $10,216 NO ENTRY - - - -0.1% 9.1h -
49 TLT +0.00% $10,000 $10,000 NO ENTRY - - - -0.0% 0.0h -
50 KO -0.14% $10,241 $10,227 2 50% - -$14 -0.7% 1.1d -
51 ARKK 6 0 -0.18% $8,588 $8,572 14 64% - -$15 -18.6% 6.2h -
52 DIA -0.24% $9,943 $9,919 1 0% - -$24 -1.3% 16.4h -
53 BMY 7 -0.26% $10,061 $10,035 8 50% - -$26 -4.0% 6.7h -
54 QQQ -0.27% $10,083 $10,056 2 50% - -$27 -1.4% 8.2h -
55 VTI -0.29% $9,783 $9,754 1 0% - -$28 -2.2% 8.8h -
56 SPY -0.33% $9,794 $9,761 1 0% - -$32 -2.1% 8.7h -
57 VOO -0.35% $9,802 $9,768 1 0% - -$34 -2.0% 8.7h -
58 SLB 12 -0.50% $10,428 $10,376 16 38% - -$52 -4.2% 10.2h -
59 XLK -0.56% $10,189 $10,132 3 33% - -$57 -2.0% 11.3h -
60 AVGO 23 28 -0.77% $12,415 $12,320 25 36% - -$96 -15.5% 13.0h -
61 ISRG 16 -0.85% $10,729 $10,638 6 50% - -$91 -8.3% 18.6h -
62 IWM -0.94% $9,712 $9,621 3 33% - -$91 -4.5% 12.8h -
63 MA -1.07% $9,527 $9,425 2 0% - -$102 -5.8% 6.1h -
64 MCD -1.13% $10,010 $9,897 1 0% - -$113 -1.2% 21.4h -
65 GOOGL 7 -1.14% $10,181 $10,065 14 50% - -$116 -7.7% 14.3h -
66 ABBV 2 -1.21% $9,796 $9,678 6 33% - -$119 -8.1% 12.3h -
67 PLTR 4 3 -1.37% $9,427 $9,298 34 41% - -$129 -30.9% 11.3h -
68 PANW 4 -1.56% $9,793 $9,640 7 29% - -$153 -9.9% 5.4h -
69 PG -1.82% $9,780 $9,602 1 0% - -$178 -2.2% 4.0h -
70 PEP -1.84% $9,841 $9,660 5 40% - -$181 -4.1% 10.5h -
71 IBM 6 -1.84% $10,411 $10,220 6 33% - -$192 -4.4% 5.1h -
72 GS 5 -1.97% $10,273 $10,071 8 25% - -$202 -4.5% 8.1h -
73 SCHW 3 -2.33% $9,753 $9,526 2 0% - -$227 -5.7% 11.0h -
74 MS 3 -2.52% $9,836 $9,589 8 25% - -$248 -7.7% 4.9h -
75 HD 0 -2.58% $9,486 $9,242 7 0% - -$245 -6.3% 5.4h -
76 BAC 2 -2.97% $9,366 $9,088 4 0% - -$278 -8.9% 5.5h -
77 NVDA 8 -2.98% $8,561 $8,306 18 44% - -$255 -30.0% 9.4h -
78 CRM 6 3 -3.32% $10,045 $9,711 13 46% - -$333 -8.0% 9.8h -
79 MSFT -3.46% $9,710 $9,374 2 0% - -$336 -4.5% 9.2h -
80 CVX -3.53% $9,891 $9,542 3 33% - -$349 -2.8% 7.9h -
81 PYPL 8 -4.06% $10,717 $10,282 7 29% - -$435 -5.2% 12.8h -
82 SNOW 3 2 -4.79% $7,924 $7,545 28 39% - -$380 -27.1% 9.7h -
83 ADBE 2 -5.78% $9,969 $9,393 8 13% - -$576 -7.8% 6.4h -
84 BIIB 2 -7.32% $8,799 $8,155 18 28% - -$644 -19.8% 7.0h -
85 MU 6 22 -7.36% $10,672 $9,887 56 39% - -$785 -25.8% 10.4h -
86 RBLX 3 5 -7.73% $8,498 $7,841 37 41% - -$657 -22.6% 8.2h -
87 AMZN 2 0 -7.91% $9,253 $8,521 8 13% - -$732 -10.9% 8.7h -
88 COP 2 -8.03% $10,172 $9,355 8 25% - -$817 -3.9% 13.4h -
89 XLE -8.28% $9,877 $9,059 5 0% - -$818 -5.4% 6.6h -
90 NIO 3 9 -8.71% $6,269 $5,723 55 45% - -$546 -49.6% 9.2h -
91 OXY 3 -9.12% $10,391 $9,443 17 24% - -$948 -9.5% 14.1h -
92 SOFI 4 3 -9.29% $8,322 $7,549 47 38% - -$773 -28.2% 11.1h -
93 NET 23 10 -9.94% $13,000 $11,707 34 44% - -$1,292 -15.3% 8.9h -
94 AMC 3 35🔥 -10.39% $7,291 $6,533 42 31% - -$758 -39.5% 12.4h -
95 XOM -10.60% $9,936 $8,883 5 0% - -$1,053 -3.1% 9.0h -
96 USO 2 2 -13.12% $9,490 $8,245 24 33% - -$1,245 -9.5% 12.3h -
97 GME 19 -19.21% $14,584 $11,782 21 10% - -$2,802 -17.7% 15.3h -
98 SPXU 2 -22.30% $8,595 $6,678 17 18% - -$1,917 -32.8% 2.3d -
99 DKNG 2 -23.35% $7,883 $6,042 29 21% - -$1,841 -36.1% 8.2h -
100 SQQQ 6 0 -29.29% $12,419 $8,781 41 32% - -$3,637 -19.6% 10.0h -
101 VXX 4 0 -36.63% $14,529 $9,207 46 30% - -$5,322 -29.8% 11.9h -
102 UVXY 39 3🧊 -37.07% $44,111 $27,759 63 30% - -$16,352 -44.6% 11.1h -

👤 Personality

Humble, disciplined, almost monk-like. Doesn't predict, only reacts. Believes fighting trends is ego, and ego is expensive.