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Trent Follower
10

Trent Follower

The Disciple

🎯 Swing Trader 📅 43 years old (Born 1983)

"I don't have opinions about where the market should go. I only observe where it's going."

Simple clothing, no logos. Reads "Market Wizards" once a year like scripture. Has a signed photo of Ed Seykota on his wall.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Sep 25, 2024 → Sep 25, 2026 (730d)

📊 2 Years Performance: We gave Trent Follower $10,000 and let him trade 114 symbols from Jan 1, 2024 to today. 🟢 LIVE

$9,930
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,000 ($-70)
-0.70%
2-Year ROI
40.4%
Win Rate
6,231
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+1.9%
1 Month
+2.3%
3 Months
+3.6%
6 Months
+2.5%
YTD
+2.3%
1 Year

Equity Curve (2 Years)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (2 Years)

Stock Volume
$44,938,005
4,157 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$11,618,404
2,074 trades
Crypto Fees
$29,046
0.25% of volume

⚠️ Important Note: This simulation tests each symbol with its own $10K account (not pooled). Crypto symbols can show 40-75%+ fee drag due to high trade frequency.

Stocks are FREE on Alpaca, so the ~100 stock symbols have zero fee impact.

⚙️ Trading Strategy

50-day MA trend following, 3% strength threshold

Identifies established trends using the 50-day moving average. Enters when price is 3% above the MA (confirming strength) and exits when it crosses below.

🎯 Best Suited For

Commodities, currencies, trending markets

"Don't fight the tape. Don't predict the tape. Just follow the tape."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets trend because information is absorbed gradually. Trent doesn't catch bottoms or tops—he catches middles, which is where the money is.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

Close ≥ SMA50 × 1.03 (3% above 50-day MA)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Conditions

• TREND_BREAK: Close < SMA50 (fell below 50-day MA)
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.15 (+15% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.93 (-7% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 60 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

MA_PERIOD: 50
ENTRY_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 15%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -7%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 60

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: The legendary Turtle Traders experiment

In 1983, Richard Dennis bet he could teach anyone to trade. His "Turtles" earned over $175 million in five years using simple trend-following rules.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 2 Years: Sep 25, 2024 → Sep 25, 2026 (730 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 SMCI 54 14🧊 +197.61% $10,000 $29,761 139 42% - +$19,761 -28.0% 10.3h ✓ -
2 UVXY 29 0🧊 +97.26% $10,000 $19,726 125 38% - +$9,726 -44.6% 11.1h ✓ -
3 RIVN 41 2🧊 +87.74% $10,000 $18,774 109 41% - +$8,774 -19.2% 12.5h ✓ -
4 COIN 28 63🔥 +68.60% $10,000 $16,860 122 46% - +$6,860 -42.7% 13.2h ✓ -
5 MU 34 1🧊 +55.68% $10,000 $15,568 110 45% - +$5,568 -25.8% 10.4h ✓ -
6 CRWD 40 67🔥 +55.45% $10,000 $15,545 56 61% - +$5,545 -18.9% 9.1h ✓ -
7 NET 39 63🔥 +51.27% $10,000 $15,127 81 49% - +$5,127 -15.3% 8.9h ✓ -
8 TSLA 32 14 +43.69% $10,000 $14,369 84 42% - +$4,369 -15.1% 11.0h ✓ -
9 MRNA 26 32 +39.13% $10,000 $13,913 125 45% - +$3,913 -44.0% 7.9h ✓ -
10 PANW 31 42 +31.79% $10,000 $13,179 32 44% - +$3,179 -9.9% 5.4h ✓ -
11 SLV 35 — +27.29% $10,000 $12,729 47 49% - +$2,729 -5.8% 17.8h ✓ -
12 TQQQ 26 — +23.52% $10,000 $12,352 78 54% - +$2,352 -29.4% 11.3h ✓ -
13 AVGO 22 0🧊 +20.61% $10,000 $12,061 59 39% - +$2,061 -15.5% 13.0h ✓ -
14 AMD 23 25 +19.88% $10,000 $11,988 86 47% - +$1,988 -21.9% 7.8h ✓ -
15 TMO 31 — +19.51% $10,000 $11,951 18 44% - +$1,951 -3.0% 9.8h ✓ -
16 ORCL 24 2🧊 +18.63% $10,000 $11,863 65 51% - +$1,863 -17.0% 12.7h ✓ -
17 INTC 23 29 +17.37% $10,000 $11,737 105 44% - +$1,737 -18.6% 11.9h ✓ -
18 META 21 8 +14.57% $10,000 $11,457 29 45% - +$1,457 -14.0% 9.9h ✓ -
19 IBM 26 — +14.24% $10,000 $11,424 18 50% - +$1,424 -4.4% 5.1h ✓ -
20 AAPL 24 — +13.57% $10,000 $11,357 12 75% - +$1,357 -1.7% 15.1h ✓ -
21 GME 17 7 +13.33% $10,000 $11,333 58 33% - +$1,333 -17.7% 15.3h ✓ -
22 SLB 23 — +13.20% $10,000 $11,320 24 50% - +$1,320 -4.2% 10.2h ✓ -
23 LCID 15 0 +12.31% $10,000 $11,231 118 38% - +$1,231 -41.6% 11.8h ✓ -
24 CRM 20 — +11.39% $10,000 $11,139 35 51% - +$1,139 -8.0% 9.8h ✓ -
25 ARM 16 17 +7.75% $10,000 $10,775 106 44% - +$775 -32.0% 8.9h ✓ -
26 PLTR 13 20 +6.45% $10,000 $10,645 93 44% - +$645 -30.9% 11.3h ✓ -
27 LLY 15 — +6.14% $10,000 $10,614 27 52% - +$614 -5.3% 7.0h ✓ -
28 GS 13 — +5.82% $10,000 $10,582 18 44% - +$582 -4.5% 8.1h ✓ -
29 GOOGL 13 — +5.52% $10,000 $10,552 24 46% - +$552 -7.7% 14.3h ✓ -
30 AMGN 13 — +5.42% $10,000 $10,542 13 46% - +$542 -1.5% 10.2h ✓ -
31 AXP — — +4.32% $10,000 $10,432 10 60% - +$432 -2.5% 20.5h ✓ -
32 PFE 8 — +4.30% $10,000 $10,430 11 27% - +$430 -6.4% 10.7h ✓ -
33 ISRG 13 — +4.02% $10,000 $10,402 22 45% - +$402 -8.3% 18.6h ✓ -
34 VZ — — +3.91% $10,000 $10,391 7 57% - +$391 -1.9% 21.8h ✓ -
35 XLK 12 — +2.97% $10,000 $10,297 9 56% - +$297 -2.0% 11.3h ✓ -
36 MDT 9 — +2.38% $10,000 $10,238 11 36% - +$238 -0.9% 10.0h ✓ -
37 WMT — — +2.24% $10,000 $10,224 4 75% - +$224 -2.1% 11.2h ✓ -
38 ACN 10 0 +2.18% $10,000 $10,218 28 50% - +$218 -9.0% 7.2h ✓ -
39 KO — — +2.12% $10,000 $10,212 5 40% - +$212 -0.7% 1.1d ✓ -
40 BRK-B — — +1.27% $10,000 $10,127 5 60% - +$127 -0.1% 9.1h ✓ -
41 ETHUSD ₿ 6 — +0.80% $10,000 $10,080 88 42% $5,466 +$80 -15.0% 4.2h ✓ -
42 MRK 4 — +0.78% $10,000 $10,078 14 36% - +$78 -2.8% 14.9h ✓ -
43 QQQ — — +0.56% $10,000 $10,056 5 40% - +$56 -1.4% 8.2h ✓ -
44 GLD — — +0.02% $10,000 $10,002 5 60% - +$2 -0.0% 4.6h ✓ -
45 TLT — — +0.00% $10,000 $10,000 NO ENTRY - - - -0.0% 0.0h ✓ -
46 ADBE 3 17 -0.13% $10,000 $9,987 34 38% - -$13 -7.8% 6.4h ✓ -
47 DIS 5 — -0.63% $10,000 $9,937 9 44% - -$63 -4.3% 5.8h ✓ -
48 VRTX 4 — -0.75% $10,000 $9,925 11 45% - -$75 -3.8% 13.0h ✓ -
49 DIA — — -0.81% $10,000 $9,919 4 50% - -$81 -1.3% 16.4h ✓ -
50 UNH 4 — -0.85% $10,000 $9,915 22 50% - -$85 -5.3% 7.7h ✓ -
51 PYPL 6 — -0.88% $10,000 $9,912 18 44% - -$88 -5.2% 12.8h ✓ -
52 MSFT 1 — -1.02% $10,000 $9,898 12 33% - -$102 -4.5% 9.2h ✓ -
53 PM 5 — -1.02% $10,000 $9,898 12 50% - -$102 -2.1% 14.5h ✓ -
54 MCD — — -1.03% $10,000 $9,897 2 50% - -$103 -1.2% 21.4h ✓ -
55 CMCSA 2 — -1.29% $10,000 $9,871 11 27% - -$129 -3.2% 10.3h ✓ -
56 COST — — -1.63% $10,000 $9,837 6 33% - -$163 -3.5% 7.0h ✓ -
57 OXY 3 — -1.68% $10,000 $9,832 30 40% - -$168 -9.5% 14.1h ✓ -
58 XLF — — -1.72% $10,000 $9,828 4 50% - -$172 -2.1% 7.9h ✓ -
59 CSCO 6 — -1.90% $10,000 $9,810 10 60% - -$190 -5.8% 6.9h ✓ -
60 HOOD 7 1 -2.00% $10,000 $9,800 122 50% - -$200 -41.4% 9.8h ✓ -
61 V — — -2.20% $10,000 $9,780 7 29% - -$220 -1.9% 11.3h ✓ -
62 VOO — — -2.32% $10,000 $9,768 4 25% - -$232 -2.0% 8.7h ✓ -
63 SPY — — -2.39% $10,000 $9,761 4 25% - -$239 -2.1% 8.7h ✓ -
64 VTI — — -2.46% $10,000 $9,754 4 25% - -$246 -2.2% 8.8h ✓ -
65 BMY 3 — -3.06% $10,000 $9,694 15 33% - -$306 -4.0% 6.7h ✓ -
66 JNJ — — -3.22% $10,000 $9,678 5 40% - -$322 -2.2% 3.9h ✓ -
67 WFC 10 — -3.38% $10,000 $9,662 18 56% - -$338 -8.1% 14.6h ✓ -
68 ABBV 2 — -3.50% $10,000 $9,650 12 42% - -$350 -8.1% 12.3h ✓ -
69 MS 3 — -3.66% $10,000 $9,634 17 47% - -$366 -7.7% 4.9h ✓ -
70 IWM — — -3.79% $10,000 $9,621 7 43% - -$379 -4.5% 12.8h ✓ -
71 PG — — -4.20% $10,000 $9,580 3 0% - -$420 -2.2% 4.0h ✓ -
72 JPM — — -4.71% $10,000 $9,529 10 50% - -$471 -6.7% 5.2h ✓ -
73 CVX — — -4.89% $10,000 $9,511 7 29% - -$489 -2.8% 7.9h ✓ -
74 REGN — — -5.23% $10,000 $9,477 20 30% - -$523 -12.1% 8.4h ✓ -
75 C 8 — -5.75% $10,000 $9,425 20 55% - -$575 -9.6% 5.8h ✓ -
76 MA — — -5.75% $10,000 $9,425 5 40% - -$575 -5.8% 6.1h ✓ -
77 SCHW 2 — -5.88% $10,000 $9,412 14 29% - -$588 -5.7% 11.0h ✓ -
78 BLK 1 — -6.15% $10,000 $9,385 14 36% - -$615 -9.5% 6.6h ✓ -
79 GILD 3 — -6.54% $10,000 $9,346 13 23% - -$654 -2.6% 6.3h ✓ -
80 PEP 4 — -6.64% $10,000 $9,336 9 44% - -$664 -4.1% 10.5h ✓ -
81 MARA 4 67🔥 -6.67% $10,000 $9,333 159 40% - -$667 -59.9% 11.5h ✓ -
82 AMZN 2 — -7.40% $10,000 $9,260 20 30% - -$740 -10.9% 8.7h ✓ -
83 NFLX 4 — -8.50% $10,000 $9,150 20 45% - -$850 -9.1% 7.4h ✓ -
84 BAC — — -9.12% $10,000 $9,088 11 18% - -$912 -8.9% 5.5h ✓ -
85 COP 2 — -9.24% $10,000 $9,076 17 29% - -$924 -3.9% 13.4h ✓ -
86 XLE — — -9.41% $10,000 $9,059 8 25% - -$941 -5.4% 6.6h ✓ -
87 LTCUSD ₿ 4 7 -9.91% $10,000 $9,009 124 35% $8,190 -$991 -34.2% 3.6h ✓ -
88 RIOT 5 64🔥 -10.73% $10,000 $8,927 169 41% - -$1,073 -45.8% 14.3h ✓ -
89 HD 0 — -11.95% $10,000 $8,805 14 7% - -$1,195 -6.3% 5.4h ✓ -
90 XOM — — -11.98% $10,000 $8,802 9 11% - -$1,198 -3.1% 9.0h ✓ -
91 ARKK 8 — -12.44% $10,000 $8,756 33 61% - -$1,244 -18.6% 6.2h ✓ -
92 SOXL 6 27🔥 -14.83% $10,000 $8,517 173 43% - -$1,483 -58.1% 10.5h ✓ -
93 NVDA 8 — -15.36% $10,000 $8,464 50 42% - -$1,536 -30.0% 9.4h ✓ -
94 USO 3 0 -16.75% $10,000 $8,325 42 36% - -$1,675 -9.5% 12.3h ✓ -
95 RBLX 5 24 -17.41% $10,000 $8,259 85 44% - -$1,741 -22.6% 8.2h ✓ -
96 DOTUSD ₿ 5 34🔥 -19.93% $10,000 $8,007 169 31% $9,137 -$1,993 -42.0% 3.6h ✓ -
97 AMC 4 7 -21.08% $10,000 $7,892 90 41% - -$2,108 -39.5% 12.4h ✓ -
98 VXX 3 — -21.46% $10,000 $7,854 90 30% - -$2,146 -29.8% 11.9h ✓ -
99 SOFI 4 — -21.99% $10,000 $7,801 97 39% - -$2,199 -28.2% 11.1h ✓ -
100 BTCUSD ₿ 3 — -22.48% $10,000 $7,752 25 48% $1,967 -$2,248 -23.1% 3.7h ✓ -
101 BIIB 2 — -24.21% $10,000 $7,579 30 27% - -$2,421 -19.8% 7.0h ✓ -
102 SNOW 3 1 -28.35% $10,000 $7,165 73 32% - -$2,835 -27.1% 9.7h ✓ -
103 SQQQ 4 1 -34.69% $10,000 $6,531 94 39% - -$3,469 -19.6% 10.0h ✓ -
104 DKNG 3 0 -36.64% $10,000 $6,336 64 39% - -$3,664 -36.1% 8.2h ✓ -
105 SPXU 2 — -40.21% $10,000 $5,979 39 28% - -$4,021 -32.8% 2.3d ✓ -
106 NIO 4 — -43.91% $10,000 $5,609 103 44% - -$4,391 -49.6% 9.2h ✓ -
107 XRPUSD ₿ 5 7 -44.80% $10,000 $5,520 186 32% $8,007 -$4,480 -50.6% 3.3h ✓ -
108 AVAXUSD ₿ 4 36🔥 -50.49% $10,000 $4,951 174 36% $8,530 -$5,049 -51.9% 3.6h ✓ -
109 SHIBUSD ₿ 2 1 -57.59% $10,000 $4,241 178 25% $14,049 -$5,759 -73.4% 3.2h ✓ -
110 LINKUSD ₿ 2 2 -64.38% $10,000 $3,562 194 29% $8,270 -$6,438 -63.7% 3.4h ✓ -
111 SOLUSD ₿ 3 14 -65.62% $10,000 $3,438 125 35% $5,906 -$6,562 -66.6% 3.7h ✓ -
112 UNIUSD ₿ 2 15 -71.63% $10,000 $2,837 296 29% $10,057 -$7,163 -78.6% 3.3h ✓ -
113 DOGEUSD ₿ 2 6 -84.15% $10,000 $1,585 219 30% $8,486 -$8,415 -84.5% 3.3h ✓ -
114 PEPEUSD ₿ — — -88.56% 🔄 $10,099 $1,206 296 32% $9,163 -$8,894 -99.0% 2.9h 1 Apr 16, 2024

👤 Personality

Humble, disciplined, almost monk-like. Doesn't predict, only reacts. Believes fighting trends is ego, and ego is expensive.