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Trent Follower
10

Trent Follower

The Disciple

🎯 Swing Trader 📅 43 years old (Born 1983)

"I don't have opinions about where the market should go. I only observe where it's going."

Simple clothing, no logos. Reads "Market Wizards" once a year like scripture. Has a signed photo of Ed Seykota on his wall.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Jun 25, 2026 → Sep 25, 2026 (92d)

📊 Last 3 Months Performance: Showing Trent Follower's performance over the last 3 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$10,528
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,357 (+$171)
+1.65%
Last 3 Months ROI
33.2%
Win Rate
616
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+0.6%
1 Month
+1.7%
3 Months
+3.9%
6 Months
+3.9%
YTD
+3.9%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last 3 Months)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

50-day MA trend following, 3% strength threshold

Identifies established trends using the 50-day moving average. Enters when price is 3% above the MA (confirming strength) and exits when it crosses below.

🎯 Best Suited For

Commodities, currencies, trending markets

"Don't fight the tape. Don't predict the tape. Just follow the tape."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets trend because information is absorbed gradually. Trent doesn't catch bottoms or tops—he catches middles, which is where the money is.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

Close ≥ SMA50 × 1.03 (3% above 50-day MA)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Conditions

• TREND_BREAK: Close < SMA50 (fell below 50-day MA)
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.15 (+15% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.93 (-7% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 60 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

MA_PERIOD: 50
ENTRY_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 15%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -7%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 60

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: The legendary Turtle Traders experiment

In 1983, Richard Dennis bet he could teach anyone to trade. His "Turtles" earned over $175 million in five years using simple trend-following rules.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 3 Months: Jun 25, 2026 → Sep 25, 2026 (92 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 3M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 AMC 4 7 +55.27% $5,083 $7,892 15 80% - +$2,809 -39.5% 12.4h ✓ -
2 MRNA 26 32 +45.06% $9,591 $13,913 18 61% - +$4,322 -44.0% 7.9h ✓ -
3 CRWD 40 67🔥 +41.19% $11,010 $15,545 12 83% - +$4,535 -18.9% 9.1h ✓ -
4 MARA 4 67🔥 +27.14% $7,341 $9,333 20 55% - +$1,992 -59.9% 11.5h ✓ -
5 PANW 31 42 +23.13% $10,703 $13,179 12 50% - +$2,476 -9.9% 5.4h ✓ -
6 LCID 15 0 +20.82% $9,296 $11,231 15 33% - +$1,935 -41.6% 11.8h ✓ -
7 NET 39 63🔥 +19.79% $12,628 $15,127 12 67% - +$2,499 -15.3% 8.9h ✓ -
8 COIN 28 63🔥 +16.73% $14,444 $16,860 17 47% - +$2,416 -42.7% 13.2h ✓ -
9 CRM 20 — +14.75% $9,707 $11,139 10 60% - +$1,432 -8.0% 9.8h ✓ -
10 MU 34 1🧊 +14.12% $13,642 $15,568 16 56% - +$1,926 -25.8% 10.4h ✓ -
11 META 21 8 +11.44% $10,281 $11,457 7 57% - +$1,176 -14.0% 9.9h ✓ -
12 SLB 23 — +9.10% $10,376 $11,320 2 100% - +$944 -4.2% 10.2h ✓ -
13 TSLA 32 14 +8.52% $13,241 $14,369 9 56% - +$1,128 -15.1% 11.0h ✓ -
14 AMZN 2 — +8.16% $8,561 $9,260 3 67% - +$699 -10.9% 8.7h ✓ -
15 MSFT 1 — +7.40% $9,216 $9,898 3 100% - +$682 -4.5% 9.2h ✓ -
16 SOFI 4 — +7.18% $7,278 $7,801 9 56% - +$523 -28.2% 11.1h ✓ -
17 RBLX 5 24 +7.09% $7,712 $8,259 16 56% - +$547 -22.6% 8.2h ✓ -
18 USO 3 0 +5.62% $7,882 $8,325 10 50% - +$443 -9.5% 12.3h ✓ -
19 GOOGL 13 — +4.83% $10,066 $10,552 3 33% - +$486 -7.7% 14.3h ✓ -
20 ADBE 3 17 +4.52% $9,555 $9,987 13 46% - +$432 -7.8% 6.4h ✓ -
21 GS 13 — +4.25% $10,151 $10,582 4 50% - +$431 -4.5% 8.1h ✓ -
22 SMCI 54 14🧊 +4.13% $28,581 $29,761 18 39% - +$1,180 -28.0% 10.3h ✓ -
23 AVGO 22 0🧊 +3.65% $11,636 $12,061 6 67% - +$425 -15.5% 13.0h ✓ -
24 OXY 3 — +2.90% $9,555 $9,832 5 60% - +$277 -9.5% 14.1h ✓ -
25 AAPL 24 — +2.21% $11,111 $11,357 1 100% - +$246 -1.7% 15.1h ✓ -
26 CSCO 6 — +2.13% $9,605 $9,810 2 100% - +$205 -5.8% 6.9h ✓ -
27 PLTR 13 20 +1.53% $10,484 $10,645 11 45% - +$160 -30.9% 11.3h ✓ -
28 XLK 12 — +1.42% $10,153 $10,297 1 100% - +$144 -2.0% 11.3h ✓ -
29 NVDA 8 — +1.34% $8,352 $8,464 3 33% - +$112 -30.0% 9.4h ✓ -
30 TQQQ 26 — +0.69% $12,267 $12,352 10 60% - +$85 -29.4% 11.3h ✓ -
31 ARKK 8 — +0.59% $8,705 $8,756 3 100% - +$51 -18.6% 6.2h ✓ -
32 MRK 4 — +0.59% $10,019 $10,078 2 50% - +$59 -2.8% 14.9h ✓ -
33 MS 3 — +0.47% $9,589 $9,634 1 100% - +$45 -7.7% 4.9h ✓ -
34 IBM 26 — +0.43% $11,375 $11,424 5 60% - +$49 -4.4% 5.1h ✓ -
35 JPM — — +0.00% $9,529 $9,529 NO ENTRY - - - -6.7% 5.2h ✓ -
36 BAC — — +0.00% $9,088 $9,088 NO ENTRY - - - -8.9% 5.5h ✓ -
37 AXP — — +0.00% $10,432 $10,432 NO ENTRY - - - -2.5% 20.5h ✓ -
38 SPY — — +0.00% $9,761 $9,761 NO ENTRY - - - -2.1% 8.7h ✓ -
39 TLT — — +0.00% $10,000 $10,000 NO ENTRY - - - -0.0% 0.0h ✓ -
40 PG — — +0.00% $9,580 $9,580 NO ENTRY - - - -2.2% 4.0h ✓ -
41 DIA — — +0.00% $9,919 $9,919 NO ENTRY - - - -1.3% 16.4h ✓ -
42 MCD — — +0.00% $9,897 $9,897 NO ENTRY - - - -1.2% 21.4h ✓ -
43 REGN — — +0.00% $9,477 $9,477 NO ENTRY - - - -12.1% 8.4h ✓ -
44 V — — +0.00% $9,780 $9,780 NO ENTRY - - - -1.9% 11.3h ✓ -
45 VOO — — +0.00% $9,768 $9,768 NO ENTRY - - - -2.0% 8.7h ✓ -
46 GLD — — +0.00% $10,002 $10,002 NO ENTRY - - - -0.0% 4.6h ✓ -
47 MA — — +0.00% $9,425 $9,425 NO ENTRY - - - -5.8% 6.1h ✓ -
48 XLF — — +0.00% $9,828 $9,828 NO ENTRY - - - -2.1% 7.9h ✓ -
49 VTI — — +0.00% $9,754 $9,754 NO ENTRY - - - -2.2% 8.8h ✓ -
50 IWM — — +0.00% $9,621 $9,621 NO ENTRY - - - -4.5% 12.8h ✓ -
51 XLE — — +0.00% $9,059 $9,059 NO ENTRY - - - -5.4% 6.6h ✓ -
52 QQQ — — +0.00% $10,056 $10,056 NO ENTRY - - - -1.4% 8.2h ✓ -
53 KO — — -0.15% $10,227 $10,212 1 0% - -$15 -0.7% 1.1d ✓ -
54 BLK 1 — -0.19% $9,402 $9,385 1 0% - -$18 -9.5% 6.6h ✓ -
55 TMO 31 — -0.23% $11,979 $11,951 4 50% - -$28 -3.0% 9.8h ✓ -
56 ORCL 24 2🧊 -0.25% $11,893 $11,863 11 45% - -$30 -17.0% 12.7h ✓ -
57 CVX — — -0.32% $9,542 $9,511 2 50% - -$31 -2.8% 7.9h ✓ -
58 ACN 10 0 -0.34% $10,253 $10,218 11 55% - -$35 -9.0% 7.2h ✓ -
59 RIVN 41 2🧊 -0.53% $18,874 $18,774 15 40% - -$100 -19.2% 12.5h ✓ -
60 GME 17 7 -0.59% $11,401 $11,333 5 60% - -$67 -17.7% 15.3h ✓ -
61 BRK-B — — -0.87% $10,216 $10,127 1 0% - -$89 -0.1% 9.1h ✓ -
62 PFE 8 — -0.90% $10,524 $10,430 1 0% - -$95 -6.4% 10.7h ✓ -
63 XOM — — -0.91% $8,882 $8,802 3 33% - -$81 -3.1% 9.0h ✓ -
64 SCHW 2 — -1.19% $9,526 $9,412 1 0% - -$113 -5.7% 11.0h ✓ -
65 WMT — — -1.30% $10,359 $10,224 1 0% - -$135 -2.1% 11.2h ✓ -
66 DIS 5 — -1.35% $10,073 $9,937 1 0% - -$136 -4.3% 5.8h ✓ -
67 JNJ — — -1.41% $9,816 $9,678 3 33% - -$138 -2.2% 3.9h ✓ -
68 ABBV 2 — -1.41% $9,789 $9,650 1 0% - -$138 -8.1% 12.3h ✓ -
69 AMD 23 25 -1.43% $12,162 $11,988 15 47% - -$174 -21.9% 7.8h ✓ -
70 COST — — -1.44% $9,981 $9,837 1 0% - -$144 -3.5% 7.0h ✓ -
71 ISRG 13 — -1.54% $10,564 $10,402 6 50% - -$163 -8.3% 18.6h ✓ -
72 VZ — — -2.01% $10,604 $10,391 2 50% - -$213 -1.9% 21.8h ✓ -
73 SNOW 3 1 -2.31% $7,334 $7,165 10 30% - -$169 -27.1% 9.7h ✓ -
74 NFLX 4 — -2.34% $9,369 $9,150 7 43% - -$219 -9.1% 7.4h ✓ -
75 WFC 10 — -2.53% $9,913 $9,662 1 0% - -$251 -8.1% 14.6h ✓ -
76 VRTX 4 — -2.63% $10,193 $9,925 3 33% - -$268 -3.8% 13.0h ✓ -
77 LLY 15 — -2.98% $10,940 $10,614 6 33% - -$326 -5.3% 7.0h ✓ -
78 COP 2 — -2.99% $9,356 $9,076 4 25% - -$280 -3.9% 13.4h ✓ -
79 CMCSA 2 — -3.13% $10,190 $9,871 3 0% - -$319 -3.2% 10.3h ✓ -
80 DKNG 3 0 -3.20% $6,545 $6,336 12 58% - -$209 -36.1% 8.2h ✓ -
81 PEP 4 — -3.35% $9,660 $9,336 2 0% - -$324 -4.1% 10.5h ✓ -
82 BMY 3 — -3.39% $10,035 $9,694 2 0% - -$340 -4.0% 6.7h ✓ -
83 NIO 4 — -3.39% $5,806 $5,609 6 33% - -$197 -49.6% 9.2h ✓ -
84 PM 5 — -3.42% $10,249 $9,898 5 40% - -$351 -2.1% 14.5h ✓ -
85 UNH 4 — -3.45% $10,270 $9,915 1 0% - -$354 -5.3% 7.7h ✓ -
86 HD 0 — -3.77% $9,150 $8,805 2 0% - -$345 -6.3% 5.4h ✓ -
87 PYPL 6 — -4.07% $10,333 $9,912 5 40% - -$421 -5.2% 12.8h ✓ -
88 AMGN 13 — -4.45% $11,033 $10,542 5 20% - -$491 -1.5% 10.2h ✓ -
89 MDT 9 — -4.69% $10,742 $10,238 4 0% - -$504 -0.9% 10.0h ✓ -
90 C 8 — -5.15% $9,937 $9,425 2 0% - -$512 -9.6% 5.8h ✓ -
91 SPXU 2 — -5.76% $6,345 $5,979 3 33% - -$365 -32.8% 2.3d ✓ -
92 INTC 23 29 -6.24% $12,518 $11,737 16 31% - -$781 -18.6% 11.9h ✓ -
93 ARM 16 17 -7.06% $11,593 $10,775 20 40% - -$818 -32.0% 8.9h ✓ -
94 BIIB 2 — -7.06% $8,154 $7,579 6 33% - -$576 -19.8% 7.0h ✓ -
95 GILD 3 — -7.28% $10,080 $9,346 5 0% - -$734 -2.6% 6.3h ✓ -
96 VXX 3 — -7.48% $8,489 $7,854 6 17% - -$635 -29.8% 11.9h ✓ -
97 SLV 35 — -7.54% $13,767 $12,729 9 22% - -$1,038 -5.8% 17.8h ✓ -
98 HOOD 7 1 -7.59% $10,605 $9,800 17 35% - -$805 -41.4% 9.8h ✓ -
99 RIOT 5 64🔥 -8.08% $9,711 $8,927 23 30% - -$785 -45.8% 14.3h ✓ -
100 UVXY 29 0🧊 -17.90% $24,027 $19,726 9 33% - -$4,301 -44.6% 11.1h ✓ -
101 SQQQ 4 1 -23.11% $8,494 $6,531 16 25% - -$1,963 -19.6% 10.0h ✓ -
102 SOXL 6 27🔥 -25.04% $11,362 $8,517 26 38% - -$2,845 -58.1% 10.5h ✓ -

👤 Personality

Humble, disciplined, almost monk-like. Doesn't predict, only reacts. Believes fighting trends is ego, and ego is expensive.