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Trent Follower
10

Trent Follower

The Disciple

🎯 Swing Trader 📅 43 years old (Born 1983)

"I don't have opinions about where the market should go. I only observe where it's going."

Simple clothing, no logos. Reads "Market Wizards" once a year like scripture. Has a signed photo of Ed Seykota on his wall.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Mar 24, 2026 → Sep 24, 2026 (184d)

📊 Last 6 Months Performance: Showing Trent Follower's performance over the last 6 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$10,587
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,186 (+$401)
+3.94%
Last 6 Months ROI
34.3%
Win Rate
1,258
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+0.6%
1 Month
+1.7%
3 Months
+3.9%
6 Months
+3.9%
YTD
+3.9%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last 6 Months)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

50-day MA trend following, 3% strength threshold

Identifies established trends using the 50-day moving average. Enters when price is 3% above the MA (confirming strength) and exits when it crosses below.

🎯 Best Suited For

Commodities, currencies, trending markets

"Don't fight the tape. Don't predict the tape. Just follow the tape."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets trend because information is absorbed gradually. Trent doesn't catch bottoms or tops—he catches middles, which is where the money is.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

Close ≥ SMA50 × 1.03 (3% above 50-day MA)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Conditions

• TREND_BREAK: Close < SMA50 (fell below 50-day MA)
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.15 (+15% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.93 (-7% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 60 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

MA_PERIOD: 50
ENTRY_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 15%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -7%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 60

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: The legendary Turtle Traders experiment

In 1983, Richard Dennis bet he could teach anyone to trade. His "Turtles" earned over $175 million in five years using simple trend-following rules.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 6 Months: Mar 24, 2026 → Sep 24, 2026 (184 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 6M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 MU 34 1🧊 +80.71% $8,615 $15,568 37 59% - +$6,953 -25.8% 10.4h ✓ -
2 MARA 4 67🔥 +70.24% $5,482 $9,333 43 51% - +$3,851 -59.9% 11.5h ✓ -
3 CRWD 40 67🔥 +60.16% $9,706 $15,545 23 74% - +$5,839 -18.9% 9.1h ✓ -
4 MRNA 26 32 +45.89% $9,537 $13,913 36 50% - +$4,376 -44.0% 7.9h ✓ -
5 PANW 31 42 +44.16% $9,142 $13,179 18 61% - +$4,037 -9.9% 5.4h ✓ -
6 SOXL 6 27🔥 +38.94% $6,130 $8,517 55 55% - +$2,387 -58.1% 10.5h ✓ -
7 AMC 4 7 +33.89% $5,894 $7,892 40 53% - +$1,998 -39.5% 12.4h ✓ -
8 LCID 15 0 +26.69% $8,865 $11,231 31 39% - +$2,366 -41.6% 11.8h ✓ -
9 TQQQ 26 — +20.01% $10,292 $12,352 24 63% - +$2,059 -29.4% 11.3h ✓ -
10 META 21 8 +19.48% $9,589 $11,457 12 67% - +$1,868 -14.0% 9.9h ✓ -
11 SMCI 54 14🧊 +18.74% $25,064 $29,761 38 42% - +$4,697 -28.0% 10.3h ✓ -
12 HOOD 7 1 +18.70% $8,256 $9,800 33 48% - +$1,544 -41.4% 9.8h ✓ -
13 NET 39 63🔥 +17.78% $12,844 $15,127 28 54% - +$2,284 -15.3% 8.9h ✓ -
14 COIN 28 63🔥 +17.17% $14,389 $16,860 35 43% - +$2,471 -42.7% 13.2h ✓ -
15 INTC 23 29 +15.81% $10,134 $11,737 38 45% - +$1,602 -18.6% 11.9h ✓ -
16 CRM 20 — +13.82% $9,786 $11,139 18 50% - +$1,352 -8.0% 9.8h ✓ -
17 IBM 26 — +11.79% $10,220 $11,424 9 67% - +$1,205 -4.4% 5.1h ✓ -
18 ORCL 24 2🧊 +11.10% $10,678 $11,863 25 48% - +$1,185 -17.0% 12.7h ✓ -
19 ACN 10 0 +8.53% $9,415 $10,218 16 63% - +$803 -9.0% 7.2h ✓ -
20 PLTR 13 20 +7.73% $9,881 $10,645 19 53% - +$764 -30.9% 11.3h ✓ -
21 SLB 23 — +7.68% $10,513 $11,320 4 50% - +$807 -4.2% 10.2h ✓ -
22 GOOGL 13 — +6.89% $9,872 $10,552 6 50% - +$680 -7.7% 14.3h ✓ -
23 ADBE 3 17 +6.32% $9,393 $9,987 18 39% - +$594 -7.8% 6.4h ✓ -
24 DKNG 3 0 +4.50% $6,063 $6,336 19 47% - +$273 -36.1% 8.2h ✓ -
25 RBLX 5 24 +4.35% $7,915 $8,259 33 48% - +$344 -22.6% 8.2h ✓ -
26 GS 13 — +4.34% $10,142 $10,582 6 50% - +$440 -4.5% 8.1h ✓ -
27 LLY 15 — +4.20% $10,186 $10,614 10 50% - +$428 -5.3% 7.0h ✓ -
28 MSFT 1 — +3.68% $9,547 $9,898 7 43% - +$351 -4.5% 9.2h ✓ -
29 TMO 31 — +3.45% $11,553 $11,951 7 57% - +$399 -3.0% 9.8h ✓ -
30 ABBV 2 — +2.96% $9,373 $9,650 3 67% - +$277 -8.1% 12.3h ✓ -
31 AMD 23 25 +2.88% $11,653 $11,988 33 48% - +$336 -21.9% 7.8h ✓ -
32 AAPL 24 — +1.93% $11,142 $11,357 2 50% - +$215 -1.7% 15.1h ✓ -
33 AMZN 2 — +1.74% $9,101 $9,260 7 43% - +$158 -10.9% 8.7h ✓ -
34 CSCO 6 — +1.71% $9,645 $9,810 5 80% - +$165 -5.8% 6.9h ✓ -
35 OXY 3 — +1.18% $9,718 $9,832 7 57% - +$115 -9.5% 14.1h ✓ -
36 BLK 1 — +1.07% $9,285 $9,385 4 50% - +$99 -9.5% 6.6h ✓ -
37 TSLA 32 14 +0.94% $14,235 $14,369 17 41% - +$134 -15.1% 11.0h ✓ -
38 CMCSA 2 — +0.92% $9,781 $9,871 4 25% - +$90 -3.2% 10.3h ✓ -
39 NVDA 8 — +0.91% $8,388 $8,464 8 38% - +$76 -30.0% 9.4h ✓ -
40 XLK 12 — +0.67% $10,229 $10,297 3 67% - +$69 -2.0% 11.3h ✓ -
41 MCD — — +0.00% $9,897 $9,897 NO ENTRY - - - -1.2% 21.4h ✓ -
42 TLT — — +0.00% $10,000 $10,000 NO ENTRY - - - -0.0% 0.0h ✓ -
43 MA — — +0.00% $9,425 $9,425 1 0% - - -5.8% 6.1h ✓ -
44 XLF — — +0.00% $9,828 $9,828 NO ENTRY - - - -2.1% 7.9h ✓ -
45 KO — — -0.08% $10,220 $10,212 2 50% - -$8 -0.7% 1.1d ✓ -
46 AVGO 22 0🧊 -0.11% $12,074 $12,061 17 47% - -$13 -15.5% 13.0h ✓ -
47 MDT 9 — -0.22% $10,260 $10,238 5 20% - -$23 -0.9% 10.0h ✓ -
48 DIA — — -0.24% $9,943 $9,919 1 0% - -$24 -1.3% 16.4h ✓ -
49 VTI — — -0.29% $9,783 $9,754 1 0% - -$28 -2.2% 8.8h ✓ -
50 SPY — — -0.33% $9,794 $9,761 1 0% - -$32 -2.1% 8.7h ✓ -
51 VOO — — -0.35% $9,802 $9,768 1 0% - -$34 -2.0% 8.7h ✓ -
52 REGN — — -0.43% $9,518 $9,477 1 0% - -$41 -12.1% 8.4h ✓ -
53 MRK 4 — -0.46% $10,125 $10,078 5 40% - -$47 -2.8% 14.9h ✓ -
54 PM 5 — -0.53% $9,951 $9,898 7 57% - -$53 -2.1% 14.5h ✓ -
55 V — — -0.58% $9,838 $9,780 2 50% - -$57 -1.9% 11.3h ✓ -
56 QQQ — — -0.59% $10,116 $10,056 1 0% - -$60 -1.4% 8.2h ✓ -
57 AXP — — -0.60% $10,495 $10,432 2 50% - -$63 -2.5% 20.5h ✓ -
58 JPM — — -0.65% $9,591 $9,529 1 0% - -$62 -6.7% 5.2h ✓ -
59 C 8 — -0.72% $9,493 $9,425 4 50% - -$68 -9.6% 5.8h ✓ -
60 IWM — — -0.74% $9,693 $9,621 1 0% - -$72 -4.5% 12.8h ✓ -
61 DIS 5 — -0.81% $10,018 $9,937 2 50% - -$81 -4.3% 5.8h ✓ -
62 BRK-B — — -0.87% $10,216 $10,127 1 0% - -$89 -0.1% 9.1h ✓ -
63 PFE 8 — -0.90% $10,524 $10,430 1 0% - -$95 -6.4% 10.7h ✓ -
64 GLD — — -1.07% $10,110 $10,002 2 0% - -$108 -0.0% 4.6h ✓ -
65 WMT — — -1.30% $10,359 $10,224 1 0% - -$135 -2.1% 11.2h ✓ -
66 SCHW 2 — -1.38% $9,544 $9,412 2 0% - -$132 -5.7% 11.0h ✓ -
67 JNJ — — -1.41% $9,816 $9,678 3 33% - -$138 -2.2% 3.9h ✓ -
68 COST — — -1.44% $9,981 $9,837 1 0% - -$144 -3.5% 7.0h ✓ -
69 ISRG 13 — -1.67% $10,578 $10,402 9 44% - -$177 -8.3% 18.6h ✓ -
70 BAC — — -1.90% $9,264 $9,088 2 0% - -$176 -8.9% 5.5h ✓ -
71 VZ — — -2.01% $10,604 $10,391 2 50% - -$213 -1.9% 21.8h ✓ -
72 PG — — -2.05% $9,780 $9,580 2 0% - -$200 -2.2% 4.0h ✓ -
73 WFC 10 — -2.13% $9,872 $9,662 3 67% - -$210 -8.1% 14.6h ✓ -
74 CVX — — -2.58% $9,763 $9,511 3 33% - -$252 -2.8% 7.9h ✓ -
75 ARKK 8 — -2.75% $9,004 $8,756 8 63% - -$248 -18.6% 6.2h ✓ -
76 XLE — — -2.80% $9,320 $9,059 1 0% - -$261 -5.4% 6.6h ✓ -
77 MS 3 — -2.86% $9,917 $9,634 4 25% - -$284 -7.7% 4.9h ✓ -
78 VRTX 4 — -3.21% $10,254 $9,925 4 25% - -$329 -3.8% 13.0h ✓ -
79 PEP 4 — -3.35% $9,660 $9,336 2 0% - -$324 -4.1% 10.5h ✓ -
80 BMY 3 — -3.45% $10,041 $9,694 3 0% - -$346 -4.0% 6.7h ✓ -
81 ARM 16 17 -3.59% $11,176 $10,775 44 39% - -$401 -32.0% 8.9h ✓ -
82 PYPL 6 — -3.60% $10,282 $9,912 6 50% - -$370 -5.2% 12.8h ✓ -
83 USO 3 0 -3.79% $8,653 $8,325 23 39% - -$328 -9.5% 12.3h ✓ -
84 UNH 4 — -3.86% $10,314 $9,915 4 50% - -$398 -5.3% 7.7h ✓ -
85 AMGN 13 — -4.45% $11,033 $10,542 5 20% - -$491 -1.5% 10.2h ✓ -
86 COP 2 — -5.04% $9,558 $9,076 5 20% - -$482 -3.9% 13.4h ✓ -
87 HD 0 — -5.16% $9,284 $8,805 6 0% - -$479 -6.3% 5.4h ✓ -
88 NIO 4 — -5.24% $5,919 $5,609 18 44% - -$310 -49.6% 9.2h ✓ -
89 NFLX 4 — -5.65% $9,697 $9,150 9 33% - -$548 -9.1% 7.4h ✓ -
90 XOM — — -5.71% $9,335 $8,802 5 20% - -$533 -3.1% 9.0h ✓ -
91 SLV 35 — -5.92% $13,530 $12,729 19 32% - -$801 -5.8% 17.8h ✓ -
92 BIIB 2 — -6.29% $8,087 $7,579 8 38% - -$509 -19.8% 7.0h ✓ -
93 RIOT 5 64🔥 -6.31% $9,528 $8,927 48 40% - -$601 -45.8% 14.3h ✓ -
94 GILD 3 — -7.28% $10,080 $9,346 5 0% - -$734 -2.6% 6.3h ✓ -
95 SNOW 3 1 -7.34% $7,733 $7,165 26 31% - -$568 -27.1% 9.7h ✓ -
96 SOFI 4 — -8.01% $8,480 $7,801 22 32% - -$679 -28.2% 11.1h ✓ -
97 GME 17 7 -10.19% $12,619 $11,333 9 33% - -$1,286 -17.7% 15.3h ✓ -
98 RIVN 41 2🧊 -10.84% $21,056 $18,774 28 36% - -$2,282 -19.2% 12.5h ✓ -
99 SPXU 2 — -13.80% $6,937 $5,979 10 30% - -$957 -32.8% 2.3d ✓ -
100 VXX 3 — -17.91% $9,568 $7,854 16 13% - -$1,714 -29.8% 11.9h ✓ -
101 UVXY 29 0🧊 -26.44% $26,816 $19,726 23 35% - -$7,090 -44.6% 11.1h ✓ -
102 SQQQ 4 1 -28.84% $9,178 $6,531 29 24% - -$2,647 -19.6% 10.0h ✓ -

👤 Personality

Humble, disciplined, almost monk-like. Doesn't predict, only reacts. Believes fighting trends is ego, and ego is expensive.