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Trent Follower
10

Trent Follower

The Disciple

🎯 Swing Trader 📅 43 years old (Born 1983)

"I don't have opinions about where the market should go. I only observe where it's going."

Simple clothing, no logos. Reads "Market Wizards" once a year like scripture. Has a signed photo of Ed Seykota on his wall.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Jan 1, 2026 Jun 22, 2026 (171d)

📊 Year to Date Performance: Showing Trent Follower's performance over the year to date across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$10,458
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,214 (+$244)
+2.39%
Year to Date ROI
38.6%
Win Rate
1,088
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+0.4%
1 Month
+2.2%
3 Months
+2.5%
6 Months
+2.4%
YTD
+2.9%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Year to Date)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

50-day MA trend following, 3% strength threshold

Identifies established trends using the 50-day moving average. Enters when price is 3% above the MA (confirming strength) and exits when it crosses below.

🎯 Best Suited For

Commodities, currencies, trending markets

"Don't fight the tape. Don't predict the tape. Just follow the tape."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets trend because information is absorbed gradually. Trent doesn't catch bottoms or tops—he catches middles, which is where the money is.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

Close ≥ SMA50 × 1.03 (3% above 50-day MA)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Conditions

• TREND_BREAK: Close < SMA50 (fell below 50-day MA)
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.15 (+15% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.93 (-7% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 60 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

MA_PERIOD: 50
ENTRY_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 15%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -7%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 60

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: The legendary Turtle Traders experiment

In 1983, Richard Dennis bet he could teach anyone to trade. His "Turtles" earned over $175 million in five years using simple trend-following rules.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Year to Date: Jan 1, 2026 Jun 22, 2026 (171 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return YTD Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 SOXL 17 11 +74.01% $6,529 $11,361 51 57% - +$4,832 -58.1% 10.5h -
2 MU 28 70🔥 +64.89% $8,273 $13,642 36 58% - +$5,369 -25.8% 10.4h -
3 SLV 46 +35.04% $10,194 $13,766 26 54% - +$3,572 -5.8% 17.8h -
4 HOOD 18 70🔥 +32.29% $8,016 $10,605 24 63% - +$2,588 -41.4% 9.8h -
5 INTC 26 5 +31.01% $9,555 $12,518 38 55% - +$2,963 -18.6% 11.9h -
6 MARA 3 5 +28.01% $5,735 $7,341 40 43% - +$1,606 -59.9% 11.5h -
7 LCID 4 3 +22.07% $7,790 $9,510 24 42% - +$1,719 -41.6% 11.8h -
8 SMCI 52 5🧊 +17.31% $24,363 $28,580 33 48% - +$4,217 -28.0% 10.3h -
9 MRNA 7 43🔥 +16.51% $8,250 $9,612 36 42% - +$1,362 -44.0% 7.9h -
10 TQQQ 25 1🧊 +14.08% $10,753 $12,267 22 55% - +$1,514 -29.4% 11.3h -
11 NIO 4 +13.78% $5,103 $5,806 21 67% - +$703 -49.6% 9.2h -
12 PANW 14 +12.47% $9,517 $10,704 9 56% - +$1,187 -9.9% 5.4h -
13 META 11 +10.83% $9,277 $10,282 7 71% - +$1,005 -14.0% 9.9h -
14 RIOT 4 9 +10.48% $8,790 $9,711 45 51% - +$921 -45.8% 14.3h -
15 ORCL 24 12 +10.42% $10,770 $11,893 22 50% - +$1,122 -17.0% 12.7h -
16 CRWD 19 37 +8.79% $10,120 $11,010 18 56% - +$890 -18.9% 9.1h -
17 ACN 6 +8.68% $9,337 $10,147 8 63% - +$810 -9.0% 7.2h -
18 C 7 +8.03% $9,198 $9,937 6 83% - +$739 -9.6% 5.8h -
19 PLTR 12 +8.03% $9,705 $10,485 16 56% - +$779 -30.9% 11.3h -
20 IBM 21 +6.99% $10,516 $11,251 5 40% - +$735 -4.4% 5.1h -
21 ARM 20 7 +6.27% $10,910 $11,594 33 45% - +$684 -32.0% 8.9h -
22 AMD 25 2🧊 +5.28% $11,552 $12,162 28 50% - +$610 -21.9% 7.8h -
23 NVDA 8 +5.06% $7,949 $8,352 7 43% - +$402 -30.0% 9.4h -
24 MDT +4.70% $10,260 $10,742 1 100% - +$482 -0.9% 10.0h -
25 VZ +4.28% $10,168 $10,604 1 100% - +$435 -1.9% 21.8h -
26 BLK 1 +3.93% $9,047 $9,403 5 80% - +$356 -9.5% 6.6h -
27 LLY 19 +3.66% $10,553 $10,940 8 63% - +$386 -5.3% 7.0h -
28 AMGN +3.52% $10,658 $11,033 2 50% - +$375 -1.5% 10.2h -
29 VRTX +3.51% $9,847 $10,193 3 67% - +$346 -3.8% 13.0h -
30 CMCSA 6 +3.27% $9,868 $10,190 2 50% - +$323 -3.2% 10.3h -
31 PM +3.00% $9,951 $10,249 2 100% - +$299 -2.1% 14.5h -
32 GS 7 +2.07% $9,945 $10,151 5 60% - +$206 -4.5% 8.1h -
33 SLB 10 +2.05% $10,167 $10,376 9 33% - +$208 -4.2% 10.2h -
34 GOOGL 5 +1.96% $9,872 $10,065 3 67% - +$193 -7.7% 14.3h -
35 TMO 26 +1.13% $11,714 $11,846 3 33% - +$132 -3.0% 9.8h -
36 COST +0.99% $9,883 $9,981 1 100% - +$98 -3.5% 7.0h -
37 REGN 2 +0.76% $9,406 $9,477 2 50% - +$71 -12.1% 8.4h -
38 BIIB 2 +0.75% $8,094 $8,155 4 50% - +$61 -19.8% 7.0h -
39 JPM 3 +0.73% $9,460 $9,529 3 67% - +$69 -6.7% 5.2h -
40 NFLX 3 +0.68% $9,305 $9,368 4 25% - +$63 -9.1% 7.4h -
41 ABBV 2 +0.42% $9,637 $9,678 3 33% - +$40 -8.1% 12.3h -
42 WFC 10 +0.41% $9,873 $9,913 2 100% - +$40 -8.1% 14.6h -
43 GILD +0.38% $10,041 $10,079 1 100% - +$38 -2.6% 6.3h -
44 ISRG 14 +0.20% $10,544 $10,565 4 50% - +$21 -8.3% 18.6h -
45 KO +0.07% $10,220 $10,227 1 100% - +$7 -0.7% 1.1d -
46 DIS +0.06% $10,066 $10,073 2 50% - +$6 -4.3% 5.8h -
47 ADBE 3 18 +0.05% $9,609 $9,614 6 17% - +$5 -7.8% 6.4h -
48 GLD +0.02% $10,000 $10,002 5 60% - +$2 -0.0% 4.6h -
49 MA +0.00% $9,425 $9,425 1 0% - - -5.8% 6.1h -
50 MCD +0.00% $9,897 $9,897 NO ENTRY - - - -1.2% 21.4h -
51 TLT +0.00% $10,000 $10,000 NO ENTRY - - - -0.0% 0.0h -
52 WMT +0.00% $10,359 $10,359 NO ENTRY - - - -2.1% 11.2h -
53 JNJ +0.00% $9,816 $9,816 NO ENTRY - - - -2.2% 3.9h -
54 XLF +0.00% $9,828 $9,828 NO ENTRY - - - -2.1% 7.9h -
55 BRK-B +0.00% $10,216 $10,216 NO ENTRY - - - -0.1% 9.1h -
56 SCHW 2 -0.19% $9,544 $9,526 1 0% - -$18 -5.7% 11.0h -
57 DIA -0.24% $9,943 $9,919 1 0% - -$24 -1.3% 16.4h -
58 AAPL 24 -0.27% $11,141 $11,111 1 0% - -$30 -1.7% 15.1h -
59 VTI -0.29% $9,783 $9,754 1 0% - -$28 -2.2% 8.8h -
60 SPY -0.33% $9,794 $9,761 1 0% - -$32 -2.1% 8.7h -
61 VOO -0.35% $9,802 $9,768 1 0% - -$34 -2.0% 8.7h -
62 PEP -0.35% $9,694 $9,660 1 0% - -$34 -4.1% 10.5h -
63 CSCO -0.41% $9,645 $9,606 3 67% - -$40 -5.8% 6.9h -
64 V -0.58% $9,838 $9,780 2 50% - -$57 -1.9% 11.3h -
65 QQQ -0.59% $10,116 $10,056 1 0% - -$60 -1.4% 8.2h -
66 AXP 18 -0.60% $10,495 $10,432 2 50% - -$63 -2.5% 20.5h -
67 PYPL 12 -0.72% $10,408 $10,333 3 67% - -$75 -5.2% 12.8h -
68 XLK 10 -0.74% $10,228 $10,152 2 50% - -$76 -2.0% 11.3h -
69 IWM -0.74% $9,693 $9,621 1 0% - -$72 -4.5% 12.8h -
70 DKNG 2 41🔥 -1.02% $6,613 $6,545 14 21% - -$67 -36.1% 8.2h -
71 PFE -1.61% $10,697 $10,524 1 0% - -$172 -6.4% 10.7h -
72 MS 2 -1.67% $9,751 $9,589 6 33% - -$163 -7.7% 4.9h -
73 CVX -1.84% $9,720 $9,542 2 50% - -$179 -2.8% 7.9h -
74 BAC 1 -1.90% $9,264 $9,088 2 0% - -$176 -8.9% 5.5h -
75 HD 0 -2.00% $9,373 $9,186 5 0% - -$187 -6.3% 5.4h -
76 PG -2.05% $9,780 $9,580 2 0% - -$200 -2.2% 4.0h -
77 UNH 11 -2.06% $10,486 $10,270 5 60% - -$216 -5.3% 7.7h -
78 ARKK 6 -2.07% $8,889 $8,705 7 57% - -$184 -18.6% 6.2h -
79 CRM 5 -2.63% $9,969 $9,707 12 33% - -$262 -8.0% 9.8h -
80 MRK 2 -2.85% $10,313 $10,019 4 25% - -$294 -2.8% 14.9h -
81 BMY 5 -3.20% $10,366 $10,035 3 0% - -$332 -4.0% 6.7h -
82 MSFT 0 -3.47% $9,548 $9,216 4 0% - -$331 -4.5% 9.2h -
83 COIN 24 2🧊 -3.93% $15,034 $14,443 28 39% - -$591 -42.7% 13.2h -
84 RBLX 3 3 -4.67% $8,157 $7,776 26 38% - -$381 -22.6% 8.2h -
85 UVXY 37 3🧊 -5.02% $26,601 $25,266 31 42% - -$1,335 -44.6% 11.1h -
86 OXY 3 -5.22% $10,081 $9,555 10 30% - -$526 -9.5% 14.1h -
87 NET 26 40 -5.31% $13,270 $12,565 24 42% - -$705 -15.3% 8.9h -
88 AMZN 2 -5.66% $9,074 $8,561 5 40% - -$514 -10.9% 8.7h -
89 XLE -6.58% $9,697 $9,059 4 0% - -$638 -5.4% 6.6h -
90 COP 2 -6.93% $10,052 $9,355 4 0% - -$697 -3.9% 13.4h -
91 TSLA 28 -7.56% $14,324 $13,241 11 18% - -$1,083 -15.1% 11.0h -
92 AVGO 19 3 -8.90% $12,773 $11,636 17 29% - -$1,137 -15.5% 13.0h -
93 XOM -9.79% $9,847 $8,883 4 0% - -$964 -3.1% 9.0h -
94 SNOW 2 14 -9.82% $8,133 $7,334 25 36% - -$799 -27.1% 9.7h -
95 SOFI 3 11 -10.03% $8,164 $7,345 19 26% - -$819 -28.2% 11.1h -
96 SPXU 2 0 -12.92% $7,404 $6,447 12 25% - -$957 -32.8% 2.3d -
97 USO 2 -14.99% $9,272 $7,882 22 32% - -$1,390 -9.5% 12.3h -
98 GME 16 -15.75% $13,533 $11,401 10 0% - -$2,131 -17.7% 15.3h -
99 SQQQ 5 1 -17.82% $10,494 $8,624 26 31% - -$1,870 -19.6% 10.0h -
100 RIVN 41 7🧊 -18.70% $23,215 $18,874 24 29% - -$4,341 -19.2% 12.5h -
101 VXX 4 0 -19.00% $10,756 $8,712 25 32% - -$2,044 -29.8% 11.9h -
102 AMC 3 9 -26.12% $7,164 $5,293 35 31% - -$1,871 -39.5% 12.4h -

👤 Personality

Humble, disciplined, almost monk-like. Doesn't predict, only reacts. Believes fighting trends is ego, and ego is expensive.