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Trent Follower
10

Trent Follower

The Disciple

🎯 Swing Trader 📅 43 years old (Born 1983)

"I don't have opinions about where the market should go. I only observe where it's going."

Simple clothing, no logos. Reads "Market Wizards" once a year like scripture. Has a signed photo of Ed Seykota on his wall.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Jan 1, 2026 → Sep 24, 2026 (265d)

📊 Year to Date Performance: Showing Trent Follower's performance over the year to date across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$9,962
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $9,715 (+$246)
+2.53%
Year to Date ROI
35.7%
Win Rate
2,181
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+1.9%
1 Month
+2.3%
3 Months
+3.6%
6 Months
+2.5%
YTD
+2.3%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Year to Date)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Year to Date)

Stock Volume
$18,889,226
1,721 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$2,136,464
460 trades
Crypto Fees
$5,341
0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

50-day MA trend following, 3% strength threshold

Identifies established trends using the 50-day moving average. Enters when price is 3% above the MA (confirming strength) and exits when it crosses below.

🎯 Best Suited For

Commodities, currencies, trending markets

"Don't fight the tape. Don't predict the tape. Just follow the tape."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets trend because information is absorbed gradually. Trent doesn't catch bottoms or tops—he catches middles, which is where the money is.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

Close ≥ SMA50 × 1.03 (3% above 50-day MA)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Conditions

• TREND_BREAK: Close < SMA50 (fell below 50-day MA)
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.15 (+15% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.93 (-7% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 60 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

MA_PERIOD: 50
ENTRY_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 15%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -7%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 60

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: The legendary Turtle Traders experiment

In 1983, Richard Dennis bet he could teach anyone to trade. His "Turtles" earned over $175 million in five years using simple trend-following rules.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Year to Date: Jan 1, 2026 → Sep 24, 2026 (265 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return YTD Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 MU 34 1🧊 +88.18% $8,273 $15,568 52 58% - +$7,295 -25.8% 10.4h ✓ -
2 MRNA 26 32 +68.65% $8,250 $13,913 55 47% - +$5,663 -44.0% 7.9h ✓ -
3 MARA 4 67🔥 +62.75% $5,735 $9,333 60 47% - +$3,599 -59.9% 11.5h ✓ -
4 CRWD 40 67🔥 +53.60% $10,120 $15,545 30 67% - +$5,424 -18.9% 9.1h ✓ -
5 LCID 15 0 +44.16% $7,791 $11,231 40 38% - +$3,440 -41.6% 11.8h ✓ -
6 PANW 31 42 +38.48% $9,517 $13,179 21 52% - +$3,662 -9.9% 5.4h ✓ -
7 SOXL 6 27🔥 +30.45% $6,529 $8,517 77 51% - +$1,988 -58.1% 10.5h ✓ -
8 SLV 35 — +24.86% $10,194 $12,729 35 46% - +$2,534 -5.8% 17.8h ✓ -
9 META 21 8 +23.51% $9,277 $11,457 14 64% - +$2,181 -14.0% 9.9h ✓ -
10 INTC 23 29 +22.83% $9,555 $11,737 54 48% - +$2,181 -18.6% 11.9h ✓ -
11 HOOD 7 1 +22.25% $8,016 $9,800 41 51% - +$1,784 -41.4% 9.8h ✓ -
12 SMCI 54 14🧊 +22.16% $24,363 $29,761 51 45% - +$5,399 -28.0% 10.3h ✓ -
13 TQQQ 26 — +14.87% $10,753 $12,352 32 56% - +$1,599 -29.4% 11.3h ✓ -
14 DOTUSD ₿ 5 34🔥 +14.28% $7,007 $8,007 47 26% $9,137 +$1,001 -42.0% 3.6h ✓ -
15 NET 39 63🔥 +14.00% $13,269 $15,127 37 51% - +$1,858 -15.3% 8.9h ✓ -
16 COIN 28 63🔥 +12.15% $15,033 $16,860 45 42% - +$1,827 -42.7% 13.2h ✓ -
17 CRM 20 — +11.73% $9,969 $11,139 22 45% - +$1,169 -8.0% 9.8h ✓ -
18 SLB 23 — +11.34% $10,167 $11,320 11 45% - +$1,153 -4.2% 10.2h ✓ -
19 AMC 4 7 +10.16% $7,164 $7,892 51 45% - +$728 -39.5% 12.4h ✓ -
20 ORCL 24 2🧊 +10.14% $10,771 $11,863 33 48% - +$1,092 -17.0% 12.7h ✓ -
21 NIO 4 — +9.92% $5,103 $5,609 27 59% - +$506 -49.6% 9.2h ✓ -
22 PLTR 13 20 +9.68% $9,705 $10,645 27 52% - +$939 -30.9% 11.3h ✓ -
23 ACN 10 0 +9.44% $9,337 $10,218 20 60% - +$881 -9.0% 7.2h ✓ -
24 IBM 26 — +8.64% $10,516 $11,424 11 55% - +$909 -4.4% 5.1h ✓ -
25 GOOGL 13 — +6.89% $9,872 $10,552 6 50% - +$680 -7.7% 14.3h ✓ -
26 NVDA 8 — +6.47% $7,950 $8,464 10 40% - +$514 -30.0% 9.4h ✓ -
27 GS 13 — +6.40% $9,946 $10,582 9 56% - +$637 -4.5% 8.1h ✓ -
28 ADBE 3 17 +3.93% $9,609 $9,987 20 35% - +$378 -7.8% 6.4h ✓ -
29 AMD 23 25 +3.77% $11,553 $11,988 43 49% - +$436 -21.9% 7.8h ✓ -
30 BLK 1 — +3.73% $9,047 $9,385 6 67% - +$337 -9.5% 6.6h ✓ -
31 MSFT 1 — +3.68% $9,547 $9,898 7 43% - +$351 -4.5% 9.2h ✓ -
32 ETHUSD ₿ 6 — +2.97% $9,789 $10,080 30 33% $5,466 +$291 -15.0% 4.2h ✓ -
33 XRPUSD ₿ 5 7 +2.83% $5,368 $5,520 39 33% $8,007 +$152 -50.6% 3.3h ✓ -
34 C 8 — +2.46% $9,199 $9,425 8 63% - +$226 -9.6% 5.8h ✓ -
35 VZ — — +2.19% $10,168 $10,391 3 67% - +$223 -1.9% 21.8h ✓ -
36 AMZN 2 — +2.04% $9,074 $9,260 8 50% - +$185 -10.9% 8.7h ✓ -
37 TMO 31 — +2.02% $11,714 $11,951 8 50% - +$237 -3.0% 9.8h ✓ -
38 AAPL 24 — +1.93% $11,142 $11,357 2 50% - +$215 -1.7% 15.1h ✓ -
39 CSCO 6 — +1.71% $9,645 $9,810 5 80% - +$165 -5.8% 6.9h ✓ -
40 RIOT 5 64🔥 +1.56% $8,790 $8,927 68 44% - +$137 -45.8% 14.3h ✓ -
41 RBLX 5 24 +1.25% $8,157 $8,259 43 44% - +$102 -22.6% 8.2h ✓ -
42 VRTX 4 — +0.79% $9,847 $9,925 6 50% - +$78 -3.8% 13.0h ✓ -
43 REGN — — +0.76% $9,406 $9,477 2 50% - +$71 -12.1% 8.4h ✓ -
44 JPM — — +0.73% $9,460 $9,529 3 67% - +$69 -6.7% 5.2h ✓ -
45 XLK 12 — +0.67% $10,229 $10,297 3 67% - +$69 -2.0% 11.3h ✓ -
46 LLY 15 — +0.58% $10,553 $10,614 14 50% - +$61 -5.3% 7.0h ✓ -
47 ABBV 2 — +0.14% $9,637 $9,650 5 40% - +$13 -8.1% 12.3h ✓ -
48 CMCSA 2 — +0.03% $9,868 $9,871 5 20% - +$3 -3.2% 10.3h ✓ -
49 GLD — — +0.02% $10,000 $10,002 5 60% - +$2 -0.0% 4.6h ✓ -
50 TLT — — +0.00% $10,000 $10,000 NO ENTRY - - - -0.0% 0.0h ✓ -
51 MCD — — +0.00% $9,897 $9,897 NO ENTRY - - - -1.2% 21.4h ✓ -
52 MA — — +0.00% $9,425 $9,425 1 0% - - -5.8% 6.1h ✓ -
53 XLF — — +0.00% $9,828 $9,828 NO ENTRY - - - -2.1% 7.9h ✓ -
54 KO — — -0.08% $10,220 $10,212 2 50% - -$8 -0.7% 1.1d ✓ -
55 MDT 9 — -0.22% $10,260 $10,238 5 20% - -$23 -0.9% 10.0h ✓ -
56 DIA — — -0.24% $9,943 $9,919 1 0% - -$24 -1.3% 16.4h ✓ -
57 VTI — — -0.29% $9,783 $9,754 1 0% - -$28 -2.2% 8.8h ✓ -
58 SPY — — -0.33% $9,794 $9,761 1 0% - -$32 -2.1% 8.7h ✓ -
59 VOO — — -0.35% $9,802 $9,768 1 0% - -$34 -2.0% 8.7h ✓ -
60 COST — — -0.47% $9,884 $9,837 2 50% - -$46 -3.5% 7.0h ✓ -
61 PM 5 — -0.53% $9,951 $9,898 7 57% - -$53 -2.1% 14.5h ✓ -
62 V — — -0.58% $9,838 $9,780 2 50% - -$57 -1.9% 11.3h ✓ -
63 QQQ — — -0.59% $10,116 $10,056 1 0% - -$60 -1.4% 8.2h ✓ -
64 AXP — — -0.60% $10,495 $10,432 2 50% - -$63 -2.5% 20.5h ✓ -
65 TSLA 32 14 -0.64% $14,461 $14,369 20 35% - -$93 -15.1% 11.0h ✓ -
66 IWM — — -0.74% $9,693 $9,621 1 0% - -$72 -4.5% 12.8h ✓ -
67 BRK-B — — -0.87% $10,216 $10,127 1 0% - -$89 -0.1% 9.1h ✓ -
68 AMGN 13 — -1.08% $10,657 $10,542 7 29% - -$115 -1.5% 10.2h ✓ -
69 MS 3 — -1.21% $9,752 $9,634 7 43% - -$118 -7.7% 4.9h ✓ -
70 ARM 16 17 -1.24% $10,910 $10,775 53 43% - -$135 -32.0% 8.9h ✓ -
71 DIS 5 — -1.29% $10,066 $9,937 3 33% - -$130 -4.3% 5.8h ✓ -
72 WMT — — -1.30% $10,359 $10,224 1 0% - -$135 -2.1% 11.2h ✓ -
73 ISRG 13 — -1.35% $10,544 $10,402 10 50% - -$142 -8.3% 18.6h ✓ -
74 SCHW 2 — -1.38% $9,544 $9,412 2 0% - -$132 -5.7% 11.0h ✓ -
75 JNJ — — -1.41% $9,816 $9,678 3 33% - -$138 -2.2% 3.9h ✓ -
76 ARKK 8 — -1.50% $8,889 $8,756 10 70% - -$133 -18.6% 6.2h ✓ -
77 NFLX 4 — -1.67% $9,305 $9,150 11 36% - -$155 -9.1% 7.4h ✓ -
78 BAC — — -1.90% $9,264 $9,088 2 0% - -$176 -8.9% 5.5h ✓ -
79 BTCUSD ₿ 3 — -1.96% $7,907 $7,752 9 44% $1,967 -$155 -23.1% 3.7h ✓ -
80 PG — — -2.05% $9,780 $9,580 2 0% - -$200 -2.2% 4.0h ✓ -
81 WFC 10 — -2.13% $9,872 $9,662 3 67% - -$210 -8.1% 14.6h ✓ -
82 CVX — — -2.16% $9,721 $9,511 4 50% - -$210 -2.8% 7.9h ✓ -
83 MRK 4 — -2.28% $10,313 $10,078 6 33% - -$235 -2.8% 14.9h ✓ -
84 OXY 3 — -2.46% $10,080 $9,832 15 40% - -$248 -9.5% 14.1h ✓ -
85 PFE 8 — -2.50% $10,697 $10,430 2 0% - -$267 -6.4% 10.7h ✓ -
86 PEP 4 — -3.68% $9,693 $9,336 3 0% - -$357 -4.1% 10.5h ✓ -
87 DKNG 3 0 -4.18% $6,612 $6,336 26 38% - -$276 -36.1% 8.2h ✓ -
88 SOFI 4 — -4.45% $8,164 $7,801 29 34% - -$363 -28.2% 11.1h ✓ -
89 AVAXUSD ₿ 4 36🔥 -4.47% $5,182 $4,951 45 31% $8,530 -$232 -51.9% 3.6h ✓ -
90 PYPL 6 — -4.76% $10,408 $9,912 8 50% - -$495 -5.2% 12.8h ✓ -
91 UNH 4 — -5.44% $10,486 $9,915 6 50% - -$570 -5.3% 7.7h ✓ -
92 AVGO 22 0🧊 -5.58% $12,773 $12,061 23 39% - -$713 -15.5% 13.0h ✓ -
93 HD 0 — -6.06% $9,373 $8,805 8 0% - -$568 -6.3% 5.4h ✓ -
94 BIIB 2 — -6.36% $8,093 $7,579 10 40% - -$515 -19.8% 7.0h ✓ -
95 BMY 3 — -6.49% $10,367 $9,694 5 0% - -$673 -4.0% 6.7h ✓ -
96 XLE — — -6.58% $9,697 $9,059 4 0% - -$638 -5.4% 6.6h ✓ -
97 GILD 3 — -6.92% $10,041 $9,346 6 17% - -$695 -2.6% 6.3h ✓ -
98 LTCUSD ₿ 4 7 -7.36% $9,725 $9,009 17 24% $8,190 -$716 -34.2% 3.6h ✓ -
99 SOLUSD ₿ 3 14 -8.41% $3,754 $3,438 33 30% $5,906 -$316 -66.6% 3.7h ✓ -
100 COP 2 — -9.71% $10,052 $9,076 8 13% - -$976 -3.9% 13.4h ✓ -
101 USO 3 0 -10.21% $9,272 $8,325 32 38% - -$947 -9.5% 12.3h ✓ -
102 XOM — — -10.61% $9,846 $8,802 7 14% - -$1,045 -3.1% 9.0h ✓ -
103 SNOW 3 1 -11.91% $8,134 $7,165 35 34% - -$969 -27.1% 9.7h ✓ -
104 LINKUSD ₿ 2 2 -13.36% $4,112 $3,562 38 29% $8,270 -$549 -63.7% 3.4h ✓ -
105 UNIUSD ₿ 2 15 -15.81% $3,369 $2,837 88 27% $10,057 -$533 -78.6% 3.3h ✓ -
106 GME 17 7 -16.26% $13,534 $11,333 15 20% - -$2,201 -17.7% 15.3h ✓ -
107 RIVN 41 2🧊 -19.14% $23,217 $18,774 39 33% - -$4,444 -19.2% 12.5h ✓ -
108 SPXU 2 — -19.24% $7,404 $5,979 16 25% - -$1,425 -32.8% 2.3d ✓ -
109 SHIBUSD ₿ 2 1 -24.33% $5,604 $4,241 45 13% $14,049 -$1,363 -73.4% 3.2h ✓ -
110 PEPEUSD ₿ — — -24.49% $1,597 $1,206 29 17% $9,163 -$391 -99.0% 2.9h 1 Apr 16, 2024
111 DOGEUSD ₿ 2 6 -24.99% $2,114 $1,585 40 23% $8,486 -$528 -84.5% 3.3h ✓ -
112 UVXY 29 0🧊 -25.85% $26,603 $19,726 42 38% - -$6,877 -44.6% 11.1h ✓ -
113 VXX 3 — -26.98% $10,757 $7,854 32 28% - -$2,902 -29.8% 11.9h ✓ -
114 SQQQ 4 1 -37.77% $10,496 $6,531 43 28% - -$3,964 -19.6% 10.0h ✓ -

👤 Personality

Humble, disciplined, almost monk-like. Doesn't predict, only reacts. Believes fighting trends is ego, and ego is expensive.