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Trent Follower
10

Trent Follower

The Disciple

🎯 Swing Trader 📅 43 years old (Born 1983)

"I don't have opinions about where the market should go. I only observe where it's going."

Simple clothing, no logos. Reads "Market Wizards" once a year like scripture. Has a signed photo of Ed Seykota on his wall.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Sep 25, 2025 → Sep 25, 2026 (365d)

📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Trent Follower's performance over the last year across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$10,616
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,220 (+$397)
+3.88%
Last Year ROI
37.4%
Win Rate
2,173
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+0.6%
1 Month
+1.7%
3 Months
+3.9%
6 Months
+3.9%
YTD
+3.9%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last Year)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

50-day MA trend following, 3% strength threshold

Identifies established trends using the 50-day moving average. Enters when price is 3% above the MA (confirming strength) and exits when it crosses below.

🎯 Best Suited For

Commodities, currencies, trending markets

"Don't fight the tape. Don't predict the tape. Just follow the tape."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets trend because information is absorbed gradually. Trent doesn't catch bottoms or tops—he catches middles, which is where the money is.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

Close ≥ SMA50 × 1.03 (3% above 50-day MA)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Conditions

• TREND_BREAK: Close < SMA50 (fell below 50-day MA)
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.15 (+15% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.93 (-7% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 60 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

MA_PERIOD: 50
ENTRY_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 15%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -7%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 60

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: The legendary Turtle Traders experiment

In 1983, Richard Dennis bet he could teach anyone to trade. His "Turtles" earned over $175 million in five years using simple trend-following rules.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Year: Sep 25, 2025 → Sep 25, 2026 (365 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 1Y Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 MRNA 26 32 +77.33% $7,846 $13,913 68 49% - +$6,067 -44.0% 7.9h ✓ -
2 MARA 4 67🔥 +60.50% $5,815 $9,333 81 44% - +$3,518 -59.9% 11.5h ✓ -
3 MU 34 1🧊 +57.73% $9,870 $15,568 70 50% - +$5,698 -25.8% 10.4h ✓ -
4 CRWD 40 67🔥 +52.24% $10,211 $15,545 34 68% - +$5,334 -18.9% 9.1h ✓ -
5 HOOD 7 1 +45.46% $6,737 $9,800 55 53% - +$3,063 -41.4% 9.8h ✓ -
6 PANW 31 42 +38.48% $9,517 $13,179 21 52% - +$3,662 -9.9% 5.4h ✓ -
7 LCID 15 0 +31.98% $8,510 $11,231 53 42% - +$2,721 -41.6% 11.8h ✓ -
8 SOXL 6 27🔥 +30.05% $6,549 $8,517 94 48% - +$1,968 -58.1% 10.5h ✓ -
9 SLV 35 — +28.36% $9,916 $12,729 44 50% - +$2,812 -5.8% 17.8h ✓ -
10 COIN 28 63🔥 +26.27% $13,352 $16,860 58 45% - +$3,508 -42.7% 13.2h ✓ -
11 RIOT 5 64🔥 +25.26% $7,127 $8,927 87 44% - +$1,800 -45.8% 14.3h ✓ -
12 TQQQ 26 — +21.25% $10,187 $12,352 38 55% - +$2,165 -29.4% 11.3h ✓ -
13 META 21 8 +20.19% $9,533 $11,457 16 56% - +$1,925 -14.0% 9.9h ✓ -
14 INTC 23 29 +19.60% $9,813 $11,737 67 45% - +$1,923 -18.6% 11.9h ✓ -
15 NET 39 63🔥 +14.29% $13,236 $15,127 43 49% - +$1,891 -15.3% 8.9h ✓ -
16 SMCI 54 14🧊 +13.53% $26,215 $29,761 60 43% - +$3,547 -28.0% 10.3h ✓ -
17 AMD 23 25 +11.27% $10,774 $11,988 55 53% - +$1,214 -21.9% 7.8h ✓ -
18 IBM 26 — +9.74% $10,410 $11,424 15 53% - +$1,014 -4.4% 5.1h ✓ -
19 ACN 10 0 +8.87% $9,386 $10,218 21 57% - +$833 -9.0% 7.2h ✓ -
20 CRM 20 — +8.77% $10,240 $11,139 26 46% - +$898 -8.0% 9.8h ✓ -
21 SLB 23 — +8.57% $10,427 $11,320 14 36% - +$894 -4.2% 10.2h ✓ -
22 PLTR 13 20 +7.87% $9,868 $10,645 36 47% - +$777 -30.9% 11.3h ✓ -
23 REGN — — +7.82% $8,790 $9,477 6 67% - +$687 -12.1% 8.4h ✓ -
24 PFE 8 — +7.45% $9,706 $10,430 3 33% - +$723 -6.4% 10.7h ✓ -
25 LLY 15 — +7.32% $9,890 $10,614 18 56% - +$724 -5.3% 7.0h ✓ -
26 GOOGL 13 — +7.19% $9,844 $10,552 11 55% - +$708 -7.7% 14.3h ✓ -
27 ADBE 3 17 +5.82% $9,438 $9,987 22 36% - +$549 -7.8% 6.4h ✓ -
28 TMO 31 — +5.67% $11,310 $11,951 10 50% - +$641 -3.0% 9.8h ✓ -
29 RIVN 41 2🧊 +5.49% $17,797 $18,774 52 35% - +$977 -19.2% 12.5h ✓ -
30 AMGN 13 — +5.35% $10,007 $10,542 9 44% - +$535 -1.5% 10.2h ✓ -
31 GS 13 — +3.76% $10,199 $10,582 12 42% - +$383 -4.5% 8.1h ✓ -
32 MSFT 1 — +3.68% $9,547 $9,898 7 43% - +$351 -4.5% 9.2h ✓ -
33 SOFI 4 — +3.39% $7,545 $7,801 43 42% - +$256 -28.2% 11.1h ✓ -
34 AAPL 24 — +2.11% $11,122 $11,357 3 67% - +$235 -1.7% 15.1h ✓ -
35 VRTX 4 — +2.06% $9,724 $9,925 7 57% - +$200 -3.8% 13.0h ✓ -
36 ARM 16 17 +2.01% $10,563 $10,775 64 42% - +$212 -32.0% 8.9h ✓ -
37 CMCSA 2 — +1.52% $9,723 $9,871 6 33% - +$148 -3.2% 10.3h ✓ -
38 MRK 4 — +1.36% $9,943 $10,078 8 38% - +$135 -2.8% 14.9h ✓ -
39 WFC 10 — +1.23% $9,545 $9,662 4 75% - +$117 -8.1% 14.6h ✓ -
40 AXP — — +1.12% $10,317 $10,432 3 67% - +$116 -2.5% 20.5h ✓ -
41 WMT — — +1.09% $10,114 $10,224 2 50% - +$110 -2.1% 11.2h ✓ -
42 ABBV 2 — +1.03% $9,552 $9,650 6 50% - +$98 -8.1% 12.3h ✓ -
43 RBLX 5 24 +0.90% $8,185 $8,259 47 45% - +$74 -22.6% 8.2h ✓ -
44 CSCO 6 — +0.86% $9,726 $9,810 6 67% - +$84 -5.8% 6.9h ✓ -
45 JPM — — +0.73% $9,460 $9,529 3 67% - +$69 -6.7% 5.2h ✓ -
46 AMZN 2 — +0.60% $9,204 $9,260 10 40% - +$55 -10.9% 8.7h ✓ -
47 XLK 12 — +0.57% $10,239 $10,297 4 50% - +$58 -2.0% 11.3h ✓ -
48 BLK 1 — +0.56% $9,332 $9,385 7 57% - +$52 -9.5% 6.6h ✓ -
49 AMC 4 7 +0.53% $7,850 $7,892 59 41% - +$42 -39.5% 12.4h ✓ -
50 NVDA 8 — +0.43% $8,428 $8,464 17 35% - +$36 -30.0% 9.4h ✓ -
51 VZ — — +0.23% $10,367 $10,391 4 50% - +$24 -1.9% 21.8h ✓ -
52 PM 5 — +0.03% $9,895 $9,898 8 63% - +$3 -2.1% 14.5h ✓ -
53 GLD — — +0.02% $10,000 $10,002 5 60% - +$2 -0.0% 4.6h ✓ -
54 TLT — — +0.00% $10,000 $10,000 NO ENTRY - - - -0.0% 0.0h ✓ -
55 MA — — +0.00% $9,425 $9,425 1 0% - - -5.8% 6.1h ✓ -
56 XLF — — +0.00% $9,828 $9,828 NO ENTRY - - - -2.1% 7.9h ✓ -
57 DIA — — -0.24% $9,943 $9,919 1 0% - -$24 -1.3% 16.4h ✓ -
58 C 8 — -0.26% $9,450 $9,425 10 50% - -$25 -9.6% 5.8h ✓ -
59 KO — — -0.29% $10,241 $10,212 3 33% - -$30 -0.7% 1.1d ✓ -
60 VTI — — -0.29% $9,783 $9,754 1 0% - -$28 -2.2% 8.8h ✓ -
61 SPY — — -0.33% $9,794 $9,761 1 0% - -$32 -2.1% 8.7h ✓ -
62 VOO — — -0.35% $9,802 $9,768 1 0% - -$34 -2.0% 8.7h ✓ -
63 COST — — -0.47% $9,884 $9,837 2 50% - -$46 -3.5% 7.0h ✓ -
64 V — — -0.58% $9,838 $9,780 2 50% - -$57 -1.9% 11.3h ✓ -
65 QQQ — — -0.59% $10,116 $10,056 1 0% - -$60 -1.4% 8.2h ✓ -
66 MDT 9 — -0.64% $10,304 $10,238 6 17% - -$66 -0.9% 10.0h ✓ -
67 IWM — — -0.74% $9,693 $9,621 1 0% - -$72 -4.5% 12.8h ✓ -
68 BRK-B — — -0.87% $10,216 $10,127 1 0% - -$89 -0.1% 9.1h ✓ -
69 MCD — — -1.13% $10,010 $9,897 1 0% - -$113 -1.2% 21.4h ✓ -
70 DIS 5 — -1.29% $10,066 $9,937 3 33% - -$130 -4.3% 5.8h ✓ -
71 SCHW 2 — -1.38% $9,544 $9,412 2 0% - -$132 -5.7% 11.0h ✓ -
72 JNJ — — -1.41% $9,816 $9,678 3 33% - -$138 -2.2% 3.9h ✓ -
73 NFLX 4 — -1.67% $9,305 $9,150 11 36% - -$155 -9.1% 7.4h ✓ -
74 MS 3 — -1.95% $9,825 $9,634 8 38% - -$192 -7.7% 4.9h ✓ -
75 PG — — -2.05% $9,780 $9,580 2 0% - -$200 -2.2% 4.0h ✓ -
76 CVX — — -2.16% $9,721 $9,511 4 50% - -$210 -2.8% 7.9h ✓ -
77 BAC — — -2.39% $9,311 $9,088 3 0% - -$223 -8.9% 5.5h ✓ -
78 PEP 4 — -2.94% $9,619 $9,336 4 25% - -$283 -4.1% 10.5h ✓ -
79 ARKK 8 — -3.39% $9,063 $8,756 13 62% - -$307 -18.6% 6.2h ✓ -
80 BMY 3 — -3.64% $10,061 $9,694 10 40% - -$366 -4.0% 6.7h ✓ -
81 OXY 3 — -3.68% $10,208 $9,832 17 35% - -$376 -9.5% 14.1h ✓ -
82 ISRG 13 — -5.08% $10,958 $10,402 12 42% - -$557 -8.3% 18.6h ✓ -
83 AVGO 22 0🧊 -5.17% $12,718 $12,061 30 37% - -$658 -15.5% 13.0h ✓ -
84 ORCL 24 2🧊 -5.29% $12,526 $11,863 43 44% - -$663 -17.0% 12.7h ✓ -
85 PYPL 6 — -5.48% $10,487 $9,912 12 42% - -$575 -5.2% 12.8h ✓ -
86 UNH 4 — -5.80% $10,526 $9,915 8 50% - -$611 -5.3% 7.7h ✓ -
87 HD 0 — -6.08% $9,375 $8,805 9 0% - -$570 -6.3% 5.4h ✓ -
88 TSLA 32 14 -6.55% $15,376 $14,369 33 33% - -$1,007 -15.1% 11.0h ✓ -
89 BIIB 2 — -6.56% $8,111 $7,579 15 33% - -$532 -19.8% 7.0h ✓ -
90 XLE — — -6.58% $9,697 $9,059 4 0% - -$638 -5.4% 6.6h ✓ -
91 NIO 4 — -7.54% $6,066 $5,609 42 50% - -$457 -49.6% 9.2h ✓ -
92 GILD 3 — -7.68% $10,123 $9,346 7 14% - -$777 -2.6% 6.3h ✓ -
93 COP 2 — -9.33% $10,010 $9,076 9 22% - -$934 -3.9% 13.4h ✓ -
94 USO 3 0 -9.92% $9,242 $8,325 33 39% - -$917 -9.5% 12.3h ✓ -
95 SNOW 3 1 -10.70% $8,024 $7,165 43 33% - -$859 -27.1% 9.7h ✓ -
96 XOM — — -11.41% $9,935 $8,802 8 13% - -$1,134 -3.1% 9.0h ✓ -
97 DKNG 3 0 -14.87% $7,443 $6,336 38 32% - -$1,107 -36.1% 8.2h ✓ -
98 GME 17 7 -16.55% $13,581 $11,333 18 22% - -$2,248 -17.7% 15.3h ✓ -
99 SPXU 2 — -20.88% $7,557 $5,979 20 25% - -$1,578 -32.8% 2.3d ✓ -
100 VXX 3 — -32.05% $11,559 $7,854 43 30% - -$3,705 -29.8% 11.9h ✓ -
101 UVXY 29 0🧊 -35.84% $30,745 $19,726 58 34% - -$11,019 -44.6% 11.1h ✓ -
102 SQQQ 4 1 -39.56% $10,806 $6,531 54 31% - -$4,275 -19.6% 10.0h ✓ -

👤 Personality

Humble, disciplined, almost monk-like. Doesn't predict, only reacts. Believes fighting trends is ego, and ego is expensive.