10
Trent Follower
The Disciple
🎯 Swing Trader 📅 43 years old (Born 1983)"I don't have opinions about where the market should go. I only observe where it's going."
Simple clothing, no logos. Reads "Market Wizards" once a year like scripture. Has a signed photo of Ed Seykota on his wall.
ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.
📊 Year to Date Performance: Showing Trent Follower's performance over the year to date across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$10,362
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$10,216
(+$146)
+1.43%
Year to Date ROI
35.1%
Win Rate
778
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Year to Date)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
50-day MA trend following, 3% strength threshold
Identifies established trends using the 50-day moving average. Enters when price is 3% above the MA (confirming strength) and exits when it crosses below.
🎯 Best Suited For
Commodities, currencies, trending markets
"Don't fight the tape. Don't predict the tape. Just follow the tape."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Markets trend because information is absorbed gradually. Trent doesn't catch bottoms or tops—he catches middles, which is where the money is.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
Close ≥ SMA50 × 1.03 (3% above 50-day MA)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TREND_BREAK: Close < SMA50 (fell below 50-day MA)
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.15 (+15% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.93 (-7% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 60 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
MA_PERIOD:
50
ENTRY_THRESHOLD_PCT:
3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
15%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-7%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
60
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: The legendary Turtle Traders experiment
In 1983, Richard Dennis bet he could teach anyone to trade. His "Turtles" earned over $175 million in five years using simple trend-following rules.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Year to Date:
Jan 1, 2026
→
May 6, 2026
(124 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite
60+ Good
40+ Fair
<40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot
60+ Active
40+ Moderate
<40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance.
Full methodology →
| Rank | Symbol | Score | Mom | Return | YTD Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
SOXL
|
5 | 87🔥 | +57.47% | $6,529 | $10,281 | 35 | 57% | - | +$3,752 | -58.1% | 10.5h | ✓ | - | |
| 2 |
INTC
|
24 | 33 | +38.51% | $9,555 | $13,235 | 27 | 59% | - | +$3,680 | -18.6% | 11.9h | ✓ | - | |
| 3 |
SLV
|
44 | 3🧊 | +32.29% | $10,194 | $13,486 | 23 | 57% | - | +$3,292 | -5.8% | 17.8h | ✓ | - | |
| 4 |
RIOT
|
15 | 46🔥 | +27.86% | $8,789 | $11,238 | 32 | 53% | - | +$2,449 | -45.8% | 14.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 5 |
LCID
|
4 | 46🔥 | +23.41% | $7,790 | $9,614 | 14 | 43% | - | +$1,824 | -41.6% | 11.8h | ✓ | - | |
| 6 |
MARA
|
3 | 72🔥 | +21.38% | $5,735 | $6,961 | 29 | 41% | - | +$1,226 | -59.9% | 11.5h | ✓ | - | |
| 7 |
ARM
|
26 | 17 | +20.18% | $10,910 | $13,112 | 19 | 58% | - | +$2,202 | -32.0% | 8.9h | ✓ | - | |
| 8 |
MU
|
6 | 22 | +19.50% | $8,273 | $9,887 | 24 | 54% | - | +$1,613 | -25.8% | 10.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 9 |
NIO
|
3 | 9 | +12.16% | $5,102 | $5,723 | 16 | 69% | - | +$620 | -49.6% | 9.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 10 |
TQQQ
|
24 | 39 | +11.74% | $10,753 | $12,016 | 15 | 60% | - | +$1,262 | -29.4% | 11.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 11 |
SMCI
|
51 | 18🧊 | +11.53% | $24,363 | $27,172 | 21 | 57% | - | +$2,809 | -28.0% | 10.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 12 |
META
|
9 | — | +9.90% | $9,277 | $10,195 | 5 | 80% | - | +$918 | -14.0% | 9.9h | ✓ | - | |
| 13 |
AMD
|
26 | 28 | +9.77% | $11,552 | $12,681 | 17 | 59% | - | +$1,129 | -21.9% | 7.8h | ✓ | - | |
| 14 |
C
|
9 | — | +8.03% | $9,198 | $9,937 | 6 | 83% | - | +$739 | -9.6% | 5.8h | ✓ | - | |
| 15 |
ORCL
|
23 | 33 | +7.95% | $10,770 | $11,626 | 14 | 50% | - | +$856 | -17.0% | 12.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 16 |
HOOD
|
7 | 2 | +6.08% | $8,016 | $8,504 | 15 | 60% | - | +$487 | -41.4% | 9.8h | ✓ | - | |
| 17 |
MRNA
|
6 | 3 | +5.67% | $8,249 | $8,717 | 27 | 33% | - | +$468 | -44.0% | 7.9h | ✓ | - | |
| 18 |
NVDA
|
8 | — | +4.49% | $7,949 | $8,306 | 4 | 50% | - | +$357 | -30.0% | 9.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 19 |
UVXY
|
39 | 3🧊 | +4.35% | $26,602 | $27,759 | 26 | 42% | - | +$1,157 | -44.6% | 11.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 20 |
VZ
|
— | — | +4.28% | $10,168 | $10,604 | 1 | 100% | - | +$435 | -1.9% | 21.8h | ✓ | - | |
| 21 |
VRTX
|
— | — | +4.13% | $9,847 | $10,254 | 2 | 100% | - | +$407 | -3.8% | 13.0h | ✓ | - | |
| 22 |
BLK
|
1 | 21 | +3.93% | $9,047 | $9,403 | 5 | 80% | - | +$356 | -9.5% | 6.6h | ✓ | - | |
| 23 |
ACN
|
2 | — | +3.70% | $9,337 | $9,682 | 5 | 60% | - | +$345 | -9.0% | 7.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 24 |
LLY
|
20 | — | +3.67% | $10,553 | $10,940 | 6 | 67% | - | +$387 | -5.3% | 7.0h | ✓ | - | |
| 25 |
AMGN
|
— | — | +3.52% | $10,658 | $11,033 | 2 | 50% | - | +$375 | -1.5% | 10.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 26 |
CMCSA
|
7 | — | +3.27% | $9,868 | $10,190 | 2 | 50% | - | +$323 | -3.2% | 10.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 27 |
SLB
|
12 | — | +2.05% | $10,167 | $10,376 | 9 | 33% | - | +$208 | -4.2% | 10.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 28 |
GOOGL
|
7 | — | +1.96% | $9,872 | $10,065 | 3 | 67% | - | +$193 | -7.7% | 14.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 29 |
PM
|
— | — | +1.91% | $9,951 | $10,141 | 1 | 100% | - | +$190 | -2.1% | 14.5h | ✓ | - | |
| 30 |
NFLX
|
4 | — | +1.48% | $9,304 | $9,442 | 3 | 33% | - | +$138 | -9.1% | 7.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 31 |
PANW
|
4 | — | +1.30% | $9,516 | $9,640 | 6 | 33% | - | +$124 | -9.9% | 5.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 32 |
GS
|
5 | — | +1.26% | $9,946 | $10,071 | 4 | 50% | - | +$125 | -4.5% | 8.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 33 |
CRWD
|
11 | 35🔥 | +1.15% | $10,121 | $10,237 | 12 | 58% | - | +$116 | -18.9% | 9.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 34 |
COST
|
— | — | +0.99% | $9,883 | $9,981 | 1 | 100% | - | +$98 | -3.5% | 7.0h | ✓ | - | |
| 35 |
ISRG
|
16 | — | +0.89% | $10,544 | $10,638 | 3 | 67% | - | +$94 | -8.3% | 18.6h | ✓ | - | |
| 36 |
REGN
|
3 | — | +0.76% | $9,406 | $9,477 | 2 | 50% | - | +$71 | -12.1% | 8.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 37 |
BIIB
|
2 | — | +0.75% | $8,094 | $8,155 | 4 | 50% | - | +$61 | -19.8% | 7.0h | ✓ | - | |
| 38 |
JPM
|
5 | — | +0.73% | $9,460 | $9,529 | 3 | 67% | - | +$69 | -6.7% | 5.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 39 |
V
|
— | — | +0.67% | $9,837 | $9,903 | 1 | 100% | - | +$66 | -1.9% | 11.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 40 |
GLD
|
— | — | +0.47% | $10,000 | $10,047 | 4 | 75% | - | +$47 | -0.0% | 4.6h | ✓ | - | |
| 41 |
ABBV
|
2 | — | +0.42% | $9,637 | $9,678 | 3 | 33% | - | +$40 | -8.1% | 12.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 42 |
WFC
|
9 | — | +0.40% | $9,873 | $9,912 | 1 | 100% | - | +$39 | -8.1% | 14.6h | ✓ | - | |
| 43 |
GILD
|
5 | — | +0.38% | $10,041 | $10,079 | 1 | 100% | - | +$38 | -2.6% | 6.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 44 |
KO
|
— | — | +0.07% | $10,220 | $10,227 | 1 | 100% | - | +$7 | -0.7% | 1.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 45 |
XLF
|
— | — | +0.00% | $9,828 | $9,828 | NO ENTRY | - | - | - | -2.1% | 7.9h | ✓ | - | |
| 46 |
BRK-B
|
— | — | +0.00% | $10,216 | $10,216 | NO ENTRY | - | - | - | -0.1% | 9.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 47 |
MA
|
— | — | +0.00% | $9,425 | $9,425 | 1 | 0% | - | - | -5.8% | 6.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 48 |
MCD
|
— | — | +0.00% | $9,897 | $9,897 | NO ENTRY | - | - | - | -1.2% | 21.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 49 |
WMT
|
— | — | +0.00% | $10,359 | $10,359 | NO ENTRY | - | - | - | -2.1% | 11.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 50 |
TLT
|
— | — | +0.00% | $10,000 | $10,000 | NO ENTRY | - | - | - | -0.0% | 0.0h | ✓ | - | |
| 51 |
CSCO
|
— | — | +0.00% | $9,645 | $9,645 | NO ENTRY | - | - | - | -5.8% | 6.9h | ✓ | - | |
| 52 |
MDT
|
— | — | +0.00% | $10,260 | $10,260 | NO ENTRY | - | - | - | -0.9% | 10.0h | ✓ | - | |
| 53 |
JNJ
|
— | — | +0.00% | $9,816 | $9,816 | NO ENTRY | - | - | - | -2.2% | 3.9h | ✓ | - | |
| 54 |
SCHW
|
3 | — | -0.19% | $9,544 | $9,526 | 1 | 0% | - | -$18 | -5.7% | 11.0h | ✓ | - | |
| 55 |
DIA
|
— | — | -0.24% | $9,943 | $9,919 | 1 | 0% | - | -$24 | -1.3% | 16.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 56 |
AAPL
|
30 | — | -0.27% | $11,141 | $11,111 | 1 | 0% | - | -$30 | -1.7% | 15.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 57 |
VTI
|
— | — | -0.29% | $9,783 | $9,754 | 1 | 0% | - | -$28 | -2.2% | 8.8h | ✓ | - | |
| 58 |
SPY
|
— | — | -0.33% | $9,794 | $9,761 | 1 | 0% | - | -$32 | -2.1% | 8.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 59 |
PEP
|
— | — | -0.35% | $9,694 | $9,660 | 1 | 0% | - | -$34 | -4.1% | 10.5h | ✓ | - | |
| 60 |
VOO
|
— | — | -0.35% | $9,802 | $9,768 | 1 | 0% | - | -$34 | -2.0% | 8.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 61 |
DIS
|
— | — | -0.49% | $10,067 | $10,018 | 1 | 0% | - | -$49 | -4.3% | 5.8h | ✓ | - | |
| 62 |
QQQ
|
— | — | -0.59% | $10,116 | $10,056 | 1 | 0% | - | -$60 | -1.4% | 8.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 63 |
IWM
|
— | — | -0.74% | $9,693 | $9,621 | 1 | 0% | - | -$72 | -4.5% | 12.8h | ✓ | - | |
| 64 |
XLK
|
— | — | -0.94% | $10,228 | $10,132 | 1 | 0% | - | -$96 | -2.0% | 11.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 65 |
AXP
|
15 | — | -1.19% | $10,495 | $10,370 | 1 | 0% | - | -$125 | -2.5% | 20.5h | ✓ | - | |
| 66 |
PYPL
|
8 | — | -1.21% | $10,408 | $10,282 | 2 | 50% | - | -$126 | -5.2% | 12.8h | ✓ | - | |
| 67 |
HD
|
0 | — | -1.40% | $9,373 | $9,242 | 4 | 0% | - | -$131 | -6.3% | 5.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 68 |
PFE
|
— | — | -1.61% | $10,697 | $10,524 | 1 | 0% | - | -$172 | -6.4% | 10.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 69 |
MS
|
3 | — | -1.67% | $9,751 | $9,589 | 6 | 33% | - | -$163 | -7.7% | 4.9h | ✓ | - | |
| 70 |
MSFT
|
— | — | -1.82% | $9,547 | $9,374 | 1 | 0% | - | -$174 | -4.5% | 9.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 71 |
PG
|
— | — | -1.82% | $9,780 | $9,602 | 1 | 0% | - | -$178 | -2.2% | 4.0h | ✓ | - | |
| 72 |
CVX
|
— | — | -1.84% | $9,720 | $9,542 | 2 | 50% | - | -$179 | -2.8% | 7.9h | ✓ | - | |
| 73 |
BAC
|
2 | — | -1.90% | $9,264 | $9,088 | 2 | 0% | - | -$176 | -8.9% | 5.5h | ✓ | - | |
| 74 |
TMO
|
21 | — | -2.01% | $11,714 | $11,479 | 2 | 0% | - | -$235 | -3.0% | 9.8h | ✓ | - | |
| 75 |
UNH
|
10 | — | -2.13% | $10,486 | $10,263 | 4 | 50% | - | -$223 | -5.3% | 7.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 76 |
ADBE
|
2 | — | -2.25% | $9,609 | $9,393 | 2 | 0% | - | -$216 | -7.8% | 6.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 77 |
CRM
|
6 | 3 | -2.59% | $9,969 | $9,711 | 8 | 38% | - | -$258 | -8.0% | 9.8h | ✓ | - | |
| 78 |
IBM
|
6 | — | -2.81% | $10,515 | $10,220 | 2 | 0% | - | -$295 | -4.4% | 5.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 79 |
BMY
|
7 | — | -3.20% | $10,366 | $10,035 | 3 | 0% | - | -$332 | -4.0% | 6.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 80 |
MRK
|
2 | — | -3.52% | $10,313 | $9,950 | 2 | 0% | - | -$363 | -2.8% | 14.9h | ✓ | - | |
| 81 |
AVGO
|
23 | 28 | -3.55% | $12,773 | $12,320 | 10 | 40% | - | -$453 | -15.5% | 13.0h | ✓ | - | |
| 82 |
ARKK
|
6 | 0 | -3.57% | $8,889 | $8,572 | 6 | 50% | - | -$317 | -18.6% | 6.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 83 |
RBLX
|
3 | 5 | -3.87% | $8,157 | $7,841 | 19 | 37% | - | -$316 | -22.6% | 8.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 84 |
PLTR
|
4 | 3 | -4.20% | $9,706 | $9,298 | 13 | 46% | - | -$408 | -30.9% | 11.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 85 |
TSLA
|
29 | 0🧊 | -5.01% | $14,461 | $13,736 | 6 | 17% | - | -$724 | -15.1% | 11.0h | ✓ | - | |
| 86 |
AMZN
|
2 | 0 | -6.10% | $9,075 | $8,521 | 4 | 25% | - | -$554 | -10.9% | 8.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 87 |
OXY
|
3 | — | -6.33% | $10,081 | $9,443 | 9 | 22% | - | -$638 | -9.5% | 14.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 88 |
XLE
|
— | — | -6.58% | $9,697 | $9,059 | 4 | 0% | - | -$638 | -5.4% | 6.6h | ✓ | - | |
| 89 |
COP
|
2 | — | -6.93% | $10,052 | $9,355 | 4 | 0% | - | -$697 | -3.9% | 13.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 90 |
SNOW
|
3 | 2 | -7.24% | $8,134 | $7,545 | 15 | 40% | - | -$589 | -27.1% | 9.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 91 |
SOFI
|
4 | 3 | -7.53% | $8,164 | $7,549 | 14 | 29% | - | -$615 | -28.2% | 11.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 92 |
COIN
|
22 | 6 | -7.77% | $15,034 | $13,866 | 20 | 35% | - | -$1,168 | -42.7% | 13.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 93 |
DKNG
|
2 | — | -8.62% | $6,612 | $6,042 | 9 | 11% | - | -$570 | -36.1% | 8.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 94 |
AMC
|
3 | 35🔥 | -8.80% | $7,164 | $6,533 | 22 | 32% | - | -$630 | -39.5% | 12.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 95 |
XOM
|
— | — | -9.79% | $9,847 | $8,883 | 4 | 0% | - | -$964 | -3.1% | 9.0h | ✓ | - | |
| 96 |
SPXU
|
2 | — | -9.80% | $7,404 | $6,678 | 8 | 25% | - | -$726 | -32.8% | 2.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 97 |
USO
|
2 | 2 | -11.08% | $9,272 | $8,245 | 18 | 33% | - | -$1,027 | -9.5% | 12.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 98 |
NET
|
23 | 10 | -11.77% | $13,269 | $11,707 | 16 | 44% | - | -$1,562 | -15.3% | 8.9h | ✓ | - | |
| 99 |
GME
|
19 | — | -12.94% | $13,534 | $11,782 | 9 | 0% | - | -$1,751 | -17.7% | 15.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 100 |
VXX
|
4 | 0 | -14.41% | $10,757 | $9,207 | 22 | 36% | - | -$1,550 | -29.8% | 11.9h | ✓ | - | |
| 101 |
SQQQ
|
6 | 0 | -16.33% | $10,495 | $8,781 | 20 | 30% | - | -$1,714 | -19.6% | 10.0h | ✓ | - | |
| 102 |
RIVN
|
39 | 1🧊 | -20.66% | $23,216 | $18,420 | 17 | 18% | - | -$4,796 | -19.2% | 12.5h | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Humble, disciplined, almost monk-like. Doesn't predict, only reacts. Believes fighting trends is ego, and ego is expensive.